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Commodities

Exchange-Traded Funds, Equity Futures Lower Pre-Bell Monday Amid Stalled Iran Peace Efforts, Inflation Concerns

The broad market exchange-traded fund SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) was down 0.1%, and the actively traded Invesco QQQ Trust (QQQ) was 0.03% lower in Monday's premarket activity as stalled diplomatic efforts between the US and Iran fuel concerns about inflation.US stock futures were also lower, with S&P 500 Index futures down 0.4%, Dow Jones Industrial Average futures slipping 0.7%, and Nasdaq futures retreating 0.4% before the start of regular trading.The New York Fed's services sector index improved to negative 5.8 in May from negative 14.0 in April, signaling a slower pace of contraction.The National Association of Home Builders' index for May will be released at 10 am ET.The US Treasury's international capital standards report for March will be released at 4 pm ET.In premarket activity, bitcoin was down by 2%. Among cryptocurrency ETFs, the cryptocurrency fund ProShares Bitcoin Strategy ETF (BITO) was 2.9% lower, Ether ETF (EETH) retreated by 4.8%, and Bitcoin & Ether Market Cap Weight ETF (BETH) lost 0.9%.Power Play:TechnologyThe State Street Technology Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLK) was flat, and the iShares US Technology ETF (IYW) was 0.1% lower, while the iShares Expanded Tech Sector ETF (IGM) was up 0.4%. Among semiconductor ETFs, the State Street SPDR S&P Semiconductor ETF (XSD) was down 1.1%, while the iShares Semiconductor ETF (SOXX) lost 0.4%.LiveRamp (RAMP) shares were up more than 26% in premarket activity after the company agreed to be acquired by Publicis Groupe in an all-cash deal valued at about $2.17 billion. The company also reported higher fiscal Q4 financial results.Winners and Losers:EnergyThe iShares US Energy ETF (IYE) was up 0.8%, while the State Street Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLE) was up by 0.04%.Dominion Energy (D) shares rose more than 15%, while NextEra Energy (NEE) stock declined over 1% after the companies agreed to merge in an all-stock deal.ConsumerThe State Street Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLP) was down 0.02%, and the Vanguard Consumer Staples Index Fund ETF Shares (VDC) was 2% lower. The iShares US Consumer Staples ETF (IYK) was inactive. The State Street Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLY) lost 0.6%. The VanEck Retail ETF (RTH) was inactive, while the State Street SPDR S&P Retail ETF (XRT) retreated by 0.3%.Ford Motor (F) shares were up more than 6% pre-bell after the company said it has outlined a revised Europe strategy built around new electric vehicles, commercial software services, and a broader product rollout through 2029.IndustrialThe State Street Industrial Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLI) advanced 0.1%, while the Vanguard Industrials Index Fund (VIS) retreated 0.01% and the iShares US Industrials ETF (IYJ) was down 0.3%.Ryanair (RYAAY) stock was up more than 4% before the opening bell after the company reported higher fiscal 2026 earnings and revenue.Health CareThe State Street Health Care Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLV) retreated by 0.6%, the Vanguard Health Care Index Fund (VHT) was down 0.8%, while the iShares US Healthcare ETF (IYH) slipped 0.2%. The iShares Biotechnology ETF (IBB) was 0.5% lower.ImmunityBio (IBRX) stock rose more than 4% premarket after the company said it signed an exclusive development and supply agreement with Japan BCG Laboratory to get exclusive rights to develop, import, and commercialize the latter's intravesical Tokyo-172 BCG in the US.FinancialThe State Street Financial Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLF) retreated by 0.3%. Direxion Daily Financial Bull 3X Shares (FAS) was down 0.8%, while its bearish counterpart, Direxion Daily Financial Bear 3X Shares (FAZ), was 0.5% higher.Mizuho Financial (MFG) shares were down more than 4% pre-bell after the company said it had not yet made a final decision on an investment in Rakuten Bank.CommoditiesFront-month US West Texas Intermediate crude oil retreated by 0.9% to $104.50 per barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange. Natural gas was up 2.3% at $3.03 per 1 million British Thermal Units. The United States Oil Fund (USO) decreased by 0.2%, while the United States Natural Gas Fund (UNG) was 2.2% higher.Gold futures for May gained by 0.1% to reach $4,567.60 an ounce on the Comex. Silver futures fell by 0.3% to $77.31 an ounce. SPDR Gold Shares (GLD) advanced by 0.1%, and the iShares Silver Trust (SLV) increased by 0.4%.

