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US Markets

Shake Shack Stock Plunges as Inclement Weather Hurts First-Quarter Performance

Shake Shack (SHAK) shares plummeted Thursday after the fast food chain operator's first-quarter results fell short of Wall Street's estimates amid weather-related headwinds.The company broke even in terms of non-GAAP earnings per share, compared with $0.14 adjusted EPS a year earlier and the FactSet-polled consensus that called for $0.12 in EPS. Revenue grew 14% to $366.7 million, while same-store sales rose 4.6%.Analysts expected revenue of $372.4 million and 4.7% in comparable sales growth in the quarter ended April 1.Inclement weather weighed down comparable sales by 240 basis points and impacted adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization in the first quarter, Chief Executive Rob Lynch said in a statement.The company's shares plunged about 30% intraday Thursday.Restaurant level margins slightly missed the company's own expectations amid higher operating expenses and "some mix impact" of marketing initiatives," the company said in a shareholder letter.For 2026, Shake Shack maintained its revenue guidance of $1.6 billion to $1.7 billion, continuing to expect same-store sales to grow by a low single-digit percentage. Analysts in a FactSet poll are projecting sales of $1.66 billion and same-store sales growth of 3%."Our sales momentum is building in (the second quarter) and that we are reiterating our 2026 guidance for same Shack sales restaurant level margins and our long-term financial targets," Lynch said on an earnings conference call, according to a FactSet transcript.Shake Shack appointed Michelle Hook as its chief financial officer, effective May 11. Hook previously served as CFO of Portillo's (PTLO).Katherine Fogertey stepped down as Shake Shack CFO in March.Fast-food giant McDonald's (MCD) logged first-quarter results above the Street's views on Thursday, a day after Burger King parent Restaurant Brands International (QSR) posted stronger-than-expected financials.Last week, Yum Brands (YUM) reported first-quarter comparable sales growth at KFC and Taco Bell.Price: $69.55, Change: $-26.97, Percent Change: -27.94%

$MCD$PTLO$QSR$SHAK$YUM
Wire

Top Midday Stories: Citi CEO Fraser Gives New ROTCE Targets; Datadog Shares Soar After Strong Earnings, Bullish Guidance

The Dow Jones Industrial Average was down, while the S&P 500 Index and the Nasdaq Composite were up in late-morning trading Thursday, as oil prices fell below $100 on hopes that the US and Iran are nearing an agreement to end their war.In company news, Citigroup (C) Chief Executive Jane Fraser said Thursday at the bank's Investor Day that Citi expects its return on tangible common equity to hit a range of 11% to 13% in 2027 and 2028, up from 10% to 11% currently, before rising further to 14% to 15% from 2029 to 2031, according to a slide deck the company published. Citigroup shares were up 2.1% around midday.Datadog (DDOG) reported Q1 non-GAAP net income Thursday of $0.60 per diluted share, up from $0.46 a year earlier and above the FactSet consensus of $0.51. First-quarter revenue was $1.01 billion, up from $761.6 million a year ago and above the FactSet consensus of $960.1 million. For Q2, the company said it expects non-GAAP EPS of $0.57 to $0.59 on revenue of $1.07 billion to $1.08 billion. Analysts polled by FactSet expect $0.50 and $994 million, respectively. For full-year 2026, Datadog said it expects non-GAAP EPS of $2.36 to $2.44 on revenue of $4.30 billion to $4.34 billion, up from the previous guidance ranges of $2.08 to $2.16, and $4.06 billion to $4.12 billion, respectively. Analysts polled by FactSet expect earnings of $2.16. Datadog shares were up 29.6%.McDonald's (MCD) reported Q1 adjusted earnings Thursday of $2.83 per diluted share, up from $2.67 a year earlier and above the FactSet consensus of $2.74. First-quarter revenue was $6.52 billion, up from $5.96 billion a year ago and above the FactSet consensus of $6.47 billion. McDonald's shares were down 0.4%.Zoetis (ZTS) reported Q1 adjusted earnings Thursday of $1.53 per diluted share, up from $1.41 a year earlier but below the FactSet consensus of $1.60. First-quarter revenue was $2.26 billion, up from $2.20 billion a year ago but below the FactSet consensus of $2.30 billion. For full-year 2026, the company said it expects adjusted EPS of $6.85 to $7.00, down from its previous guidance of $7.00 to $7.10 and below the FactSet consensus of $7.03. The company also lowered its full-year 2026 revenue guidance to $9.68 billion to $9.96 billion from $9.83 billion to $10.03 billion previously. Analysts polled by FactSet expect $9.89 billion. Zoetis shares were down 22%.Arm (ARM) reported fiscal Q4 adjusted earnings late Wednesday of $0.60 per diluted share, up from $0.55 a year earlier and above the FactSet consensus of $0.58. Fiscal Q4 revenue was $1.49 billion, up from $1.24 billion a year ago and above the FactSet consensus of $1.47 billion. For fiscal Q1, the company said it expects adjusted EPS of $0.40, plus or minus $0.04, on revenue of $1.26 billion, plus or minus $50 million. Analysts polled by FactSet expect $0.37 and $1.25 billion, respectively. Arm shares were down 8.4%.Whirlpool (WHR) reported a Q1 adjusted loss late Wednesday of $0.56 per diluted share, swinging from adjusted earnings of $1.70 a year earlier and compared with the FactSet consensus of earnings of $0.38. First-quarter revenue was $3.27 billion, down from $3.62 billion a year ago and below the FactSet consensus of $3.44 billion. For fiscal 2026, the company said it expects adjusted EPS of $3 to $3.50, down from its previous guidance of $7 and below the FactSet consensus of $4.83. Full-year revenue is expected to be about $15 billion, down from its prior guidance of $15.30 billion to $15.60 billion and below the FactSet consensus of $15.26 billion. The company said the war in Iran has triggered a "recession-level industry decline in the US." Whirlpool shares were down 12.3%.Shake Shack (SHAK) reported breakeven fiscal Q1 adjusted earnings Thursday, compared with $0.14 per diluted share a year earlier and below the FactSet consensus of $0.12. Fiscal Q1 revenue was $366.7 million, up from $320.9 million a year ago but below the FactSet consensus of $372.4 million. Shake Shack also said it has appointed Michelle Hook as chief financial officer, effective May 11. Shares of the company were down 28.6%.Price: $130.33, Change: $+2.72, Percent Change: +2.14%

