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Research

RBC Downgrades Taylor Morrison Home to Sector Perform From Outperform, Keeps $72.50 Price Target

Taylor Morrison Home (TMHC) has an average rating of hold and mean price target of $70, according to analysts polled by FactSet.(covers equity, commodity and economic research from major banks and research firms in North America, Asia and Europe. Research providers may contact us here: https://www..com/contact-us)

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Research

Truist Downgrades Taylor Morrison Home to Hold From Buy Following Deal Announcement, Keeps $72.50 Price Target

Taylor Morrison Home (TMHC) has an average rating of hold and mean price target of $70, according to analysts polled by FactSet.(covers equity, commodity and economic research from major banks and research firms in North America, Asia and Europe. Research providers may contact us here: https://www..com/contact-us)

$TMHC
Sectors

Sector Update: Consumer Stocks Decline Late Afternoon

Consumer stocks were lower late Monday afternoon, with the State Street Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLP) falling 1% and the State Street Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLY) dropping 2%.In corporate news, the United Auto Workers has called a strike at a Michigan factory owned by Dauch (DCH), a supplier of axles and driveline components for General Motors (GM) pickup trucks. GM shares were down 0.5%, and Dauch fell nearly 5%.MGM Resorts International (MGM) shares jumped past 16% after the firm confirmed that it received an offer from People Inc. (IAC) to acquire all MGM shares that it does not already own for $48.30 per share in cash.Taylor Morrison Home (TMHC) shares surged 22% after the homebuilder agreed to be acquired and taken private by conglomerate Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.A, BRK.B) in an all-cash deal with an equity value of about $6.8 billion.Winnebago Industries (WGO) shares fell 2% after Northcoast downgraded the stock to neutral from buy.

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Sectors

Sector Update: Consumer Stocks Decline in Afternoon Trading

Consumer stocks were lower Monday afternoon, with the State Street Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLP) shedding 1.4% and the State Street Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLY) down 2.1%.In corporate news, MGM Resorts International (MGM) shares jumped past 15% after the firm confirmed that it has received an offer from People Inc. to acquire all MGM shares that it does not already own for $48.30 per share in cash.Taylor Morrison Home (TMHC) shares surged 22% after the homebuilder agreed to be acquired and taken private by conglomerate Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.A, BRK.B) in an all-cash deal with an equity value of about $6.8 billion.Walmart (WMT) is capping its staff's usage of an artificial intelligence agent following a period of high demand, Bloomberg reported. The retail giant is now offering a limited amount of "tokens" per worker to use the AI agent, called Code Puppy, which helps employees with spreadsheets and presentations, among other tasks, the report said. Walmart shares were down 1.5%.

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Research

Research Alert: CFRA Moves To Hold From Sell On Shares Of Taylor Morrison Homes Corporation

CFRA, an independent research provider, has providedwith the following research alert. Analysts at CFRA have summarized their opinion as follows:Berkshire Hathaway announced the acquisition of TMHC for $72.50/share in cash, a 24% premium to the May 29 closing price. Prior to the announcement, TMHC was trading near our $57 price target. We view the acquisition as a validation of the long-term fundamentals in the homebuilding industry. However, we think the move also supports our believe that near-term performance will remain choppy, with homebuilders possessing large balance sheets and diversified consumer bases better positioned to navigate headwinds. We see the acquisition as a diversification effort, especially as the transaction signals a departure from Berkshire's strategy of allowing acquisitions to operate independently. CEO Greg Abel indicated plans to unify operations with Berkshire's housing assets, including Clayton Homes. We note Clayton is more exposed to entry level, while TMHC's product portfolio is more diverse. Our 12-month price of $72 is 11.5x our 2027 EPS of $6.26, a premium to the 7.2x 10-year mean. Our EPS estimates remain unchanged.

