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Rose with other US benchmarks as a US-Iran peace framework to reopen the Strait of Hormuz pushed crude oil prices lower.

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Asia Markets

Update: US Equity Futures Higher Pre-Bell Amid Inflation Data, Middle East Tensions

(Updates with economic data, recent oil price movement, world markets' overview and corporate stock movements.)US equity futures were edging slightly higher pre-bell Wednesday as traders considered the latest inflation data amid the continuing tensions in the Middle East.Dow Jones Industrial Average futures were 0.1% higher, S&P 500 futures were up 0.2%, and Nasdaq futures were 0.5% higher.The US seasonally adjusted consumer price index, a measure of inflation, fell by 0.4% in June, compared with expectations for a 0.1% decrease in a survey compiled by Bloomberg and following a 0.5% increase in May, government data showed.In a post on X, US Central Command said it started another wave of attacks against Iran at 6 am ET, aiming to "further degrade military capabilities Iranian forces have used to attack commercial shipping in the Strait of Hormuz."President Donald Trump reiterated in a post on Truth Social that the US was reinstating a "full" blockade, "but only on Ships coming to and from Iranian ports, or carrying anything have to do with Iranian cargo." Trump also backtracked from a threat to impose a 20% levy on cargo shipped through the Strait of Hormuz, saying that the Gulf States would invest in the US instead.Traders also digested the latest round of earnings with ASML (ASML) reporting higher Q2 earnings and sales, and Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) posted an increase in Q2 adjusted earnings and sales.Oil prices were higher, with front-month global benchmark North Sea Brent crude up 0.4% at $85.04 per barrel and US West Texas Intermediate crude 0.5% higher at $79.72 per barrel.The US Producer Price Index, released at 8:30 am ET, fell 0.3% in June following a 0.6% increase in May, compared with no change expected in a survey compiled by Bloomberg. The New York Federal Reserve's Empire State manufacturing index jumped to 15.6 in July from 5.7 in June, compared with expectations of a smaller increase to a reading of 9.2.Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh will testify before the Senate Banking Committee at 10 am ET, following a similar presentation Tuesday before the House.Federal Reserve New York President John Williams, St. Louis President Alberto Musalem, and Governor Lisa Cook are slated to speak on Wednesday.In other world markets, Japan's Nikkei closed 1.5% higher, Hong Kong's Hang Seng ended 1.4% higher, and China's Shanghai Composite finished 0.3% lower. Meanwhile, the UK's FTSE 100 was flat, and Germany's DAX index was 0.6% lower in Europe's early afternoon session.In equities, ASML stock was up 3.2% after the company reported its Q2 financial results. Alibaba's (BABA) shares were 4.1% higher after a Bloomberg report cited a company spokesperson as saying that Apple (AAPL) would be integrating the Alibaba's Qwen AI into Chinese iPhones, iPads, and Mac operating systems. Merck (MRK) stock was up 2.3% after the company said the phase 3 trial of its therapy, Keytruda, met the primary endpoint of progression-free survival in patients with mismatch repair-deficient advanced or recurrent endometrial cancer.On the losing side, Johnson & Johnson shares fell 2.1% after the company posted its Q2 financial results.

Dow JonesNasdaq CompositeS&P 500$AAPL$ASML$BABA$JNJ$MRK
Commodities

Exchange-Traded Funds, Equity Futures Higher Pre-Bell Wednesday Amid Economic Reports

The broad market exchange-traded fund SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) was up 0.1%, and the actively traded Invesco QQQ Trust (QQQ) advanced 0.4% in Wednesday's premarket activity, amid economic data releases.US stock futures were also higher, with S&P 500 Index futures up 0.1%, Dow Jones Industrial Average futures slipping 0.02%, and Nasdaq futures gaining 0.4% before the start of regular trading.Mortgage applications fell by 2.7% in the week ended July 10 as higher 30-year mortgage rates depressed new home applications, while refinancing activity improved, according to Mortgage Bankers Association data released Wednesday.The New York Federal Reserve's Empire State manufacturing index rose to 15.6 in July from 5.7 in June, compared with a smaller expected increase to a reading of 9.2 in a survey compiled by Bloomberg.US producer prices fell 0.3% in June, compared with expectations for no change, while core producer prices rose 0.2%, below forecasts for a 0.3% increase.Fed Chair Kevin Warsh begins his second day of testimony at 10:00 am ET.Weekly crude oil stocks data are set for release at 10:30 am ET, followed by an appearance byNew York Fed President John Williams and Fed Governor Lisa Cook are slated to speak on Wednesday.The Fed's Beige Book report will be released at 2:00 pm ET.In premarket action, bitcoin was up by 0.1%. Among cryptocurrency ETFs, the cryptocurrency fund ProShares Bitcoin Strategy ETF (BITO) was 0.1% higher, Ether ETF (EETH) advanced 0.1%, and Bitcoin & Ether Market Cap Weight ETF (BETH) retreated 0.01%.Power Play:IndustrialThe State Street Industrial Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLI) advanced 0.6%, the Vanguard Industrials Index Fund (VIS) rose 1%, while the iShares US Industrials ETF (IYJ) was inactive.Pentair (PNR) stock fell more than 21% before the opening bell after the water treatment company reported preliminary Q2 results below market estimates and lowered its full-year outlook amid headwinds related to its pool segment.Winners and Losers:FinancialThe State Street Financial Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLF) advanced 0.4%. Direxion Daily Financial Bull 3X Shares (FAS) was up 1%, while its bearish counterpart, Direxion Daily Financial Bear 3X Shares (FAZ), was 1.1% lower.BlackRock (BLK) shares traded up more than 4% in early hours activity after Bloomberg reported the company is in discussions over providing about $45 million in private credit to Indian e-commerce platform Udaan as part of a proposed $160 million funding package.TechnologyThe State Street Technology Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLK) advanced 0.6%, and the iShares US Technology ETF (IYW) was 0.2% higher, while the iShares Expanded Tech Sector ETF (IGM) was up 1.5%. Among semiconductor ETFs, the State Street SPDR S&P Semiconductor ETF (XSD) gained 1.1%, while the iShares Semiconductor ETF (SOXX) rose by 1.4%.ASML (ASML) shares were up more than 3% in premarket activity after the company reported year-over-year growth in Q2 earnings and sales and raised revenue guidance for the full-year 2026.ConsumerThe State Street Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLP) retreated 0.01%, the Vanguard Consumer Staples Index Fund ETF Shares (VDC) was flat, and the iShares US Consumer Staples ETF (IYK) was up 1.2%. The State Street Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLY) advanced 0.1%. The VanEck Retail ETF (RTH) was inactive, while the State Street SPDR S&P Retail ETF (XRT) was flat.Lucid (LCID) shares were down more than 2% pre-bell after dropping more than 16% in Tuesday's regular session following rumors of a potential bankruptcy filing that the company quashed.Health CareThe State Street Health Care Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLV) declined 0.6%, the Vanguard Health Care Index Fund (VHT) was down 0.3%, while the iShares US Healthcare ETF (IYH) slipped 0.3%. The iShares Biotechnology ETF (IBB) was up 0.2%.Merck (MRK) stock was up more than 1% premarket after the company said a phase 3 trial of its therapy, Keytruda, met the primary endpoint of progression-free survival in patients with mismatch repair-deficient advanced or recurrent endometrial cancer.EnergyThe iShares US Energy ETF (IYE) was down 2.5%, while the State Street Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLE) retreated by 0.1%.Oceaneering International (OII) stock was up nearly 1% before market open after the company and Kongsberg were selected by the US Department of War's Defense Innovation Unit to support the US Navy's vision for scalable uncrewed undersea platforms.CommoditiesFront-month US West Texas Intermediate crude oil advanced by 0.6% to $79.82 per barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange. Natural gas was down by 0.2% to $2.90 per 1 million British Thermal Units. The United States Oil Fund (USO) was up 0.1%, while the United States Natural Gas Fund (UNG) was 0.9% lower.Gold futures for July gained 0.8% to $4,035.90 an ounce on the Comex. Silver futures retreated by 1.4% to $58.28 an ounce. SPDR Gold Shares (GLD) decreased 0.4%, and the iShares Silver Trust (SLV) was 1.2% lower.

