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Asia

Market Chatter: China Poised to Export Air Defense Systems to Iran

China is preparing to export new air defense systems to Iran in the next few weeks through third countries to mask their origin, CNN reported Saturday, citing three people familiar with U.S. intelligence assessments.The news outlet considers the move "provocative" as Beijing is said to have helped broker the truce between Washington and Tehran.Beijing is gearing up to transfer shoulder-fired anti-air missile systems known as MANPADs, the news outlet said.President Donald Trump said the deliveries could cause "big problems" for China but did not explain further, the report said.(Market Chatter news is derived from conversations with market professionals globally. This information is believed to be from reliable sources but may include rumor and speculation. Accuracy is not guaranteed.)

Shanghai Composite^SZSE
Asia

Market Chatter: US De Facto Representative to Taiwan Calls for Stop to Military Pressure from Beijing

The U.S.' top diplomat in Taiwan called on mainland China to stop threatening and applying military pressure on the island to stabilize relations, Reuters reported Sunday."We further expect China to abandon threats against Taiwan or military pressure. I believe this would help ease cross-strait tensions," Reuters quoted American de facto ambassador to Taiwan, Raymond Green, as saying.Green also called on Beijing to keep communication lines with Taiwanese leaders open to "stabilize cross-strait relations," the report said.The Chinese military patrols around Taiwan daily and views the island as its province.(Market Chatter news is derived from conversations with market professionals globally. This information is believed to be from reliable sources but may include rumor and speculation. Accuracy is not guaranteed.)

Shanghai Composite^SZSE
Asia

Middle East Conflict Indirectly Impacts Asia-Pacific Insurers, S&P Says

The Middle East conflict indirectly impacts Asia-Pacific insurers mostly through financial market volatility, S&P Global Ratings said in a recent release.The rating agency expects risks to be manageable under its base-case scenario of the war peaking and the Strait of Hormuz's closure easing during April.S&P expects the insurers to have ample capital buffers to cushion against investment and underwriting stresses from the conflict under the base-case scenario.However, risks could exacerbate under further disruption in the oil markets, with insurers from low-income net energy-importing economies the most exposed, S&P said.Possible losses for the region's insurers will stem from marine and cargo policies given Middle Eastern trade flows, although the segment accounts for a small portion of overall premiums, S&P said.A protracted conflict would raise input costs for insurers, dampen the macroeconomic environment, and worsen living costs, according to credit analyst Philip Chung.Meanwhile, nonlife insurers would face increased claims expenses in motor, property, and commercial lines, leading to increased premiums, the analyst said.

ASX 200Hang SengNikkei 225Shanghai Composite^SZSE
International

Fixed-Asset Investment in China's Railways Rises 5% in Q1

Chinese railways' fixed-asset investment in the first quarter rose 5.1% year on year to 137.9 billion yuan, Xinhua reported Saturday, citing China State Railway Group.Some of the railway projects that are continuing are the Xi'an-Shiyan high-speed railway and the Shandong section of the Xiong'an-Shangqiu high-speed railway, the report said.About 2,000 kilometers of new national railway lines are planned to start operations this year, the report said.

Shanghai Composite^SZSE
International

Philippines Says China Energy Talks Must Uphold Sovereignty, Constitution

The Philippines said any move to revive oil and gas cooperation talks with China will strictly be in line with its constitution and legal framework, the Department of Foreign Affairs said in a statement on Sunday.The statement came amid renewed attention on proposals to reopen discussions with China on joint energy development in the South China Sea, where both countries have overlapping territorial claims.The Department said decisions on any potential deal would remain fully under its jurisdiction and guided by existing laws and jurisprudence.The development follows recent exploratory engagements between the two sides, partly driven by concerns over energy security and supply stability.

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International

ADB Lifts 2026 GDP Forecast to 4.6%

The Asian Development Bank increased its economic forecast for China for the year, as Beijing is expected to focus its support for high technology sectors.China's gross domestic product was set at 4.6% for 2026, higher than the previous forecast of 4.3%, but lower than the year-ago GDP of 5%, according to a report published during the weekend.The first-quarter GDP was at 5.4% amid subdued investment growth and weakened household consumption.The government's support for high-tech innovation is expected to boost investment in the country, while still managing weak investment within the infrastructure and property sector. The ADB also predicted that exports will continue supporting the country's growth, although it would be weaker than the previous year, with China slowly shifting focus to non-U.S. trade partners.The ADB predicted China's GDP in 2027 to further weaken to 4.5%.