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Wire

Top Midday Stories: Oil Rises After Iran Reportedly Says It's Halting Messages With US; Nvidia Launches New AI Chip for Laptops

The Dow Jones Industrial Average was down, while the S&P 500 Index and Nasdaq Composite were roughly flat in late-morning trading Monday, as oil prices rose after Iranian state media disclosed that Iran would halt messages with the US over Israel's military operations in Lebanon.In company news, Nvidia (NVDA) said Monday it has launched RTX Spark, a new AI chip that will feature in Microsoft (MSFT) Windows laptops and desktop personal computers. The chip features an Nvidia Blackwell RTX graphics processing unit, 1 petaflop of AI compute and 128gb of unified memory, Nvidia said. RTX Spark will power its Windows laptops, including Microsoft Surface, and those of its PC partners ASUS, Dell (DELL), HP (HPQ), Lenovo and MSI, Microsoft said in a blogpost. Nvidia shares were up 3.9%, while those of Microsoft, Dell and HP were up 2.0%, 8.5% and 7.2%, respectively.People Inc. said Monday it has submitted a non-binding proposal to acquire all outstanding MGM Resorts International (MGM) shares it doesn't already own for $48.30 per share in cash. The proposal represents a 24.1% premium to the volume-weighted average price of MGM common stock for the 30 trading days ending on May 29, People said. MGM shares were up 16.5%.Taylor Morrison Home (TMHC) has agreed to be acquired by Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.A, BRK.B) for $6.8 billion in cash and a total enterprise value of about $8.5 billion, the companies said Sunday. Berkshire will pay $72.50 per share, a 24% premium to Taylor Morrison's latest closing price of $58.50 on May 29, the companies said. The deal is expected to close in H2, at which point Taylor Morrison will continue to be managed by its existing management team, the companies said. Taylor Morrison shares were up 22.6%, while Berkshire's Class A and Class B shares were down 0.7% and 0.8%, respectively.Constellation Energy (CEG) has priced an underwritten secondary offering of 11 million shares at $281 apiece, the company said Monday. Underwriters have a 30-day option to buy an extra 1.35 million shares, and Constellation said it will repurchase 2 million shares from the underwriters at the offering price under its existing buyback program. Constellation shares were down 5.8%.Salesforce (CRM) said Monday it will invest $2 billion in France through 2030, including the launch of an AI Innovation Hub in Paris for developing, testing and deploying AI applications. Salesforce shares were up 10.2%.Price: $219.23, Change: $+8.09, Percent Change: +3.83%

$BRK.A$BRK.B$CEG$CRM$DELL$HPQ$MGM$MSFT$NVDA$TMHC
Wire

Correction: Berkshire Hathaway to Acquire Taylor Morrison Home for $6.8 Billion in Cash

(Corrects to reflect an enterprise value of $8.5 billion in the first paragraph.)Taylor Morrison Home (TMHC) has agreed to be acquired by Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.A, BRK.B) for $6.8 billion in cash and a total enterprise value of about $8.5 billion, the companies said Sunday.The price for the acquisition was $72.50 per share, a 24% premium to Taylor Morrison's latest closing price of $58.50 seen on May 29, the companies said.Following the anticipated H2 2026 closing of the deal, which still needs approval from Taylor Morrison stockholders and regulators, Taylor Morrison will continue to be led by its existing management team, including Chief Executive Officer Sheryl Palmer, the companies said.After closing, Taylor Morrison Home will become a private company and its shares will be delisted from the New York Stock Exchange, the companies said.Taylor Morrison shares were up nearly 24% in recent premarket activity.Price: $71.64, Change: $+13.14, Percent Change: +22.46%

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Sectors

Correction: Sector Update: Consumer

(Corrects to reflect enterprise value of $8.5 billion in second paragraph.)Consumer stocks were leaning lower pre-bell Monday, with the State Street Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLP) down 0.3% and the State Street Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLY) declining by 0.4%.Taylor Morrison Home (TMHC) has agreed to be acquired by Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.A, BRK.B) for $6.8 billion in cash and a total enterprise value of about $8.5 billion, the companies said. Taylor Morrison Home shares were up more than 22% in recent premarket activity.

