FINWIRES · TerminalLIVE
FINWIRES

$PSX

133 stories mentioning PSXUpdated 12h ago

Every FINWIRES story that references PSX, newest first.

What are analysts saying about PSX?

Recent broker actions mentioned in FINWIRES coverage. Compiled from wire headlines; not investment advice.

What's the latest news on PSX?

Commodities

US Refining Capacity Falls in 2025 After Major Plant Closures, EIA Says

US refinery capacity fell in 2025 as the permanent closure of two major plants outweighed marginal efficiency gains across the industry, Energy Information Administration strategists said in a note on Monday.EIA analysts said operable atmospheric distillation capacity totaled 18.2 million barrels per calendar day as of Jan. 1. The figure represents a decline of more than 250,000 b/cd, or about 1%, compared with the same period a year earlier, the analysts said.The contraction leaves the US with 130 operable refineries, two fewer than in 2025.The EIA said the decline was driven by the shutdown of two refineries in 2025, including a 263,776-b/d facility in Houston operated by LyondellBasell (LYB) and a 138,700-b/d refinery in Los Angeles owned by Phillips 66 (PSX).Combined, the two closures removed about 400,000 b/d of capacity from the market.However, the agency said incremental capacity expansions and process improvements at existing refineries partially offset the reduction. The EIA identified 130 operable refineries in the US as of Jan. 1, down from 132 a year earlier.The closure of the Phillips 66 Los Angeles facility represented a 5% reduction in refining capacity on the US West Coast, within the Petroleum Administration for Defense District 5.The EIA said that while Valero Energy's (VLO) 145,000-b/d Benicia refinery in California remained operational as of Jan. 1, the facility has since ceased refining operations and was removed from the agency's monthly capacity estimates beginning in March 2026.The closure of the LyondellBasell refinery, by contrast, represented a smaller proportional impact on the US Gulf Coast refining system, accounting for about 3% of capacity in PADD 3, where refining output exceeds regional fuel demand.Overall Gulf Coast refining capacity declined by less than 2% in 2025 after accounting for capacity additions elsewhere in the region, the EIA said.The agency said that the three largest US refiners, Marathon Petroleum (MPC), Valero Energy and Exxon Mobil (XOM), each reported calendar-day capacity increases of less than 1% compared with 2025, reflecting what it described as small-scale operational improvements rather than major expansion projects.Phillips 66 recorded an overall decline in capacity following the closure of its Los Angeles facility.Meanwhile, Chevron (CVX) overtook PBF Energy (PBF) to become the fifth-largest US refiner after posting modest capacity gains.Motiva Enterprises' Port Arthur refinery in Texas retained its position as the largest US refinery by calendar-day capacity at 656,000 b/d, while Marathon Petroleum's Galveston Bay refinery remained the country's largest on a stream-day basis, with a capacity of 678,000 barrels per stream day.Price: $177.06, Change: $+5.41, Percent Change: +3.15%

$MPC$PSX$VLO$XOM
Equities

TD Cowen Adjusts Price Target on Phillips 66 to $220 From $213, Maintains Buy Rating

Phillips 66 (PSX) has an average rating of overweight and mean price target of $196.53, according to analysts polled by FactSet.

$PSX
Oil & Energy

US Refining Indicators Weaken in June as Crack Spreads Soften, Q2 Gains Hold, TPH Energy Says