Dow JonesNasdaq CompositeS&P 500$ASML$BETH$BITO$BLK$EEM$EETH$EXI$FAS$FAZ$GLD$IBB$IGM$IGV$IPK$IVV$IWM$IYE$IYH$IYJ$IYK$IYW$LCID$MRK$OII$PMR$PNR$QQQ$RTH$SLV$SOXX$SPY$UNG$USO$VDC$VHT$VIS$XLE$XLF$XLI$XLK$XLP$XLV$XLY$XRT$XSD
Japan

US Equity Futures Higher Pre-Bell Amid Inflation Data, Middle East Tensions

US equity futures were edging higher pre-bell Wednesday as traders considered the latest inflation data amid the continuing tensions in the Middle East.S&P 500 futures were up 0.1%, Nasdaq futures were 0.4% higher, while Dow Jones Industrial Average futures were steady.The US seasonally adjusted consumer price index, a measure of inflation, fell by 0.4% in June, compared with expectations for a 0.1% decrease in a survey compiled by Bloomberg and following a 0.5% increase in May, government data showed.In a post on X, US Central Command said it started another wave of attacks against Iran at 6 am ET, aiming to "further degrade military capabilities Iranian forces have used to attack commercial shipping in the Strait of Hormuz."President Donald Trump reiterated in a post on Truth Social that the US was reinstating a "full" blockade, "but only on Ships coming to and from Iranian ports, or carrying anything have to do with Iranian cargo." Trump also backtracked from a threat to impose a 20% levy on cargo shipped through the Strait of Hormuz, saying that the Gulf States would invest in the US instead.Traders also digested the latest round of earnings with ASML (ASML) reporting higher Q2 earnings and sales, and Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) posted an increase in Q2 adjusted earnings and sales.Oil prices were higher, with front-month global benchmark North Sea Brent crude up 0.4% at $85.04 per barrel and US West Texas Intermediate crude 0.4% higher at $79.65 per barrel.The June Producer Price Index, scheduled for release at 8:30 am ET, is expected to hold steady with no change following a 1.1% increase in the preceding month, according to estimates compiled by Bloomberg. The July Empire State manufacturing index, slated for release at the same time, is seen coming in at 9.2 versus 5.7 previously.Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh will testify before the Senate Banking Committee at 10 am ET, following a similar presentation Tuesday before the House.Federal Reserve New York President John Williams, St. Louis President Alberto Musalem, and Governor Lisa Cook are slated to speak on Wednesday.

Dow JonesNasdaq CompositeS&P 500$ASML$JNJ
Stocks Rise Pre-Bell Ahead of PPI Data, Fed Chair Warsh's Testimony
US Markets

Stocks Rise Pre-Bell Ahead of PPI Data, Fed Chair Warsh's Testimony

The main US stock measures were trending higher in Wednesday's premarket activity as traders await the latest data on wholesale prices, Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh's testimony and another batch of earnings.The S&P 500 and the Dow Jones Industrial Average increased 0.2% each before the opening bell, while the Nasdaq added 0.5%. The indexes finished the previous trading session higher.Last month's producer price index, a measure of wholesale prices, is scheduled to be released at 8:30 am ET. The report comes a day after government data showed that consumer inflation declined in June, its first monthly drop since May 2020 and the largest decrease since April 2020, amid lower energy costs."Investors and the (Fed) will breathe a sigh of relief at the size of the improvement in the inflation numbers last month, likely keeping an imminent rate hike off the table later this month," BMO Chief US Economist Scott Anderson said in a Tuesday note.There's an 86% likelihood that the Fed will keep its monetary policy unchanged later this month, up from 84% on Tuesday, according to the CME FedWatch tool. The odds of a 25-basis-point rate increase moved down to 14% from 16%.Warsh is set to testify before the Senate Banking Committee at 10 am. Speaking before a House of Representatives committee on Tuesday, Warsh vowed to curb high inflation straining American consumers and companies and reiterated the central bank's commitment to restore price stability.Fed Governor Lisa Cook, New York Fed President John Williams and St. Louis Fed President Alberto Musalem are due to speak on Wednesday.Treasury yields were in the green in premarket action, with the two-year rate rising 2.6 basis points to 4.22%, while the 10-year rate gained 2.3 basis points to 4.61%.Johnson & Johnson (JNJ), Morgan Stanley (MS), BlackRock (BLK), Progressive (PGR), Bank of New York Mellon (BNY), PNC Financial Services (PNC), Elevance Health (ELV) and Cintas (CTAS) report their latest financial results before the bell, among others. United Airlines (UAL) and J.B. Hunt Transport Services (JBHT) post earnings after the market closes.On Tuesday, banking giants JPMorgan (JPM), Bank of America (BAC), Goldman Sachs (GS), Wells Fargo (WFC) and Citigroup (C) reported better-than-expected second-quarter results.Wednesday's economic calendar also has the weekly mortgage applications bulletin at 7 am, followed by the Empire State manufacturing index for July at 8:30 am. The weekly EIA domestic petroleum inventories report is out at 10:30 am, followed by the Fed's Beige Book, a compilation of economic and business reports from the 12 regional Fed branches, at 2 pm.West Texas Intermediate crude oil inclined 1.2% to $80.27 a barrel before the open, while Brent advanced 1% to $85.63.President Donald Trump said Tuesday he would no longer demand a 20% "reimbursement fee" from ships passing through the Strait of Hormuz. In a social media post, Trump said he has "decided to replace" the fee with "trade and investment deals" with Gulf countries.Amid renewed tensions in the Middle East, Trump said a "full blockade" will be enforced on all ships coming to and from Iranian ports. The US Central Command reportedly said it carried out another wave of strikes against Iran late Tuesday, according to CNBC.Shares of International Business Machines (IBM) rebounded 0.9% pre-bell after closing the previous session down 25%, as the company reported preliminary second-quarter results below Wall Street's expectations. PayPal (PYPL) jumped 19% following media reports that Stripe and Advent International have offered to acquire the payments company in a deal worth more than $53 billion.Gold declined 0.8% to $4,037 per troy ounce, while bitcoin edged up 0.2% to $64,689.

