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CME Group Sues CFTC Over Perpetual Future Decision That 'Went Outside the Law'
US Markets

CME Group Sues CFTC Over Perpetual Future Decision That 'Went Outside the Law'

CME Group Inc. is suing the Commodity Futures Trading Commission, or CFTC, after the regulator 'went outside the law' regarding a decision to allow a new type of derivative contract to trade in the US, according to a court filing and CME chief executive officer Terrence Duffy.Duffy, who runs the world's largest futures exchange, said in an interview prior to suing the agency that a May 29 CFTC decision is beyond its scope and should require Congressional action.The CFTC approval is for a somewhat new type of futures contract that has no expiration date. The so-called Bitcoin perpetual future, or perp, which began trading June 3 on Kalshi, has seen $5.6 billion in trading volume as of June 16, according to Kalshi."That order, issued without public comment or reasoned decision making, violates the plain terms of the Commodity Exchange Act," CME said in its filing with the US District Court for the District of Columbia. CME also named CFTC Chairman Michael Selig as a defendant. "If allowed to stand, it would enable Kalshi - and any other futures exchange seeking to list similar perpetual contracts - to circumvent the strict regulatory requirements set by Congress."A CFTC spokesperson said in an emailed statement that the agency disagrees with CME and believes the suit will be dismissed."Rather than compete in the marketplace, the CME has decided to undertake lawfare against the agency and the Trump Administration's pro-innovation agenda," the email said. "Incumbents fear the future and having to compete on a level playing field."Prior to the lawsuit, the CFTC said that the derivatives industry was invited to comment on perps clearing and trading last year and that the way the contracts work won't fit every market."Congress voted in 2000 on the Commodity Exchange Act, which defines all the rules and regulations that we've lived under over the last 26 years," Duffy said in a June 10 interview with. "I say it until I'm purple in the face, they defined a futures contract (as) a contract for trade for a future delivery date."The Bitcoin perp approved by the CFTC is more akin to a swap, but it's not a future due to its lack of expiration, he said.That point was made in the lawsuit."A perpetual contract is an agreement under which parties exchange payments based on the fluctuating value of a commodity, without delivering any interest in that commodity on any fixed date," the CME suit said. "Congress contemplated derivative instruments with this form and called them swaps, in the same breath legislating special requirements to address the role swaps had played in the 2008 financial crisis."Duffy said in the June 10 interview that the CFTC "went outside the law."CME said on June 17 that Duffy will step down as CEO in March and will serve as executive chairman. Chief Financial Officer Lynne Fitzpatrick will take over the top spot at the exchange.Perps became popular in the cryptocurrency world because they are simpler to use than a traditional futures contract.The market has boomed since 2025, with a high of $86.2 trillion worth of perps trading on centralized exchanges such as Binance last year, according to CoinGecko.The CFTC has faced pressure to allow US investors to buy and sell the contracts as overseas markets came to dominate trading. In July of 2025, the regulator approved a perpetual-style contract at Coinbase that has a five-year expiration.One area of growth for perps is decentralized exchanges such as HyperLiquid, where contract volume surged 346 percent last year compared with 2024 to $6.7 trillion, according to venture capital fund a16z crypto.Kalshi spent a significant amount of time working behind the scenes with CFTC staff to address their concerns about the Bitcoin perp contract before the exchange filed for approval, Sudhir Jain, chief compliance officer and head of regulatory affairs at Kalshi, said in an interview with. Jain spoke before the lawsuit was filed by CME.He said the company believes perps are a type of future contract, that Congress doesn't need to get involved and that it's up to the CFTC as to whether the industry is allowed to comment on a proposal once it has been made.He disagreed with Duffy that the CEA is clear on how it defines a future."The futures contract is not defined in the Commodity Exchange Act, it talks about commodities for future delivery - so it's more about delivery than a particular date," Jain said.Some futures contracts are cash settled and don't include a delivery mechanism, he said.Kalshi uses what's called a funding rate to keep the value of a perp contract that lacks an expiration tied to the cash price of Bitcoin.Buyers and sellers exchange payments depending on the price moves of the contract. If the perp is higher than the value of Bitcoin's spot price, the buyer of the perp pays the seller, but if it falls the seller pays the buyer. This is meant to incentivize other investors to enter the trade on the payment side to arbitrage the price back toward the underlying cash value.Jain said Kalshi's funding mechanism is the same for all perp investors and that uniformity has been established as a vital component in what makes a futures contract."It comes down to standardization, and not whether it has an expiry date or not," Jain said. "Companies are afraid of innovation and they need a reason to complain because they are not the first one to launch this. That's where this is coming from."Duffy said pressure from the Trump administration or from the cryptocurrency side of the derivatives business may have led to the CFTC decision."My only surmise is that the industry that's on that side of it wants these products for the leverage, because the retail [traders] love the leverage," he said. "(It's) not too dissimilar in 1929 when brokers leverage 90% of the value of a stock to the average American person before the great crash."That's what I think their whole motive was, to introduce more leverage into the system, and that's a concern I have."Matthew LeisingPrice: $251.21, Change: $-1.33, Percent Change: -0.53%