US refining margins have softened heading into the end of the second quarter, pressured by falling gasoline and diesel cracks following progress on a peace deal between the US and Iran, TPH Energy strategists said in a note on Tuesday.TPH analysts said company-specific refining indicators are trading down by $5 to $11 per barrel month-to-date in June, reflecting a broader cooling in energy markets.Matthew Blair, analyst at TPH Energy, said that while the geopolitical developments have weighed on product cracks, the impact across the sector has been uneven.Par Pacific Holdings (PARR) has demonstrated the most resilience among the group, with its refining indicator down $4.94 per barrel month-to-date.TPH said that the Singapore market, a key benchmark, has declined slightly and remains well above its five-year average, while falling crude prices have provided a tailwind for asphalt indicators.The bank said that large-cap refiners show a more mixed picture. Phillips 66 (PSX) is down $7.36/bbl month-on-month but is seen benefiting from potential derivative gains linked to falling crude prices.Valero Energy (VLO) has declined by $7.50/bbl, with strength in Gulf Coast diesel partially offsetting the narrowing of crude differentials.HF Sinclair (DINO) is down $8.03/bbl amid weakness in West Coast and Rockies cracks, though improved Southwest markets partly cushion the impact.Meanwhile, Marathon Petroleum (MPC) shows the steepest monthly decline at $10.85/bbl, driven by softness in Midcontinent refining margins.However, despite the monthly weakness, TPH still expects strong quarter-to-date performance across the sector.Phillips 66 leads gains at $15.84/bbl, followed by Par Pacific at $15.03/bbl, Marathon Petroleum at $13.39/bbl, Valero Energy at $11.77/bbl, and HF Sinclair at $11.13/bbl.Price: $50.94, Change: $-0.11, Percent Change: -0.22%

$DINO$MPC$PARR$PSX$VLO
Sectors

Sector Update: Energy Stocks Slightly Higher Pre-Bell Tuesday

Energy stocks slightly rose pre-bell Tuesday, with the State Street Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLE) marginally higher.The United States Oil Fund (USO) was down 1.2% and the United States Natural Gas Fund (UNG) was 1.5% lower.Front-month US West Texas Intermediate crude oil was 0.2% lower at $73.68 per barrel at the New York Mercantile Exchange. Global benchmark North Sea Brent crude oil lost 0.5% to $77.54 per barrel, and natural gas futures were down 1.3% at $3.21 per 1 million British Thermal Units.Phillips 66 (PSX) has partnered with Kanin Energy on a 7-megawatt waste heat-to-power project at its Mewbourn natural gas processing complex in Platteville, Colorado, Kanin Energy said. Phillips 66 stock was 0.1% higher premarket.Baker Hughes (BKR) has secured a lifecycle and digital services contract to support turbomachinery operations at ANOH Gas Processing's plant in Nigeria, the oilfield services firm said. Baker Hughes shares were down 0.4% pre-bell.Dorian LPG (LPG) shares were marginally higher after the company said it has signed an agreement to build one Very Large Gas Carrier, or VLGC, and reached separate memoranda of understanding to sell three VLGCs.

$BKR$LPG$PSX$UNG$USO$XLE
Sectors

Sector Update: Energy

Energy stocks were edging higher pre-bell Tuesday, with the State Street Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLE) advancing by 0.3%.The United States Oil Fund (USO) was down 0.9% and the United States Natural Gas Fund (UNG) was 1.4% lower.Front-month US West Texas Intermediate crude oil was 0.4% lower at $73.58 per barrel at the New York Mercantile Exchange. Global benchmark North Sea Brent crude oil lost 0.5% to $77.55 per barrel, and natural gas futures were down 1.1% at $3.22 per 1 million British Thermal Units.Phillips 66 (PSX) has entered a partnership with Kanin Energy on a 7-megawatt waste heat-to-power project at its Mewbourn natural gas processing complex in Platteville, Colorado, Kanin Energy said. Phillips 66 stock was 0.4% higher premarket.

$PSX
Equities

Phillips 66 Partners With Kanin Energy on Waste Heat-to-Power Project

Phillips 66 (PSX) has partnered with Kanin Energy on a 7-megawatt waste heat-to-power project at its Mewbourn natural gas processing complex in Platteville, Colorado, Kanin Energy said Tuesday.The project will capture waste heat from gas compression turbines and convert it into onsite baseload power, improving reliability while reducing emissions and energy costs, the company said.Under the agreement, Kanin Energy will develop, own and operate the facility, delivering a turnkey solution to Phillips 66 with no upfront capital investment.The project is expected to begin construction later this year and lower long-term power costs and reduce greenhouse gas emissions, it added.