$ARM$C$DDOG$MCD$SHAK$WHR$ZTS
Research

Research Alert: Shak: Project Catalyst Initiative Unexpectedly Pressures Margins

CFRA, an independent research provider, has providedwith the following research alert. Analysts at CFRA have summarized their opinion as follows:SHAK's Q1 revenue of $366.7M grew 14.3% Y/Y but missed consensus $372M, with same-Shack sales up 4.6% and positive traffic of 1.4%. Adjusted EBITDA fell 9.3% to $37.0M, below consensus $45.6M, with margin contracting 260 bps to 10.1% and adjusted EPS at breakeven vs $0.14 prior year. The unit growth acceleration signals confidence in expansion economics, with management raising full-year company-operated openings to 60-65 from 55-60 after a record 17 Q1 openings. Weather disruptions pressured comps by 240 bps, suggesting underlying trends were stronger than reported. We view margin compression as driven by elevated G&A investments (up 190 bps to 14.6% of revenue) in digital and technology initiatives, while restaurant-level profit margin expanded 50 bps to 21.2% on labor leverage offsetting beef inflation. The key debate is whether this G&A investment phase is temporary and if accelerated unit growth can drive sufficient operating leverage to restore margin trajectory.

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Research

Guggenheim Initiates Shake Shack at Buy With $120 Price Target

Shake Shack (SHAK) has an average rating of overweight and mean price target of $115.62, according to analysts polled by FactSet.

$SHAK
Wire

Shake Shack Shares Rise After Mizuho Upgrade

Shake Shack (SHAK) shares rose 1.2% on Friday after Mizuho upgraded the stock to outperform from neutral and boosted its price target to $120 per share from $100.Trading volume stood at over 603,000 shares compared with a daily average of over 1.4 million.Price: $98.66, Change: $+1.11, Percent Change: +1.14%

$SHAK
Asia Markets

Exchange-Traded Funds Higher, Equity Futures Mixed Pre-Bell Amid Lingering Geopolitical Uncertainty, CPI Focus

