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Exchange-Traded Funds Higher, Equity Futures Mixed Pre-Bell Tuesday Ahead of Warsh Testimony

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The broad market exchange-traded fund SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) was up 0.3%, and the actively traded Invesco QQQ Trust (QQQ) advanced 1.1% in Tuesday's premarket activity, ahead of Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh's first day of testimony at 10:00 am ET.

US stock futures were mixed, with S&P 500 Index futures down 0.2%, Dow Jones Industrial Average futures slipping 0.6%, and Nasdaq futures gaining 0.4% before the start of regular trading.

The US consumer price index fell a seasonally adjusted 0.4% in June, compared with expectations for a 0.1% decline, after rising 0.5% in May, Bureau of Labor Statistics data showed on Tuesday.

Fed Governors Michael Barr and Lisa Cook and Fed Vice Chair Michelle Bowman are scheduled to speak on Tuesday.

In premarket action, bitcoin was up by 0.9%. Among cryptocurrency ETFs, the cryptocurrency fund ProShares Bitcoin Strategy ETF (BITO) was 0.9% higher, Ether ETF (EETH) advanced 1.4%, and Bitcoin & Ether Market Cap Weight ETF (BETH) was flat.

Power Play:

Technology

The State Street Technology Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLK) advanced 1.1%, and the iShares US Technology ETF (IYW) was flat, while the iShares Expanded Tech Sector ETF (IGM) was up 1.9%. Among semiconductor ETFs, the State Street SPDR S&P Semiconductor ETF (XSD) was 2% higher, while the iShares Semiconductor ETF (SOXX) rose by 3.5%.

IBM (IBM) shares were down more than 22% in premarket activity after the company posted expected Q2 operating earnings and revenue that trailed analysts' estimates.

Winners and Losers:

Health Care

The State Street Health Care Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLV) retreated 0.3%, the Vanguard Health Care Index Fund (VHT) was up 0.8%, while the iShares US Healthcare ETF (IYH) slipped 0.4%. The iShares Biotechnology ETF (IBB) was 0.3% lower.

HCA Healthcare (HCA) stock was down more than 8% premarket after the company cut its guidance for 2026 EPS and revenue.

Industrial

The State Street Industrial Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLI) rose 0.9%, while the Vanguard Industrials Index Fund (VIS) was up 0.3% and the iShares US Industrials ETF (IYJ) was inactive.

General Fusion (GFUZ) was up more than 6% before the opening bell, a day after the company began trading on the Nasdaq following the completion of its merger with Spring Valley Acquisition Corp. III.

Financial

The State Street Financial Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLF) retreated 0.3%. Direxion Daily Financial Bull 3X Shares (FAS) was down 1.2%, while its bearish counterpart, Direxion Daily Financial Bear 3X Shares (FAZ), was 1% higher.

JPMorgan Chase (JPM) shares traded down more than 2% in early hours activity even after the company reported higher Q2 earnings and revenue.

Consumer

The State Street Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLP) was down 0.02%, the Vanguard Consumer Staples Index Fund ETF Shares (VDC) retreated 0.03%, and the iShares US Consumer Staples ETF (IYK) was inactive. The State Street Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLY) declined marginally by 0.01%. The VanEck Retail ETF (RTH) was inactive, while the State Street SPDR S&P Retail ETF (XRT) was 0.6% higher.

Honda Motor (HMC) shares were up more than 1% pre-bell after a 0.3% decline at the prior close. The US National Highway Traffic Safety Administration said Monday that the vehicle manufacturer's Odyssey model year 2011 through 2017 vehicles are under review following complaints about airbags deploying unnecessarily.

Energy

The iShares US Energy ETF (IYE) was up 0.3%, while the State Street Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLE) was up by 0.7%.

BP (BP) was up more than 1% before market open after the company said its Q2 results are expected to include post-tax adjusting items relating to impairments of around $1.0 billion.