Dow JonesNasdaq CompositeS&P 500
Asia Markets

Tech Shares Lift Wall Street Pre-Bell; Asia Up, Europe Lower

Wall Street futures pointed moderately higher pre-bell Wednesday, after ASML (ASML) the giant Dutch maker of semiconductor-manufacturing equipment, reported record Q2 earnings and raised guidance.In the futures, the S&P 500 rose 0.1%, the Nasdaq inclined 0.4% and the Dow Jones was even.The VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH) traded up 1.2% pre-bell.Investors also await the producer price index (PPI) report for June, from Washington at 8:30 am ET, likely to provide clues to how higher energy bills are impacting farmers, manufacturers and others.Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh will testify before the Senate Banking Committee at 10 am ET, following a similar presentation Tuesday before the House. Warsh signaled a commitment to containing inflation, before the lower body.Asian exchanges traded higher overnight, on tech-sector strength. European bourses tracked slightly lower on the continent.On the earnings scene, BlackRock (BLK) traded up 4.7% pre-bell after the investment house reported better-than-expected Q2 financial results.PayPal (PYPL) traded up 19% pre-bell after media reports that Stripe and Advent International, both privately held, have proposed a $53 billion buyout of the payment-system enterprise.On the economic calendar, in addition to the PPI report, is the Empire State Manufacturing Index for July at 8:30 am ET, followed by the weekly EIA petroleum status report at 10:30 am.The Beige Book, the Federal Reserve's compendium of business and economic reports from the 12 Fed branches, posts at 2 pm.Federal Reserve New York President John Williams, St. Louis President Alberto Musalem, and Governor Lisa Cook are slated to speak on Wednesday.In pre-market action, bitcoin traded at $64,607, West Texas Intermediate crude oil traded up 1.1% at $80.18 and 10-year US Treasuries offered 4.61%. Spot gold commanded $4,031 an ounce.

Dow JonesNasdaq CompositeS&P 500
Asia Markets

Update: US Equity Indexes Rise as Cooling Inflation Eases Interest-Rate Pressure on Tech While IBM Sell-Off Restrains Dow

(Updates with index/price moves, macroeconomic data, and geopolitical news from the first paragraph.)US equity indexes closed higher on Tuesday after the steepest slide in inflation in more than six years helped lift the Nasdaq Composite and the S&P 500, while a sharp sell-off in IBM (IBM) anchored the Dow Jones Industrial Average.The tech-heavy Nasdaq advanced 0.9% to 26,107.01, and the S&P 500 climbed 0.4% to 7,543.59. The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose by less than 0.1% to 52,508.27.Interest-rate-sensitive sectors, technology and communication services, led gainers in a broad-based rally. Healthcare was the worst performer. IBM sank 25%, the most on the Dow and the S&P 500, after Q2 guidance missed expectations.Looking at gains from the top 20 companies with market capitalizations exceeding $200 billion, half were from the semiconductor industry, according to data compiled by Finviz. The top gainer was SK Hynix, up 27%, following its Nasdaq debut last Friday.The consumer price index fell 0.4% month-over-month in June, the steepest drop since April 2020, compared with forecasts for a 0.1% drop in a Bloomberg-compiled survey and a 0.5% gain in May, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics. Core CPI, which excludes food and energy prices, held steady, compared with the 0.2% growth estimate, in line with May's growth.The year-over-year rates for overall and core CPI slowed to 3.5% and 2.6%, respectively, from 4.2% and 2.9%. Core services, excluding housing, also known as the super core, saw the biggest sequential slide since May 2020, a Jefferies note said.The probability of the Federal Reserve leaving its policy unchanged in July soared to 83% from 58% a day ago, according to the CME FedWatch tool. The likelihood of the pause continuing over September, October, and December surged.Meanwhile, President Donald Trump withdrew his proposal to charge a 20% toll on cargo transiting the Strait of Hormuz, according to his social media post on Tuesday. "Based on highly productive conversations with Middle East leadership, I have decided to replace the 20% United States Reimbursement Fee with Trade and Investment Deals that the various Gulf States will be making into the United States."US Central Command will restart its naval blockade of Iranian ports at 4 p.m. ET on Tuesday.Front-month global benchmark North Sea Brent rose 2.2% to $85.09 a barrel, and US West Texas Intermediate was up 1.9% to $79.59 a barrel, albeit both crude types were off session highs."Resumption of tension in the Strait of Hormuz risks a reversal, but this month's [inflation] data is a step in the right direction for the Fed," Jefferies Chief US Economist said in a note.US Treasury yields fell, with the 10-year down 3.7 basis points to 4.58% and the two-year lower 7.4 basis points to 4.19%.Taking into account the weighting differences between the CPI and personal consumption expenditures baskets, the headline PCE, which is due out in a couple of weeks, is tracking a 0.3% decline month-over-month, according to a Scotiabank note. Core PCE is tracking similarly to the flat core CPI reading.

Dow JonesNasdaq CompositeS&P 500$IBM
Update: Equities Rise Following CPI Data, Big Bank Earnings
US Markets

Update: Equities Rise Following CPI Data, Big Bank Earnings

(Updates with market moves at the end of the day.)US stocks advanced Tuesday as investors cheered cooler-than-expected consumer inflation data and digested big banks' earnings reports.The Nasdaq Composite closed 0.9% higher at 26,107, while the S&P 500 rose 0.4% to 7,543.6. The Dow Jones Industrial Average settled just above the flatline at 52,508.3. Among sectors, technology paced the gainers, while healthcare saw the biggest drop.The US consumer price index declined 0.4% in June, its first monthly drop since May 2020 and the largest decline since April 2020, amid lower energy costs, official data showed. The consensus in a Bloomberg-compiled survey was for the index to move down by 0.1%.Annually, inflation cooled to 3.5% last month from May's 4.2%, compared with expectations for a 3.8% print."Investors and the Federal Reserve will breathe a sigh of relief at the size of the improvement in the inflation numbers last month, likely keeping an imminent rate hike off the table later this month," BMO said in a note.There's now an 83% likelihood that the Fed will keep its monetary policy unchanged at its July meeting, up from 58% Monday, according to the CME FedWatch tool. The odds of a 25-basis-point rate increase slid to 17% from 42%.US Treasury yields were lower intraday, with the two-year rate down 7.4 basis points at 4.19% and the 10-year rate falling 2.5 basis points to 4.59%.In corporate news, Goldman Sachs (GS), JPMorgan Chase (JPM), Wells Fargo (WFC), Bank of America (BAC) and Citigroup (C) all posted strong second-quarter results Tuesday.Goldman shares jumped 9%, the best performer on the Dow and the second-top gainer on the S&P 500. JPMorgan and Bank of America also advanced, while Citigroup and Wells Fargo fell.IBM (IBM) shares slumped 25%, the worst performer on the S&P 500 and the Dow. The computer and software company's preliminary second-quarter results fell short of Wall Street's expectations, with Chief Executive Arvind Krishna calling the performance "disappointing."West Texas Intermediate crude oil was up 1.9% at $79.65 a barrel in Tuesday late-afternoon trade, while Brent rose 2.3% to $85.22.US President Donald Trump said Tuesday he would no longer demand a 20% "reimbursement fee" from ships passing through the Strait of Hormuz. In a social media post, Trump said he has "decided to replace" the fee with "trade and investment deals" with Gulf countries.Amid renewed tensions in the Middle East, Trump said a "full blockade" will be enforced on all ships coming to and from Iranian ports.Fed Chair Kevin Warsh vowed to curb high inflation straining American consumers and companies, affirming the central bank's commitment to restore price stability.Monetary policymakers "have no tolerance for persistently elevated inflation," Warsh said while speaking before a US House of Representatives committee. "If we get policy right -- and we will -- the inflation surge of the last five years will be a thing of the past."Gold was up 1.4% at $4,061.60 per troy ounce, while silver gained 2% to $59.15 per ounce.