Dow JonesNasdaq CompositeS&P 500$BETH$BITO$D$EEM$EETH$EXI$F$FAS$FAZ$GLD$IBB$IBRX$IGM$IGV$IPK$IVV$IWM$IYE$IYH$IYJ$IYK$IYW$MFG$NEE$PMR$QQQ$RAMP$RTH$RYAAY$SLV$SOXX$SPY$UNG$USO$VDC$VHT$VIS$XLE$XLF$XLI$XLK$XLP$XLV$XLY$XRT$XSD
Wire

Ford Motor's Battery Storage Plan More Linked With AI Trade, RBC Capital Markets Says

Ford Motor (F) recently reiterating its battery energy storage business plans likely more linked with the AI trade rather than on business fundamentals, RBC Capital Markets said in a research report emailed Friday.The company will produce batteries domestically, making it eligible for regulatory benefits. The energy business value could range from $1 billion to $5 billion, assuming a 10% earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization margin consistent with a systems integrator approach and 15% margins driven by a more insourced strategy at the high-end, analysts wrote.For the Ford Model E segment, the guided path to breakeven by 2029 is multi-pronged, given that the energy unit is expected to generate positive earnings before interest and taxes, legacy electric vehicle losses are likely to narrow, the universal EV platform launches in 2027, and European margins are likely to benefit from the Renault partnership, according to the note.The brokerage said it reiterated its sector perform rating on the stock and price target of $13 per share.Price: $13.37, Change: $-1.11, Percent Change: -7.67%

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International

US Equity Markets Mixed Amid Gains in Tech Stocks Despite Hot Producer Data

US equity indexes were mixed on Wednesday after technology stocks led major gains and a hotter-than-anticipated producer price inflation data was reported.* Among the top 10 companies with a market capitalization of more than $200 billion, implying a significant sway over indexes, seven were from technology and communication services. In the S&P 500, ON Semiconductor (ON) was among the top outperformers. Nasdaq's leader was Marvell Technology (MRVL), and Nvidia (NVDA) was the second-biggest gainer on the Dow.* The US Producer Price Index rose 1.4% in April from a 0.7% gain in March, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics, beating the 0.5% increase expected in a survey compiled by Bloomberg.* June West Texas Intermediate crude oil fell $0.96 to settle at $101.22 per barrel, while July Brent crude, the global benchmark, was last seen down $1.97 at $105.80.* Ford Motor (F) shares were up roughly 13% after Morgan Stanley said the company had a "fairly high likelihood" of signing energy-storage solutions supply agreements with large commercial customers, including hyperscalers, in the next few months.* Palantir Technologies (PLTR) stock was down 4.4% after the company's external staff and other consultants were provided unrestricted entry to identifiable medical records by the UK's National Health Service, according to a Financial Times report on Tuesday, citing an internal briefing note.