Shanghai Composite^SZSE
Asia

Chinese Shares Open Lower After Trump Declares Naval Blockade of Hormuz

Chinese shares opened lower on Monday as U.S. President Donald Trump vowed to blockade the Strait of Hormuz after talks with Iran failed to reach a deal to end the war.The Shanghai Composite Index, the main gauge of Chinese stocks, opened at 3,971.20 on Monday, 0.4% lower than the previous close of 3,986.22. The Shenzhen Component Index opened at 14,233.11, down 0.5% from 14,309.47.Market sentiment reeled after Trump declared the immediate naval blockade of the Strait of Hormuz and threatened a military end for Iran.In a post on Truth Social, Trump said that while diplomatic talks had been progressing, the core issue of "NUCLEAR" remained unresolved.Trump further ordered the U.S. Navy to "seek and interdict every vessel in International Waters that has paid a toll to Iran," declaring such payments illegal extortion. He also warned Iran that the U.S. is "fully 'LOCKED AND LOADED,' and our Military will finish up the little that is left of Iran!"

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Asia

Trump Declares Immediate U.S. Navy Blockade of Hormuz After Iran Talks Fail

U.S. President Donald Trump warned on social media that the U.S. Navy would immediately begin blockading all ships attempting to enter or leave the Strait of Hormuz after a failed talk with Tehran.Trump said in a Truth Social post on Sunday that while the goal is eventually to reach an "all being allowed to go in, all being allowed to go out" arrangement, Iran has prevented this by citing vague concerns about undisclosed mines."Iran has not allowed that to happen by merely saying, 'There may be a mine out there somewhere,' that nobody knows about but them," Trump wrote.Trump further directed the Navy to intercept any vessel in international waters that has paid a toll to Iran while also ordering the destruction of mines allegedly laid by Iran in the strait and warning that any Iranian attack on U.S. or peaceful vessels would result in them being "BLOWN TO HELL."Meanwhile, Reuters News, citing the U.S. Central Command, reported that the blockade of all maritime traffic to and from Iranian ports is set to begin at 10 a.m. ET on Monday.The command clarified that freedom of navigation would remain unaffected for ships transiting the strait to non-Iranian ports, with formal notices to be issued to commercial mariners beforehand, the newswire said.

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US Markets

Chinese Producer Prices Return to Inflation After 41 Months of Declines

Chinese producer prices ended 41 consecutive months of declines in March, returning to inflation for the first time since 2022.Factory-gate prices rose 0.5% last month, reversing the 0.9% decline in February, according to data from the National Bureau of Statistics released Friday.Median estimates by analysts polled by Bloomberg and Reuters saw inflation of 0.4%.Analysts at ING believe that the return to inflation in producer prices could translate to reflationary momentum across the Chinese economy.Producer price inflation was most evident in a 5.2% year-over-year increase in the oil and gas extraction industry prices, up from a 14.8% fall in the first two months, ING analysts said.However, Macquarie analysts say the PPI rebound is a one-off cost shock rather than reflation, also due to oil prices.Non-ferrous metals, computer and telecom, and coal and steel producer prices also drove upward PPI, Macquarie said.Meanwhile, the consumer price index, a measure of inflation, rose 1% year over year in March, slower than the 1.3% increase in February.Chinese consumer price increases were slower than the 1.2% rise expected by economists polled by Reuters.Core CPI, which excludes food and energy prices, went up 1.1%.The deceleration was due to normal price declines following the Chinese New Year festivities, ING said.Pork prices slid 11.5% year over year, the National Bureau of Statistics said.On a monthly basis, CPI ticked down 0.7%, the statistics bureau said.

Shanghai Composite^SZSE
Asia

China to Improve Freight Transport Hubs

Chinese officials are looking to boost the country's freight transport hubs by increasing capacity for critical strategic materials and key industrial goods, Xinhua News Agency reported Thursday.Officials from the finance and transport ministries will support 30 cities and city clusters to boost their transport capacity over a three-year period beginning in 2026, the report said.China also seeks to improve its logistics network to ensure better domestic and international connections, according to the state-owned news agency.

Shanghai Composite^SZSE
Asia

China Seeks More Competition Oversight in Power, Energy Storage Sectors

Chinese authorities asked companies to resist unreasonable pricing and unfair competition to ensure a healthy market environment for the power and battery energy storage sector, Xinhua News Agency reported Thursday.The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, the National Development and Reform Commission, the State Administration for Market Regulation, and the National Energy Administration issued the guidelines.The agencies also sought improved product quality supervision, efforts against intellectual property violations, and measures to address the spillover of competition into overseas markets, the report said.

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Asia

Market Chatter: Prohibitions on Foreign Tech Could Deter Chinese Carmakers from Entering US, Top Trade Official Says

U.S. curbs on foreign technology could keep Chinese car manufacturers out of the country for the next 12 to 18 months, Bloomberg reported Thursday, citing U.S. Trade Representative Jamieson Greer.American prohibitions on foreign-made connected vehicle technology and software created by so-called foreign entities of concern are Chinese companies' biggest stumbling block, according to the report, citing Greer."It would probably be difficult for certain countries to establish new production here, given those sets of rules," Bloomberg quoted Greer as saying to reporters during a tour of an automobile production facility.Domestic car manufacturers are closely watching the possible entry of Chinese carmakers to the U.S., after President Donald Trump said he was open to China-based manufacturers from setting up shop in America, provided they hire American workers, the report said.(Market Chatter news is derived from conversations with market professionals globally. This information is believed to be from reliable sources but may include rumor and speculation. Accuracy is not guaranteed.)