Dow JonesNasdaq CompositeS&P 500$BAC$C$GS$IBM$JPM$WFC
Japan

US Equity Markets End Higher on Cooling Inflation, Trump's Strait of Hormuz Toll Reversal

US equity indexes closed higher Tuesday after the June inflation rate fell and President Donald Trump withdrew plans to impose a toll on vessels transiting the Strait of Hormuz as a US reimbursement fee.* The US seasonally adjusted consumer price index in June fell 0.4% from a month earlier, compared with expectations for a 0.1% decrease in a Bloomberg survey and following a 0.5% increase in May, government data showed.* August West Texas Intermediate crude oil rose $1.54 to settle at $79.68 per barrel, while September Brent crude, the global benchmark, was last seen up $1.92 at $85.22.* Goldman Sachs (GS) shares rose 9.1%, the second-biggest gain on the S&P 500, after Q2 results beat analysts' estimates.* IBM (IBM) shares tumbled 25%, the largest drop on the S&P, after preliminary Q2 results fell short of market expectations, with CEO Arvind Krishna calling the performance "disappointing."

Dow JonesNasdaq CompositeS&P 500$GS$IBM
Japan

Update: US Equity Indexes Mixed as IBM Sell-Off Hits Dow, Cooling Inflation Eases Interest-Rate Pressure

(Updates with index/price moves and geopolitical news from the first paragraph.)US equity indexes traded mixed as a sell-off in IBM (IBM) shares restrained the Dow Jones Industrial Average, while the Nasdaq Composite and the S&P 500 rose after the steepest drop in inflation in more than six years sent government bond yields sharply lower.The tech-heavy Nasdaq advanced 1.1% to 26,146.1, with the S&P 500 up 0.5% to 7,550.2 ahead of Tuesday's close. The Dow Jones Industrial Average bucked the trend, trading steady at 52,547.8.Interest-rate sensitive sectors, technology, and communication services, led gainers amid a broad-based rally. Healthcare, consumer staples, and real estate were the only decliners. IBM shares sank 24%, the most on the Dow and the S&P 500, after the tech giant issued Q2 guidance below analysts' expectations.Looking at gains from the top 20 companies with market capitalizations exceeding $200 billion, half were from the semiconductor industry, according to data compiled by Finviz. The top gainer was SK Hynix, up 24%, following its Nasdaq debut last Friday.The US seasonally adjusted consumer price index fell by 0.4% month-over-month in June, the steepest drop since April 2020, compared with expectations for a 0.1% decrease in a Bloomberg-compiled survey and following a 0.5% increase in May, according to data released Tuesday by the Bureau of Labor Statistics. Core CPI, which excludes food and energy prices, held steady, compared with the 0.2% growth estimate, in line with May's growth.US Treasury yields fell, with the 10-year down 3.7 basis points to 4.58% and the two-year lower by 7.4 basis points to 4.19%.The probability of the Federal Reserve leaving its policy unchanged in July soared to 83% following the inflation data, from 58% a day ago, the CME FedWatch tool showed Tuesday. The likelihood of the policy pause continuing across September, October, and December also surged.Meanwhile, President Donald Trump withdrew his proposal to charge a 20% toll on cargo transiting the Strait of Hormuz, according to his social media post on Tuesday. "Based on highly productive conversations with Middle East leadership, I have decided to replace the 20% United States Reimbursement Fee with Trade and Investment Deals that the various Gulf States will be making into the United States."There will be a "FULL Blockade, but only on Ships coming to and from Iranian ports, or carrying anything have to do with Iranian cargo," Trump said on Truth Social. US Central Command says it will restart its naval blockade at 4 p.m. ET, CNN reported.The front-month global benchmark North Sea Brent rose 2.2% to $85.09 a barrel, and the US West Texas Intermediate was up 1.9% to $79.59 a barrel, albeit both crude types were off session highs.

Dow JonesNasdaq CompositeS&P 500$GS$IBM$JPM
Equity Markets Mostly Rise Intraday After Inflation Data, Bank Earnings
US Markets

Equity Markets Mostly Rise Intraday After Inflation Data, Bank Earnings

US benchmark equity indexes were mostly higher intraday as traders assessed the latest inflation data and quarterly results of banking giants.The Nasdaq Composite was up 1.1% at 26,150.9 after midday Tuesday, while the S&P 500 rose 0.5% to 7,551.2. The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 0.1% to 52,469.6. Among sectors, technology paced the gainers, while healthcare saw the biggest drop.The US consumer price index declined 0.4% in June, its first monthly drop since May 2020 and the largest decline since April 2020, amid lower energy costs, official data showed. The consensus in a Bloomberg-compiled survey was for the index to move down by 0.1%.Annually, inflation cooled to 3.5% last month from May's 4.2%, compared with expectations for a 3.8% print."Investors and the Federal Reserve will breathe a sigh of relief at the size of the improvement in the inflation numbers last month, likely keeping an imminent rate hike off the table later this month," BMO said in a note.There's now an 83% likelihood that the Fed will keep its monetary policy unchanged at its July meeting, up from 58% Monday, according to the CME FedWatch tool. The odds of a 25-basis-point rate increase slid to 17% from 42%.US Treasury yields were lower intraday, with the two-year rate down 5.1 basis points at 4.21% and the 10-year rate falling 2.5 basis points to 4.59%.In corporate news, Goldman Sachs (GS), JPMorgan Chase (JPM), Wells Fargo (WFC), Bank of America (BAC) and Citigroup (C) all posted strong second-quarter results Tuesday.Goldman shares were up 7.7% intraday, the best performer on the Dow and the second-top gainer on the S&P 500. JPMorgan and Bank of America were also higher, while Citigroup and Wells Fargo fell.IBM (IBM) shares slumped 25%, the worst performer on the S&P 500 and the Dow. The computer and software company's preliminary second-quarter results fell short of Wall Street's expectations, with Chief Executive Arvind Krishna calling the performance "disappointing."West Texas Intermediate crude oil was up 1% at $78.88 a barrel, while Brent rose 1.5% to $84.54.US President Donald Trump said Tuesday he would no longer demand a 20% "reimbursement fee" from ships passing through the Strait of Hormuz. In a social media post, Trump said he has "decided to replace" the fee with "trade and investment deals" with Gulf countries.Amid renewed tensions in the Middle East, Trump also said a "full blockade" will be enforced on all ships coming to and from Iranian ports, while the strait remains open.Fed Chair Kevin Warsh vowed to curb high inflation straining American consumers and companies, affirming the central bank's commitment to restore price stability.Monetary policymakers "have no tolerance for persistently elevated inflation," Warsh said while speaking before a US House of Representatives committee. "If we get policy right -- and we will -- the inflation surge of the last five years will be a thing of the past."Gold was up 1.4% at $4,062.20 per troy ounce, while silver gained 1.7% to $58.96 per ounce.