$PSX
Commodities

Gulf Coast Heavy Crude Spreads Diverge Amid Supply Constraints, TPH Says

US Gulf Coast heavy crude markets are showing signs of divergence as widening discounts for Mexico's Maya blend clash with tightening supplies of Western Canadian Select, TPH Energy strategists said in a note on Monday.Matthew Blair, TPH Energy analyst, said that the market for Maya crude has weakened, with state-owned Pemex widening its discretionary "K factor" price adjustment to a $ 9.20-per-barrel discount for July, steeper than the $8.15 set in June and $4.35 in May.TPH analysts forecast that the move will push Maya-Brent differentials toward a $9.71/bbl discount at the start of Q3, a notable shift from the $7.58 average seen in Q2.The broader heavy crude landscape has been volatile in 2026. TPH said differentials widened in Q1 as additional barrels from Venezuela entered the market, but narrowed in Q2 as regional supplies tightened due to reduced Middle Eastern sour crude shipments.Simultaneously, WCS at Houston has seen its discount to Brent narrow significantly to $7.52 in June, down from $15.12 recorded in May.Market participants attribute this tightness in Canadian heavy crude to supply-side constraints at the source. TPH said unfavorable wet weather in Canada has hindered oil sands operations, compounded by an unplanned outage at Cenovus Energy's (CVE) Foster Creek and Christina Lake assets.The bank said the shifting dynamics in heavy crude pricing carry significant implications for Gulf Coast refiners, specifically Valero Energy (VLO), PBF Energy (PBF), Phillips 66 (PSX), and Marathon Petroleum (MPC).Price: $25.68, Change: $+0.52, Percent Change: +2.05%

$CVE$MPC$PBF$PSX$VLO
Commodities

Strong Refining Margins, Falling Crude Stocks Boost Energy Outlook, UBS Says

US crude inventories dropped by 8.2 million barrels as refinery utilization climbed to 96.7%, reinforcing concerns over tightening fuel supplies, UBS said in a Wednesday note.The Department of Energy reported an 8.2 million-barrel crude draw, exceeding consensus expectations for a 4.6 million-barrel decline and aligning with the American Petroleum Institute estimate of an 8.33 million-barrel draw, UBS said.Gasoline inventories fell by 0.90 million barrels, compared with forecasts for a 1 million-barrel decline. Diesel inventories increased by 0.95 million barrels, versus expectations for a 500,000-barrel draw, according to UBS.Refiners increased utilization rates by 1.4 percentage points over the week to 96.7%. UBS said operators rarely sustain such levels for long, yet fuel inventories continue to tighten despite elevated processing rates.US fuel inventories continue to trail historical levels, with diesel stocks running 12.8% below the five-year average and 5.8% below year-ago levels. Gasoline inventories also remain tight, standing 6.3% below the five-year average and 6.9% lower than a year earlier, according to UBS.Inventory shortages persist across key regions. Diesel stocks in PADD 1 sit 21.6% below the five-year average, while PADD 5 inventories remain 16.7% below historical levels. Gasoline inventories also trail their five-year averages, with deficits ranging from 3.0% in PADD 1 to 10.3% in PADD 3, UBS said.Margins remain well above mid-cycle levels, supporting refinery profitability. In Q2 2026, Mid-Continent cracks averaged $28.58 per barrel versus $13.40/bbl in Q1 2026 and $14.63/bbl a year earlier, while West Coast cracks increased to $41.80/bbl from $24.65/bbl and $25.28/bbl, respectively, UBS added.Strong margin conditions also extended to other regions. North Atlantic cracks averaged $27.64/bbl in Q2 2026, up from $17.41/bbl in the previous quarter and $13.76/bbl a year earlier, while Gulf Coast cracks rose to $30.64/bbl from $18.36/bbl and $12.76/bbl, respectively.Driven by a growing project pipeline, Plains All American Pipeline (PAA) increased its 2026 growth capital spending forecast to $400 million to $450 million net to the partnership from roughly $350 million previously. The company still expects maintenance spending to remain around $185 million.Plains has moved forward with several high-return projects across its Permian long-haul, Permian gathering and Canadian gathering systems as stronger customer interest and improving oil market fundamentals support additional investment, UBS said.After touring Archer-Daniels-Midland's (ADM) Decatur facility, UBS highlighted strong agricultural services results and continued demand for soybean meal in domestic and export markets. Management also views organic expansion opportunities as more attractive than bolt-on acquisitions at present.Improving margins across refining, chemicals and renewable diesel operations could drive stronger earnings and cash flow for Phillips 66 (PSX) through 2026. The company could also accelerate debt reduction as profitability improves, UBS said.Price: $21.34, Change: $-0.24, Percent Change: -1.11%

