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Update: Dow Hits New High, S&P 500 Retreats as Traders Await Hormuz Deal
US Markets

Update: Dow Hits New High, S&P 500 Retreats as Traders Await Hormuz Deal

(Updates with market moves at the end of the day, and other changes, if any.)The Dow Jones Industrial Average reached a new peak on Wednesday amid hopes for a deal to reopen the Strait of Hormuz, while the S&P 500 pulled back from a record high.The Dow rose 0.5% to 54,349.12, notching a closing high for a third straight day. The S&P 500 edged down 0.2% to 7,723.55. The Nasdaq Composite fell 0.8% to 26,363.44, snapping a four-day winning streak.Among sectors, materials paced the gainers, while communication services saw the steepest decline.The US, Iran and Oman are moving toward an interim deal to reopen the Strait of Hormuz, with Washington looking at a Wednesday announcement, Axios reported, citing two regional sources and a US official.US President Donald Trump reportedly said late Tuesday that an agreement to reopen the strait, the world's most important chokepoint for crude flows, was imminent."There are suggestions that a deal could be announced as soon as today, although reports that any agreement would be temporary suggest that the market would be wise not to get too carried away," ING Bank said Wednesday in report.Meanwhile, Yemen's Iran-aligned Houthis claimed an attack on a Saudi Arabian tanker near the coast of Yanbu, a major port for Saudi crude oil exports, according to a CNBC report.West Texas Intermediate crude oil dropped 0.8% to $75.15 a barrel in Wednesday late-afternoon trade, while Brent edged down 0.1% to $79.32.Treasury yields were lower, with the two-year rate down 1.1 basis points at 4.18% at the 10-year rate falling 1.2 basis points to 4.62%.Walt Disney's (DIS) fiscal third-quarter earnings rose above Wall Street's estimates even as revenue fell short of expectations despite a boost from "Toy Story 5." The stock rose 3.7%, the second-best performer on the Dow.Uber Technologies (UBER) declined 5.3% after the ride-hailing company's second-quarter revenue missed market estimates and it provided a soft third-quarter bookings guidance.Shares of SpaceX (SPCX) slumped nearly 14% after the rocket and satellite company late Tuesday reported quarterly results for the first time since going public. The company's capital expenditures surged to $18.37 billion in the second quarter from $2.83 billion a year ago.Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) slumped 7% even though it recorded fiscal second-quarter results above market estimates.In economic news, US private-sector employment increased less than expected in July as gains were concentrated in just services, ADP (ADP) data showed Wednesday, ahead of the official nonfarm payrolls report for the month due later in the week.Bureau of Labor Statistics data scheduled for Friday release are likely to show that the US economy added 88,000 nonfarm jobs last month, compared with a 57,000 increase reported for June, according to a Bloomberg-compiled survey. The unemployment rate is seen unchanged at 4.2%.The US services sector's expansion continued in July amid strong demand despite continued inflationary pressures, surveys by the Institute for Supply Management and S&P Global (SPGI) showed.Spot gold jumped 4.2% to $4,247.65 per troy ounce, while silver advanced 3.4% to $62.31 per ounce.

Dow JonesNasdaq CompositeS&P 500$ADP$AMD$DIS$SPCX$SPGI$UBER
Services Sector Growth Continues Even as Inflationary Pressures Persist, 2 Surveys Show
US Markets

Services Sector Growth Continues Even as Inflationary Pressures Persist, 2 Surveys Show

The US services sector's expansion continued in July amid strong demand despite continued inflationary pressures, two surveys showed Wednesday.The Institute for Supply Management's purchasing managers' index ticked up to 54.1 last month from 54 in June. The consensus was for a 54.5 print in a Bloomberg poll. A reading above 50 indicates the services sector economy is generally expanding.The business activity index advanced to 59.1 from 55.4, while new orders increased to 57.2 from 55.1."Overall, the US services economy continues to be resilient," said Steve Miller, chair of the ISM's services business survey committee. "Concerns still exist regarding mortgage and inflation rates, and we are still in the midst of pricing impacts due to the recent run-up in petroleum costs."The prices index rose 2.6 points sequentially to 70.3 in July, while the employment gauge fell into the contraction territory with a reading of 47.4, compared with 51.2 in June, marking its lowest level since March, the ISM survey showed."For the (Federal Reserve), the report argues for patience: growth is firm enough to avoid urgency on (monetary policy) easing, while price pressures remain too elevated to declare victory," TD Economics Senior Economist Vikram Rai said in a note.Separately, S&P Global (SPGI) said its services PMI rose to 54.6 in July from 51.2 the month prior. That's the strongest growth in nine months as new work saw the steepest rise since November, according to the data provider.Overall input cost inflation last month hit its highest level since May 2025 amid tariff- and energy-related price hikes. Albeit only "marginal," the job creation rate was the strongest for eight months. Firms' confidence in the outlook improved in July, with optimism reaching its highest level since November, according to the report.However, S&P Global Market Intelligence Chief Business Economist Chris Williamson attributed the improvements to certain temporary factors and called for caution."Businesses benefited in early July from a tailwind of reduced geopolitical uncertainty and lower oil prices," Williamson said. "With hostilities in the Gulf escalating as the month progressed, the geopolitical environment is now likely once again acting more as a headwind to growth while exacerbating already elevated price pressures."Earlier this week, two surveys showed that the US manufacturing sector continued to grow in July, with Institute for Supply Management data indicating the fastest expansion rate in more than four years and S&P signaling steady growth pace.Price: $409.61, Change: $-2.92, Percent Change: -0.71%

$SPGI
Update: Equity Markets Mixed Intraday as US Seen Nearing Hormuz Deal
US Markets