The broad market exchange-traded fund SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) was up 0.1% and the actively traded Invesco QQQ Trust (QQQ) was 0.1% higher in Friday's premarket activity amid lingering geopolitical uncertainty and the release of consumer inflation data.US stock futures were mixed, with S&P 500 Index futures up 0.03%, Dow Jones Industrial Average futures slipping 0.04%, and Nasdaq futures gaining 0.1% before the start of regular trading.US consumer prices rose 0.9% in March, in line with expectations, compared with a 0.3% gain in the prior month.The University of Michigan's preliminary consumer sentiment index for April and the factory orders data for February are due to be released at 10 am ET.In premarket activity, bitcoin was up by 0.1%. Among cryptocurrency ETFs, the cryptocurrency fund ProShares Bitcoin Strategy ETF (BITO) was 0.3% higher, Ether ETF (EETH) advanced 0.2%, and Bitcoin & Ether Market Cap Weight ETF (BETH) gained 0.3%.Power Play:Health CareThe State Street Health Care Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLV) retreated marginally by 0.01%, the Vanguard Health Care Index Fund (VHT) was up 0.8%, while the iShares US Healthcare ETF (IYH) was inactive. The iShares Biotechnology ETF (IBB) slipped 0.4%.Telix Pharmaceuticals (TLX) stock was up more than 9% premarket after the company said the US Food and Drug Administration accepted its resubmitted new drug application for its investigational glioma imaging agent Pixclara.Winners and Losers:ConsumerThe State Street Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLP) was flat and the Vanguard Consumer Staples Index Fund ETF Shares (VDC) was up 0.8%. The iShares US Consumer Staples ETF (IYK) advanced 0.4%. The State Street Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLY) gained 0.1%. The VanEck Retail ETF (RTH) was inactive, while the State Street SPDR S&P Retail ETF (XRT) was down 0.4%.Shake Shack (SHAK) shares were up more than 3% pre-bell after Mizuho upgraded the company's stock to outperform from neutral and lifted its price target to $120 from $100.FinancialThe State Street Financial Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLF) retreated 0.2%. Direxion Daily Financial Bull 3X Shares (FAS) was down 0.6%, while its bearish counterpart Direxion Daily Financial Bear 3X Shares (FAZ) was 0.8% higher.SLM (SLM) shares were up more than 2% pre-bell. RBC cut the company's price target to $28 from $32 while maintaining its outperform rating.TechnologyThe State Street Technology Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLK) gained 0.2%, and the iShares US Technology ETF (IYW) was 0.2% higher, while the iShares Expanded Tech Sector ETF (IGM) was up 0.01%. Among semiconductor ETFs, the State Street SPDR S&P Semiconductor ETF (XSD) was 0.7% higher, while the iShares Semiconductor ETF (SOXX) rose by 0.7%.Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing (TSM) shares were up more than 2% in premarket activity after the company reported higher Q1 net revenue.IndustrialThe State Street Industrial Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLI) advanced 0.3%, while the Vanguard Industrials Index Fund (VIS) gained 0.3% and the iShares US Industrials ETF (IYJ) was inactive.A. O. Smith Corporation (AOS) stock was up more than 1% before the opening bell after Goldman Sachs raised its price target to $61 from $69.EnergyThe iShares US Energy ETF (IYE) was flat, while the State Street Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLE) was down by 0.2%.Eni (E) stock was up nearly 1% before Friday's opening bell after the company said it has invested $70 million in Nouveau Monde Graphite (NMG). Nouveau stock was down 9%.CommoditiesFront-month US West Texas Intermediate crude oil gained 0.1% to reach $97.95 per barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange. Natural gas retreated by 1.5% to $2.63 per 1 million British Thermal Units. The United States Oil Fund (USO) was down by 1.8%, while the United States Natural Gas Fund (UNG) was 1.2% lower.Gold futures for May were down by 0.6% at $4,790.50 an ounce on the Comex. Silver futures declined by 0.9% to $75.76 an ounce. SPDR Gold Shares (GLD) was 0.01% higher, and the iShares Silver Trust (SLV) advanced by 0.3%.

Dow JonesNasdaq CompositeS&P 500$AOS$BETH$BITO$E$EEM$EETH$EXI$FAS$FAZ$GLD$IBB$IGM$IGV$IPK$IVV$IWM$IYE$IYH$IYJ$IYK$IYW$NMG$PMR$QQQ$RTH$SHAK$SLM$SLV$SOXX$SPY$TLX$TSM$UNG$USO$VDC$VHT$VIS$XLE$XLF$XLI$XLK$XLP$XLV$XLY$XRT$XSD
Research

Mizuho Upgrades Shake Shack to Outperform From Neutral, Adjusts Price Target to $120 From $100

Shake Shack (SHAK) has an average rating of overweight and mean price target of $114.20, according to analysts polled by FactSet.

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