Dow JonesNasdaq CompositeS&P 500$F$MRVL$NVDA$ON$PLTR
Sectors

Sector Update: Consumer Stocks Advance Late Afternoon

Consumer stocks were higher late Wednesday afternoon, with the State Street Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLP) increasing 0.4% and the State Street Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLY) rising 0.5%.In corporate news, Ford Motor (F) shares jumped past 14% after Morgan Stanley said the company had a "fairly high likelihood" of signing energy-storage solutions supply agreements with large commercial customers, including hyperscalers, in the next few months.Stellantis (STLA) shares gained 2.6% after Bloomberg reported Wednesday that the company and other carmakers are in talks with BYD over potential agreements involving underused manufacturing plants in Europe.Walmart (WMT) will fire or relocate about 1,000 corporate workers, The Wall Street Journal reported, citing people familiar with the matter and a memo sent to staff it viewed. Walmart shares were up 0.8%.Vivid Seats (SEAT) could benefit from World Cup ticket sales in June, BofA Securities said in a note. BofA raised the company's price target to $8.70 from $7.25 and kept its neutral rating. Vivid shares jumped past 7%.

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Sectors

Sector Update: Consumer

Consumer stocks were higher late Wednesday afternoon, with the State Street Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLP) increasing 0.4% and the State Street Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLY) rising 0.5%.In corporate news, Ford Motor (F) shares jumped past 15% after Morgan Stanley said the company had a "fairly high likelihood" of signing energy-storage solutions supply agreements with large commercial customers, including hyperscalers, in the next few months.

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Wire

Ford Motor Shares Rise After Morgan Stanley Highlights Energy-Storage Deal Potential

Ford Motor (F) shares rose 13% in Wednesday trading after Morgan Stanley said the company had a "fairly high likelihood" of signing energy-storage solutions supply agreements with large commercial customers, including hyperscalers, in the next few months.Ford's licensing agreement with China's Contemporary Amperex Technology, or CATL, is a "key competitive differentiator" that is not fully understood by investors and has been overlooked, Morgan Stanley said Tuesday in a report.The technology licensed from CATL, which is the world's premier energy storage manufacturer, offers Ford the opportunity to allocate capital into a strategic growth area and participate in a fast-growing and relatively high-margin energy-storage market, the report said.Morgan Stanley estimates Ford Energy could generate $500 million to $600 million of run-rate EBIT at 20 GWh of production, with potential upside if capacity expands to meet demand.Ford is set to become one of the US suppliers compliant with the Foreign Entity of Concern rule with proven technology, allowing it to qualify for a 30% investment tax credit, which is an underappreciated competitive advantage, the report said.Morgan Stanley has an equal-weight rating on Ford stock with a price target of $14.Price: $13.59, Change: $+1.60, Percent Change: +13.30%

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Wire

Street Color: Ford Motor Introduces Ford Energy Unit

Street Color: Ford Motor Introduces Ford Energy Unit

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Wire

Aptiv Stock Sell-off Post Q1 Results was Unwarranted, UBS Says

Aptiv (APTV) stock sell-off post Q1 results was unwarranted and likely driven by the lower-than-expected Q2 guide and rising cost pressures with 2026 more back-half weighted that appears like a steep ramp, UBS said in a Wednesday research report.While Q2 is impacted by "stranded cost" and Ford Motor (F) volume timing, H2 ramp looks more achievable than optics suggest amid positive developments in China and the non-auto segments, analysts wrote.The company expects positive growth from China in Q2, driven by new programs and normalization of production at key customer, the brokerage stated.Commodity headwinds should abate in H2 as recoveries lag, UBS said.The brokerage said it reiterated its buy rating on the stock and price target of $80 per share.Aptiv shares were up 4% in Wednesday trading.Price: $56.47, Change: $+1.64, Percent Change: +2.99%

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Wire

Ford Motor's UEV Platform Key to Cutting EV Losses, UBS Says After Facility Visit

