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Commodities

Exchange-Traded Funds, Equity Futures Higher Pre-Bell Tuesday Amid Second Round of US-Iran Talks

The broad market exchange-traded fund SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) was up 0.2% and the actively traded Invesco QQQ Trust (QQQ) advanced 0.3% in Tuesday's premarket activity, amid a second round of talks between the US and Iran.US stock futures were also higher, with S&P 500 Index futures up 0.4%, Dow Jones Industrial Average futures advancing 0.6%, and Nasdaq futures gaining 0.4% before the start of regular trading.The Philadelphia Federal Reserve Bank's monthly non-manufacturing activity index rose to minus 16.5 in April from minus 23.9 in the previous month, compared with expectations for a small increase to a minus 19.8 reading in a survey compiled by Bloomberg as of 7:35 am ET, indicating a slower pace of contraction in the sector.US retail sales rose 1.7% in March, above expectations for a 1.4% increase and compared with a prior 0.7% gain.The pending home sales data for March and the business inventories data for February will be released at 10:00 am ET.Fed Governor Christopher Waller is slated to speak on Tuesday.In premarket action, bitcoin advanced by 0.4%. Among cryptocurrency ETFs, the cryptocurrency fund ProShares Bitcoin Strategy ETF (BITO) was 0.5% higher, Ether ETF (EETH) retreated 0.2%, and Bitcoin & Ether Market Cap Weight ETF (BETH) declined by 0.3%.Power Play:Health CareThe State Street Health Care Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLV) gained 0.8%, the Vanguard Health Care Index Fund (VHT) was 0.9% higher, while the iShares US Healthcare ETF (IYH) rose 2%. The iShares Biotechnology ETF (IBB) advanced 0.02%.UnitedHealth (UNH) stock was up more than 7% premarket after the company reported higher Q1 adjusted earnings and revenue.Winners and Losers:FinancialThe State Street Financial Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLF) advanced 0.4%. Direxion Daily Financial Bull 3X Shares (FAS) was up 1.2%, while its bearish counterpart, Direxion Daily Financial Bear 3X Shares (FAZ), was 0.8% lower.MSCI (MSCI) shares were up more than 4% pre-bell after the company reported higher Q1 adjusted earnings and revenue.TechnologyThe State Street Technology Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLK) advanced 0.3%, and the iShares US Technology ETF (IYW) was 0.6% higher, while the iShares Expanded Tech Sector ETF (IGM) was up 0.4%. Among semiconductor ETFs, the State Street SPDR S&P Semiconductor ETF (XSD) increased by 1.9%, while the iShares Semiconductor ETF (SOXX) rose by 1%.Onto Innovation (ONTO) shares were up more than 2% in Tuesday's premarket activity after the company said it plans for a $710 million equity investment in Rigaku to advance the so-called process control services for semiconductor manufacturing.ConsumerThe State Street Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLP) retreated by 0.2% and the Vanguard Consumer Staples Index Fund ETF Shares (VDC) was 0.3% lower. The iShares US Consumer Staples ETF (IYK) was inactive. The State Street Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLY) gained 0.9%. The VanEck Retail ETF (RTH) was inactive, while the State Street SPDR S&P Retail ETF (XRT) was 0.6% higher.D.R. Horton (DHI) shares were up more than 6% pre-bell after the company reported higher-than-expected fiscal Q2 net income and revenue.IndustrialThe State Street Industrial Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLI) slipped by 0.1%, while the Vanguard Industrials Index Fund (VIS) retreated 0.2% and the iShares US Industrials ETF (IYJ) was inactive.Grupo Aeroportuario del Pacifico (PAC) stock was down more than 1% before the opening bell after the company said its Q1 passenger traffic dropped by 5.5% year-over-year, even as its net income and revenue were higher.EnergyThe iShares US Energy ETF (IYE) was up 0.1%, while the State Street Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLE) was up by 0.2%.Shell (SHEL) stock was up 0.7% before the opening bell. Reuters reported, citing court documents, that the company faces a fresh lawsuit by a Dutch climate activist organization demanding it immediately end its investments in new oil and gas projects.CommoditiesFront-month US West Texas Intermediate crude oil retreated by 0.4% to $89.29 per barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange. Natural gas declined by 0.8% to $2.67 per 1 million British Thermal Units. The United States Oil Fund (USO) increased by 0.9%, while the United States Natural Gas Fund (UNG) was 0.4% higher.Gold futures for May were down by 0.4% to $4,812.10 an ounce on the Comex. Silver futures retreated by 1.1% to $79.73 an ounce. SPDR Gold Shares (GLD) was 0.4% lower, and the iShares Silver Trust (SLV) fell by 0.7%.

