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Stocks Mostly Down Pre-Bell as Traders Monitor Developments on US-Iran Negotiations; Fed Policy Meeting on Deck

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US equity futures were mostly pointing lower on Tuesday as traders monitor developments on negotiations between the US and Iran and await the Federal Reserve's latest decision on interest rates, along with a fresh round of corporate earnings.

The S&P 500 decreased 0.2% and the Nasdaq declined 0.6%, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average inclined 0.3% in premarket activity. The Nasdaq and S&P 500 finished Monday trading with new closing highs for a second consecutive session, while the Dow ended in the red.

White House Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt reportedly said Monday that President Donald Trump reviewed a new proposal from Iran to reopen the crucial Strait of Hormuz with national security officials, according to Bloomberg News. Trump has made his "red lines" extremely clear with respect to Iran and will address the matter "very soon," Leavitt said.

Tehran recently submitted a proposal to reopen the Strait of Hormuz and delay talks on uranium enrichment, Axios reported, citing a US official and two other sources.

West Texas Intermediate crude oil rose 3.5% to $99.73 a barrel before the opening bell, while Brent gained 2.8% to $111.28.

The Fed's monetary policy committee is set to kick off its meeting on interest rates today, with a decision due tomorrow. Markets widely expect the central bank to keep its benchmark lending rate unchanged for a third consecutive meeting, according to the CME FedWatch tool.

With the Federal Open Market Committee's decision unlikely to surprise, the market is expected to focus on the policy statement and post-meeting remarks of Chair Jerome Powell, said David Doyle, head of economics at Macquarie Group.

"Given that elevated oil prices have persisted for nearly two months now, future guidance may shift somewhat," he said in a Monday report e-mailed to. "This would be in contrast to March where there were limited changes made. Our view remains that the next policy move is likely to be a hike with the most likely timing in (the first half of 2027)."

Treasury yields were trending upwards in premarket action, with the two-year rate advancing 1.9 basis points to 3.82% and the 10-year rate adding 1.8 basis points to 4.35%.

Coca-Cola (KO), S&P Global (SPGI), Spotify Technology (SPOT), United Parcel Service (UPS), Sherwin-Williams (SHW), Hilton Worldwide (HLT) and General Motors (GM) are scheduled to release their latest financial results before the bell, among others. Visa (V), T-Mobile US (TMUS) and Starbucks (SBUX) post earnings after the markets close.

Shares of Snap (SNAP) nudged down 0.2% pre-bell after the social media company finished the previous session with a 7.3% jump. Cadence Design Systems (CDNS) moved 0.4% lower as the computational software company announced its latest quarterly results. Oracle (ORCL) fell 5.5%.

Tuesday's economic calendar has the Case-Shiller Home Price Index and the Federal Housing Finance Agency House Price Index, both for February, at 9 am ET. The consumer confidence report for April is out at 10 am, along with the Richmond Fed manufacturing index for the same month.

Gold dropped 1.4% to $4,626 per troy ounce, while bitcoin ticked down 0.2% to $76,604.

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US Markets

Nasdaq, S&P 500 Reach New Peaks; Oil Rises

The Nasdaq Composite and the S&P 500 notched fresh record closing highs on Monday even as oil prices moved higher amid stalled peace talks between the US and Iran.The Nasdaq edged up 0.2% to 24,887.1, while the S&P 500 gained 0.1% to 7,173.9, recording their highest finish ever for a second consecutive session. The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 0.1% to 49,167.8. Most sectors were in the red, led by consumer staples, while communication services paced the gainers.Brent crude was last up 2.5% at $107.95 per barrel, while West Texas Intermediate crude rose 1.8% to $96.08.Iran's Foreign Minister Seyed Abbas Araghchi visited Pakistan twice over the weekend, while President Donald Trump called off US officials' previously announced trip to Islamabad.Iran has submitted a new proposal to reopen the Strait of Hormuz that includes delaying nuclear negotiations, Axios reported, citing a US official and two other sources."The lack of progress (in peace talks) means the market is tightening every day, requiring oil prices to reprice at higher levels," ING Bank said in a note on Monday.Trump was scheduled to meet with top national security officials on Monday to discuss the new Iranian proposal, CNN reported."US stocks enter April's final week with cautiously optimistic momentum, driven by (artificial intelligence) earnings beats and resilient macro prints," Ivan Feinseth, chief market strategist of Tigress Financial Intelligence, said in a report e-mailed to. "However, heightened volatility looms ahead of the conclusion of the (Federal Open Market Committee) meeting on Wednesday, with expectations that the Fed will keep rates unchanged at (3.50% to 3.75%)."With the FOMC decision unlikely to surprise, the market is expected to focus on the policy statement and post-meeting remarks of Chair Jerome Powell, said David Doyle, head of economics at Macquarie Group."Given that elevated oil prices have persisted for nearly two months now, future guidance may shift somewhat," he said in a report e-mailed to. "This would be in contrast to March where there were limited changes made. Our view remains that the next policy move is likely to be a hike with the most likely timing in (the first half of 2027)."US Treasury yields were higher, with the 10-year rate up 3.1 basis points at 4.34% and the two-year rate rising 1.5 basis points to 3.81%.S&P 500 companies' quarterly earnings growth decelerated compared with figures from a week ago, but remained well ahead of expectations, Oppenheimer Asset Management's data showed Monday."The quarter appears to be off to a strong start," Oppenheimer Asset Management Chief Investment Strategist John Stoltzfus said, noting that earnings growth reported by 79% of the firms that have released their quarterly results exceeded analyst estimates.Technology giants Alphabet (GOOG, GOOGL), Apple (AAPL), Microsoft (MSFT), Amazon (AMZN) and Meta Platforms (META) are slated to release their latest financial results later this week.In company-specific news, Verizon Communications (VZ) lifted its full-year earnings outlook on Monday and reported a first-quarter bottom line above market estimates, while the telecommunications giant unexpectedly added postpaid phone subscribers in the three-month period. The company's shares rose 1.6%, the second-biggest gain on the Dow.Shares of Domino's Pizza (DPZ) tumbled 8.8%, the steepest decline on the S&P 500. The company reported weaker-than-expected first-quarter results on Monday, with the company's chief executive saying consumer uncertainty and inflation weighed on demand late in the quarter.Organon (OGN) shares surged nearly 17% after the healthcare company agreed to be acquired by Indian pharmaceutical firm Sun Pharmaceutical Industries in an all-cash deal with an enterprise value of about $11.75 billion.Gold was last down 1% at $4,694.80 per troy ounce, while silver shed 1.2% to $75.47 per ounce.