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Sectors

Sector Update: Consumer Stocks Lower Pre-Bell Monday

Consumer stocks were lower pre-bell Monday, with the State Street Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLP) slipping 0.1% and the State Street Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLY) down 0.8%.Taylor Morrison Home (TMHC) has agreed to be acquired by Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.A, BRK.B) for $72.50 per share in cash and a total enterprise value of about $8.5 billion, the companies said. Taylor Morrison Home shares were up more than 22% premarket.People Inc. said Monday it has submitted a non-binding proposal to acquire all outstanding MGM Resorts International (MGM) shares it doesn't already own for $48.30 per share in cash. MGM Resorts International stock was advancing past 11% pre-bell.iHuman (IH) agreed to acquire the businesses and assets of two AI-powered apps, All Knowledge and Perfect Lingo, for 94.0 million Chinese renminbi ($13.9 million), the company said. iHuman shares were up more than 2% premarket.

$BRK.A$BRK.B$IH$MGM$TMHC$XLP$XLY
Commodities

Exchange-Traded Funds, Equity Futures Higher Pre-Bell Monday as AI Optimism Overshadows Middle East Risks

The broad market exchange-traded fund SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) was up 0.2% and the actively traded Invesco QQQ Trust (QQQ) advanced 0.2% in Monday's premarket activity, as enthusiasm for new artificial intelligence initiatives from major technology companies outweighs concerns about ongoing U.S.-Iran tensions and elevated energy prices.US stock futures were also higher, with S&P 500 Index futures up 0.2%, Dow Jones Industrial Average futures advancing 0.3%, and Nasdaq futures gaining 0.2% before the start of regular trading.S&P Global manufacturing data for May will be released at 9:45 am ET, followed by the construction spending data for April, and the ISM's manufacturing reading for May at 10:00 am ET.In premarket action, bitcoin was down by 1.9%. Among cryptocurrency ETFs, the cryptocurrency fund ProShares Bitcoin Strategy ETF (BITO) was 2% lower, Ether ETF (EETH) retreated by 1.5%, and Bitcoin & Ether Market Cap Weight ETF (BETH) gained 1.7%.Power Play:ConsumerThe State Street Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLP) was down 0.3% and the Vanguard Consumer Staples Index Fund ETF Shares (VDC) was flat. The iShares US Consumer Staples ETF (IYK) retreated by 0.9%. The State Street Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLY) lost 0.6%. The VanEck Retail ETF (RTH) was inactive, while the State Street SPDR S&P Retail ETF (XRT) advanced by 0.4%.Taylor Morrison Home (TMHC) shares were up more than 22% pre-bell after the company agreed to be acquired by Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.A, BRK.B) for $6.8 billion in cash and a total equity value of $8.5 billionWinners and Losers:Health CareThe State Street Health Care Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLV) retreated by 0.1%, the Vanguard Health Care Index Fund (VHT) was down 0.03%, while the iShares US Healthcare ETF (IYH) was flat. The iShares Biotechnology ETF (IBB) gained by 0.03%.Grail's (GRAL) stock was down more than 17% premarket after the company reported its NHS-Galleri trial missed its primary endpoint of reducing combined Stage III and IV cancer diagnoses.FinancialThe State Street Financial Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLF) retreated by 0.5%. Direxion Daily Financial Bull 3X Shares (FAS) was down 1.5%, while its bearish counterpart, Direxion Daily Financial Bear 3X Shares (FAZ), was 1.4% lower.Coinbase Global (COIN) stock was down more than 3% before market open. Chief Legal Officer Paul Grewal sold 1,960 company shares for $346,683 on May 27, a regulatory filing with the US Securities and Exchange Commission showed.IndustrialThe State Street Industrial Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLI) retreated by 0.4%, while the Vanguard Industrials Index Fund (VIS) was down 0.5% and the iShares US Industrials ETF (IYJ) lost by 0.6%Diana Shipping (DSX) stock was down more than 0.4% before the opening bell after the company said Sunday it has issued an open letter urging Genco Shipping & Trading (GNK) investors to elect its six independent board candidates at the upcoming June 18 annual meeting. Genco stock was 0.8% lower.TechnologyThe State Street Technology Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLK) advanced 1.1%, and the iShares US Technology ETF (IYW) was 1.1% higher, while the iShares Expanded Tech Sector ETF (IGM) was up 0.8%. Among semiconductor ETFs, the State Street SPDR S&P Semiconductor ETF (XSD) was 0.3% lower, while the iShares Semiconductor ETF (SOXX) declined by 0.7%.Dell Technologies (DELL) shares were up more than 1% in premarket activity a day after the company said it has launched its XPS 13 laptop.EnergyThe iShares US Energy ETF (IYE) was 0.1% higher, while the State Street Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLE) was up by 0.5%.Venture Global (VG) stock was up more than 1% before the opening bell after the company said its subsidiary Venture Global LNG plans to issue $2.25 billion in senior secured notes due 2034 and 2036.CommoditiesFront-month US West Texas Intermediate crude oil gained by 2.3% to $89.40 per barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange. Natural gas was down 2.3% to $3.21 per 1 million British Thermal Units. The United States Oil Fund (USO) rose by 1.8%, while the United States Natural Gas Fund (UNG) was 2.4% lower.Gold futures for July retreated by 1.2% to $4,537.70 an ounce on the Comex. Silver futures increased by 0.3% to $76.10 an ounce. SPDR Gold Shares (GLD) was down by 1%, and the iShares Silver Trust (SLV) gained 0.4%.