Dow JonesNasdaq CompositeS&P 500$BAC$C$GS$IBM$JPM$WFC
Asia Markets

Update: Nasdaq, S&P 500 Rise as Inflation Cools Most in Six Years, Trump Drops Strait of Hormuz Cargo Toll Plan

(Updates with index/price moves, macroeconomic data and company/geopolitical news from the first paragraph.)US equity indexes traded mixed, with the Nasdaq Composite and the S&P 500 gaining, as the June inflation rate fell the most in more than six years and President Donald Trump withdrew plans to impose a levy on cargo transiting the Strait of Hormuz in the Persian Gulf.The tech-heavy Nasdaq advanced 1% to 26,125.4, with the S&P 500 climbing 0.4% to 7,545.1 after midday Tuesday. The Dow Jones Industrial Average bucked the trend, slipping 0.1% to 52,429.5.Technology led gainers, while healthcare was the steepest decliner. IBM's (IBM) shares sank 25%, the steepest decline on the Dow and the S&P 500, after the tech giant issued Q2 guidance below Wall Street expectations.The US seasonally adjusted consumer price index fell by 0.4% month-over-month in June, the steepest drop since April 2020, compared with expectations for a 0.1% decrease in a Bloomberg-compiled survey and following a 0.5% increase in May, according to data released Tuesday by the Bureau of Labor Statistics. Core CPI, which excludes food and energy prices, held steady, compared with the 0.2% growth estimate, in line with May's growth.The year-over-year rates for overall and core CPI slowed to 3.5% and 2.6%, respectively, from 4.2% and 2.9% in the previous month. The "super core", which is defined as core services excluding housing, saw the biggest sequential decline since May 2020, according to a note from Jefferies.US Treasury yields fell, with the 10-year down 2.9 basis points to 4.58% and the two-year lower by 5.7 basis points to 4.21%.Meanwhile, President Donald Trump withdrew his proposal to charge a 20% toll on cargo transiting the Strait, according to his social media post on Tuesday. "Based on highly productive conversations with Middle East leadership, I have decided to replace the 20% United States Reimbursement Fee with Trade and Investment Deals that the various Gulf States will be making into the United States."There will be a "FULL Blockade, but only on Ships coming to and from Iranian ports, or carrying anything have to do with Iranian cargo," Trump said on Truth Social.The front-month global benchmark North Sea Brent rose 1.7% to $84.69 a barrel, and the US West Texas Intermediate climbed 1.3% to $79.18 a barrel, off session highs."Resumption of tension in the Strait of Hormuz risks a reversal, but this month's [inflation] data is a step in the right direction for the Fed," Jefferies Chief US Economist said in a note.The probability of the Federal Reserve leaving its policy unchanged in July soared to 83% following the inflation data, from 58% a day ago, the CME FedWatch tool showed Tuesday. The likelihood of the policy pause continuing across September, October, and December also jumped.Further in company news, traders digested the latest round of earnings from mega-cap banks. Goldman Sachs' (GS) Q2 results topped analysts' estimates as a record performance in the global banking and markets business propelled revenue growth. Shares jumped 7.7%, the Dow's leader.JPMorgan Chase (JPM) reported Q2 results above market expectations, driven by higher investment banking fees and markets revenue. Its shares rose 1.9%, one of the Dow's top performers.

Dow JonesNasdaq CompositeS&P 500$GS$IBM$JPM
Asia Markets

Exchange-Traded Funds Higher, US Equities Mixed After Midday Tuesday

Broad Market IndicatorsBroad-market exchange-traded fund IWM and IVV were higher. Actively traded Invesco QQQ Trust (QQQ) added 1.2%.US equity indexes traded mixed, with the Nasdaq Composite and the S&P 500 gaining, as the June inflation rate fell for the first time in more than six years and President Donald Trump withdrew plans to impose a levy on cargo transiting the Strait of Hormuz in the Persian Gulf.EnergyIShares US Energy ETF (IYE) and the State Street Energy Select Sector SPDR (XLE) each lost about 0.3%.TechnologyThe State Street Technology Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLK) gained 1.6%; iShares US Technology ETF (IYW) and iShares Expanded Tech Sector ETF (IGM) were each up 1.5%.The State Street SPDR S&P Semiconductor (XSD) increased 1.8%, and iShares Semiconductor (SOXX) climbed 3.2%.FinancialThe State Street Financial Select Sector SPDR (XLF) rose 0.4%. Direxion Daily Financial Bull 3X Shares (FAS) advanced 1.1%, and its bearish counterpart, Direxion Daily Financial Bear 3X Shares (FAZ), declined 1%.CommoditiesCrude oil climbed 1.1%, and the United States Oil Fund (USO) moved up 1.2%. Natural gas was unchanged, and the United States Natural Gas Fund (UNG) was up 0.6%.Gold on Comex increased 1.5%, and the State Street SPDR Gold Shares (GLD) rose 1.4%. Silver was up 2%, and iShares Silver Trust (SLV) was 1.7% higher.ConsumerThe State Street Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR (XLP) shed 1.1%. The Vanguard Consumer Staples ETF (VDC) declined 1%, and iShares Dow Jones US Consumer Goods (IYK) was down 1.2%.The State Street Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR (XLY) fell 0.3%. VanEck Retail ETF (RTH) lost 0.8%, and the State Street SPDR S&P Retail (XRT) decreased 0.2%.HealthcareThe State Street Health Care Select Sector SPDR (XLV) fell 1.8%, iShares US Healthcare (IYH) lost 1.7%, and Vanguard Health Care ETF (VHT) was down 1.5%. IShares Biotechnology ETF (IBB) was steady.IndustrialThe State Street Industrial Select Sector SPDR (XLI) decreased 0.2%. Vanguard Industrials Index Fund (VIS) and iShares US Industrials (IYJ) were 0.1% higher.CryptocurrencyIn midday activity, bitcoin (BTC-USD) added 3.8%. Among cryptocurrency ETFs, ProShares Bitcoin ETF (BITO) gained 3.9%, ProShares Ether ETF (EETH) rose 5.8%, and ProShares Bitcoin & Ether Market Cap Weight ETF (BETH) was 4.8% higher.

Dow Jones^EEM^EXI^FAS^FAZ^GLD^IBB^IGM^IGV^IPK^IVV^IWMNasdaq Composite^IYE^IYH^IYJ^IYK^IYW^PMR^QQQ^RTH^SOXXS&P 500^SPY^UNG^USO^VDC^VHT^VIS^XLE^XLF^XLI^XLK^XLP^XLV^XRT^XSD$BETH$BITO$EETH
Japan

Update: Nasdaq, S&P 500 Rise as Inflation Drops for First Time in Six Years, Trump Reverses Plan to Impose Toll on Hormuz Cargo

(Updates with index/price moves and company/geopolitical news from the first paragraph.)US equity indexes traded mixed, with the Nasdaq Composite and the S&P 500 gaining, as the June inflation rate fell for the first time in more than six years and President Donald Trump withdrew plans to impose a levy on cargo transiting the Strait of Hormuz in the Persian Gulf.The tech-heavy Nasdaq advanced 0.7% to 25,918.2, with the S&P 500 climbing 0.4% to 7,543.4 and the Dow Jones Industrial Average up less than 0.1% to 52,518.3 after midday Tuesday.Financials and technology led gainers, while healthcare was the steepest decliner. IBM's (IBM) shares sank 25%, the steepest decline on the Dow and the S&P 500, after the tech giant issued Q2 guidance below Wall Street expectations.The US seasonally adjusted consumer price index fell by 0.4% month-over-month in June, reportedly the first decline since 2020, compared with expectations for a 0.1% decrease in a Bloomberg-compiled survey and following a 0.5% increase in May, according to data released Tuesday by the Bureau of Labor Statistics. Core CPI, which excludes food and energy prices, held steady, compared with the consensus estimate of 0.2% growth, in line with May's increase.US Treasury yields fell, with the 10-year down 4.1 basis points to 4.57% and the two-year lower by 7.6 basis points to 4.19%.Meanwhile, President Donald Trump withdrew his proposal to charge a 20% toll on cargo transiting the Strait, according to his social media post on Tuesday. "Based on highly productive conversations with Middle East leadership, I have decided to replace the 20% United States Reimbursement Fee with Trade and Investment Deals that the various Gulf States will be making into the United States."There will be a "FULL Blockade, but only on Ships coming to and from Iranian ports, or carrying anything have to do with Iranian cargo," Trump said on Truth Social.The front-month global benchmark North Sea Brent rose 1.9% to $84.91 a barrel, and the US West Texas Intermediate climbed 1.2% to $79.10 a barrel, off session highs.