$CME
Wire

CME Sues CFTC Over Approval of Crypto-Linked Perpetual Contracts

Chicago Mercantile Exchange, a unit of CME Group (CME), has filed a lawsuit against the Commodity Futures Trading Commission, or CFTC, and its Chairman, Michael S. Selig, over approvals for perpetual contracts to be listed as futures, a copy of the lawsuit showed Thursday.The lawsuit comes after the commission approved a request from KalshiEX LLC to list a perpetual contract tied to Bitcoin for trading in US markets as a future rather than a swap, the designation CME says the CFTC had previously applied to such instruments.CME said the CFTC approved Kalshi's application on May 29, 2026, one day after it was submitted, without public comment or addressing more than 150 comments received after an earlier request for comment on how perpetual contracts should be classified.CME claimed that if the approval were allowed to stand, it would enable Kalshi and others to list similar perpetual contracts, thereby circumventing strict regulatory requirements set by Congress.CME said the approvals would allow Kalshi to compete unfairly with CME's retail-focused cryptocurrency futures products and asked the court to vacate the CFTC's order and related policy statement.CME also asked the court to declare that Kalshi's Bitcoin perpetual contract and similar digital commodity perpetual contracts are swaps, not futures.The lawsuit was filed with the US District Court for the District of Columbia.The CFTC did not immediately respond to' request for comment.Price: $253.08, Change: $+0.54, Percent Change: +0.21%

$CME
Research

Keefe Bruyette & Woods Upgrades CME to Outperform From Market Perform, Price Target is $305

CME Group (CME) has an average rating of overweight and mean price target of $308.80, according to analysts polled by FactSet.(covers equity, commodity and economic research from major banks and research firms in North America, Asia and Europe. Research providers may contact us here: https://www..com/contact-us)

$CME
Sectors

Sector Update: Financial Stocks Softer Late Afternoon

Financial stocks fell in late Wednesday afternoon trading with the NYSE Financial Index declining 0.7% and the State Street Financial Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLF) decreasing 0.8%.The Philadelphia Housing Index fell 1.9%, and the State Street Real Estate Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLRE) dropped 2.3%.Bitcoin (BTC-USD) dropped 0.9% to $65,060, and the yield for 10-year US Treasuries rose 3.5 basis points to 4.463%.In economic news, the Federal Reserve kept its benchmark lending rate steady, leaving the easing bias out of its policy statement. The Federal Open Market Committee maintained its federal funds rate target at 3.5% to 3.75%, in line with Wall Street's expectations and marking the fourth straight pause.Separately, US retail sales rose more than expected in May as consumers kept spending despite higher prices. Sales climbed 0.9% after a downwardly revised 0.4% gain in April, the Census Bureau reported Wednesday. The consensus was for a 0.6% increase in May, based on a Bloomberg survey.In corporate news, Ellington Financial (EFC) shares fell 2.2% after BTIG downgraded the stock to neutral from buy.CME (CME) said Terry Duffy will step down as CEO and become executive chairman of the board, effective March 1. He will be succeeded by Lynne Fitzpatrick, 48, the current chief financial officer and president, the company said Wednesday in a regulatory filing. CME shares were down 4%.JPMorgan Chase's (JPM) asset management division is advising investors to hold on to stocks and other higher-risk assets in H2, saying that AI investments should keep the markets rising despite higher inflation and a Federal Reserve that continues to maintain rates, Bloomberg reported. JPMorgan shares were up 0.4%.KKR-backed (KKR) BMC Software agreed to sell a majority stake in BMC Helix to Montagu in a carve-out deal, Montagu said. KKR shares were down 2.1%.