Dow JonesNasdaq CompositeS&P 500$BETH$BITO$BRK.A$BRK.B$COIN$DELL$DSX$EEM$EETH$EXI$FAS$FAZ$GLD$GRAL$IBB$IGM$IGV$IPK$IVV$IWM$IYE$IYH$IYJ$IYK$IYW$PMR$QQQ$RTH$SLV$SOXX$SPY$TMHC$UNG$USO$VDC$VG$VHT$VIS$XLE$XLF$XLI$XLK$XLP$XLV$XLY$XRT$XSD
Sectors

Sector Update: Consumer

Consumer stocks were leaning lower pre-bell Monday, with the State Street Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLP) down 0.3% and the State Street Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLY) declining by 0.4%.Taylor Morrison Home (TMHC) has agreed to be acquired by Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.A, BRK.B) for $6.8 billion in cash and a total equity value of $8.5 billion, the companies said. Taylor Morrison Home shares were up more than 22% in recent premarket activity.

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Stocks Rise Pre-Bell as Traders Monitor Middle East Developments, Await Fresh Labor Market Data
US Markets

Stocks Rise Pre-Bell as Traders Monitor Middle East Developments, Await Fresh Labor Market Data

The benchmark US stock measures were pointing higher before the opening bell Monday as traders assess the latest developments in the Middle East and await fresh labor market data later in the week.The S&P 500 and the Nasdaq rose 0.2% each in premarket activity, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average added 0.4%. The indexes finished Friday's trading session at new highs.The US and Iran exchanged messages over the weekend on amendments to a draft agreement that would extend their ceasefire and reopen the Strait of Hormuz, Bloomberg News reported Monday. Iran's semi-official Tasnim news agency said Sunday that both sides continued to propose amendments, but could ultimately reject each other's proposals, according to the report.In a social media post on Monday, Trump said that Iran "really wants to make a deal" and that it will be a "good one" for the US and its allies.Israel's Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu on Monday ordered the Israeli military to attack targets in Beirut, Lebanon.West Texas Intermediate crude oil gained 3.6% to $90.53 a barrel before the open, while Brent inclined 3.1% to $93.96.Investors will be looking ahead to fresh labor market data later this week, beginning with the Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey for April on Tuesday, followed by the ADP employment report for May on Wednesday. The Challenger Job Cut report and the government's nonfarm payrolls data, both for last month, are scheduled to be released on Thursday and Friday, respectively.Treasury yields were trending upwards in premarket action, with the two-year rate increasing 2.3 basis points to 4.04% and the 10-year rate rising 1.4 basis points to 4.47%.Monday's economic calendar has the final Purchasing Managers' manufacturing index for May at 9:45 am ET, followed by the Institute for Supply Management's manufacturing index for the same month at 10 am.Shares of Nvidia (NVDA) advanced 2.2% pre-bell after the tech bellwether unveiled a new chip processor for Microsoft (MSFT) Windows laptops. Intel (INTC) dropped 5.1% while Adobe (ADBE) climbed 4.6%.Taylor Morrison Home's (TMHC) stock jumped 22% after the homebuilder agreed to be acquired and taken private by multinational conglomerate Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.A, BRK.B) in an all-cash deal with an equity value of about $6.8 billion.Broadcom (AVGO), Palo Alto Networks (PANW) and CrowdStrike (CRWD) are some of the major companies scheduled to report their latest financial results later this week. Hewlett Packard Enterprise (HPE) will release its earnings after the markets close Monday.Gold fell 1.3% to $4,535 per troy ounce, while bitcoin decreased 1.1% to $72,601.