Dow JonesNasdaq CompositeS&P 500$AAPL$AMZN$DPZ$GOOG$GOOGL$META$MSFT$OGN$VZ
US Markets

Update: Oil Prices Rise Amid US-Iran Stalemate

(Article updated to name ING's Warren Patterson in the last paragraph.)Crude oil prices rose Monday as US-Iran talks appeared to have stalled, even as Tehran reportedly offered a new proposal for reopening the Strait of Hormuz.West Texas Intermediate crude futures were last up 2.4% at $96.64 per barrel. Brent advanced 3.2% to $108.73.Iran's Foreign Minister Seyed Abbas Araghchi visited Pakistan twice over the weekend, while President Donald Trump called off US officials' previously announced trip to Islamabad.Iran has submitted a proposal to reopen the Strait of Hormuz and delay talks on uranium enrichment, Axios reported, citing a US official and two other sources.Uranium enrichment and Iran's control of the crucial waterway have been key sticking points during talks between between Washington and Tehran.A Pakistan-brokered ceasefire between the US and Iran paused American and Israeli strikes on Tehran, but there's no framework yet for a long-lasting peace deal."Oil is trading stronger this morning after attempts to get US-Iran peace talks back on track broke down, erasing hopes for a resumption of energy flows through the Strait of Hormuz anytime soon," ING Bank Head of Commodities Strategy Warren Patterson said in a note on Monday. "The lack of progress means the market is tightening every day, requiring oil prices to reprice at higher levels."

US Markets

Airline Capacity Deployment Slowdown Amid High Fuel Prices Could Hit Aircraft Lessors, Deutsche Bank Says

Aircraft lessors could be impacted by a projected slowdown in airline capacity deployment globally amid elevated jet fuel prices triggered by the Middle East conflict, Deutsche Bank said Monday.Energy prices have soared following the US-Israel war with Iran that has disrupted shipments through the Strait of Hormuz, the world's most important chokepoint for crude flows.The conflict, which paused following a ceasefire between the US and Iran and later between Israel and Lebanon, has pushed jet fuel prices past $4 a gallon, according to Deutsche Bank."While aircraft lessors are not directly impacted (by high fuel prices) like airlines with higher operating costs, they are indirectly affected by changes in supply and demand for aircraft," Deutsche Bank analyst Shannon Doherty said in a note to clients Monday. "We cannot ignore the fact that surging jet fuel prices will lead to a slowing of global airline capacity deployment, with groundings a possibility among the financially weakest operators."Last week, American Airlines (AAL) and United Airlines (UAL) lowered their full-year earnings projections. United Airlines said at the time it faced headwinds in the first quarter, including a $340 million increase in fuel expense, compared with a year earlier.Qatar Airways recently contacted lessors to potentially defer or reduce rental payments, Deutsche Bank said Monday. If other airlines request similar favors and aircraft lessors opt to provide that relief, new terms will likely be net present value-positive over the longer term for lessors, according to the note.A premium multiple to AerCap Holdings' (AER) book value is "justified" given its diversified asset fleet earning mid-double-digit return on equity, Doherty said. An undersupply of aircraft assets is "structural" and is expected to last through the end of the decade, the brokerage wrote."AerCap represents one of the best ways to play this theme given the high demand for aircraft, its large orderbook, durable earnings, and high visibility into future cash flows given the long duration nature of its lease contracts," Doherty said.Price: $137.95, Change: $-0.14, Percent Change: -0.10%

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