$CME$EFC$JPM$KKR
Wire

CME Group's Terry Duffy to Step Down as CEO in March; Lynne Fitzpatrick Named Successor

CME Group (CME) said Terry Duffy will step down as CEO and become executive chairman of the board, effective March 1.He will be succeeded by Lynne Fitzpatrick, 48, the current chief financial officer and president, the company said Wednesday in a regulatory filing.CME shares fell 4.6% in Wednesday trading.Price: $249.60, Change: $-12.00, Percent Change: -4.59%

$CME
Miami International Could Be Prediction Market Winner as Bettors Take Chances on Economic Data
US Markets

Miami International Could Be Prediction Market Winner as Bettors Take Chances on Economic Data

A lesser-known exchange with an office in downtown Miami and under a year of public trading might offer investors opportunities to cash in on prediction markets expected to reach $1 trillion in volume by 2030, according to Piper Sandler.That's alongside established firms like CME Group (CME), which are seeing a rising number of bets placed on economic data from retail investors already lured in by sports predictions.Miami International (MIAX), which offers trading in equities, options and futures, sold an exchange license in January to Rothera, a joint venture between Robinhood Markets (HOOD) and options powerhouse Susquehanna International Group. The exchange retained a 10% stake in Rothera, where Robinhood intends to migrate its current prediction markets business and Susquehanna serves as a market maker."The potential upside from (Miami International's) 10% ownership in what could be one of the largest prediction market venues, given the players that are involved, could be very impactful to their earnings," Piper Sandler analyst Patrick Moley said in an interview with.The company's shares have gained about 35% since going public in August, and Moley said there's still room for growth."There is an expectation that that will be a driver of their earnings growth going forward," he said. Andy Nybo, a spokesman for Miami International, declined to comment.CME Chief Executive Terrence Duffy negotiated a deal last year to list Flutter Entertainment's (FLUT) FanDuel sports event-based contracts in part to bring more retail traders to the world's largest futures market. Along with sports, the contracts include whether stock indices will rise or fall, where commodity prices are headed and what the unemployment rate will be at month's end.And a growing number of investors and researchers are betting that crowdsourcing economic data offers a better guide than current economic forecasts.A Federal Reserve study earlier this year measured economic indicators on Kalshi and said prediction markets may be "a new benchmark for measuring expectations and informing monetary policy decisions."The researchers compared Kalshi predictions to data from the Fed's Survey of Market Expectations, federal funds futures markets, the consumer price index, gross-domestic product forecasts, surveys by Bloomberg and other traditional economic indicators."Kalshi's forecasts for the federal funds rate and CPI provide statistically significant improvements over fed funds futures and professional forecasters, all while providing continuously updated full distributions rather than infrequent point estimates," the report said.Shares of Robinhood also may benefit from the expansion of prediction markets because of the potential for increased revenue through the Rothera deal, according to Piper Sandler's Moley. The stock is up 36% over the past year."If they keep the pricing the same, it's a 45% boost in Robinhood's economics for whatever they route through Rothera," he said.Still, prediction markets have been controversial. Lawsuits are pitting the federal government against states, heated legislative hearings have been held and a host of interested parties including the casino industry, Native American tribes, anti-gambling advocates, exchanges and sports-betting companies all have a dog in the fight.CME's Duffy said he has a complicated relationship with prediction markets. "I will say personally, I believe that sports predictions are gambling," Duffy said in an interview with. "I list them because the government says I can. It doesn't mean I have to like it."He welcomed the customers FanDuel brings to CME and said ensuring they understand the risks of trading is an important concern. Duffy doesn't, however, subscribe to the theory that prediction markets are an improvement on current forecasting tools."These are not replacement vehicles for markets," he said. "These are a sentiment not too dissimilar than a dot plot by the Fed governors or other participants who think what the economic indicators may or may not be."He also took issue with contracts that can be easily manipulated or cause harm. A US soldier earlier this year was accused of allegedly using classified intelligence to win over $400,000 on Polymarket through a contract on when Venezuelan president Nicolas Maduro would be captured.The soldier was indicted in April for "unlawful use of confidential government information for personal gain," wire fraud and other charges."If the prediction is, 'will Maduro be captured by a certain date?' my answer to you is all those people should be in jail," Duffy said. "I'm not talking about the soldier, I'm talking about the people who list those kind of markets and the people who approve those kind of markets that are susceptible to manipulation."Susquehanna has been among the first investors to stake a claim on the data-driven part of prediction markets. Jeremy Maletz, head of macro trading and prediction markets at Susquehanna, said in a recent Futures Industry Association podcast that the field was wide open after regulators cleared the way for how prediction markets can operate."The life cycle went from a year to a day in terms of how you create a product, and it means that you can kind of create whatever there is and respond to the changing demands of the market," Maletz said on the podcast.Susquehanna and Robinhood declined to make executives available for comment.Rothera began trading June 1 and recorded $26 million in volume as of June 8, according to a weekly report by Piper Sandler's Moley. Sports still dominates prediction market volumes, but the analyst said non-sports contracts continue to grow."A lot of the contracts on economic indicators, they lack a ton of liquidity, but the data and its relevance to large institutions is very valuable," Moley said.Matthew Leising