$ADM$PAA$PSX
Wire

Phillips 66 to Benefit From Several Levers of Margin Inflection, UBS Says

Phillips 66 (PSX) will likely see a solid year-on-year improvement in earnings this year compared with 2025, despite a weak Q1, which was hit by one-time items, UBS said in a note Monday.Phillips 66 will benefit from margin tailwinds in three of its key businesses: Refining, where margins are "well above mid-cycle levels," Chemicals, where "margins are recovering from historic lows toward mid-cycle," and Renewable Diesel, where margins are expected to go from "below break-even to mid-cycle levels," the note said.The three businesses will likely lead to an increase in the company's year on year free cash flow generation, which will allow it to de-lever at an "accelerated pace," UBS said.The investment firm said it sees a "clear pathway to stronger earnings power and balance sheet improvement" this year.UBS has a buy rating on Phillips 66 and a $212 price target.Price: $172.98, Change: $-6.47, Percent Change: -3.61%

$PSX
Equities

Morgan Stanley Adjusts Price Target on Phillips 66 to $196 From $180

Phillips 66 (PSX) has an average rating of overweight and mean price target of $193.56, according to analysts polled by FactSet.

$PSX
Equities

Raymond James Raises Price Target on Phillips 66 to $218 From $215, Maintains Outperform Rating

Phillips 66 (PSX) has an average rating of overweight and mean price target of $192.67, according to analysts polled by FactSet.

$PSX
Commodities

Supply Disruptions Lift Refiner Q2 EPS Outlook Above Consensus, TPH Energy Says

TPH raised its average second-quarter 2026 earnings estimate for refiners to $6.38 per share from $5.67, exceeding the $5.40 consensus forecast and sharply above Q1 earnings of $0.59 per share, the firm said Thursday.TPH said supply disruptions tied to the US-Iran conflict continue to support refining fundamentals and improve earnings expectations across the sector.The International Energy Agency expects global refinery runs to fall to 78.7 million barrels per day in the second quarter from 83.6 million b/d in Q1 and 82.9 million b/d a year earlier, TPH said.TPH said shipping disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz and refinery damage linked to the conflict are reducing global fuel supplies.US gasoline cracks increased by about $20 per barrel over the quarter to $25/bbl, compared with a five-year average of $20/bbl, the firm said.US diesel cracks climbed by roughly $21/bbl to $48/bbl, more than double the five-year average of $22/bbl, TPH said.The West Coast, Southwest and Rocky Mountain regions posted the strongest margin gains relative to historical averages, while the Mid-Continent and Midwest regions lagged, according to the firm.US refiners increased operating rates to address supply shortages, pushing utilization to 91% in the second quarter from a five-year average of 89%, TPH said.Higher operating rates helped gasoline exports reach 880,000 b/d and distillate exports rise to 1.56 million b/d, above five-year averages of 828,000 b/d and 1.19 million b/d, respectively, the firm said.TPH said tighter availability of Middle Eastern medium-sour crude has narrowed crude differentials, although Western Canadian Select prices at Hardisty and Houston remain under pressure from constrained Canadian pipeline capacity.The firm added that stronger backwardation is creating a $ 5/bbl-over-the-quarter headwind for inland US crude barrels, while elevated tanker costs are weighing on coastal markets.TPH expects lower crude prices, wider West Coast jet fuel premiums, reduced downtime and a $4/bbl increase in octane spreads to support second-quarter capture rates.However, the firm said rising Renewable Volume Obligation costs approaching $4/bbl, tighter crude differentials, weaker butane blending demand and the $5/bbl WTI structure impact remain key challenges.TPH forecast group capture rates of 73% in the second quarter, compared with 72% in the first quarter.The firm said renewable diesel indicators improved by $1.39 per gallon, Midwest ethanol margins increased by $0.33/gal, polyethylene chain margins rose by $0.40 per pound and $0.32/lb, while UAN and ammonia fertilizer prices advanced 33% and 27%, respectively.TPH said potential Small Refinery Exemption proceeds could equal 23% of market capitalization for Delek US Holdings (DK), 7% for Par Pacific Holdings (PARR), and 4% each for HF Sinclair (DINO) and CVR Energy (CVI), assuming partial waivers for all applications.TPH said its second-quarter earnings forecasts exceed consensus estimates for Par Pacific Holdings, HF Sinclair, Phillips 66 (PSX) and Valero Energy (VLO), while its estimate for CVR Energy remains below consensus.Price: $47.19, Change: $+0.01, Percent Change: +0.02%