Ford Motor (F) is positioning its new Universal Electric Vehicle, or UEV, platform, developed at its Long Beach center, as a key effort to cut EV losses, UBS said in a note Wednesday.UBS analysts said they visited the "skunkworks" facility in California with Vice President of Advanced Development Projects Alan Clarke. It is the first time the company has opened the center to outside visitors, where leadership described it as operating more like an EV startup focused on speed, agility, innovation, and efficiency than a traditional automaker, according to the note.The unit is central to Ford's UEV platform, which is key to reducing the more than $4 billion annual losses in its Model E EV business, with potential to improve earnings by about 40% if it reaches break-even, the analysts said, adding that key challenges ahead include scaling production and automation, matching product timing with demand, and transferring learnings across Ford's broader operations."In our view, the culture and processes being built there which was done completely separate from 'core' Ford is equally important. Scaling that culture and capabilities to the rest of Ford will be important but may also bring tension," the analysts said.UBS has a buy rating and a $14 price target on Ford Motor.Price: $12.17, Change: $+0.48, Percent Change: +4.06%

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Wire

Aptiv's Growth Outside Auto Demand Supports Outlook, RBC Says

Aptiv (APTV) may benefit from rising orders from Chinese carmakers and customers outside the auto industry, while cost recoveries and stronger H2 margins could help it meet its full-year target, RBC Capital Markets said Tuesday in a report.Aptiv's Q1 adjusted EBITDA beat expectations, driven by strength in its former electrical distribution systems unit, now spun off as Versigent (VGNT), the report said. Weakness in the intelligent systems unit partly offset the beat, with pressure from Ford (F) production disruptions and slower-than-expected progress on a major European automaker's program, RBC said.Management maintained its full-year adjusted EBITDA guidance of $2.4 billion, though the Q2 outlook implies Aptiv will need better margins later in the year to reach that target, RBC said.Aptiv's expansion outside autos looks positive, supported by new business wins in naval, space and energy-storage markets, though early investment may weigh on margins until the business grows, the report said.RBC maintained its outperform rating on Aptiv stock and its $81 price target. The company should be able to manage higher commodity expenses given its strong track record of recovering most of those costs from automaker customers, the report said.Price: $56.81, Change: $+1.98, Percent Change: +3.61%

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Sectors

Sector Update: Consumer Stocks Gain Late Afternoon

Consumer stocks rose late Thursday afternoon, with the State Street Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLP) rising 1.7% and the State Street Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLY) adding 1.5%.In corporate news, O'Reilly Automotive (ORLY) shares gained 7.2% on Thursday, a day after it reported higher-than-expected Q1 results.Lamb Weston (LW) shareholder Starboard Value said in a letter to the board that the company should hold an investor day and reset earnings to a normalized level. Lamb Weston shares rose 1.6%.Wayfair (W) shares slumped 12% after the company reported Q1 adjusted earnings that missed Wall Street estimates, while net revenue topped expectations.Ford Motor (F) is in early discussions with the US government on potential defense projects, CEO Jim Farley said on the company's earnings call. Ford shares were down 1.5%.

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Sectors

Sector Update: Consumer Stocks Rise in Afternoon Trading

Consumer stocks gained Thursday afternoon with the State Street Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLP) rising 1.4% and the State Street Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLY) increasing 0.4%.In corporate news, Lamb Weston (LW) shareholder Starboard Value said in a letter to the board that the company should hold an investor day and reset earnings to a normalized level. Lamb Weston shares rose 1.8%.Wayfair (W) shares slumped 11% after the company reported Q1 adjusted earnings that missed Wall Street estimates, while net revenue topped expectations.Ford Motor (F) is in early discussions with the US government on potential defense projects, CEO Jim Farley said on the company's earnings call. Ford shares fell 2.3%.

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Research

Research Alert: CFRA Maintains Hold Opinion On Shares Of Ford Motor Company

CFRA, an independent research provider, has providedwith the following research alert. Analysts at CFRA have summarized their opinion as follows:We raise our 12-month target by $1 to $13, based on a 2027 P/E of 6.8x, a discount to F's five-year average forward P/E of 8.0x. We raise our adjusted EPS estimates to $1.80 from $1.42 for 2026 and to $1.90 from $1.75 for 2027. Following Ford's Q1 earnings release, we are raising our estimates, but maintaining a Hold rating on the shares. Ford's Q1 earnings were well ahead of consensus, but the beat was largely led by a $1.3B one-time IEEPA tariff refund benefit reflecting amounts paid between March 2025 and February 2026. Candidly, given the strength of Q1 results, we think the company's 2026 adjusted EBIT guidance should have been increased by more than $0.5B. A closer examination of the outlook indicated ~$2B of expected commodity cost inflation, offset by material cost and warranty reductions of $1B. As a result, our estimates for the balance of the year have been lowered. Furthermore, management's track record of execution has been inconsistent and we recommend remaining on the sidelines.

