Medibank Private Expected to Meet Fiscal Year 2026 Outlook, Jefferies Says
Medibank Private (ASX:MPL) is expected to meet its fiscal year 2026 outlook, given that policyholder growth is typically highest in the fiscal fourth quarter, Jefferies said in a note on Tuesday.Its resident policyholder growth of 2.3% in the twelve months to December 2025, outpacing industry growth of 2.1%, implies market share gain even with heightened competition.The fiscal third quarter claims growth was consistent with the industry, and Medibank paid AU$39.3 million to private hospitals under partnership initiatives over the nine months of the fiscal year, compared with AU$36.6 million in fiscal 2025.Its claims growth was consistent with recent industry trends, with some benefit from proactive claims management. It guided to fiscal year 2026 claims per policy unit of 2.6% to 2.9% on the prior corresponding period.The investment firm retained the hold rating on Medibank and raised the price target to AU$5.15 from AU$4.90.