$CVI$DINO$DK$PARR$PSX$VLO
Wire

Phillips 66, HF Sinclair Lead Refining Margin Recovery in Q2, TPH Energy Says

Phillips 66 (PSX) posted the largest month-over-month refining indicator increase in May, while HF Sinclair Corporation (DINO) delivered the greatest improvement in Q2, TPH Energy said Monday.Stronger gasoline cracks across the North Atlantic, Mid-Continent and Gulf Coast regions lifted Valero Energy's (VLO) refining indicator to $33.70 per barrel in May from $28.97/bbl in April, according to TPH.While diesel cracks and crude differentials produced mixed results, wider West Texas Intermediate, Louisiana Light Sweet and Argus Sour Crude Index spreads helped push Valero's Q2 refining indicator $13.50/bbl above Q1 levels, TPH said.Valero's ethanol indicator increased to $0.66 per gallon in May from $0.65/gal in April and now stands $0.16/gal higher over the quarter, according to TPH.Despite a decline to $1.07/gal from $1.22/gal in April as feedstock costs rose, Valero's renewable diesel indicator remains $0.15/gal above Q1 levels, TPH said.Support from lower crude prices in the Central Corridor and narrower Dated Brent spreads in the Atlantic Basin helped lift Phillips 66's refining indicator to $29.45/bbl in May from $17.92/bbl in April, according to TPH.Although Phillips 66's renewable diesel indicator eased to $2.07/gal from $2.30/gal in April, the metric remains $1.32/gal higher quarter over quarter, TPH said.Marathon Petroleum (MPC) increased its refining and marketing indicator to $35.88/bbl in May from $33.02/bbl in April as Mid-Continent margins improved $15.10/bbl and Gulf Coast margins advanced $6.56/bbl month over month, according to TPH.West Coast margins declined $0.59/bbl month over month, while narrower sweet and sour crude differentials and weaker backwardation weighed on results, with the Q2 indicator standing $16.53/bbl above Q1 levels, TPH said.HF Sinclair increased its renewable volume obligation-adjusted refining indicator to $33.81/bbl in May from $27.35/bbl in April as stronger Mid-Continent and West Coast margins lifted the metric, bringing its Q2 improvement to $18.85/bbl quarter over quarter, TPH said.TPH said HF Sinclair's lubricants business continued to strengthen, with Group I-III margins averaging $108.78/bbl above Q1 levels in Q2, while its renewable diesel indicator remains up $0.69/gal quarter over quarter despite a $0.04/gal decline in May, and wider Western Canadian Select differentials could provide additional upside.Price: $182.20, Change: $+1.95, Percent Change: +1.08%