$CME$FLUT$HOOD$MIAX
Commodities

CME Group to Offer 24/7 Trading for New, Small Oil, Gold Futures Contracts

CME Group (CME) will offer round-the-clock seven-days-a-week trading for smaller-sized crude oil and gold contracts, pending regulatory review, it said on Wednesday.The derivative exchange's new 10-barrel West Texas Intermediate crude oil contract launches on Aug. 30 and makes more precise hedging possible while expanding market access to participants previously excluded.A 1-ounce gold futures contract will begin trading on July 26."Our new WTI and Gold futures provide regulated products that are right-sized and available 24/7, ensuring traders can manage exposure whenever news breaks," said Derek Sammann, CME Group Senior Managing Director and Global Head of Commodities Markets.In the first quarter of 2026, WTI crude oil options reached a record ADV of 320,000 contracts while the Micro WTI crude oil futures' ADV reached 272,000 in May, up 317% from May 2025.The 10-barrel WTI contract will be settled in cash and listed on the NYMEX, the statement said.

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Research

Rothschild & Co Redburn Upgrades CME Group to Buy From Neutral, Adjusts PT to $323 From $316

CME Group (CME) has an average rating of overweight and mean price target of $308.80, according to analysts polled by FactSet.(covers equity, commodity and economic research from major banks and research firms in North America, Asia and Europe. Research providers may contact us here: https://www..com/contact-us)

$CME
Asia Markets

US-Iran Flare-Up Drags US Equity Futures Pre-Bell as Middle East Tensions Re-Escalate

