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Market Chatter: Trump Signals Confidence on Iran Talks Despite Strait Disruptions

US President Donald Trump said Thursday he is "very optimistic" about a potential peace deal with Iran as talks begin, despite a fragile ceasefire and shipping disruptions through the Strait of Hormuz, NBC News reported.Trump said Iranian officials are "much more reasonable" in negotiations, noting they are showing willingness to meet key conditions, while warning that failure to reach an agreement would have serious consequences.A US team led by Vice President J D Vance is set to travel to Pakistan for key negotiations in Islamabad aimed at resolving the nearly six-week-long conflict.The ceasefire is under pressure as Israeli strikes in southern Lebanon continue, leading Trump to call on Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu to reduce military activity, the report added, citing two senior administration officials.Trump said he had spoken with Netanyahu, who reportedly told Trump, "he's going to low-key it." Vance also suggested Israel may scale back its actions during the ongoing offensive, according to the report.Netanyahu said Israel will continue targeting Hezbollah, stating he insisted the ceasefire "not include Hezbollah," while also signaling openness to direct negotiations with Lebanon.European leaders have urged that Lebanon be included in the limited ceasefire, according to the report.Shipping through the Strait of Hormuz remains limited, with only five vessels crossing on Wednesday, the first day of the truce and none carrying oil or gas, raising doubts about whether flows are truly resuming, the report added.As of midday Thursday, two vessels had crossed the strait.(Market Chatter news is derived from conversations with market professionals globally. This information is believed to be from reliable sources but may include rumor and speculation. Accuracy is not guaranteed.)

Insider Trading119d ago

Global Ship Lease Insider Sold Shares Worth $296,227, According to a Recent SEC Filing

Georgios Giannopoulos, Chief Compliance Officer, on April 07, 2026, sold 7,692 shares in Global Ship Lease (GSL) for $296,227. Following the Form 4 filing with the SEC, Giannopoulos has control over a total of 142,308 Class A common shares of the company, with 142,308 shares held directly.SEC Filing:https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1430725/000114036126014005/xslF345X05/form4.xml

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Insider Trading119d ago

Dorian Lpg Insider Sold Shares Worth $355,040, According to a Recent SEC Filing

John Lycouris, Director, Head of Energy Transition, on April 08, 2026, sold 10,000 shares in Dorian Lpg (LPG) for $355,040. Following the Form 4 filing with the SEC, Lycouris has control over a total of 357,939 common shares of the company, with 157,939 shares held directly and 200,000 controlled indirectly.SEC Filing:https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1596993/000091957426002140/xslF345X05/ownership.xml

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Sector Update: Financial Stocks Advance Late Afternoon

Financial stocks increased late Thursday afternoon, with the NYSE Financial Index adding 0.3% and the State Street Financial Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLF) up 0.4%.The Philadelphia Housing Index was climbing 1.2%, and the State Street Real Estate Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLRE) rose 0.8%.Bitcoin (BTC-USD) rose 1.1% to $72,174, and the yield for 10-year US Treasuries was slightly lower at 4.29%.In economic news, US economic growth, measured by gross domestic product, was revised lower to a 0.5% increase in Q4 from a 0.7% gain in the second estimate, compared with estimates for no revision in a Bloomberg survey.US initial jobless claims rose to 219,000 in the week ended April 4 from an upwardly revised 203,000 in the previous week, compared with expectations for 210,000 in a Bloomberg poll.In corporate news, Ares Management (ARES) on Thursday agreed to acquire Whitestone REIT (WSR) in an all-cash deal worth about $1.7 billion. Ares shares were fractionally down, and Whitestone jumped nearly 12%.Carlyle (CG) will limit redemptions to 5% for its Tactical Private Credit Fund after receiving repurchase requests amounting to roughly 15.7% of shares outstanding, The Wall Street Journal reported, citing a shareholder letter. Carlyle shares were little changed.Goldman Sachs-backed (GS) Japanese taxi-hailing provider Go plans an initial public offering in 2026 that could raise between 50 billion yen ($314.5 million) and 80 billion yen, Bloomberg reported. Goldman shares shed 0.2%.TPG (TPG) has hired UBS (UBS) and Malayan Banking to help weigh options for Malaysian medical services provider Asia OneHealthcare, Bloomberg reported. TPG shares rose 1.2%, and UBS added 0.3%.