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Research

Research Alert: F: Q1 Well Ahead Of Expectations, But Revised Guidance Raises Questions

CFRA, an independent research provider, has providedwith the following research alert. Analysts at CFRA have summarized their opinion as follows:Ford (F) posted Q1 adjusted EPS of $0.66 vs. $0.14, well ahead of the $0.19 consensus. The beat was driven by stronger-than-expected sales and margins, as automotive revenue rose 6.4% to $39.82B ($1.0B ahead of consensus) and adjusted EBIT margin expanded 560 bps to 8.1%. Results included a $1.3B one-time IEEPA tariff benefit reflecting amounts paid between March 2025 and February 2026. Ford raised full-year adjusted EBIT guidance to $8.5B-$10.5B from $8.0B-$10.0B, the midpoint of which is well above the $8.87B consensus. Ford's guidance for 2026 adjusted FCF and capex was unchanged at $5B-$6B and $9.5B-$10.5B, respectively. Shares initially surged higher on the beat and increased guidance in after-hours trading, but quickly gave back the gains, as the release begged the question of why Ford didn't raise full-year earnings guidance by an even greater amount in light of the $1.3B IEEPA tariff benefit. It appears to be mainly due to the company's expectation of a greater commodity cost headwind in 2026 (~$2B).

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Wire

Market Chatter: Ford, Geely Looked Into Expanding Partnership to US

Ford Motor (F) and Chinese automaker Geely, which are negotiating a tie-up in Europe, were in talks on the possibility of extending their collaboration to the US, the Wall Street Journal reported Friday, citing people familiar with the matter.The talks over Ford licensing Geely's technology in the US have stalled in recent months, the report said.Ford did not immediately respond to a request for comment from.(Market Chatter news is derived from conversations with market professionals globally. This information is believed to be from reliable sources but may include rumor and speculation. Accuracy is not guaranteed.)Price: $12.36, Change: $-0.13, Percent Change: -1.00%

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Sectors

Sector Update: Consumer Stocks Mixed Late Afternoon

Consumer stocks were mixed late Thursday afternoon with the State Street Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLP) rising 0.4% and the State Street Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLY) falling 0.6%.In corporate news, Ford's (F) reorganization announced late Wednesday "makes sense," though the departure of Doug Field, the EV chief, risks unsettling investors, UBS Securities said. Ford shares dropped 1.8%.PepsiCo (PEP) reported higher-than-expected fiscal Q1 results amid affordability initiatives, while the company reiterated its full-year outlook. The shares rose 1.9%.Walmart (WMT) said it is making a "significant" investment across the US this year for remodels and opening new stores. Walmart shares were little changed.Tesla's (TSLA) Cybertruck sales were boosted by purchases from Elon Musk's other companies, Bloomberg reported, citing S&P Global Mobility registration data. Tesla shares declined 0.6%.

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Sectors

Sector Update: Consumer

Consumer stocks were mixed late Thursday afternoon, with the State Street Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLP) up 0.5% and the State Street Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLY) down 0.6%.In corporate news, Ford's (F) reorganization announced late Wednesday "makes sense," though the departure of electric vehicle chief, Doug Field, risks unsettling investors, UBS Securities said in a note. Ford merged its electric vehicle, digital and design team with the global industrial system into a new organization, to be led by Chief Operating Officer Kumar Galhotra. As part of the reshuffle, Chief EV, Digital and Design Officer Field will leave the company. Ford shares were down 1.8%.