Update: Equity Markets Mixed Intraday as US Seen Nearing Hormuz Deal

(Updates with latest market prices and developments.)US benchmark equity indexes were mixed intraday amid reports suggesting a deal to reopen the Strait of Hormuz was imminent.The Dow Jones Industrial Average was up 0.8% at 54,528.1 after midday Wednesday, while the Nasdaq Composite fell 0.4% to 26,470.4. The S&P 500 was little changed at 7,737.7. On Tuesday, the S&P 500 and the Dow recorded fresh all-time highs, while the Nasdaq advanced for a fourth consecutive session.Among sectors, materials paced the gainers intraday Wednesday, while communication services saw the steepest decline.The US, Iran and Oman are moving toward an interim deal to reopen the Strait of Hormuz, with Washington looking at a Wednesday announcement, Axios reported, citing two regional sources and a US official.US President Donald Trump reportedly said late Tuesday that an agreement to reopen the strait, the world's most important chokepoint for crude flows, was imminent."There are suggestions that a deal could be announced as soon as today, although reports that any agreement would be temporary suggest that the market would be wise not to get too carried away," ING Bank said Wednesday in report.Meanwhile, Yemen's Iran-aligned Houthis claimed an attack on a Saudi Arabian tanker near the coast of Yanbu, a major port for Saudi crude oil exports, according to a CNBC report.West Texas Intermediate crude oil was down 1.1% at $74.93 a barrel intraday, while Brent edged down 0.3% to $79.02.Treasury yields were little changed, with the two-year rate at 4.2% at the 10-year rate at 4.62%.Walt Disney's (DIS) fiscal third-quarter earnings rose above Wall Street's estimates even as revenue fell short of expectations despite a boost from "Toy Story 5." The stock was up 2.4%, among the best performers on the Dow.Uber Technologies (UBER) was among the notable laggards on the S&P 500, down 6.5%, after the ride-hailing company's second-quarter revenue missed market estimates and it provided a soft third-quarter bookings guidance.Shares of SpaceX (SPCX) slumped 10% intraday after the rocket and satellite company late Tuesday reported quarterly results for the first time since going public. The company's capital expenditures rallied to $18.37 billion in the second quarter from $2.83 billion a year ago.Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) was down 6.3% even though it recorded fiscal second-quarter results above market estimates.In economic news, US private-sector employment increased less than expected in July as gains were concentrated in just services, ADP (ADP) data showed Wednesday, ahead of the official nonfarm payrolls report for the month due later in the week.Bureau of Labor Statistics data scheduled for Friday release are likely to show that the US economy added 88,000 nonfarm jobs last month, compared with a 57,000 increase reported for June, according to a Bloomberg-compiled survey. The unemployment rate is seen unchanged at 4.2%.Spot gold jumped 4% to $4,241.96 per troy ounce, while silver advanced 3.5% to $62.37 per ounce.

Dow JonesNasdaq CompositeS&P 500$ADP$AMD$DIS$SPCX$SPGI$UBER
Stocks Rise Pre-Bell Amid Growing Hopes for Hormuz Deal; Traders Await More Corporate Earnings
US Markets

Stocks Rise Pre-Bell Amid Growing Hopes for Hormuz Deal; Traders Await More Corporate Earnings

The benchmark US stock measures were trending higher in Wednesday's premarket activity amid growing optimism over a potential deal to reopen the Strait of Hormuz, while investors await the latest batch of corporate earnings.The S&P 500 and the Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 0.3% each before the opening bell, while the Nasdaq edged up 0.1%. The S&P 500 and the Dow recorded fresh all-time highs on Tuesday, while the Nasdaq advanced for a fourth consecutive session.President Donald Trump reportedly said late Tuesday that an agreement to reopen the Strait of Hormuz, the world's most important chokepoint for crude flows, is imminent, following "very good discussions" with Iran, according to CNBC.Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent told CNBC on Tuesday that a potential deal to open the crucial waterway could be reached this week. Qatar's Foreign Ministry spokesperson Majed al-Ansari reportedly said that efforts to resolve the US-Iran conflict are "in very progressive stages."West Texas Intermediate crude oil increased 1.1% to $76.58 a barrel in premarket action, while Brent gained 1.7% to $80.73.Yemen's Iran-aligned Houthis reportedly claimed an attack on a Saudi Arabian tanker near the coast of Yanbu, a major port for Saudi crude oil exports, according to a separate CNBC report.Treasury yields were mixed before the open, with the two-year rate rising 1.2 basis points to 4.21% while the 10-year rate retreated 1 basis point to 4.62%.Eli Lilly (LLY), Walt Disney (DIS), Shopify (SHOP), Uber Technologies (UBER), CVS Health (CVS), Phillips 66 (PSX), Kraft Heinz (KHC) and Global Payments (GPN) are scheduled to report their latest financial results before the bell, among others.Sandisk (SNDK), AppLovin (APP), McKesson (MCK), DoorDash (DASH), eBay (EBAY) and Expedia (EXPE) post their earnings after the markets close.Shares of SpaceX (SPCX) dropped 12% pre-bell after the rocket and satellite company reported quarterly results for the first time since going public. Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) fell 8.6% even though it recorded fiscal second-quarter results above market estimates. Arista Networks (ANET) jumped 16%.Wednesday's economic calendar has the weekly mortgage applications bulletin at 7 am ET, followed by the ADP Employment report for July at 8:15 am. The purchasing managers' index composite final report from S&P Global (SPGI) for July is out at 9:45 am, followed by the Institute for Supply Management's services index for the same month at 10 am.The domestic EIA petroleum inventories report is due at 10:30 am.Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook is scheduled to speak at 4:05 pm, while San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly speaks at 8:35 pm.Gold gained 1.5% to $4,215 per troy ounce, while bitcoin slipped 0.2% to $64,146.