$ARES$CG$GS$TPG$UBS$WSR

Sector Update: Energy Stocks Decline Late Afternoon

Energy stocks were lower late Thursday afternoon, with the NYSE Energy Sector Index decreasing 0.5% and the State Street Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLE) falling 1%.The Philadelphia Oil Service Sector Index was up 0.2%, and the Dow Jones US Utilities Index climbed 1%.In sector news, oil prices increased on Thursday as shipment activity through the Strait of Hormuz remained restricted despite a two-week ceasefire between Washington and Iran. The rebound in oil prices follows the sharpest one-day pullback since 2020 in the previous session as the US and Iran agreed to temporarily halt hostilities that had gripped the Middle East.Front-month West Texas Intermediate crude oil rose 5% to $99.24 a barrel, and the global benchmark Brent crude contract was advancing 2.5% to $97.12 a barrel.Henry Hub natural gas futures fell 1.5% to $2.68 per 1 million BTU.US natural gas stocks rose by 50 billion cubic feet in the week ended April 3, larger than the 48 billion increase expected in a survey compiled by Bloomberg as of 7:35 am ET and following a revised increase of 32 billion cubic feet in the previous week.In corporate news, Kosmos Energy (KOS) shares dropped 8.1% after Goldman Sachs downgraded the company's stock to sell from neutral, with a $2.25 price target.Chevron (CVX) expects higher commodity prices driven by the Middle East conflict to boost Q1 earnings in its upstream segment by up to $2.2 billion, though timing impacts could weigh on its bottom line. Its shares were down 1.2%.Exxon Mobil (XOM) is planning an overhaul in the spring and another at the end of the year at its Beaumont refinery in Texas, Reuters reported late Wednesday. Exxon shares shed 0.8%.Energy Vault (NRGV) shares gained 3% after it said Thursday it has agreed to buy a pipeline of battery energy storage system, or BESS, projects in Japan from a local company.

$CVX$KOS$NRGV$XOM

$APLD$CRWV$GOOGL$INTC$META$MSFT

Sector Update: Tech Stocks Higher Late Afternoon

Tech stocks were higher late Thursday afternoon, with the State Street Technology Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLK) up 0.2% and the State Street SPDR S&P Semiconductor ETF (XSD) adding 1.2%.The Philadelphia Semiconductor index climbed 1.9%.In corporate news, Microsoft-backed (MSFT) OpenAI said on X that it is offering a new ChatGPT Pro tier for $100 per month. Also, OpenAI expects to report $2.5 billion in ad revenue this year and $100 billion by 2030, Axios reported. Microsoft shares eased 0.3%.Applied Digital (APLD) shares dropped past 7% following its fiscal Q3 results.CoreWeave (CRWV) agreed to supply AI cloud capacity to Meta Platforms (META) in a $21 billion deal as they expanded their partnership amid robust demand for infrastructure supporting AI workloads. Meta was up 2.7%, and CoreWeave climbed 3.6%.Intel (INTC) and Alphabet's (GOOGL) Google have expanded a multiyear agreement to develop AI and cloud infrastructure using Xeon processors and custom infrastructure processing units, the companies said Thursday. Intel shares gained 4.5%, and Alphabet increased 0.5%.