$DINO$MPC$PSX$VLO
Commodities

US Retail Fuel Margin Indicator Falls to Lowest Level Since 2021, TPH Says

Higher crude oil and refining costs pushed TPH Energy's US retail margin indicator down 11 cents per gallon in May, even as gasoline prices continued to climb, TPH Energy said in a Monday note.Pump prices increased 38 cents per gallon from April to $4.48 per gallon, the highest monthly average since July 2022, but higher refining margins and crude costs more than offset the increase, TPH said.Refining margins rose 33 cents per gallon during the month, while crude costs increased 13 cents per gallon as the Iran conflict and seasonal trends lifted fuel input costs, according to the note.The retail margin indicator fell 11 cents per gallon from the first quarter and reached its lowest level since the first quarter of 2021, TPH said.The PADD 4 retail margin indicator increased 11 cents per gallon from the prior quarter as retail fuel prices in the region climbed $1.29 per gallon.The PADD 2 retail margin indicator declined 17 cents per gallon from the prior quarter, while the PADD 1 indicator fell 15 cents per gallon and the PADD 5 indicator decreased 5 cents per gallon, according to the note.Among companies covered by TPH, Par Pacific Holdings (PARR) has the greatest exposure to retail fuel margins through its service station operations in Hawaii and Washington, the report said.The trend could also affect wholesale fuel marketing activities at Phillips 66 (PSX) and HF Sinclair (DINO), according to TPH.

$DINO$PARR$PSX
Commodities

Market Chatter: Trump's Fuel Shipping Exemptions Had Limited Impact on US Gasoline Prices

President Donald Trump's Jones Act waiver allowing fuel and crude barrels to be moved between US ports had a limited impact on high domestic gasoline prices amid higher freight rates and smaller shipment volumes, according to a Reuters analysis on Wednesday.In March, President Donald Trump eased restrictions under the century-old Jones Act, allowing foreign-flagged ships to transport crude and fuel between domestic ports to support coastal fuel supplies.The waiver aimed to increase shipments from Gulf Coast refiners to East and West Coast markets, where refinery shortages and limited pipeline access continue to tighten fuel availability.National gasoline prices climbed to $4.49 per gallon Tuesday from below $3 before the Iran conflict erupted in late February, while California averaged $6.11 per gallon, the analysis added, citing American Automobile Association data.According to the White House, data compiled since the first Jones Act waiver was granted indicate that more supply could reach US ports more quickly. Administration officials are reportedly happy with the waiver's results and have conveyed to the oil industry that future extensions may be granted, sources told Reuters.Federal figures showed Valero (VLO) and Phillips 66 (PSX) used the exemptions about 50 times during the first two months, transporting 2.6 million barrels of crude alongside 7.5 million barrels of refined fuels.Because disruptions around the Strait of Hormuz pushed tanker rates sharply higher, the waiver delivered only modest shipping savings while transported volumes remained small compared with nationwide fuel demand.University of Chicago energy policy professor Ryan Kellogg said that unusually high freight costs and a shortage of available international tankers made it difficult to secure vessels.American Maritime Partnership President Jennifer Carpenter said the waiver failed to "lower prices at the pump, and materially increase the flow of product across the country."White House officials viewed the waiver positively after additional fuel cargoes reached domestic ports faster, while administration sources signaled openness to extending the measure if needed, according to the analysis.Over 60% of gasoline and blendstock shipments transported under the waiver were delivered to California, totaling roughly 3 million barrels, or about 2.1 million gallons per day, federal data showed.Shipments into California, Alaska, Florida, South Carolina and Oregon combined averaged approximately 84,000 barrels daily, compared with total US fuel consumption near 8.75 million barrels per day, the analysis added.Argus data showed that foreign-flagged vessels moving fuel from the US Gulf Coast to the West Coast could reduce shipping costs by about 6.6 cents per gallon, or nearly 1% of California gasoline prices, while Jones Act tankers remained cheaper on East Coast routes due to strong Asian vessel demand.The waiver also altered shipping patterns, with one US tanker carrying Alaskan crude to South Korea in April for its first international voyage since 2014, while industry sources warned that foreign competition on domestic routes could tighten US tanker availability further.(Market Chatter news is derived from conversations with market professionals globally. This information is believed to be from reliable sources but may include rumor and speculation. Accuracy is not guaranteed.)