Dow JonesNasdaq CompositeS&P 500$AMD$ANET$APP$CVS$DASH$DIS$EBAY$EXPE$GPN$KHC$LLY$MCK$PSX$SHOP$SNDK$SPCX$SPGI$UBER
Stocks Rise Pre-Bell Ahead of Latest Round of Earnings; Investors Gauge Uncertainty Over Potential US-Iran Deal
US Markets

Stocks Rise Pre-Bell Ahead of Latest Round of Earnings; Investors Gauge Uncertainty Over Potential US-Iran Deal

US equity futures were tracking in the green on Tuesday as traders await the latest batch of corporate earnings and assess ongoing uncertainty over a potential resolution to the Middle East conflict.The S&P 500 rose 0.2% in premarket activity, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average and the Nasdaq gained 0.3% each. All three main indexes finished Monday trading up, with the Dow notching a record closing high.Caterpillar (CAT), Merck (MRK), McDonald's (MCD), Pfizer (PFE), Spotify Technology (SPOT), Transdigm (TDG), Rockwell Automation (ROK), Archer-Daniels-Midland (ADM), Kimberly-Clark (KMB), BioNTech (BNTX) and DuPont de Nemours (DD) are all scheduled to report their latest financial results before the bell.SpaceX (SPCX) shares were up 2% pre-bell with the rocket and satellite company expected to release its first quarterly results since going public after the markets close, along with Advanced Micro Devices (AMD), Arista Networks (ANET), Amgen (AMGN) and Gilead Sciences (GILD).Palantir Technologies' (PLTR) stock jumped 15% early Tuesday as the company lifted its full-year revenue guidance on the back of stronger-than-expected second-quarter results. Snap (SNAP) climbed 7.3% after the social media company announced second-quarter results above Wall Street's estimates.President Donald Trump reportedly said Monday that the latest round of talks between the US and Iran is the "last chance" for Tehran to "sign a good document." Trump recently called off a planned attack on Iran.However, Iranian Foreign Ministry spokesperson Esmail Baghaei reportedly ruled out an immediate plan to negotiate with Washington. Tehran was in talks with Oman regarding the Strait of Hormuz, the world's most important chokepoint for crude flows, Baghaei reportedly said.West Texas Intermediate crude oil inclined 1.6% to $81.64 a barrel before the opening bell, while Brent advanced 2.3% to $85.66."Hopes of a peace deal in the Middle East weighed on crude prices," D.A. Davidson said in a Monday client note.Treasury yields were trending higher in premarket action, with the two-year rate ticking up 1 basis point to 4.27% and the 10-year rate adding 2.2 basis points to 4.71%.Tuesday's economic calendar has the international trade in goods and services report for June at 8:30 am ET, followed by the Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey for the same month at 10 am.Gold moved up 0.3% to $4,103 per troy ounce, while bitcoin declined 0.7% to $63,441.

Dow JonesNasdaq CompositeS&P 500$ADM$AMD$AMGN$ANET$BNTX$CAT$DD$GILD$KMB$MCD$MRK$PFE$ROK$SPCX$SPGI$SPOT$TDG
Update: Dow Hits Record High as Oil Prices Slide on Iran Deal Hopes
US Markets

Update: Dow Hits Record High as Oil Prices Slide on Iran Deal Hopes

(Updates with market moves at the end of the day, and other changes, if any.)The Dow Jones Industrial Average hit an all-time high on Monday as Wall Street extended its rally into the third day, while hopes for a US-Iran deal sent oil prices lower.The Dow rose 1.3% to 53,178.41, notching a record closing high. The Nasdaq Composite advanced 2.1% to 25,913.90, while the S&P 500 climbed 1.5% to 7,600.50. Most sectors were in the green, led by communication services' 4.3% jump, while energy led the laggards.West Texas Intermediate crude oil tumbled 5.2% to $80.29 a barrel in Monday late-afternoon trade, while Brent dropped 4.7% to $83.80.President Donald Trump said Monday that the US is in talks with Iran. He previously called off a planned attack against Tehran."Hopes of a peace deal in the Middle East weighed on crude prices," D.A. Davidson said Monday in a note.However, Iranian Foreign Ministry spokesperson Esmail Baghaei on Monday ruled out an immediate plan to negotiate with Washington, according to news reports. Tehran was in talks with Oman regarding the Strait of Hormuz, the world's most important chokepoint for crude flows, Baghaei reportedly said.Treasury yields were lower, with the 10-year rate down 6.1 basis points at 4.68% and the two-year rate falling 3.7 basis points to 4.25%.In company news, Boeing (BA) shares jumped 8%, the best performer on the Dow. The planemaker has received the US Federal Aviation Administration's clearance for its 737 Max 7, paving the way for the model's launch after nearly a decade of regulatory review.Atkore (ATKR) jumped 28% after the electrical products manufacturer announced a $3.8 billion deal to be acquired by Italian cable maker Prysmian.Marriott International (MAR) was the worst performer on the S&P 500, down 7%. The hotel giant reported second-quarter revenue below Wall Street's estimates amid headwinds related to the Middle East conflict, while it provided a downbeat earnings outlook for the ongoing three-month period.Major companies including SpaceX (SPCX), Eli Lilly (LLY), Advanced Micro Devices (AMD), Caterpillar (CAT), Merck (MRK), McDonald's (MCD), Walt Disney (DIS), Shopify (SHOP) and Uber Technologies (UBER) are slated to release their quarterly results this week.In economic news, the US manufacturing sector continued to grow in July, with Institute for Supply Management data indicating the fastest expansion rate in more than four years and S&P Global (SPGI) signaling steady growth pace.Spot gold edged up 0.2% to $4,052.94 per troy ounce, while silver rose 1% to $58.34 per ounce.