Sector Update: Health Care Stocks Mixed Late Afternoon

Health care stocks were mixed late Thursday afternoon, with the NYSE Health Care Index adding 0.1% and the State Street Health Care Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLV) easing 0.1%.The iShares Biotechnology ETF (IBB) increased 0.2%.In corporate news, STAAR Surgical (STAA) needs to show that the rebound in China is sustainable after the firm reported much higher preliminary Q1 net sales than consensus, Wedbush said in a note. Wedbush raised the company's price target to $26 from $21, while keeping its neutral rating. STAAR shares jumped 21%.Amazon.com's (AMZN) Amazon Pharmacy said Thursday it is offering Eli Lilly's (LLY) obesity pill Foundayo. Additionally, WW International (WW) said Thursday it is now offering access to Foundayo for weight loss through its Med+ program and affiliated medical groups. Lilly shares rose 0.4%.BridgeBio Pharma (BBIO) is transitioning from a single-asset transthyretin story into a diversified rare disease company, with growth poised to accelerate beyond its ATTR franchise, RBC Capital said in a note. RBC started coverage of the company with an outperform rating and a price target of $100. BridgeBio shares rose 2.7%.Vanda Pharmaceuticals (VNDA) said Thursday it is calling on the US Food and Drug Administration to withdraw a proposal in the regulator's fiscal 2027 Congressional Budget Justification that would extend drug review timelines. Vanda shares were down 0.3%.

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Update: Market Chatter: Yanbu Port Loadings Persist After Attack on Key Saudi Pipeline

(Updated with Aramco's response in the eighth paragraph.)Crude shipments from Saudi Arabia's Yanbu port continued Thursday despite an attack on the 7 million barrels per day East-West pipeline, Reuters reported Thursday, citing three sources.Cargo loadings at the Red Sea terminal were continuing after the pipeline strike, with two buyers and one trading source indicating no immediate disruption to export operations.Iran carried out the attack shortly after a ceasefire agreement, targeting the pipeline that serves as Saudi Arabia's main alternative export route, an industry source told Reuters on Wednesday.The source said pipeline flows were expected to be disrupted, with authorities still evaluating the extent of the damage following the incident.Yanbu has become a critical outlet as the Strait of Hormuz faces effective closure, limiting shipments from the Gulf and shifting export reliance toward the Red Sea.Loadings at Yanbu averaged about 3.3 mmb/d in March, sharply higher than about 800,000 b/d in February, with the port capable of exporting up to 5 mmb/d, the report added, citing Kpler's data.Saudi Aramco is diverting about 2 mmb/d of crude flowing through the pipeline to supply its refineries in western Saudi Arabia, according to the report.Aramco declined to comment on' request.(Market Chatter news is derived from conversations with market professionals globally. This information is believed to be from reliable sources but may include rumor and speculation. Accuracy is not guaranteed.)

Sector Update: Consumer Stocks Rise Late Afternoon

Consumer stocks were higher late Thursday afternoon, with the State Street Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLP) increasing 0.8% and the State Street Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLY) rising 1.6%.In corporate news, Netflix (NFLX) may outperform its own guidance for the full year as the impact of earlier-than-expected price increases takes hold, UBS Securities said in a note emailed Thursday. Netflix shares were up 2.8%.Brown-Forman (BF.A, BF.B) was approached by Sazerac about a potential transaction amid ongoing talks with French spirits company Pernod Ricard, The Wall Street Journal reported. Brown-Forman Class A and Class B shares jumped 11% and 13% respectively.StubHub (STUB) will pay $10 million to settle US Federal Trade Commission charges that it deceptively advertised ticket prices by failing to disclose mandatory fees upfront, the agency said. StubHub shares fell 2.8%.Constellation Brands (STZ) shares climbed past 8% after the company reported late Wednesday fiscal Q4 non-GAAP net income and revenue that beat analysts' expectations.