Dow JonesNasdaq CompositeS&P 500$BETH$BITO$DHI$EEM$EETH$EXI$FAS$FAZ$GLD$IBB$IGM$IGV$IPK$IVV$IWM$IYE$IYH$IYJ$IYK$IYW$MSCI$ONTO$PAC$PMR$QQQ$RTH$SHEL$SLV$SOXX$SPY$UNG$UNH$USO$VDC$VHT$VIS$XLE$XLF$XLI$XLK$XLP$XLV$XLY$XRT$XSD
Sectors

Sector Update: Consumer

Consumer stocks were flat to lower premarket Tuesday, with the State Street Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLY) inactive and the State Street Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLP) down 0.3%.D.R. Horton (DHI) stock was up more than 7% after the company reported fiscal Q2 net income and revenue that exceeded analysts' expectations.

$DHI
Research

Research Alert: D.r. Horton: Q2 Fy 26 Margins Beat Guidance As Orders Rise 11%

CFRA, an independent research provider, has providedwith the following research alert. Analysts at CFRA have summarized their opinion as follows:DHI reported mixed Q2 FY 26 (Sep.) results with closings up 1% to 19,486 homes but revenue down 2% to $7.0B due to a 3% decline in average selling prices to $362K. EPS of $2.24 beat consensus of $2.12 despite falling 13% as net income dropped 20% to $647.9M, while homebuilding pre-tax margin compressed 230 bps to 10.7%. We see DHI differentiating itself from peers through market share gains, evidenced by accelerated order value growth despite elevated sales incentives. Management updated FY 26 guidance to $33.5B-$34.5B in revenues and 86K-87.5K homes closed, acknowledging incentives will remain elevated through FY 26. Net sales orders accelerated 11% to 24,992 homes valued at $9.2B, though demand remains softer than historical seasonality. The sales backlog of 16,882 homes worth $6.4B provides improved visibility, up 19% and 17%, respectively. We believe DHI's value proposition continues resonating with consumers despite mortgage rate uncertainty impacting seasonal demand patterns.

$DHI
US Markets

Stocks Rise Pre-Bell as Traders Weigh Uncertainty Over US-Iran Talks

US equity futures were pointing higher on Tuesday as traders monitor uncertainty over a potential fresh round of talks between the US and Iran and await the latest batch of corporate earnings.The S&P 500 and the Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 0.2% each in premarket activity, while the Nasdaq added 0.3%. The S&P 500 and the Nasdaq finished the previous trading session lower, with the latter snapping a 13-day winning streak, while the Dow was little changed.President Donald Trump said Vice President JD Vance is ready to leave for Pakistan for a second round of peace talks with Iran, according to a Bloomberg report. Iran, however, hasn't publicly confirmed if any representative from its side will participate in the latest proposed negotiations."We do not accept negotiations under the shadow of threats, and in the past two weeks, we have prepared to reveal new cards on the battlefield," Iranian Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf said in a Monday post on X. Iran's President Masoud Pezeshkian said in a social media post that the country still has "deep historical mistrust" towards the US government's conduct.Trump said Monday that the US is not likely to extend its current ceasefire with Iran if a deal isn't agreed, Bloomberg News reported. The ceasefire is set to expire "Wednesday evening Washington time," Trump reportedly said."I'm not going to be rushed into making a bad deal," Trump said in a phone interview, according to Bloomberg. "We've got all the time in the world."The US-Iran ceasefire may be extended by up to two weeks, though it will take much longer to hammer out a complete peace agreement, Macquarie Group said in a note on Monday.West Texas Intermediate crude oil declined 1.2% to $88.55 a barrel before the opening bell, while Brent decreased 0.9% to $86.68."Oil prices are being whipsawed by developments in the Middle East once again, with what appears to be de-escalation quickly turning to re-escalation," ING Bank said in a Monday report.Treasury yields were moving upwards in premarket action, with the two-year rate gaining 2.1 basis points to 3.74% and the 10-year rate edging 0.6 basis points higher to 4.26%.GE Aerospace (GE), UnitedHealth (UNH), Danaher (DHR), Northrop Grumman (NOC), 3M (MMM), D.R. Horton (DHI), Tractor Supply (TSCO) and Genuine Parts (GPC) are scheduled to report their latest financial results before the bell, among others.Shares of Amazon.com (AMZN) inclined 2.7% pre-bell after the e-commerce giant said it will invest $5 billion in artificial intelligence startup Anthropic and up to another $20 billion in the future if certain commercial milestones are met.Apple (AAPL) nudged 0.3% lower after the iPhone maker announced that Tim Cook will step down as chief executive and become executive chairman, with hardware engineering veteran John Ternus set to succeed him as CEO. Alaska Air (ALK) fell 2.9% after reporting its latest quarterly results.Tuesday's economic calendar has the retail sales report for March at 8:30 am ET, followed by the pending home sales index for the same month at 10 am.Federal Reserve Chair nominee Kevin Warsh's hearing before the Senate Banking committee is slated for 10 am. Fed Governor Christopher Waller is expected to speak at 2:30 pm.Gold slipped 0.6% to $4,801 per troy ounce, while bitcoin traded up 0.4% at $76,575.