Dow JonesNasdaq CompositeS&P 500$AMD$ATKR$BA$CAT$DIS$LLY$MAR$MCD$MRK$SHOP$SPCX$SPGI$UBER
ISM Manufacturing Survey Shows Fastest Growth Since May 2022; S&P Indicates Steady Expansion
US Markets

ISM Manufacturing Survey Shows Fastest Growth Since May 2022; S&P Indicates Steady Expansion

The US manufacturing sector continued to grow in July, with Institute for Supply Management data indicating the fastest expansion rate in more than four years and S&P Global (SPGI) signaling steady growth pace.The ISM's purchasing managers' index increased to 55.6 last month from 53.3 in June, hitting its highest reading since May 2022, according to a Monday statement. The consensus was for a 53.9 print in a Bloomberg poll. A reading above 50 indicates the manufacturing sector is generally expanding."Across the board, the details of the report show building momentum in the sector, including a growing pipeline of future activity," Thomas Simons, chief US economist at Jefferies, said in a note e-mailed to clients. "Geopolitical risk, energy price volatility and tariffs remain challenging for some firms more than others, but the sector has a whole has been resilient."The new orders index rose to 56.7 in July from 56 the month prior, while production grew to 58.5 from 52.2, marking its highest reading in almost five years, the ISM data showed. The employment measure increased to 52.8 from 49.7, entering the expansion territory for the first time in 33 months. The prices gauge fell to 71.1 from 73, the survey showed."The outlook for manufacturing is likely to remain uneven," Simons said. "We remain optimistic that demand will pick up throughout the year as (artificial intelligence-related) infrastructure builds continue, and as defense capital goods orders start to come in from international partners and from the US military to replenish stocks of munitions used in Iran."Separately, S&P Global said its manufacturing PMI remained unchanged at 53.9 sequentially in July. Growth for new orders eased for a third straight month due to soft customer sentiment, inflationary pressures, and falling export sales, while output growth "slowed sharply," the data provider said. Growth was mainly domestically driven."While input cost inflation moderated slightly, inflationary pressures remained elevated thanks principally to the combination of high energy prices and tariffs," S&P Global Market Intelligence Chief Business Economist Chris Williamson said. "In response, producers are either trying to raise selling prices to protect margins or boost productivity, hence July also saw another month of high factory gate price inflation and subdued job gains."Firms' confidence in the outlook weakened for a third straight month in July, hitting its lowest level since October, according to the report.Price: $413.56, Change: $+1.63, Percent Change: +0.39%

$SPGI
May Annual Home Price Growth Accelerates as Affordability Woes Persist, S&P Says
US Markets

May Annual Home Price Growth Accelerates as Affordability Woes Persist, S&P Says

US home price growth accelerated annually in May, though values dropped in real terms for a 12th straight month amid continued affordability headwinds, S&P Global (SPGI) division S&P Dow Jones Indices said Tuesday.The national S&P Cotality Case-Shiller Index rose 1.1% year over year in May without seasonal adjustments, up from a 0.9% gain the month prior. The 10- and 20-city composites advanced 2.4% and 1.6%, respectively. The two measures accelerated from April's growth rates of 1.8% and 1.2%, respectively."May's data suggests that US home prices continue to decline in real terms," said Rebecca Kaufman, associate director of commodities at S&P Dow Jones Indices. "At the same time, inflation peaked at 4.2% in May, its highest level in over three years."Chicago logged the highest annual price gain for a third consecutive month among the 20 cities, rising 6.9% in May. New York and Cleveland were next on the list. Las Vegas posted the lowest return of a 1.9% drop, the data showed.Sequentially, pre-seasonally adjusted national home prices increased 0.6% in May, compared with 0.8% growth the month prior. The 10- and 20-city composite indexes were up 0.9% each in May. In April, the two composites advanced 1% each, the report showed.Persistent inflation and 30-year mortgage rates reaching 6.5% in May continued to weigh heavily on housing affordability, Kaufman said. "Against this backdrop, housing demand remains constrained, elevated borrowing costs continue to discourage potential homebuyers, and housing values decline in real terms for existing homeowners."Separately, the Federal Housing Finance Agency said US home prices increased 0.3% sequentially in May, following a 0.1% drop the previous month. Annually, prices rose 2.2% in May, according to the report.Earlier this month, Redfin.com said US housing payments in June rose for the first time in eight months as home prices hit a record high and mortgage rates remained elevated.Price: $428.03, Change: $-11.80, Percent Change: -2.68%

$SPGI
Sectors

Sector Update: Financial Stocks Advance Premarket Tuesday

Financial stocks were advancing premarket Tuesday, with the State Street Financial Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLF) 0.7% higherThe Direxion Daily Financial Bull 3X Shares (FAS) was up 1.6% and its bearish counterpart Direxion Daily Financial Bear 3X Shares (FAZ) was 1.4% lower.S&P Global (SPGI) shares were down more than 3% after the company cut its 2026 adjusted earnings per share outlook.Barclays (BCS) stock was down more than 6% even after the company reported higher Q2 earnings and total income, and raised its 2026 total income guidance.PayPal (PYPL) shares were up 1% after the company reported Q2 non-GAAP earnings and net revenue that topped analysts' expectations.

$BCS$FAS$FAZ$PYPL$SPGI$XLF
Sectors

Sector Update: Financial

Financial stocks were advancing premarket Tuesday, with the State Street Financial Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLF) 0.6% higherThe Direxion Daily Financial Bull 3X Shares (FAS) was up 1.8% and its bearish counterpart Direxion Daily Financial Bear 3X Shares (FAZ) was 1.8% lower.S&P Global (SPGI) shares were down more than 4% after the company provided fiscal 2026 adjusted earnings per share outlook that fell short of market expectations.