Dow JonesNasdaq CompositeS&P 500$ADBE$AVGO$BRK.A$BRK.B$CRWD$HPE$INTC$MSFT$NVDA$PANW$TMHC
Taylor Morrison to Be Taken Private by Berkshire Hathaway in $6.8 Billion Deal
US Markets

Taylor Morrison to Be Taken Private by Berkshire Hathaway in $6.8 Billion Deal

Taylor Morrison Home (TMHC) shares jumped early Monday after the homebuilder agreed to be acquired and taken private by conglomerate Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.A, BRK.B) in an all-cash deal with an equity value of about $6.8 billion.Berkshire will pay $72.50 per share in cash for Taylor Morrison, representing a premium of roughly 24% to the company's closing price on Friday, the companies said in a joint statement Sunday. Taylor Morrison's stock climbed 20% in the most recent premarket activity.The deal has an enterprise value of about $8.5 billion, according to the companies."Berkshire Hathaway's long-term orientation is uniquely well-suited to the multi-year investment cycle of homebuilding, and this combination will allow us to scale the Taylor Morrison platform in ways that would not be possible as a standalone company," Taylor Morrison Chief Executive Sheryl Palmer said in a statement.The deal, which requires approval from Taylor Morrison's shareholders and clearance from regulators, is expected to complete in the second half. Following completion, the homebuilder will continue to be led by Palmer and will no longer trade on the New York stock exchange.In an emailed client note, Truist Securities said it likes Taylor Morrison's geographic mix and its long-term runway to high-teens return on equity. The brokerage believes the deal "could be coming near cyclical bottoms, barring further macroeconomic deterioration," assuming absorption rates will begin to turn later in 2026 and into the next year.In April, Taylor Morrison reported first-quarter adjusted earnings of $1.12 a share, down from $2.19 the year before. Overall revenue fell to $1.39 billion for the March quarter from nearly $1.9 billion in the prior-year period. At the time, the company said it expected to close about 11,000 homes for 2026."We are excited to welcome Taylor Morrison into Berkshire's portfolio," Berkshire Hathaway CEO Greg Abel said. "Over time, we expect to unify our site-built homebuilding operations into a combined platform."

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Research

Research Alert: CFRA Keeps Sell View On Shares Of Taylor Morrison Home Corporation

CFRA, an independent research provider, has providedwith the following research alert. Analysts at CFRA have summarized their opinion as follows:Our 12-month target price of $57, down $2, is 11x our 2026 EPS view of $5.22, ahead of the 10-year forward P/E mean of 7.8x, reflecting a tight resale market and TMHC's pivot back to a 15% exposure to tertiary entry-level from the current 20%-25% exposure. We believe TMHC's valuation fails to price in operational and competitive risks. We model a revenue decline for 2026, driven by falling volumes and a 300-bp gross margin contraction, as competitive overlap caps pricing power despite the positive shift to build-to-order homes. While encouraged by the recent pullback in incentives, we remain concerned this trend may wane in 2H 2026 as favorable mortgage rate comparisons fade. The primary risk is that a softening entry-level market could push larger peers to aggressively target the move-up segment, directly challenging TMHC's core strategy and testing its incentive bandwidth during its crucial community count expansion. We revise our 2026 EPS view to $5.22 from $5.89 and 2027's EPS to $6.26 from $6.73.