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Sectors

Sector Update: Consumer Stocks Mixed Thursday Afternoon

Consumer stocks were mixed Thursday afternoon, with the State Street Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLP) up 0.3% and the State Street Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLY) down 0.5%.In corporate news, PepsiCo (PEP) reported higher-than-expected fiscal Q1 results on Thursday amid affordability initiatives, while the company reiterated its full-year outlook. Shares rose 2.8%.Walmart (WMT) said Thursday it is making a "significant" investment across the US this year for remodels and opening new stores. Walmart shares added 0.3%.Sales of Tesla's (TSLA) Cybertruck were boosted by purchases from Elon Musk's other companies, Bloomberg reported, citing S&P Global Mobility registration data. Tesla declined 1%.General Motors (GM) and Ford (F) are among several companies that have held discussions with senior US defense officials about supporting increased weapons and military supplies production, the Wall Street Journal reported. GM shares were down 0.4%, and Ford fell 1.9%.

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US Markets

Ford's Restructuring 'Makes Sense,' EV Chief's Departure Risks Unsettling Investors, UBS Says

Ford Motor's (F) reorganization announced late Wednesday "makes sense," though the departure of electric vehicle chief, Doug Field, risks unsettling investors, UBS Securities said in a note emailed Thursday.The company merged its electric vehicle, digital and design team with the global industrial system into a new organization, to be led by Chief Operating Officer Kumar Galhotra. As part of the reshuffle, Chief EV, Digital and Design Officer Field will leave Ford."By uniting advanced technology with industrial execution, we can make decisions faster, eliminate complexity, and deliver great vehicles and digital experiences with the quality and efficiency our customers and shareholders expect," Galhotra said in a statement on Wednesday.UBS analysts, including Joseph Spak, said thinking about products holistically can create efficiencies."This type of reorganization makes sense," Spak wrote. "Better alignment, if achieved, could lead to more discipline and more on-time, on-budget launches."Ford said it plans to refresh 80% of its North American portfolio and 70% of its global portfolio by 2029.Field's departure may be viewed negatively as he was a key EV leader, UBS said. "This may cause investors to question upcoming (Universal Electric Vehicle) platform," Spak wrote.Ford's shares fell nearly 2% in Thursday trade.Alan Clarke became vice president of advanced development projects, and will continue to head the advanced EV development team, Ford said."We believe (Clarke) is well respected and liked so retention, talent and execution risk (from a reorganization) may be limited," Spak wrote.Price: $12.51, Change: $-0.20, Percent Change: -1.60%

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Sectors

Sector Update: Consumer Stocks Rise Late Afternoon

Consumer stocks rose late Tuesday afternoon, with the State Street Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLP) up 0.1% and the State Street Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLY) advancing 2.2%.In sector news, Redbook US same-store sales rose 7% from a year earlier in the week ended April 11 after a 7.6% year-over-year increase in the previous week.In corporate news, Ford (F) has a "credible" path to delivering 2027 EPS of above $2, with a march towards $3 beyond 2027, UBS Securities said in a note. UBS upgraded Ford to buy from neutral, with a $15 price target. Ford shares climbed up 4.7%.Walt Disney (DIS) will eliminate around 1,000 jobs, including positions in marketing, studio and television units, and certain corporate functions, Reuters reported. Disney shares rose 1.5%.FedEx (FDX) said its finance chief will step down in early June as the parcel delivery giant completes the spinoff of its freight business into a new publicly listed company. FedEx fell 0.8%.United Airlines (UAL) Chief Executive Scott Kirby proposed a potential combination with American Airlines (AAL) during a late February meeting with President Donald Trump, Reuters reported Monday. A consolidated carrier would be more competitive globally, aligning with the administration's focus on international trade deficits, the news outlet quoted Kirby as saying. United shares rose 2.3%, and American jumped past 8%.

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