$SPGI
Stocks Mostly Down Pre-Bell Amid Chip Sell-Off; Traders Await More Earnings
US Markets

Stocks Mostly Down Pre-Bell Amid Chip Sell-Off; Traders Await More Earnings

US equity futures were mostly tracking in the red on Tuesday amid a selloff in chip stocks over concerns about artificial intelligence financing, while traders await the latest batch of corporate earnings.The S&P 500 declined 0.2% and the Nasdaq fell 0.9% in premarket activity, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average edged up 0.1%. The indexes finished the previous trading session mixed.Shares of Nvidia (NVDA) were down 0.9% pre-bell after closing Monday with a nearly 5% decrease. The tech bellwether is reportedly in talks to provide a roughly $250 billion backstop for OpenAI as part of a data-center project, raising concerns about "circular financing," in which suppliers are also major investors in their customers.Sandisk (SNDK) slipped 7.2% while Intel (INTC) was off 4.1%. Marvell Technology (MRVL) shed 4.9% and Qualcomm (QCOM) declined 2.9%. Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) dropped about 4%.West Texas Intermediate crude oil declined 2.2% to $80.86 a barrel before the opening bell, while Brent slid 2.3% to $86.32.US President Donald Trump told Axios on Monday that the US is in "very deep talks" with Iran, though he said military action could resume if diplomacy fails. His remarks came as the US apparently halted strikes against Iran."While this is the first tangible signal of de-escalation, the reasons behind it are less clear," ING Bank said in a report on Monday. "There's little explanation from the US. Also, it hasn't yet led to any meaningful pickup in vessel flows through the Strait of Hormuz."Tehran's foreign ministry continued to hold discussions with Saudi Arabia and Oman on Tuesday over the future of the Strait of Hormuz, CNBC reported.Coca-Cola (KO), Boeing (BA), S&P Global (SPGI), United Parcel Service (UPS), Royal Caribbean Cruises (RCL), Sherwin-Williams (SHW) and PayPal (PYPL) are some of the major companies scheduled to report their latest financial results Tuesday. Visa (V), NXP Semiconductors (NXPI) and automaker Ford (F) are expected to release their earnings after the markets close.The Federal Reserve's monetary policy committee is set to kick off its meeting on interest rates today, with a decision due Wednesday. The probability of the central bank leaving its benchmark lending rate unchanged currently stands at 64%, with the remaining odds in favor of a quarter-percentage-point increase, according to the CME FedWatch tool.UBS Securities said Monday it expects three dissents as a base case, but won't be surprised to see two more pushing for a rate hike.Treasury yields were down in premarket action, with the two- and 10-year rates retreating 1.9 basis points each to 4.3% and 4.62%, respectively.Tuesday's economic calendar also has the international trade in goods data, as well as the retail and wholesale inventories reports, all for June, at 8:30 am ET. The Case-Shiller Home Price Index and the Federal Housing Finance Agency House Price Index, both for May, post at 9 am.The consumer confidence report for July is out at 10 am, along with the Richmond Fed manufacturing index for the same month.Gold moved down 1.4% to $4,021 per troy ounce, while bitcoin dropped 2.2% to $63,463.

Dow JonesNasdaq CompositeS&P 500$AMD$BA$F$INTC$KO$MRVL$NVDA$NXPI$PYPL$QCOM$RCL$SHW$SNDK$SPGI$UPS$V
Update: Equities Mixed Amid Middle East Uncertainty; Wall Street Extends Weekly Losing Streak
US Markets

Update: Equities Mixed Amid Middle East Uncertainty; Wall Street Extends Weekly Losing Streak

(Updates with market moves at the end of the day and weekly index changes.)US stocks closed mixed Friday at the end of another bruising week, while oil prices retreated amid uncertainty around the Middle East situation.The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 0.5% to 51,947.25, while the Nasdaq Composite fell 0.6% to 24,975.82. The S&P 500 edged up 0.1% to 7,411.98. Barring technology, all sectors advanced, led by real estate.This week, the Nasdaq fell 2.1% and the S&P 500 shed 0.6%, logging their second consecutive weekly losses. The Dow lost 0.4% to mark its third straight weekly decline.West Texas Intermediate crude was down 2.4% at $90.01 a barrel in Friday late-afternoon trade, while Brent fell 3% to $97.67. Both benchmarks were still on track for sharp gains for the week and this month.Pakistan has held exploratory discussions with Iran's Interior Minister Eskandar Momeni as it seeks to renew talks between Washington and Tehran, Reuters reported Friday, citing Pakistani sources. Islamabad has discussed the Middle East situation with China, according to the report.Bahrain, Jordan and Kuwait fended off Iranian attacks on Friday, CNN reported. US President Donald Trump told Axios on Thursday that he was "considering a massive attack" against Iran.US Treasury yields were mixed, with the two-year rate little changed at 4.35% and the 10-year rate down 1.7 basis points at 4.68%.The US on Thursday announced new tariffs on 60 economies over alleged forced labor failures, effectively replacing President Donald Trump's temporary 10% global tariffs, CNBC reported."The snap-back in oil prices, as well as another turn of the screw in tariffs, complicates the job of central bankers everywhere, and lands with a thud ahead of the (Federal Open Market Committee) meeting," BMO said in a report Friday.The probability that the US Federal Reserve will leave its benchmark lending rate unchanged next week moved to 62% on Friday from 87% a week ago, according to the CME FedWatch tool. The odds of a quarter-percentage-point increase shot up to 38% from 13%.In economic news, US private-sector output growth reached an eight-month high in July amid services boost, though price pressures intensified due to disruptions caused by the Middle East conflict, S&P Global's (SPGI) flash purchasing managers' index showed Friday.New-home sales in the US increased last month for the first time since March as house prices continued to fall, though inventory remained elevated at more than a nine-month supply, official data showed.In corporate news, Verizon Communications (VZ) raised its full-year earnings outlook amid phone subscriber gains in the second quarter. The company's shares jumped 5.8%.American Express (AXP) was the worst performer on the Dow, down 4.3%. The payments company's second-quarter earnings topped Wall Street's estimates, but revenue missed expectations.Gold was up 0.1% at $4,054.60 per troy ounce, while silver gained 0.6% to $58.40 per ounce.