$BF.A$BF.B$NFLX$STUB$STZ

Fourth-Quarter GDP Growth Unexpectedly Revised Lower Amid Weaker Consumer Spending

The US economy expanded at a slower rate in the fourth quarter than previously projected, as consumer spending growth decelerated, the Bureau of Economic Analysis' third estimate showed Thursday.Real gross domestic product increased at a 0.5% annualized rate in the December quarter, down from the 0.7% growth reported in the second estimate. The consensus was for the growth rate to be left unrevised in a survey compiled by Bloomberg.The final reading marks the slowest growth rate in three quarters and follows a 4.4% expansion in the previous quarter, according to government data. The report was delayed due to last year's US federal government shutdown.Growth in consumer spending -- as measured by personal consumption expenditures -- was revised to 1.9% from the 2% rate previously reported, which Wall Street also expected would not change."The downward revision to (fourth-quarter) GDP is not a major concern, as it was driven by the volatile inventory component," Oxford Economics Chief US Economist Michael Pearce said in remarks e-mailed to. "Gross domestic income -- a better gauge of underlying activity -- and gross domestic output of private business showed the core of the economy was still expanding at a healthy pace at the end of last year."Fourth-quarter headline PCE inflation growth was left unchanged at 2.9%. Core PCE inflation -- which excludes the volatile food and energy components -- was also unrevised at 2.7%, official data showed.In 2025, real GDP grew 2.1%, the same rate as previously forecast, according to the report.The BEA said in a separate report Thursday that US inflation accelerated sequentially in February as real consumer spending edged higher. Analysts expect price pressures to intensify due to the spillover effects of the Middle East conflict.

Treasury119d ago

US Treasury Closing Levels

3:00 Thursday vs 3:00 Wednesday2yr 100-04 vs 100-05; 3.777% vs 3.790%5yr 99-26+ vs 99-25+; 3.911% vs 3.918%10yr 98-22 vs 98-21+; 4.287% vs 4.289%30yr 97-23 vs 97-27+; 4.895% vs 4.885%2/10 50.809 bps vs 49.745 bps5/30 98.163 bps vs 96.448 bps

NATO Chief Says 34-Nation Coalition Moves to Safeguard Hormuz Shipping

NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte said Thursday a 34-country coalition led by the UK is aligning with the US to ensure the Strait of Hormuz remains open for global trade.Rutte made the remarks at the Ronald Reagan Institute's Center for Peace Through Strength.Rutte said UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer stressed, "we have to bring together a coalition... to make sure that the principle of free shipping... is upheld," highlighting coordinated action with the US.He said contributions differ by nation, adding the Netherlands will likely deploy "mine hunters... and radar technology," describing the effort as "practical support" to secure shipping lanes.Rutte added conditions remain uncertain, noting the situation is "two days into the ceasefire," and developments in shipping lanes will be reviewed "day by day" as operations evolve.The US president is focused on reopening routes quickly, adding that the mission aims "to make sure that this principle of free shipping is maintained" beyond immediate military coordination.Rutte added the coalition spans beyond NATO, noting participation from Japan, South Korea, Australia, Bahrain, and the United Arab Emirates, calling it a broad-based international maritime effort.He said the UK-led group is aligning "military, political and economic tools," describing it as a strategic shift with European allies taking stronger roles in regional and global security.Participating nations agree that the Strait must not close. Rutte stressed "we cannot accept the strait to be closed," underscoring urgency around maintaining uninterrupted maritime access.Rutte said even smaller maritime nations contribute meaningfully, noting countries like the Netherlands remain relevant, while NATO allies form the bulk of the coalition securing the vital route.