Shanghai Composite^SZSE
International

Ceasefire Prospects Lift Asian Stock Markets

Asian stock markets gained ground Friday, after media reports that US-Iran ceasefire negotiations will take place on Saturday in Pakistan.Hong Kong, Shanghai and Tokyo finished in the green, as did most other regional exchanges.Brent oil futures held under $100 a barrel, near $96 during Asian trading hours.In Japan, the Nikkei 225 opened higher and rose to the close, finishing up 1.8% as traders weighed a profit report from a major retailer and mulled Middle East peace prospects.The benchmark Nikkei 225 rose 1,028.79 to 56,924.11, although losing issues outnumbered gainers 146 to 75.Leading the upside was Fast Retailing, up 12% after reporting H1 earnings and issuing upbeat guidance. Consultancy BayCurrent declined 5.8%.In economic news, Japan's producer price index (PPI) rose 2.6% on year in March, after rising 2.1% on year in February, pushed by higher oil bills, reported the Bank of Japan.In Hong Kong, the Hang Seng Index opened higher and held ground, closing up 0.6% after an inflation report from Beijing suggested the nation's bout with industrial-price deflation may be ebbing.The broad gauge Hang Seng rose 141.14 to 25,893.54 as gaining issues outnumbered losers 56 to 31. The Hang Seng TECH Index gained 0.8% on the day, while the Mainland Properties Index rose 0.4%.Leading the upside was Contemporary Amperex Technology, gaining 9%, while noodle-maker Tingyi declined 3.3%.On the mainland, the Shanghai Composite rose 0.5% to 3,986.22.In economic news, China's producer price index (PPI) rose 0.5% on year in March, snapping a 41-month stretch of contraction, reported the National Bureau of Statistics.China's consumer price index (CPI) rose 1% in March on year, slipping February's 1.3% reading, added the NBS.On the other regional exchanges, the S. Korean KOSPI rose 1.4%; the Taiwan TWSE inclined 1.6%; the Australian ASX 200 declined 0.1%; the Singapore Straits Times Index rose 0.3%, and the Thai Set inclined 1.2%. In late trading in Mumbai, the Sensex was up 1.2%The MSCI All Country Asia Pacific Index rose 0.7% on the day.

Hang SengNikkei 225Shanghai Composite
International

Chinese NEV Exports Surge 140% in March, Car Association Says

Chinese exports of new energy vehicles surged 140% year over year to 349,000 units, the China Passenger Car Association said Thursday.BYD (HKG:1211, SHE:002594) led the pack with 116,882 units, while Geely (HKG:0175) exported 52,186 units and Chery Automobile (HKG:9973) exported 40,837 units to complete the top three exporters for the month.The surge could be attributable to energy shocks due to the war in Iran, Bloomberg reported separately.

Shanghai Composite^SZSEHKG:0175HKG:1211SHE:002594
Asia Markets

Middle East War Uncertainty Caps Asian Stock Markets

Asian stock markets largely fell back Thursday, as traders looked for clarity on the status of the Strait of Hormuz and the Persian Gulf war.Hong Kong, Shanghai, and Tokyo finished in the red, while other regional exchanges were mixed.In Japan, the Nikkei 225 opened evenly but declined in trading, finishing off 0.7% as traders booked profits after Wednesday's rally following reports of a Middle East ceasefire.The benchmark Nikkei 225 fell 413.10 to 55,895.32, as losing issues outnumbered gainers 169 to 54.Leading the upside was Yokogawa Electric, up 4.1%, while retail conglomerate Aeon declined 8.2%.In economic news, Japan's seasonally adjusted Consumer Confidence Index declined to 33.3 in March, down from 39.7 in February, reported the Cabinet Office.Japan's machine tool orders jumped by 28.1% year-on-year in March, driven by a 40.4% surge in offshore demand, reported the Japan Machine Tool Builders Association.In Hong Kong, the Hang Seng Index opened lower and could not recover, closing down 0.5% on ebbing optimism regarding Middle East negotiations.The broad gauge Hang Seng fell 140.62 to 25,752.40 as losing issues outnumbered gainers 53 to 36. The Hang Seng TECH Index lost 2.1% on the day, while the Mainland Properties Index fell 0.3%.Leading the upside was aluminum producer China Hongqiao, gaining 5.2%, while property company Longfor declined 5.6%.On the mainland, the Shanghai Composite fell 0.7% to 3,966.17.On the other regional exchanges, the South Korean KOSPI fell 1.6%; the Taiwan TWSE rose 0.3%; the Australian ASX 200 gained 0.2%; the Singapore Straits Times Index fell 0.4%, and the Thai Set inclined 0.3%. In late trading in Mumbai, the Sensex was down 1.2%.The MSCI All Country Asia Pacific Index fell 0.9% on the day.

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