$PSX$VLO
Research

Mizuho Upgrades Phillips 66 to Outperform From Neutral, Adjusts Price Target to $212 From $170

Phillips 66 (PSX) has an average rating of overweight and mean price target of $189.94, according to analysts polled by FactSet.

$PSX
Commodities

Refiners Slide as US-Iran Peace Hopes Pressure Crack Spreads, TPH Energy Says

Refining equities and product crack spreads declined last week as reports of progress in US-Iran peace negotiations pressured margins and softened sector sentiment, TPH Energy strategists said in a note on Tuesday.Matthew Blair, analyst at TPH Energy, said the refining group fell 1.3%, underperforming the S&P 500's 0.9% gain, with high-beta names leading losses.PBF Energy (PBF) dropped 4.9%, while Phillips 66 (PSX) outperformed the group with a 1.6% rise, making it the lone notable gainer among diversified refiners.TPH said the decline was driven by a sharp compression in refined product cracks. US gasoline cracks fell $12 to $25 per barrel, while US diesel cracks declined $7 to $45/bbl.Regional softness was most pronounced in the Midwest, Midcontinent and Rockies, TPH analysts said, reflecting broad-based margin pressure.International cracks were mixed. Northwest Europe gasoline and diesel eased by $1 and $3/bbl, respectively, while Singapore markets moved against the trend, with gasoline up $3/bbl and diesel rising $5/bbl.Forward curves also reflected the softer tone. The 2026 gasoline strip moved $1 lower, while diesel was unchanged.On the crude side, the Brent-WTI spread narrowed to $3/bbl from $5 previously, reducing a key advantage for US refiners that benefit from discounted domestic crude.Blair said grades, including Mars, Louisiana Light Sweet and Bakken crude strengthened, while Western Canadian Select at Hardisty, Mexico's Maya crude and Alaska North Slope held largely steady.Macro and industry developments added to the mixed backdrop. US regular gasoline prices eased 5 cents to $4.45 per gallon. India raised retail gasoline prices in response to war-related supply dynamics involving Iran.Kuwait's refinery throughput has reportedly fallen by half since the Middle East conflict began, while US jet fuel production has climbed above 2 million barrels per day in recent weeks.On corporate activity, Delek US Holdings (DK) disclosed a $100 million share repurchase authorization from REH. However, despite the recent pullback in refining equities, TPH said most refiners continue to trade above their three-year average forward EBITDA valuation multiples, except for Phillips 66 and Valero Energy (VLO).

$DK$PBF$PSX$VLO
Equities

Jefferies Adjusts Price Target on Phillips 66 to $191 From $173, Maintains Hold Rating

Phillips 66 (PSX) has an average rating of overweight and mean price target of $189.94, according to analysts polled by FactSet.

$PSX
Commodities

Refiner Capital Returns Slip in Q1 as Crude Rally Pressures Free Cash Flow, TPH Says