Commodities

Front-month US West Texas Intermediate crude oil advanced by 2.5% to $80.10 per barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange. Natural gas was down by 0.8% to $2.88 per 1 million British Thermal Units. The United States Oil Fund (USO) was up 2.8%, while the United States Natural Gas Fund (UNG) was 0.3% lower.

Gold futures for July gained 0.7% to $4,032.90 an ounce on the Comex. Silver futures advanced by 0.5% to $58.24 an ounce. SPDR Gold Shares (GLD) increased 2.4%, and the iShares Silver Trust (SLV) was 3.2% higher.

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Grasim Industries' Aditya Birla to Buy Sprng Energy from Shell in $1.8 Billion Deal

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US Natural Gas Update: Futures Fall to 2-Month Low on Strong Supply, Weaker LNG Flows

US natural gas futures fell to a two-month low on Monday as stronger domestic production and lower liquefied natural gas export flows weighed on prices, although hotter-than-expected weather forecasts helped limit the decline.The front-month Henry Hub contract, along with the continuous contract, settled down 1.29% at $2.902 per million British thermal units.According to Barchart, rising US natural gas output and reduced LNG exports pressured prices. Natural gas production in the Permian Basin climbed above 23 billion cubic feet per day over the weekend, the highest level in two months.At the same time, gas flows to US LNG export terminals fell to 17.5 Bcf/d on Monday, the lowest level in a month, leaving more gas available for the domestic market.The decline was tempered by forecasts for hotter weather, which could increase demand from power generators to meet higher air-conditioning loads.The Commodity Weather Group said on Monday that weather models had shifted toward warmer conditions, with above-average temperatures expected across much of the northern US through July 17.Citing BNEF data, Barchart said Lower 48 dry gas production reached a robust 113.2 Bcf/d on Monday, up 5.5% from a year earlier and well above the US Energy Information Administration's projected record annual average of 111.1 Bcf/d for 2026. Lower 48 gas demand was estimated at 77.4 Bcf/d, up 4.2% year over year.Separately, Celsius Energy estimated power-sector gas consumption at 42.5 Bcf/d on July 12, or 3.4 Bcf/d below the level recorded a year earlier.BNEF estimated net LNG feedgas deliveries to US export terminals at 17.5 Bcf/d on Monday, down 5.8% from the previous week.Meanwhile, Natural Gas Intelligence is forecasting a 44 billion cubic feet injection into US natural gas storage for the week ended July 10.The projected build compares with a 47 Bcf injection during the same week last year and the five-year average increase of 45 Bcf, according to EIA data.A 44 Bcf storage build would follow the previous week's 61 Bcf injection, lifting total inventories to an estimated 3.027 trillion cubic feet. As of July 3, working gas in storage stood at 2.983 Tcf, 15 bcf below year-ago levels but 185 bcf above the five-year average, according to the EIA.

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PJM Issues Hot Weather Alert for July 14-17

PJM Interconnection expects electricity demand to peak at 162,699 megawatts this week and has issued a Hot Weather Alert covering July 14-17, the regional transmission operator said Monday.PJM forecasts peak demand of 151,105 MW on Tuesday; 162,699 MW on Wednesday; 160,893 MW on Thursday, and 154,942 MW on Friday.The operator recently recorded a preliminary all-time peak load of 168,158 MW on July 2, exceeding the previous record of 165,563 MW set on Aug. 2, 2006, it said.PJM said operators monitor the grid around the clock, balancing electricity supply and demand while preparing for multiple scenarios involving extreme weather, emergency conditions and equipment failures.The control room team continuously adjusts power output as demand changes, prevents transmission facilities from becoming overloaded and responds to unusual operating conditions to maintain reliable electricity service, PJM said.The alert covers PJM's entire service territory as temperatures climb above 90 degrees Fahrenheit. PJM said the measure helps transmission and generation operators prepare for higher electricity demand and does not require any action from customers.