Dow JonesNasdaq CompositeS&P 500$IBM
Commodities

Exchange-Traded Funds Higher, Equity Futures Mixed Pre-Bell Tuesday Ahead of Warsh Testimony

The broad market exchange-traded fund SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) was up 0.3%, and the actively traded Invesco QQQ Trust (QQQ) advanced 1.1% in Tuesday's premarket activity, ahead of Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh's first day of testimony at 10:00 am ET.US stock futures were mixed, with S&P 500 Index futures down 0.2%, Dow Jones Industrial Average futures slipping 0.6%, and Nasdaq futures gaining 0.4% before the start of regular trading.The US consumer price index fell a seasonally adjusted 0.4% in June, compared with expectations for a 0.1% decline, after rising 0.5% in May, Bureau of Labor Statistics data showed on Tuesday.Fed Governors Michael Barr and Lisa Cook and Fed Vice Chair Michelle Bowman are scheduled to speak on Tuesday.In premarket action, bitcoin was up by 0.9%. Among cryptocurrency ETFs, the cryptocurrency fund ProShares Bitcoin Strategy ETF (BITO) was 0.9% higher, Ether ETF (EETH) advanced 1.4%, and Bitcoin & Ether Market Cap Weight ETF (BETH) was flat.Power Play:TechnologyThe State Street Technology Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLK) advanced 1.1%, and the iShares US Technology ETF (IYW) was flat, while the iShares Expanded Tech Sector ETF (IGM) was up 1.9%. Among semiconductor ETFs, the State Street SPDR S&P Semiconductor ETF (XSD) was 2% higher, while the iShares Semiconductor ETF (SOXX) rose by 3.5%.IBM (IBM) shares were down more than 22% in premarket activity after the company posted expected Q2 operating earnings and revenue that trailed analysts' estimates.Winners and Losers:Health CareThe State Street Health Care Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLV) retreated 0.3%, the Vanguard Health Care Index Fund (VHT) was up 0.8%, while the iShares US Healthcare ETF (IYH) slipped 0.4%. The iShares Biotechnology ETF (IBB) was 0.3% lower.HCA Healthcare (HCA) stock was down more than 8% premarket after the company cut its guidance for 2026 EPS and revenue.IndustrialThe State Street Industrial Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLI) rose 0.9%, while the Vanguard Industrials Index Fund (VIS) was up 0.3% and the iShares US Industrials ETF (IYJ) was inactive.General Fusion (GFUZ) was up more than 6% before the opening bell, a day after the company began trading on the Nasdaq following the completion of its merger with Spring Valley Acquisition Corp. III.FinancialThe State Street Financial Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLF) retreated 0.3%. Direxion Daily Financial Bull 3X Shares (FAS) was down 1.2%, while its bearish counterpart, Direxion Daily Financial Bear 3X Shares (FAZ), was 1% higher.JPMorgan Chase (JPM) shares traded down more than 2% in early hours activity even after the company reported higher Q2 earnings and revenue.ConsumerThe State Street Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLP) was down 0.02%, the Vanguard Consumer Staples Index Fund ETF Shares (VDC) retreated 0.03%, and the iShares US Consumer Staples ETF (IYK) was inactive. The State Street Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLY) declined marginally by 0.01%. The VanEck Retail ETF (RTH) was inactive, while the State Street SPDR S&P Retail ETF (XRT) was 0.6% higher.Honda Motor (HMC) shares were up more than 1% pre-bell after a 0.3% decline at the prior close. The US National Highway Traffic Safety Administration said Monday that the vehicle manufacturer's Odyssey model year 2011 through 2017 vehicles are under review following complaints about airbags deploying unnecessarily.EnergyThe iShares US Energy ETF (IYE) was up 0.3%, while the State Street Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLE) was up by 0.7%.BP (BP) was up more than 1% before market open after the company said its Q2 results are expected to include post-tax adjusting items relating to impairments of around $1.0 billion.CommoditiesFront-month US West Texas Intermediate crude oil advanced by 2.5% to $80.10 per barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange. Natural gas was down by 0.8% to $2.88 per 1 million British Thermal Units. The United States Oil Fund (USO) was up 2.8%, while the United States Natural Gas Fund (UNG) was 0.3% lower.Gold futures for July gained 0.7% to $4,032.90 an ounce on the Comex. Silver futures advanced by 0.5% to $58.24 an ounce. SPDR Gold Shares (GLD) increased 2.4%, and the iShares Silver Trust (SLV) was 3.2% higher.

Dow JonesNasdaq CompositeS&P 500$BETH$BITO$BP$EEM$EETH$EXI$FAS$FAZ$GFUZ$GLD$HCA$HMC$IBB$IBM$IGM$IGV$IPK$IVV$IWM$IYE$IYH$IYJ$IYK$IYW$JPM$PMR$QQQ$RTH$SLV$SOXX$SPY$UNG$USO$VDC$VHT$VIS$XLE$XLF$XLI$XLK$XLP$XLV$XLY$XRT$XSD
Asia Markets

Update: US Equity Futures Mixed Pre-Bell as Middle East Tensions Intensify, Major US Banks Post Earnings

(Updates with economic data, recent oil price movement, world markets' overview and corporate stock movements.)US equity futures were mixed pre-bell Tuesday as traders monitored the unabated rise of tensions in the Middle East, as well as the financial results of major US banks.Dow Jones Industrial Average futures were 0.4% lower, S&P 500 futures were flat, and Nasdaq futures were 0.7% higher.US Central Command completed another series of attacks against Iran on Monday night, its third consecutive wave, aiming to "continue imposing a heavy cost on Iranian forces and degrade their ability to attack innocent civilians and commercial shipping in the Strait of Hormuz," the command said in a post on X.Meanwhile, President Trump said the US is reinstating the blockade on Iranian vessels. "The U.S.A. will be, from this point forward, known as "THE GUARDIAN OF THE HORMUZ STRAIT," but as such, and as a matter of FAIRNESS, will be reimbursed, at the rate of 20% on all cargo shipped," Trump said in a post on Truth Social.Traders digested the latest round of earnings, with JPMorgan Chase (JPM), Bank of America (BAC), Wells Fargo (WFC), and Goldman Sachs Group (GS) all reporting higher Q2 earnings and revenue.Oil prices were higher, with front-month global benchmark North Sea Brent crude up 4.4% at $86.92 per barrel and US West Texas Intermediate crude 3.1% higher at $80.53 per barrel.The June consumer price index, released at 8:30 am ET, fell 0.4%, compared with a 0.5% gain in the previous month, and wider than an expected 0.4% decrease in a survey compiled by Bloomberg.New Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh will deliver his first semi-annual monetary policy report to the House Financial Services Committee, starting at 10 am ET.Federal Reserve Governors Lisa Cook, Michael Barr, Michelle Bowman, and Chicago President Austan Goolsbee are slated to speak on Tuesday.In other world markets, Japan's Nikkei closed 0.7% higher, Hong Kong's Hang Seng ended 0.5% higher, and China's Shanghai Composite finished 1.4% higher. Meanwhile, the UK's FTSE 100 was flat, and Germany's DAX index was 0.9% lower in Europe's early afternoon session.In equities, IBM (IBM) shares fell 22% after the company said it expects Q2 earnings and revenue to be below analysts' consensus estimates. Several major US bank stocks were down after reporting Q2 financial results. JPMorgan Chase shares dropped 2.3%, Bank of America stock was down 1.8%, and Wells Fargo shares were 1.4% lower.On the winning side, stocks of ASML (ASML), Applied Materials (AMAT), and Lam Research (LRCX) rose as part of a broader rebound in the semiconductor sector after a previous sell-off. ASML shares rose 3%, Applied Materials stock was up 6.1%, and Lam Research shares were 6.1% higher. Goldman Sachs shares increased 4% after the bank posted its Q2 financial results.