Netflix Set to Beat 2026 Guidance Amid Early US Price Increases, UBS Says

Netflix (NFLX) may outperform its own guidance for the full year as the impact of earlier-than-expected price increases takes hold, UBS Securities said in a note emailed Thursday.Last month, the company increased prices across its US plans, including raising its ad-supported standard tier to $8.99 per month from $7.99. The price of its standard plan without ads rose by $2 to $19.99 a month, while the premium tier now costs $26.99, compared with $24.99 previously.These price increases offer upside potential for 2026 estimates, UBS analysts including John Hodulik wrote.UBS projects currency neutral revenue growth of 14% with a 32.6% margin rate for 2026, compared with guidance that called for a 11% to 13% revenue increase and a 31.5% margin.BofA Securities previously said that Netflix's most recent round of price increases highlighted the streaming giant's pricing power.The company is likely to roll out more hikes in other major markets that are expected to boost average revenue per member, according to the UBS note.The widening price gap between plans with and without ads, along with new demand-side platform relations with companies including Amazon (AMZN), will likely double Netflix's ad-supported revenue in 2026, Hodulik said."While Netflix continues to slowly grow share of total TV viewing in the US, its share of streaming viewership remains under pressure given growth in (free ad-supported television)," Hodulik added.In February, Netflix dropped its plans to acquire Warner Bros. Discovery (WBD), which will now be acquired by Paramount Skydance (PSKY)."With the Warner Bros bid behind it, we believe Netflix is still positioned to benefit from its solid slate of content this year including the return of four of its top 20 series, new films such as War Machine and The Rip, a growing list of live events and the ramp in video games," Hodulik said.Shares of Netflix were up 2.5% in recent trading on Thursday.Price: $101.64, Change: $+2.25, Percent Change: +2.26%

$AMZN$NFLX$PSKY

Dow JonesNasdaq CompositeS&P 500$ARES$CRWV$CVX$META$WSR

Equities Rise Intraday as US-Iran Ceasefire Holds Amid Hormuz Uncertainty

US benchmark equity indexes were higher intraday as a recent two-week ceasefire between Washington and Iran appeared to be holding, though oil prices rebounded as access to the Strait of Hormuz remained restricted.The Dow Jones Industrial Average and the Nasdaq Composite were up 0.8% each at 48,279.5 and 22,811.7, respectively, after midday Thursday. The S&P 500 added 0.7% to 6,829. Barring energy, all sectors were in the green, led by consumer discretionary.West Texas Intermediate crude was up 2.3% at $96.54 a barrel intraday. The benchmark hit up to $102.70 a barrel earlier in the session. Brent crude edged up 0.6% to $94.96 per barrel.The rebound in oil prices follows the sharpest one-day pullback since 2020 in the previous session as the US and Iran agreed to temporarily halt hostilities that had gripped the Middle East since the end of February."The Strait of Hormuz is not open," Abu Dhabi National Oil Chief Executive Sultan Al Jaber said in a LinkedIn post Thursday. "Access is being restricted, conditioned and controlled."Iranian state media previously reported that transit through the strait was halted following Israeli attacks on Lebanon. Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said the country would negotiate with Lebanon on disarming Hezbollah, CNN reported Thursday."We continue to contend that actual transit levels through the waterway will remain significantly depressed given that Iran is insisting vessels must coordinate with its military or face destruction," RBC Capital Markets said in a note.Officials from Washington and Tehran are expected to meet this weekend in Pakistan, which helped broker the truce.US Treasury yields were lower intraday, with the 10-year rate down two basis points at 4.27% and the two-year rate dropping 3.4 basis points to 3.76%.In economic news, US inflation accelerated sequentially in February as real consumer spending edged higher, with analysts expecting price pressures to intensify due to the spillover effects of the Middle East conflict.The Federal Reserve's preferred inflation metric -- which excludes food and energy -- rose 0.4% month over month, unchanged from January's reading. Annual growth slowed to 3% from 3.1%. All inflation prints met estimates in Bloomberg-compiled surveys."With headline inflation likely to test 4% soon, there is little chance the Fed will ease policy in the near term," BMO Capital Markets said in a note.Weekly applications for unemployment insurance in the US rose more than expected, while continuing claims reached the lowest level since May 2024, government data showed."The latest jobless claims data offer no evidence that the (US-Israel) war with Iran has had a notable impact on the labor market," Oxford Economics said in a note. "We don't think an upside surprise in one week is sending a signal that labor market conditions are softening."In company news, CoreWeave (CRWV) agreed to supply artificial intelligence cloud capacity to Meta Platforms (META) in a $21 billion deal as the companies expanded their partnership amid robust demand for infrastructure supporting AI workloads. CoreWeave shares were up 6.1% intraday, while Meta rose 3%.Ares Management (ARES) agreed to acquire and take private Whitestone REIT (WSR) in an all-cash deal worth about $1.7 billion. Whitestone shares jumped 11%, while Ares advanced 0.5%.Chevron (CVX) said it expected higher commodity prices driven by the Middle East conflict to boost first-quarter earnings in its upstream segment by up to $2.2 billion, though timing impacts could weigh on the oil giant's bottom line. The company's shares were down 1.4% intraday, among the worst performers on the Dow.Gold was up 0.9% at $4,819 per troy ounce, while silver advanced 1.5% to $76.49 per ounce.