US refiners delivered a softer but still solid quarter for shareholder returns in Q1, as rising crude prices and higher equity valuations pressured free cash flow and reduced buyback activity, TPH Energy strategists said in a note Friday.The average total capital return yield across refiners eased to 4.9% in Q1 from 6.3% in the prior quarter and 9.4% a year ago, the bank said. Matthew Blair, analyst at TPH, said the decline was driven largely by lower share repurchases and slightly reduced dividend yields.Share buybacks averaged a 2.8% yield, down from 4% in Q4 and 6.2% a year earlier, as higher crude prices and seasonal factors weighed on free cash flow. TPH said that half of the refiners in its coverage universe generated negative free cash flow in the quarter.Dividend yields also slipped to 2.1% from 2.3% in Q4 and 3.2% a year ago, despite dividend increases from Phillips 66 (PSX) and Valero Energy (VLO), reflecting higher average share prices during the period.Blair said among individual names, the strongest total capital return yields in Q1 were led by Par Pacific (PARR) at 9.2%, followed by Marathon Petroleum (MPC) at 7%, HF Sinclair (DINO) at 6.8%, and Valero Energy (VLO) at 6.1%. CVR Energy (CVI) was the only refiner that did not return capital during the quarter.Going ahead, TPH expects average total capital return yields to ease further to about 4.5% in Q2, despite what it described as robust profitability and free cash flow generation.The bank identified three main headwinds, including higher share prices, reduced opportunistic buybacks at Par Pacific, and a shift among some refiners, such as Phillips 66 and PBF Energy (PBF), toward debt reduction rather than share repurchases.TPH projects that Valero will lead total capital return yields in Q2 at an estimated 8.1%, followed by HF Sinclair at 7.5% and Marathon Petroleum at 6.7%.CVR Energy is expected to lag its peer group, with a projected yield of 1.1%, even as the energy firm moves to reinstate its dividend.Price: $176.42, Change: $+2.37, Percent Change: +1.36%

$CVI$DINO$MPC$PBF$PSX$VLO
Commodities

US Gasoline Hits Highest Memorial Day Level Since 2022 on Supply Shocks, EIA Says

US gasoline prices climbed to the highest level for the Memorial Day holiday since 2022 as the de facto closure of the Strait of Hormuz drove up crude prices and tightened global fuel supplies, the Energy Information Administration said on Friday.The EIA said the national average price for regular gasoline reached $4.49 per gallon on May 18, up 42% from a year earlier and marking the highest level for the Monday before Memorial Day weekend since Russia's invasion of Ukraine disrupted oil markets three years ago.Rising crude prices, which typically account for about half of retail gasoline costs, have been the biggest driver behind the increase since February.The agency said global crude markets have been rattled by supply disruptions linked to the effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz, a key chokepoint for oil shipments.Regional factors, including refinery outages, fuel specifications, and taxes, are also amplifying price disparities across the country.The Midwest and Rocky Mountain regions posted some of the steepest increases after refinery maintenance and outages constrained fuel supplies. Midwest gasoline prices averaged $4.40/gal on May 18, up 45% from a year earlier, while Rocky Mountain prices rose 47% to $4.59/gal.The EIA said several large refineries in the Midwest have been affected in recent weeks, including Phillips 66's (PSX) Wood River refinery in Illinois and Marathon Petroleum's (MPC) Robinson refinery, both of which were undergoing maintenance.BP's (BP) Whiting refinery in Indiana also experienced a temporary outage following a power disruption. Suncor Energy's (SU) Commerce City refinery in Colorado suffered an unplanned shutdown after a power outage during maintenance work.On the West Coast, where gasoline prices are typically the nation's highest because of stricter fuel standards, limited pipeline connectivity and higher state taxes, prices averaged $5.61/gal, up 31% from a year earlier.California's unique fuel specifications, which make gasoline more expensive to produce, have continued to weigh on the region, according to the EIA. Imports into the West Coast have also risen as refining capacity in the region declines.The Gulf Coast retained the country's cheapest gasoline prices, averaging $3.95/gal, benefiting from its concentration of refining capacity and relatively low fuel taxes. The East Coast, the nation's largest gasoline-consuming region, averaged $4.31/gal.The EIA said the US has rolled out several emergency measures to ease fuel market pressures.The government is releasing crude from the Strategic Petroleum Reserve in coordination with the International Energy Agency, temporarily allowing nationwide sales of E15 gasoline and issuing waivers under the Jones Act to facilitate fuel shipments between US ports.Federal regulators have also relaxed enforcement of summer-grade gasoline standards. Despite the higher prices, holiday travel demand remains resilient.The American Automobile Association estimates 39.1 million Americans will travel by car over the Memorial Day weekend, in line with last year.Price: $67.65, Change: $-0.08, Percent Change: -0.12%

$BP$MPC$PSX$SU

Showing 81-100 of 133

Track with the FINWIRES app suite