Dow JonesNasdaq CompositeS&P 500$AXP$SPGI$VZ
Update: Equity Markets Mostly Rise Intraday; Oil Retreats
US Markets

Update: Equity Markets Mostly Rise Intraday; Oil Retreats

(Updates with latest market prices and developments.)US benchmark equity indexes were mostly higher intraday as oil prices pulled back, with traders apparently shaking off worries over heightened tensions in the Middle East and President Donald Trump's new phase of global tariffs.The Dow Jones Industrial Average was up 0.5% at 51,989 after midday Friday, while the S&P 500 rose 0.4% to 7,437.9. The Nasdaq Composite edged down 0.1% to 25,109.9. Barring technology, all sectors were in the green, led by real estate.West Texas Intermediate crude was down 4% at $88.51 a barrel, while Brent fell 4.7% to $96. Both benchmarks advanced earlier in the day and were still on track for sharp gains for the week.Pakistan has held exploratory discussions with Iran's Interior Minister Eskandar Momeni as it seeks a path towards a resumption of stalled talks between Washington and Tehran, Reuters reported, citing Pakistani sources. Islamabad recently also discussed the Middle East situation with China, according to the report.Bahrain, Jordan and Kuwait were fending off Iranian attacks again Friday, while Iran's military claimed it launched attack drones targeting US assets in Bahrain's Sheikh Isa Air Base and Jordan's Al-Azraq Air Base, CNN reported, citing local press.US Treasury yields were lower intraday, with the two-year rate down 3.4 basis points at 4.33% and the 10-year rate falling 2.8 basis points to 4.68%.In a fact sheet published Thursday, the Office of the US Trade Representative announced new tariffs of 10% or 12.5% on 60 economies that it said have failed to prohibit or effectively enforce bans on imports made with forced labor, including China, India, the UK and the European Union.The duties took effect at 12:01 am ET Friday, replacing Trump's temporary 10% global tariffs, which expired at the same time, CNBC reported.Earlier this week, Trump signed three proclamations to impose 50% tariffs on the imports of motor vehicles, alcohol and dairy products from Canada."The snap-back in oil prices, as well as another turn of the screw in tariffs, complicates the job of central bankers everywhere, and lands with a thud ahead of the (Federal Open Market Committee) meeting," BMO said in a report Friday.The probability that the US Federal Reserve will leave its benchmark lending rate unchanged next week stood at 64% Friday, down from 87% a week ago, according to the CME FedWatch tool. The odds of a quarter-percentage-point increase moved up to 36% from 13%.In economic news, US private-sector output growth reached an eight-month high in July amid services boost, though price pressures intensified due to disruptions caused by the Middle East conflict, S&P Global's (SPGI) flash purchasing managers' index showed Friday.New-home sales in the US increased last month for the first time since March as house prices continued to fall, though inventory remained elevated at more than a nine-month supply, official data showed.In corporate news, Verizon Communications (VZ) raised its full-year earnings outlook amid phone subscriber gains in the second quarter. The company's shares were up 4.1% intraday Friday.American Express (AXP) was the worst performer on the Dow, down 5.1%. The payments company's second-quarter earnings topped Wall Street's estimates, but revenue missed expectations.Gold was up 0.7% at $4,068.20 per troy ounce, while silver gained 1.3% to $58.83 per ounce.

Dow JonesNasdaq CompositeS&P 500$AXP$SPGI$VZ
Private-Sector Output Growth Hits 8-Month High as Price Pressures Intensify, S&P Survey Shows
Wire

Private-Sector Output Growth Hits 8-Month High as Price Pressures Intensify, S&P Survey Shows

US private-sector output growth reached an eight-month high in July amid services boost, though price pressures intensified due to disruptions caused by the Middle East conflict, S&P Global's (SPGI) flash purchasing managers' index showed Friday.The composite output index increased to 53.6 this month from 51.9 in June, marking the fastest growth since November, the data provider said. The consensus was for a 52.2 reading in a Bloomberg-compiled survey. The 50-point mark separates expansion from contraction.The gauge for services also rose to an eight-month high of 53.6 in July from last month's 51.2, while Wall Street expected a print of 51.5. The manufacturing PMI ticked down to a four-month low of 53.8 from 53.9. The Street projected a reading of 54.4."Some of this improvement may prove short-lived, as July saw hospitality spend boosted by the FIFA World Cup and USA 250 anniversary activities," S&P Global Market Intelligence Chief Business Economist Chris Williamson in a report. "It was also worrying -- though not unexpected -- to see manufacturing growth weaken as some of the stock building seen in prior months showed signs of fading."Renewed tensions in the Middle East amid the US-Iran war saw supplier delays worsen to "the greatest extent" in almost four years, S&P said, adding that input cost inflation hit a 14-month high, while selling price inflation was close to a four-year peak."July saw a concerning intensification of supply chain delays and accompanying renewed upturn in price pressures, constraining growth and subduing demand," Williamson said. "Events over recent days in the Middle East will have only further exacerbated these supply chain and price worries and raise downside risks to the near-term outlook for the economy, hinting that July's upturn may not be the start of an improving trend,"Employment increased "marginally" this month following two months of drops, with both manufacturing and services sectors seeing "modest gains," according to the report.Business confidence in the year-ahead outlook reached an eight-month high in July. Services firms logged the strongest 12-month outlook since September, while manufacturing optimism hit the lowest since October, reflecting headwinds such as weaker demand growth and global trade concerns, the report showed.Price: $424.57, Change: $+4.57, Percent Change: +1.09%