Asia Markets119d ago

US Equity Indexes Rise Amid Reports of Hormuz Opening, Israel's Plans to Talk With Lebanon

US equity indexes rose after midday Thursday amid media reports that the Strait of Hormuz is open and Israel's Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said Tel Aviv will begin direct talks with Lebanon to disarm Hezbollah.The Nasdaq Composite rose 0.8% to 22,815.1, with the S&P 500 up 0.7% to 6,830.9 and the Dow Jones Industrial Average higher by 0.8% to 48,308.4, after staging a strong rally on Wednesday. All sectors except energy and healthcare rose intraday, while consumer discretionary, utilities, and real estate led the gainers.All three mainstream indexes had opened lower on Thursday, reflecting Israel's attacks on Lebanon on Wednesday that, according to Reuters, killed more than 250 people. However, after midday, the equity gauges turned the corner.This comes as the UK's ITV reported that Iran's Deputy Foreign Minister Saeed Khatibzadeh said the Strait of Hormuz is open. Any civilian vessel can pass with guidance from the Iranian authorities, Khatibzadeh told ITV.Meanwhile, CNN reported that the two-week ceasefire appeared to be on track, with fewer attacks reported across the Middle East on Thursday.Further, Netanyahu's proposal, as per the CNN report, to begin talks with Lebanon to disarm Hezbollah, a militant group reportedly fighting as Iran's proxy, addressed concerns raised by Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian. Tel Aviv's strikes on Lebanon on Wednesday violated the truce deal and, more importantly, would render the upcoming US-Iran peace negotiations in Islamabad meaningless, Reuters cited Pezeshkian as saying.West Texas Intermediate crude oil futures advanced 2.2% to $96.52, after trading more than 7% higher earlier in the session. Brent crude futures rose 0.4% to $95.07, after climbing almost 5% intraday.US Treasury yields fell, with the 10-year down 2.6 basis points to 4.27%. The two-year rate dropped 3.6 basis points to 3.76%.In precious metals, gold futures rose 0.9% to $4,821.1 and silver futures climbed 1.5% to $76.54.In economic news, the personal consumption expenditures price index rose by 0.4%, and as expected, the year-over-year rate remained at 2.8%. The price index increased by 0.3% month-over-month in January.The core PCE price index increased by 0.4%, as expected, and the same as in January. The year-over-year rate dropped to 3% from 3.1% in the previous month.US economic growth, measured by gross domestic product, was revised lower to a 0.5% increase in Q4 from a 0.7% gain in the second estimate, compared with estimates for no revision in a survey compiled by Bloomberg.US initial jobless claims rose to 219,000 in the week ended April 4 from an upwardly revised 203,000 in the previous week, compared with expectations for 210,000 in a Bloomberg-compiled poll.In company news, CoreWeave (CRWV) said it signed an agreement with Meta Platforms (META) to provide artificial intelligence cloud capacity through December 2032 for about $21 billion. Shares of CoreWeave and Meta were up 6.5% and 3.1%, respectively.