Dow JonesNasdaq CompositeS&P 500$AMAT$ASML$BAC$GS$IBM$JPM$LRCX$WFC
Japan

US Equity Futures Mixed Pre-Bell as Middle East Tensions Intensify, Major US Banks Post Earnings

US equity futures were mixed pre-bell Tuesday as traders monitored the unabated rise of tensions in the Middle East, as well as the financial results of major US banks.Dow Jones Industrial Average futures were 0.6% lower, S&P 500 futures were down 0.1%, and Nasdaq futures were 0.6% higher.US Central Command completed another series of attacks against Iran on Monday night, its third consecutive wave, aiming to "continue imposing a heavy cost on Iranian forces and degrade their ability to attack innocent civilians and commercial shipping in the Strait of Hormuz," the command said in a post on X.Meanwhile, President Trump said the US is reinstating the blockade on Iranian vessels. "The U.S.A. will be, from this point forward, known as "THE GUARDIAN OF THE HORMUZ STRAIT," but as such, and as a matter of FAIRNESS, will be reimbursed, at the rate of 20% on all cargo shipped," Trump said in a post on Truth Social.Traders digested the latest round of earnings, with JPMorgan Chase (JPM), Bank of America (BAC), and Wells Fargo (WFC) all reporting higher Q2 earnings and revenue.Oil prices were higher, with front-month global benchmark North Sea Brent crude up 3.4% at $86.15 per barrel and US West Texas Intermediate crude 2.1% higher at $79.80 per barrel.The June consumer price index, scheduled for release at 8:30 am ET, is seen declining 0.1%, compared with a 0.5% gain in the prior month, according to estimates compiled by Bloomberg.New Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh will deliver his first semi-annual monetary policy report to the House Financial Services Committee, starting at 10 am ET.Federal Reserve Governors Lisa Cook, Michael Barr, Michelle Bowman, and Chicago President Austan Goolsbee are slated to speak on Tuesday.

Dow JonesNasdaq CompositeS&P 500$BAC$JPM$WFC
Equity Futures Mixed Ahead of Key Inflation Data, Big Bank Earnings
US Markets

Equity Futures Mixed Ahead of Key Inflation Data, Big Bank Earnings

US equity futures were mixed before the open Tuesday as traders await a key inflation report and quarterly earnings of some of Wall Street's largest banks.The S&P 500 edged down 0.1% and the Nasdaq added 0.4% in premarket activity, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 0.4%. The three main indexes finished the previous trading session lower.The official US consumer price index report for June is scheduled for an 8:30 am ET release. Data are expected to show that consumer inflation dropped 0.1% last month sequentially and rose 3.8% annually, according to a Bloomberg-compiled consensus. The Street is projecting core CPI, which excludes volatile items such as food and energy, to rise 0.2% month over month and 2.9% annually.Tuesday's main corporate earnings include those from JPMorgan Chase (JPM), Bank of America (BAC), Goldman Sachs (GS), Wells Fargo (WFC) and Citigroup (C).West Texas Intermediate crude oil was up 3.1% at $80.57 a barrel before the opening bell, while Brent gained 4.2% to $86.82.On Monday, President Donald Trump said the US was reinstating a blockade of Iranian shipping through the Strait of Hormuz amid growing tensions in the Middle East.Hostilities between the US and Iran resumed recently, weeks after they signed a memorandum of understanding to end their war that began at the end of February."Clearly, the risk is that this escalates to levels seen early in the war, where neighboring countries and their energy infrastructure are also targeted," ING Bank said in a report. "Escalation has slowed vessels transiting the strait to a trickle, renewing concerns over oil supply tightness through the third quarter."US Treasury yields were up in premarket action, with the two- and 10-year rates increasing one basis point each to 4.27% and 4.62%, respectively.Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh is set to testify before the House Financial Services Committee at 10 am Tuesday, as part of his legal requirement to appear before Congress twice a year. He will speak before the Senate Banking Committee Wednesday.Fed Vice Chair for Supervision Michelle Bowman is also slated to speak Tuesday, along with other central bank officials, including Michael Barr, Lisa Cook and Austan Goolsbee.On Monday, Fed Governor Christopher Waller the central bank may have to consider raising interest rates if inflation remains high.There's a 61% likelihood that the Fed will keep its monetary policy unchanged later this month, up from 58% on Monday, according to the CME FedWatch tool. The odds of a 25-basis-point rate increase moved to 39% from 42%.SK Hynix's (SKHY, SKHYV) US-listed stock climbed 6.9% pre-bell after the South Korean chipmaker closed Monday with a 9.3% drop. SpaceX (SPCX) edged down 0.3% following a 4.2% decline at the end of the previous session. Oracle (ORCL) was down 1.9% early Tuesday, following a 6.5% fall at Monday close.Gold inclined 0.5% to $4,026 per troy ounce, while bitcoin rose 0.9% to $62,624.

Dow JonesNasdaq CompositeS&P 500$BAC$C$GS$JPM$ORCL$SKHY$SKHYV$SPCX$WFC
Asia Markets

Earnings, CPI, Persian Gulf Roil Wall Street Pre-Bell; Asia Up, Europe Off

Wall Street futures were mixed pre-bell Tuesday as tech shares somewhat recovered from Monday's rout, but as investors also awaited a pending inflation report, and kept eyes peeled for fresh Persian Gulf hostilities.Earnings season debuts in pre-bell hours with many financial giants reporting, including JPMorgan Chase (JPM), Bank of America (BAC), Goldman Sachs (GS), Wells Fargo (WFC), and Citigroup (C).In the futures, the S&P 500 fell 0.1%, the Nasdaq advanced 0.4%, and the Dow Jones was off 0.4%.West Texas Intermediate crude oil traded up 3.7% at $81.13 in morning action.The VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH) gained 1.8% pre-bell.On the earnings scene, Wells Fargo traded up 1.5% pre-bell after Q2 results topped expectations, while Bank of America rose 0.2%, also after beating outlooks.JPMorgan Chase (JPM) traded down 1.5% in early action despite a strong Q2 earnings report, although some gains were one-offs, and the big bank kept guidance unchanged.After digesting earnings, traders will look forward to the consumer price index (CPI) report for June, slated for an 8:30 am ET release in WashingtonAlso in the Capitol, new Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh will deliver his first semi-annual monetary policy report to the House Financial Services Committee, starting at 10 am ET.Asian exchanges traded mostly higher overnight on AI- and semiconductor-sector recovery rallies, and after mainland China reported strong June international trade figures.European bourses tracked moderately lower at midday on the continent.Federal Reserve Governors Lisa Cook, Michael Barr, Michelle Bowman, and Chicago President Austan Goolsbee are slated to speak on Tuesday.In pre-market action, Bitcoin traded at $62,593, and 10-year US Treasuries offered 4.62%. Spot gold commanded $4,016 an ounce.