$SPGI
Stocks Rise Pre-Bell as Traders Assess New US Tariffs, Latest Middle East Developments
US Markets

Stocks Rise Pre-Bell as Traders Assess New US Tariffs, Latest Middle East Developments

The benchmark US stock measures were trending higher before the open Friday as investors assess Washington's new phase of global tariffs and the latest developments in the Middle East.The S&P 500 and the Nasdaq gained 0.2% each in premarket activity, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average added 0.5%. The indexes ended the previous trading session lower, with the Nasdaq and S&P 500 recording their biggest one-day declines since June 23.In a fact sheet published on Thursday, the Office of the US Trade Representative announced new tariffs of 10% or 12.5% on 60 economies that it said have failed to prohibit or effectively enforce bans on imports made with forced labor, including China, India, the UK and the European Union.The duties took effect at 12:01 a.m. ET Friday, replacing President Donald Trump's temporary 10% global tariffs, which expired at the same time, CNBC reported.Earlier this week, Trump signed three proclamations to impose 50% tariffs on the imports of motor vehicles, alcohol and dairy products from Canada.West Texas Intermediate crude oil dropped 3.5% to $88.99 a barrel before the opening bell, while Brent fell 3.6% to $97.13.Trump told Axios on Thursday that he is seriously considering restarting major combat operations against Iran. The US Central Command said it completed its 13th consecutive night of strikes against Tehran on Thursday.The Iran-backed Houthi militants in Yemen recently claimed attacks on two Saudi Arabian oil tankers in the Red Sea, sparking concerns over a potential closure of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait, an alternate shipping route to the Strait of Hormuz.In a social media post, Trump said the US will hold Iran responsible and threatened "major military punishment" if its Houthi proxies continued to attack commercial ships.Treasury yields were down in premarket action, with the two-year rate retreating 3.4 basis points to 4.33% and the 10-year rate off 2 basis points to 4.68%."Rising oil prices have revived talk of a (Federal Reserve) rate hike, with rates markets now beginning to treat next week's (Federal Open Market Committee) meeting as a live decision after the 10-year yield pushed back toward its year-to-date high," Saxo Bank said in a report Thursday.The probability that the Fed will leave its benchmark lending rate unchanged next week stood at 71% on Friday, up from 66% the day before, according to the CME FedWatch tool. The odds of a quarter-percentage-point increase moved down to 29% from 34%.Shares of Intel (INTC) advanced 5.3% pre-bell after the chipmaker reported second-quarter results ahead of Wall Street's estimates. Oracle (ORCL) inclined 2.6% as the cloud computing giant secured a 10-year enterprise software contract worth nearly $7 billion with the US Department of War.American Express (AXP), Verizon Communications (VZ), HCA Healthcare (HCA), SLB (SLB), Charter Communications (CHTR), Booz Allen Hamilton (BAH) and Lamb Weston (LW) report their latest financial results before the bell, among others.Friday's economic calendar has the S&P Global's (SPGI) flash purchasing managers' index for July at 9:45 am ET, followed by the new home sales report for June at 10 am. The weekly Baker Hughes oil-and-gas rig count is out at 1 pm.Gold nudged up 0.3% to $4,061 per troy ounce, while bitcoin increased 0.2% to $64,949.

Dow JonesNasdaq CompositeS&P 500$AXP$BAH$CHTR$HCA$INTC$LW$ORCL$SLB$SPGI$VZ
Wire

S&P Dow Jones Indices, Pantera Launch New Index for Digital Assets

S&P Global (SPGI) said Tuesday its division S&P Dow Jones Indices, in collaboration with Pantera Capital, has launched the S&P Pantera Digital Asset Index.The new index uses a rules-based approach similar to traditional finance benchmarks and only includes tokens and companies with real-world use cases that generate actual revenue, the company said.Shares of S&P Global were down 3.5% in Tuesday trading.Price: $432.97, Change: $-15.38, Percent Change: -3.43%

$SPGI
Update: Dow Snaps Record Stretch Following Labor Data, Warsh Remarks
US Markets

Update: Dow Snaps Record Stretch Following Labor Data, Warsh Remarks

(Updates with market moves at the end of the day.)The Dow Jones Industrial Average snapped its record run Wednesday as traders assessed fresh labor market data and comments from Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh.The Dow ended the session just below the flatline at 52,305.2 after logging closing highs in the past two sessions. The Nasdaq Composite fell 0.7% to 26,040, while the S&P 500 slipped 0.2% to 7,483.2.Among sectors, technology saw the steepest decline, while communication services paced the gainers.In economic news, employment in the US private sector increased less than expected in June, according to ADP (ADP) data released Wednesday, a day before the Bureau of Labor Statistics is scheduled to release its widely watched nonfarm payrolls report."The pace of hiring is telling a story of both supply and demand. We know it's taking people longer to find work, but there also are signs of labor supply constraints in certain industries," ADP Chief Economist Nela Richardson said. "For now, the overall effect is a slowdown in job creation."Separately, Challenger Gray & Christmas said American employers announced 45,849 layoffs last month, down 53% from May and 4% from a year earlier. The reading marked the lowest monthly total since December 2025.The US economy is projected to have added 115,000 jobs in June, according to a Bloomberg-compiled survey. The monthly nonfarm payrolls report, which is usually released on a Friday, will be published on Thursday as US stock and bond markets will be closed Friday for the Independence Day holiday.Warsh, speaking at a European Central Bank forum in Portugal Wednesday, said inflation risks have eased, suggesting the central bank may be headed for another policy pause.The Fed remains committed to deliver price stability in the US, he said, reiterating what the Federal Open Market Committee said in its June policy statement."Inflation risks have come down," Warsh said. "If there were people in household or the business sector or the financial markets who thought that this central bank was going to be comfortable with an inflation objective above 2%, well, I guess they'd be disappointed."Markets expect the Fed to keep rates unchanged again when it meets toward the end of July, according to the CME FedWatch tool."The chairman's more favorable assessment of price pressures suggests an underlying support for maintaining the current level of policy as opposed to rate hikes," Stifel Chief Economist Lindsey Piegza said in a note.US Treasury yields were mixed, with the two-year yield down 1.7 basis points at 4.18% and the 10-year yield up 1.7 basis points at 4.49%.West Texas Intermediate crude oil was down 2.1% at $68.01 a barrel in Wednesday late-afternoon trade, while Brent fell 2.5% to $71.16.In company news, Meta Platforms (META) is building a cloud infrastructure business to sell access to AI computing power and models, setting up a new area of competition with Amazon (AMZN) Web Services, Microsoft (MSFT) Azure, and Alphabet's (GOOG, GOOGL) Google Cloud, Bloomberg reported.Meta shares jumped 8.8%, the third-top gainer on the S&P 500, while Microsoft rose 3%, the third-best performer on the Dow. Amazon advanced 1.4% and Alphabet's class A shares added 1.1%.Nike (NKE) climbed 4.9%, the best performer on the Dow, after the sportswear giant reported fourth-quarter results late Tuesday.The company's latest quarterly results and sales guidance indicate a "choppy" turnaround for the sportswear company amid continued headwinds in China, BofA Securities said.Gold was last up 0.2% at $4,048.20 per troy ounce, while silver fell 0.4% to $59.69 per ounce.