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Research

Research Alert: Taylor Morrison Delivers Q1 Earnings Beat And Sequential Backlog Growth

CFRA, an independent research provider, has providedwith the following research alert. Analysts at CFRA have summarized their opinion as follows:Taylor Morrison's Q1 revenue of $1.387B beat consensus, led by higher-than-guided volume of 2,268 closings, though offset by a lower ASP of $578K, reflecting strategic spec inventory focus. Adjusted EPS of $1.12 significantly beat consensus' $0.84 by 33%, with gross margin of 20.6% exceeding management's ~20% guidance while reducing finished spec inventory by 30% and lowering incentives sequentially by over 100 bps. Net orders of 2,914 outpaced closings, rebuilding backlog 23% sequentially to 3,465 homes, with higher-margin to-be-built mix jumping to 38% from 28%, supporting the strategic pivot toward profitability. Management reaffirmed full-year targets of ~11K closings and mid-10% SG&A ratio, with Q2 guidance of 2,500-2,600 closings and 20% gross margin floor. We think the Q1 performance slightly de-risks the remainder of the year and supports the "setup year" narrative for 2027 growth positioning. While net orders declined 14% Y/Y, offset by 2% ASP appreciation, we view margin progression as key.

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US Markets

Homebuilders' Earnings Likely to be Weighed Down by War Fallout, Soft Spring Selling Season, Truist Says

Several key US homebuilders' earnings this year are likely to take a hit, as the economic fallout from the Middle East conflict weighs on an already-soft spring selling season, Truist Securities said Thursday.The brokerage lowered its bottom-line estimates for the upcoming quarter and full year for six homebuilders. These are D.R. Horton (DHI), Meritage Homes (MTH), NVR (NVR), PulteGroup (PHM), Taylor Morrison Homes (TMHC), and Toll Brothers (TOL).Truist also trimmed its price targets for the six stocks, as it factored in inflation and the erosion in consumer confidence amid higher oil prices driven mainly by the US-Israel war with Iran that broke out at the end of February."The timing of this war was very unfortunate," Truist analyst Jonathan Bettenhausen said in a note to clients. "While we think industry expectations for this spring selling season were already calling for a roughly down low-single-digit environment from last year, we find it unlikely that a significant deterioration in the geopolitical environment was factored into those expectations."The brokerage said that while it's not expecting "many beats" among the stocks it covers, its favorite going into the latest quarterly print is Taylor Morrison. That stock likely has "the most bad news priced in," Bettenhausen wrote."We think any optimism on the spring selling season has effectively evaporated, and we have lowered our demand assumptions accordingly for (the first half) quarters, but also for the back half of the year on worse spring (build-to-order) new order demand," the analyst said.With new home sales and new residential construction data for March yet to be released, alternative market indicators such as mortgage reports and Google Trends "do not yield encouraging demand trends, which in our view, confirms the prevailing market sentiment on demand," according to the note.On Wednesday, the National Association of Home Builders and Wells Fargo said US homebuilder confidence sank this month to the lowest since September amid economic uncertainty, as well as increasing building material costs and interest rates.The White House is optimistic about reaching a deal with Iran, noting that a potential second round of talks would likely be held in Pakistan. Over the weekend, US-Iran peace negotiations in Islamabad ended without a deal. Meanwhile, a two-week ceasefire between Washington and Tehran holds.Price: $144.72, Change: $+0.52, Percent Change: +0.36%

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