Dow JonesNasdaq CompositeS&P 500
Asia Markets

Update: US Equity Indexes Slump, Crude Oil Soars as Trump Plans to Reinstate Iran Blockade, Impose 20% Toll on Hormuz Cargo

(Updates with index/price moves, analyst comments, and geopolitical news from the first paragraph.)US equity indexes fell as President Donald Trump's plan to reinstate a blockade on Iranian ships transiting the Strait of Hormuz, while proposing a toll for providing "safety and security" to cargo crossings in the chokepoint, triggered a rally in crude oil prices.The Nasdaq Composite dropped 1.6% to 25,873.18, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average down 0.3% to 52,498.64 and the S&P 500 lower by 0.8% to 7,515.34 on Monday.Technology led decliners, down 2.1% while energy topped advancers with a gain of 3.2%. Chevron (CVX) was the Dow's second-biggest gainer, up 3.3%.The CBOE Volatility Index, also known as the fear gauge, soared 14% to 17.16.The front-month global benchmark North Sea Brent surged 9.7% to $83.41 a barrel as tensions with Iran escalated when Washington and Tehran ought to be engaged in negotiations to reach a final peace agreement within the 60 days allocated for such talks as part of the June 21 interim deal. The US West Texas Intermediate soared 9.5% to $78.16 a barrel."We are reinstating the IRANIAN BLOCKADE," Trump said in a Truth Social post on Monday, following a weekend of attacks on Iran. US Central Command said it will officially resume its naval blockade of ships going to and from Iranian ports at 4 p.m. ET on Tuesday, CNN reported."The U.S.A. will be, from this point forward, known as 'THE GUARDIAN OF THE HORMUZ STRAIT,'" Trump said. The US "will be reimbursed, at the rate of 20% on all cargo shipped, for any and all costs necessary to do the job of providing safety and security to this very volatile section of the World," he added.On Sunday, the US Central Command said it completed a new wave of strikes against Tehran at multiple locations, after conducting attacks a day earlier in response to the country targeting another commercial ship transiting through the strait. Iran responded by targeting US military facilities in Jordan, Kuwait, Bahrain, Qatar, and Oman, according to local state media. Trump said the US plans to carry out additional military strikes against Iran, CNN reported."Fresh strikes by the US and Iran renewed concerns about the safe passage of oil and other key commodities through the narrow waterway," Saxo Bank said in a note. "The hostilities also risk derailing efforts to rebuild inventories, according to the [International Energy Agency], while further reducing the prospects for a diplomatic resolution."A further rise in oil prices, sustained above $80 a barrel, would create headwinds for equities, according to a note from DA Davidson.The two-year US government bond yield stood at around 4.28% on Monday, its highest in 18 months, and up from 4.06% when the Washington-Iran memorandum of understanding was signed in June, the research note said. Long-term interest rates have also moved higher, with the 10-year yield at 4.63%, up from 4.43% at the MoU announcement.US Treasury yields appear to reflect more caution on geopolitical risk and oil prices, the research note said. "The higher rates are tied to inflation and Federal Reserve Bank expectations."In precious metal markets, gold futures slumped 2.6% to $4,007.1, and silver futures sank 3.7% to $57.93 amid concerns that higher crude oil prices would prove to be inflationary.

Dow JonesNasdaq CompositeS&P 500$CVX
Update: Nasdaq Snaps 3-Day Winning Streak as Oil Jumps Amid US-Iran Tensions
US Markets

Update: Nasdaq Snaps 3-Day Winning Streak as Oil Jumps Amid US-Iran Tensions

(Updates with market moves at the end of the day.)Equities on Wall Street fell Monday, snapping a three-day winning streak for the technology-heavy Nasdaq Composite, as oil prices rallied amid a re-escalation in the US-Iran conflict.The Nasdaq shed 1.6% to close at 25,873.2, while the S&P 500 lost 0.8% to 7,515.8. The Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped 0.3% to 52,498.6. Among sectors, tech saw the steepest decline, down 2.1%, while energy led the gainers with a 3.2% advance.West Texas Intermediate crude was up 8.8% at $77.72 a barrel in Monday late-afternoon trade, while Brent gained 9.2% to $82.97.The US and Iran continued to exchange airstrikes over the weekend, with Tehran targeting American military facilities across Middle Eastern countries, news outlets reported. Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps reportedly said it closed the crucial Strait of Hormuz until further notice, though the US military disputed the claim.The strait is open and will remain so "with or without Iran," President Donald Trump said in a social media post Monday, adding that the US was reinstating a blockade of Iranian shipping through the narrow waterway.Hostilities between the US and Iran resumed recently, weeks after they signed a memorandum of understanding to end their war that began at the end of February. The Strait of Hormuz is the world's most important chokepoint for crude flows."Clearly, the risk is that this escalates to levels seen early in the war, where neighboring countries and their energy infrastructure are also targeted," ING Bank said in a report. "Escalation has slowed vessels transiting the strait to a trickle, renewing concerns over oil supply tightness through the third quarter."The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries on Monday reduced its global oil demand growth outlook for this year while upgrading its projection for 2027.US Treasury yields were higher, with the two-year rate up 6.1 basis points at 4.27% and the 10-year rate rising 4.5 basis points to 4.61%.Official data on Tuesday are expected to show that the consumer price index dropped 0.1% in June on a sequential basis and rose 3.8% annually, according to a Bloomberg-compiled consensus. Wall Street is projecting core CPI, which excludes volatile items such as food and energy, to rise 0.2% month over month and 2.9% annually.The Federal Reserve may have to consider raising interest rates if inflation remains high, Fed Governor Christopher Waller said Monday."If we get another hot reading on core inflation this week, then the (Federal Open Market Committee) will need to consider tightening monetary policy in the near term," Waller said in a speech in New York. "We are at a crossroads for policy, and the appropriate action will depend on incoming data."There's a 59% likelihood that the Fed will keep its monetary policy unchanged later this month, down from 74% a week ago, according to the CME FedWatch tool. The odds of a 25-basis-point rate increase moved to 41% on Monday from about 26% a week earlier.The S&P 500 is heading into the second-quarter reporting cycle with consensus earnings growth projections at their highest in recent quarters, Oppenheimer Asset Management said Monday in a report.US banking giants JPMorgan Chase (JPM), Bank of America (BAC), Goldman Sachs (GS), Wells Fargo (WFC), Morgan Stanley (MS), and Citigroup (C) are expected to report their quarterly results later this week. Johnson & Johnson (JNJ), UnitedHealth (UNH) and Netflix (NFLX), among others, also report this week.First Hawaiian (FHB) agreed to acquire TriCo Bancshares (TCBK) in an all-stock deal to create one of the largest banks headquartered in the western US, with combined assets of about $34 billion. First Hawaiian shares fell 3.3%, while TriCo jumped 12%.Gold fell 2.6% to $4,005.10 per troy ounce, while silver lost 3.9% to $57.83 per ounce.

Dow JonesNasdaq CompositeS&P 500$BAC$C$FHB$GS$JNJ$JPM$MS$NFLX$TCBK$UNH$WFC

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