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Update: US Equity Indexes Rise as Cooling Inflation Eases Interest-Rate Pressure on Tech While IBM Sell-Off Restrains Dow
(Updates with index/price moves, macroeconomic data, and geopolitical news from the first paragraph.)US equity indexes closed higher on Tuesday after the steepest slide in inflation in more than six years helped lift the Nasdaq Composite and the S&P 500, while a sharp sell-off in IBM (IBM) anchored the Dow Jones Industrial Average.The tech-heavy Nasdaq advanced 0.9% to 26,107.01, and the S&P 500 climbed 0.4% to 7,543.59. The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose by less than 0.1% to 52,508.27.Interest-rate-sensitive sectors, technology and communication services, led gainers in a broad-based rally. Healthcare was the worst performer. IBM sank 25%, the most on the Dow and the S&P 500, after Q2 guidance missed expectations.Looking at gains from the top 20 companies with market capitalizations exceeding $200 billion, half were from the semiconductor industry, according to data compiled by Finviz. The top gainer was SK Hynix, up 27%, following its Nasdaq debut last Friday.The consumer price index fell 0.4% month-over-month in June, the steepest drop since April 2020, compared with forecasts for a 0.1% drop in a Bloomberg-compiled survey and a 0.5% gain in May, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics. Core CPI, which excludes food and energy prices, held steady, compared with the 0.2% growth estimate, in line with May's growth.The year-over-year rates for overall and core CPI slowed to 3.5% and 2.6%, respectively, from 4.2% and 2.9%. Core services, excluding housing, also known as the super core, saw the biggest sequential slide since May 2020, a Jefferies note said.The probability of the Federal Reserve leaving its policy unchanged in July soared to 83% from 58% a day ago, according to the CME FedWatch tool. The likelihood of the pause continuing over September, October, and December surged.Meanwhile, President Donald Trump withdrew his proposal to charge a 20% toll on cargo transiting the Strait of Hormuz, according to his social media post on Tuesday. "Based on highly productive conversations with Middle East leadership, I have decided to replace the 20% United States Reimbursement Fee with Trade and Investment Deals that the various Gulf States will be making into the United States."US Central Command will restart its naval blockade of Iranian ports at 4 p.m. ET on Tuesday.Front-month global benchmark North Sea Brent rose 2.2% to $85.09 a barrel, and US West Texas Intermediate was up 1.9% to $79.59 a barrel, albeit both crude types were off session highs."Resumption of tension in the Strait of Hormuz risks a reversal, but this month's [inflation] data is a step in the right direction for the Fed," Jefferies Chief US Economist said in a note.US Treasury yields fell, with the 10-year down 3.7 basis points to 4.58% and the two-year lower 7.4 basis points to 4.19%.Taking into account the weighting differences between the CPI and personal consumption expenditures baskets, the headline PCE, which is due out in a couple of weeks, is tracking a 0.3% decline month-over-month, according to a Scotiabank note. Core PCE is tracking similarly to the flat core CPI reading.
Dow JonesNasdaq CompositeS&P 500$IBM