Dow JonesNasdaq CompositeS&P 500$AAPL$ALK$AMZN$DHI$DHR$GE$GPC$MMM$NOC$TSCO$UNH
US Markets

Homebuilders' Earnings Likely to be Weighed Down by War Fallout, Soft Spring Selling Season, Truist Says

Several key US homebuilders' earnings this year are likely to take a hit, as the economic fallout from the Middle East conflict weighs on an already-soft spring selling season, Truist Securities said Thursday.The brokerage lowered its bottom-line estimates for the upcoming quarter and full year for six homebuilders. These are D.R. Horton (DHI), Meritage Homes (MTH), NVR (NVR), PulteGroup (PHM), Taylor Morrison Homes (TMHC), and Toll Brothers (TOL).Truist also trimmed its price targets for the six stocks, as it factored in inflation and the erosion in consumer confidence amid higher oil prices driven mainly by the US-Israel war with Iran that broke out at the end of February."The timing of this war was very unfortunate," Truist analyst Jonathan Bettenhausen said in a note to clients. "While we think industry expectations for this spring selling season were already calling for a roughly down low-single-digit environment from last year, we find it unlikely that a significant deterioration in the geopolitical environment was factored into those expectations."The brokerage said that while it's not expecting "many beats" among the stocks it covers, its favorite going into the latest quarterly print is Taylor Morrison. That stock likely has "the most bad news priced in," Bettenhausen wrote."We think any optimism on the spring selling season has effectively evaporated, and we have lowered our demand assumptions accordingly for (the first half) quarters, but also for the back half of the year on worse spring (build-to-order) new order demand," the analyst said.With new home sales and new residential construction data for March yet to be released, alternative market indicators such as mortgage reports and Google Trends "do not yield encouraging demand trends, which in our view, confirms the prevailing market sentiment on demand," according to the note.On Wednesday, the National Association of Home Builders and Wells Fargo said US homebuilder confidence sank this month to the lowest since September amid economic uncertainty, as well as increasing building material costs and interest rates.The White House is optimistic about reaching a deal with Iran, noting that a potential second round of talks would likely be held in Pakistan. Over the weekend, US-Iran peace negotiations in Islamabad ended without a deal. Meanwhile, a two-week ceasefire between Washington and Tehran holds.Price: $144.72, Change: $+0.52, Percent Change: +0.36%

$DHI$MTH$NVR$PHM$TMHC$TOL
Wire

D.R. Horton Faces Margin, Volume Pressure as Incentive Costs Rise, Oppenheimer Says

D.R. Horton (DHI) may face near-term profitability pressure and weaker volumes as rising incentive costs and macro headwinds weigh on its outlook, Oppenheimer said Thursday in a report.Oppenheimer cut estimates ahead of fiscal Q2, citing expected margin pressure in H2 and a lower fiscal 2026 closings forecast. Demand "remained steady" through late March, suggesting results could track close to company expectations, the report said.Gross margin is projected to decline sequentially in Q3, diverging from Wall Street expectations for a modest increase, as "elevated mortgage rates" continue to drive promotional activity, Oppenheimer said. Even if incentives stay "flat," margin compression is likely as cost pressures, including "lot cost inflation," persist, the report said.Closings could fall short of guidance if the company prioritizes "margin over pace" amid softer demand and slowing community growth, though lower inventory levels may give D.R. Horton flexibility to manage volumes and support margins, the report said.D.R. Horton has a "less attractive" risk-reward profile tied to its "interest-rate-sensitive customer base," limited buyer diversity and rental-business volatility, the report said.Oppenheimer has a perform rating on D.R. Horton stock.Q2 results are due Tuesday.Price: $144.89, Change: $+0.69, Percent Change: +0.48%

$DHI
Wire

Evercore ISI Adjusts D.R. Horton PT to $153 From $169, Maintains In Line Rating

D.R. Horton (DHI) has an average rating of Hold and mean price target of $156, according to analysts polled by FactSet.Price: $141.39, Change: $-1.25, Percent Change: -0.88%

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