Dow JonesNasdaq CompositeS&P 500$ADP$AMZN$GOOG$GOOGL$META$MSFT$NKE$SPGI
Update: US Equities Mixed as Traders Parse Labor Data, Warsh Remarks
US Markets

Update: US Equities Mixed as Traders Parse Labor Data, Warsh Remarks

(Updates with latest market prices and developments.)US benchmark equity indexes were mixed intraday as traders parsed fresh labor market data ahead of a key jobs report due out Thursday and comments from Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh.The Dow Jones Industrial Average was up 0.4% at 52,512.9 after midday Wednesday. The index hit new all-time highs in the past two days. The S&P 500 rose 0.1% to 7,510 intraday Wednesday, while the Nasdaq Composite fell 0.2% to 26,170.6.Among sectors, communication services paced the gainers, while utilities and technology were leading the laggards.In economic news, employment in the US private sector increased less than expected in June, according to ADP (ADP) data released Wednesday, a day before the Bureau of Labor Statistics is scheduled to release its widely watched nonfarm payrolls report."The pace of hiring is telling a story of both supply and demand. We know it's taking people longer to find work, but there also are signs of labor supply constraints in certain industries," ADP Chief Economist Nela Richardson said. "For now, the overall effect is a slowdown in job creation."Separately, Challenger Gray & Christmas said American employers announced 45,849 layoffs last month, down 53% from May and 4% from a year earlier. The reading marked the lowest monthly total since December 2025.The US economy is projected to have added 115,000 jobs in June, according to a Bloomberg-compiled survey. The monthly nonfarm payrolls report, which is usually released on a Friday, will be published on Thursday as US stock and bond markets will be closed Friday for the Independence Day holiday.Warsh, speaking at a European Central Bank forum Wednesday, said inflation risks had eased."Inflation risks have come down," The New York Times quoted Warsh as saying during the event in Portugal.Warsh reiterated commitment to price stability."If people thought this central bank was going to be comfortable with an inflation objective above 2%, they would be disappointed," Warsh said, as reported by Reuters.The US manufacturing sector continued to expand last month, though the pace of growth moderated as higher raw material costs kept input inflation elevated, separate surveys by the Institute for Supply Management and S&P Global (SPGI) showed.US Treasury yields were higher intraday, with the two-year yield up 2.1 basis points at 4.16% and the 10-year yield up 4.5 basis points at 4.47%.West Texas Intermediate crude oil was down 1.8% at $68.28 a barrel intraday, while Brent fell 2.3% to $71.27.In company news, Meta Platforms (META) is building a cloud infrastructure business to sell access to AI computing power and models, setting up a new area of competition with Amazon (AMZN) Web Services, Microsoft (MSFT) Azure, and Alphabet's (GOOG, GOOGL) Google Cloud, Bloomberg reported.Meta shares were up 9.7% intraday, the third-top gainer on the S&P 500, while Microsoft rose 3.9%, the second-best performer on the Dow. Amazon was up 2.4% and Alphabet's class A shares added 0.5%.Nike (NKE) advanced 2.1%, after the sportswear giant reported fourth-quarter results late Tuesday. The company's latest quarterly results and sales guidance indicate a "choppy" turnaround for the sportswear company amid continued headwinds in China, BofA Securities said.Gold was up 1.1% at $4,083.60 per troy ounce, while silver advanced 1% to $60.51 per ounce.

Dow JonesNasdaq CompositeS&P 500$ADP$AMZN$GOOG$GOOGL$META$MSFT$NKE$SPGI
Wire

Goldman Sachs Adjusts Price Target on S&P Global to $490 From $539, Maintains Buy Rating

S&P Global (SPGI) has an average rating of buy and mean price target of $502.85, according to analysts polled by FactSet.Price: $400.13, Change: $+15.27, Percent Change: +3.97%

$SPGI
Sectors

Sector Update: Financial

Financial stocks were declining pre-bell Wednesday, with the State Street Financial Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLF) 0.1% lower.The Direxion Daily Financial Bull 3X Shares (FAS) was up 0.4% and its bearish counterpart Direxion Daily Financial Bear 3X Shares (FAZ) was slightly higher.S&P Global (SPGI) stock was up more than 2% after the company said it has completed the spinoff of its Mobility division into an independent publicly traded company, Mobility Global.

$SPGI

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