Dow JonesNasdaq CompositeS&P 500$CRWV$META

Oil Prices Rebound as Optimism Around US-Iran Truce Wanes

Oil prices increased Thursday, with US crude crossing $100 a barrel as shipment activity through the Strait of Hormuz remained restricted despite a two-week ceasefire between Washington and Iran.West Texas Intermediate crude traded as much as $102.70 a barrel on Thursday, and was last up 3.4% at $97.57. Brent crude climbed 0.9% to $95.61, having hit $99.50 earlier in the session.The rebound in oil prices follows the sharpest one-day pullback since 2020 in the previous session as the US and Iran agreed to temporarily halt hostilities that had gripped the Middle East.As part of the ceasefire, Washington demanded the immediate opening of the Strait of Hormuz, while Tehran said it would allow "safe passage" through the crucial waterway, subject to coordination with Iranian authorities.But access to the strait remained restricted, Abu Dhabi National Oil Co. Chief Executive Sultan Al Jaber said in a LinkedIn post Thursday."The Strait of Hormuz is not open. Access is being restricted, conditioned and controlled," said Al Jaber, who also serves as the United Arab Emirates minister of industry and advanced technology.Iranian state media previously reported that transit through the strait was halted following Israeli attacks on Lebanon. Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said the country would negotiate with Lebanon on disarming Hezbollah, CNN reported on Thursday.Meanwhile, Gulf countries, including the UAE, continued to face attacks despite the ceasefire, RBC Capital Markets said in a report e-mailed toon Thursday."We continue to contend that actual transit levels through the waterway will remain significantly depressed given that Iran is insisting vessels must coordinate with its military or face destruction," Helima Croft, head of global commodity strategy at RBC, said.Officials from Washington and Tehran are expected to meet this weekend in Pakistan, which helped broker the truce.Overnight, President Donald Trump said in a post on Truth Social that US ships, aircraft and military personnel will remain in and around Iran until the "real agreement reached is fully complied with.""With a full reopening of the strait unlikely in the near term, oil prices are expected to remain supported, as disruptions linked to reduced output and refinery shutdowns will take time to unwind," ING Bank said in a note.

US Crude Shipments Poised to Break 5 Million b/d Record in May, Bloomberg Analysis Says

US crude exports are set to reach 5 million barrels per day in May as global supply disruptions drive demand, Bloomberg said in a Thursday analysis.Shipments from the US Gulf Coast are already nearing 4.9 million b/d in April, up from about 3.97 million b/d in March, according to the analysis.The increase reflects stronger overseas demand, particularly from buyers seeking alternatives to constrained Middle Eastern crude supplies, according to the report.Analysts expect flows to rise further in May, supported by a growing number of very large crude carriers loading in the region to meet stronger export demand.Matt Smith, Kpler's commodity research director, said exports in May may climb past 5 million b/d, topping the earlier 4.5 million peak, supported by continued strong buying interest from Asia, according to the analysis.The surge comes as global markets face severe supply tightness, with US exports playing a key role in stabilizing flows amid geopolitical disruptions, according to the analysis.With summer demand approaching, rising exports could force US refiners to pay more to retain supply, while gasoline prices above $4 per gallon may increase political pressure ahead of midterm elections.Exports have briefly neared 5 million b/d, according to the EIA, but haven't held that level over a month, suggesting May could mark the first sustained period near that threshold, according to the analysis.Around 28 supertankers have been booked for May loadings, far above the typical five at this time of the month, the analysis added.Some projections suggest exports could climb as high as 5.3 million b/d if current vessel scheduling trends hold, supported by continued buying interest from Asia.A recent shipment saw the VLCC Asian Progress VI fixed to carry crude from Occidental Petroleum to East Asia for about $19 million, the analysis added, citing a Bloomberg note.Despite strong demand, the US export system is nearing capacity limits, with logistical challenges beginning to constrain further growth, the analysis said.Limited vessel availability, a shortage of smaller feeder ships, and rising freight costs could cap exports near 5.5 million b/d without additional shipping capacity, according to the analysis.