US equity futures were edging lower pre-bell Wednesday as the US and Iran once again exchanged attacks after a US Army Apache helicopter was shot down, raising tensions in the Middle East.Dow Jones Industrial Average futures were 0.6% lower, S&P 500 futures were down 0.6%, and Nasdaq futures were 0.7% lower.US Central Command said in an X post that it launched "self-defense strikes" against Iran as a "proportional response to unjustified Iranian aggression," responding to the downing of a US Army helicopter. Iran, which did not claim responsibility for shooting down the chopper, responded with attacks on Bahrain, Kuwait, and Jordan.In a post on Truth Social, US President Donald Trump said that Iran has been "completely defeated." Trump added, "They've taken too long to negotiate a deal that would have been great for them, now they will have to pay the price!!!"Traders look forward to Oracle's (ORCL) fiscal Q4 financial results, scheduled to be released after the market closes.Oil prices were higher, with front-month global benchmark North Sea Brent crude up 0.8% at $88.93 per barrel and US West Texas Intermediate crude 0.7% higher at $92.05 per barrel.The May consumer price index, released at 8:30 am ET, gained 0.5% as expected, compared with a 0.6% increase in the previous month, according to estimates compiled by Bloomberg.In other world markets, Japan's Nikkei closed 1.9% lower, Hong Kong's Hang Seng ended 0.6% lower, and China's Shanghai Composite finished 0.4% lower. Meanwhile, the UK's FTSE 100 was down 0.2%, and Germany's DAX index was 0.9% lower in Europe's early afternoon session.In equities, shares of Nvidia (NVDA), Microsoft (MSFT), and Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing (TSM) were all lower as part of a broader sell-off in the tech sector. Nvidia stock was down 1.3%, Microsoft shares fell 0.9%, and Taiwan Semiconductor stock was down 2.3%.On the winning side, CME Group (CME) shares were marginally higher after the company said it launched Nasdaq CME Crypto Index futures. Casey's General Stores (CASY) stock was up 2.1% after the company reported fiscal Q4 earnings and revenue that surpassed analysts' estimates.

Dow JonesNasdaq CompositeS&P 500$CASY$CME$MSFT$NVDA$ORCL$TSM
Research

Research Alert: CFRA Keeps Buy Opinion On Shares Of Cme Group Inc.

CFRA, an independent research provider, has providedwith the following research alert. Analysts at CFRA have summarized their opinion as follows:We lower our 12-month target price by $60 to $320, based on a forward P/E of 24.5x our 2027 earnings estimate, a premium to historical averages given an improved margin profile. Our reduced target price reflects rising competition. Previously, we expected CME's valuation multiple to expand alongside solid earnings and revenue growth. However, the CFTC's approval of Bitcoin perpetual futures at Kalshi is likely to pressure valuations for traditional exchange operators as investors fear more approvals are in the pipeline. If regulators extend approval to other asset classes and trading products, traditional exchanges could lose significant market share, especially in retail trading. We believe CME faces moderate risk given its exposure to futures and retail. Other exchanges likely to face pressure include Cboe Global Markets Inc. (CBOE 274 ****), Nasdaq Inc. (NDAQ 88 *****), and Intercontinental Exchange Inc. (ICE 141 ****), noting the last two are less of a concern due to their stronger institutional focus.

$CME
Wire

Update: Interactive Brokers Rolls Out Prediction-Market Platform

(Updates with details from Interactive Brokers' statement throughout, adds share movement in the last paragraph)Interactive Brokers (IBKR) said Thursday that it is launching a platform that enables investors to trade contracts across all three prediction market exchanges from a single platform.The firm said the platform will aggregate prices, and clients can access the combined liquidity of ForecastEx, CME Group (CME), and Kalshi and receive the best available net price.Clients will be able to initially trade contracts focused on election outcomes, climate events, and economic indicators, it said.Shares were up over 2% in morning trading.Price: $87.20, Change: $+2.08, Percent Change: +2.44%

$CME$IBKR
Wire

Market Chatter: Interactive Brokers Rolls Out Prediction-Market Platform

Interactive Brokers (IBKR) is rolling out a platform that lets clients trade prediction-market contracts through its own ForecastEx, CME Group (CME), and Kalshi, the Wall Street Journal reported Thursday.Clients will be able to trade yes-or-no contracts tied to elections, climate and economic outcomes, while sports and pop culture will be excluded, the report said.The platform will aggregate prices across exchanges and route orders to the best available execution, including fees, with plans to expand access over time, the report said.Interactive Brokers didn't immediately respond to a request for comment from.(Market Chatter news is derived from conversations with market professionals globally. This information is believed to be from reliable sources but may include rumor and speculation. Accuracy is not guaranteed.)Price: $85.66, Change: $+0.54, Percent Change: +0.63%

$CME$IBKR
Wire

CME Group to Launch Nasdaq Crypto Index Futures

CME Group (CME) said Thursday it plans to launch Nasdaq CME Crypto Index futures on June 8, subject to regulatory approval.The financially settled product will be the company's first market-cap-weighted futures offering and will be available in multiple sizes, the company said.The contracts will allow investors to gain exposure to major digital assets such as bitcoin and ether, CME Group added.Price: $296.11, Change: $-1.02, Percent Change: -0.34%

$CME
Sectors

Sector Update: Financial Stocks Edge Higher Pre-Bell Tuesday

Financial stocks were edging higher pre-bell Tuesday, with the State Street Financial Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLF) advancing by 0.1%.The Direxion Daily Financial Bull 3X Shares (FAS) was 0.7% higher and its bearish counterpart Direxion Daily Financial Bear 3X Shares (FAZ) was down 0.3%.EToro (ETOR) stock was up 0.4% after the company reported an increase in Q1 adjusted earnings.CME Group (CME) said it is partnering with Silicon Data to launch a compute futures market later this year, pending regulatory review. Shares of CME Group were 0.8% higher premarket.Goldman Sachs' (GS) private equity business within Goldman Sachs Alternatives acquired FGI Worldwide, the company said. Goldman Sachs stock was down 0.2% pre-bell.

$CME$ETOR$FAS$FAZ$GS$XLF
Commodities

Market Chatter: $7 Billion Oil Bets Placed Ahead of Trump's Iran Announcements Spark Scrutiny

Oil market bets totaling as much as $7 billion were placed ahead of major Iran-related announcements by US President Donald Trump in March and April, a Reuters analysis of exchange data, published Thursday, showed, raising fresh scrutiny over possible insider trading.The trades, spread across crude, diesel and gasoline futures on the Intercontinental Exchange (ICE) and the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME), far exceed previously reported positions worth about $2.6 billion.Reuters said it could not determine who placed the trades or whether they originated in the US or abroad.The US Commodity Futures Trading Commission is investigating the activity, a person familiar with the matter told Reuters in April, but has not publicly confirmed a probe.Separately, ABC News reported Thursday that the US Department of Justice is also investigating oil trades linked to the Iran conflict.The trades involved short positions that profited from sharp declines in oil prices following Trump's announcements on Iran. Traders first identified unusual activity on March 23, minutes before Trump delayed and threatened attacks on Iranian power infrastructure, sending oil prices sharply lower.Similar trading patterns appeared on April 7, before Trump announced a ceasefire with Iran; on April 17, before Iranian officials discussed reopening the Strait of Hormuz; and again on April 21, before Trump extended the ceasefire.In response to' request for comment, White House spokesperson Davis Ingle said, "All federal employees are subject to government ethics guidelines that prohibit the use of nonpublic information for financial benefit."He added that any implication that administration officials "are engaged in such activity without evidence is baseless and irresponsible reporting."Reuters' expanded analysis found coordinated sell orders across Brent and West Texas Intermediate crude futures, as well as European diesel and US gasoline contracts, often executed within minutes of key announcements.It found that on March 23 alone, traders sold roughly $2.2 billion in oil and fuel futures contracts shortly before Trump's announcement. Oil prices later fell by over 10%, while fuel prices dropped by about 12%.Reuters cited information from Adi Imsirovic, a veteran oil trader and associate at the Center for Strategic and International Studies, who said the trades appeared "well informed" and noted regulators could trace the activity through exchange data.ICE, CME, the Justice Department, and the CFTC did not immediately respond to requests for comment.(Market Chatter news is derived from conversations with market professionals globally. This information is believed to be from reliable sources but may include rumor and speculation. Accuracy is not guaranteed.)

$CME$ICE
Wire

CME Group Reports Lower April Average Daily Volume

CME Group (CME) said Monday its average daily volume for April was 25.9 million contracts, down 28% from a year earlier.The derivatives marketplace operator reported an ADV of 11.4 million interest rate contracts for the month, as well as 2.9 million energy contracts and 7.8 million equity index contracts.ADV in metals declined 12%, while agriculture and forex ADV decreased 5% and 31%, respectively, from the previous year, CME said.Price: $292.01, Change: $+2.47, Percent Change: +0.85%

$CME
Wire

Autonomous Research Adjusts Price Target on CME Group to $326 From $344, Maintains Outperform Rating

CME Group (CME) has an average rating of hold and mean price target of $309.33, according to analysts polled by FactSet.(covers equity, commodity and economic research from major banks and research firms in North America, Asia and Europe. Research providers may contact us here: https://www..com/contact-us)Price: $284.45, Change: $-0.08, Percent Change: -0.03%

$CME
Wire

CME Sees Record Volumes Offset by Pricing Pressure; Data Services Momentum Remains Strong, RBC Says

CME (CME) reported record average daily volumes across all asset classes and regions in Q1, but gains were partially offset by lower revenue per contract, RBC Capital said in a Wednesday note.RBC noted that Market Data and Information Services remains a key strength, with revenue growth accelerating to about 15% year over year, driven by subscriber growth, pricing initiatives, and new product adoption.Management projects revenue growth for 2026 of about 8.5% year over year to roughly $7.07 billion, slightly below consensus estimates of 9.1%, driven by clearing and transaction fees, market data and information services, and other revenues. Adjusted earnings per share is projected at $12.27 versus $12.34 consensus, according to the report.The brokerage expects continued momentum in data services and retail-driven trading activity but flagged tougher year-over-year comparisons in Q2 due to prior-period macro volatility, while maintaining a constructive outlook on CME's structural growth drivers.RBC maintained its sector perform rating on the stock with a price target of $302.Price: $283.06, Change: $-2.65, Percent Change: -0.93%

$CME
Wire

CME Group Viewed as Strongest Liquidity Venue in Current Market, Morgan Stanley Says

CME Group (CME) is best placed in the current market environment, with recent volatility reducing competitive pressure and pushing traders toward the deepest liquidity pools, Morgan Stanley said Thursday in a report.Debates over inflation and interest rates could lift average daily volume more than 9% in 2026 and 8% in 2027, outpacing the 6% growth seen over the past five years, the report said.CME could also see higher activity as governments run larger deficits, supply chains remain unsettled, and energy markets continue to shift, the report said.Morgan Stanley pointed to rapid growth in CME's event-based contracts, which have drawn 150,000 new accounts and about 215 million trades since their December launch, as well as the exchange's plans to launch 24/7 crypto trading on May 29.9.Still, a softer-than-expected rate per contract in Q1 may weigh on earnings, the report said. Morgan Stanley trimmed its 2027 EPS estimate by 2.5%.Morgan Stanley cut its price target on CME stock to $353 from $362 and maintained its overweight rating.Price: $282.56, Change: $-3.15, Percent Change: -1.10%

$CME
Wire

Barclays Adjusts Price Target on CME Group to $316 From $343, Maintains Equalweight Rating

CME Group (CME) has an average rating of hold and mean price target of $312.73, according to analysts polled by FactSet.(covers equity, commodity and economic research from major banks and research firms in North America, Asia and Europe. Research providers may contact us here: https://www..com/contact-us)Price: $283.45, Change: $-2.26, Percent Change: -0.79%

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