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Research

Research Alert: Deutsche Bank Posts Q1 Beat; Geopolitical Risks Cloud Outlook

CFRA, an independent research provider, has providedwith the following research alert. Analysts at CFRA have summarized their opinion as follows:Deutsche Bank delivered a record Q1 2026 post-tax profit of EUR2.2B (8% Y/Y growth) and EPS of EUR1.06, both exceeding consensus estimates of EUR1.78B and EUR0.92, respectively. Net revenues of EUR8.7B grew 2% and beat the consensus estimate of EUR8.5B, with strong performance across all segments achieving post-tax RoTE at near or above 13%. The results demonstrate impressive operational momentum with efficiency gains (cost/income ratio improved to 58.9% from 61.2%) and clear progress toward 2028 strategic targets. Management provided full-year 2026 guidance including net revenues of ~EUR33B, signaling confidence in execution. However, we remain cautious about sustainability given mounting macro headwinds. The EUR519M provision for credit losses, including overlays for geopolitical and CRE risks, underscores management's concerns about deteriorating conditions. We believe Germany's exposure to the Middle East conflict and energy cost inflation warrants a measured outlook despite the strong quarter.

$DB
Sectors

Sector Update: Financial Stocks Higher Late Afternoon

Financial stocks were advancing in late Friday afternoon trading, with the NYSE Financial Index rising 1.3% and the State Street Financial Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLF) adding 0.9%.The Philadelphia Housing Index popped 3.9%, and the State Street Real Estate Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLRE) was up 1.6%.Bitcoin (BTC-USD) rose 2.8% to $77,288, and the yield for 10-year US Treasuries dropped 6.3 basis points to 4.246%.In sector news, JPMorgan Chase (JPM) and Barclays (BCS) are among the Wall Street banks that recently started trading credit default swaps against flagship private credit funds run by Blackstone (BX), Apollo Global Management (APO) and Ares Management (ARES), the Financial Times reported.In corporate news, Ally Financial (ALLY) shares jumped past 8%. The company reported Q1 adjusted earnings of $1.11 per diluted share, up from $0.58 a year earlier, and above the FactSet consensus estimate of $0.93.Fifth Third Bancorp (FITB) shares rose 1.7% after it reported a surprise Q1 profit on Friday.Truist Financial (TFC) reported Q1 earnings of $1.09 per diluted share, up from $0.87 a year earlier. Analysts polled by FactSet expected $1. Truist shares gained 2.4%.Deutsche Bank (DB) has notified Germany's central bank, Bundesbank, that it may have violated sanctions that limit deposits of Russian individuals to less than 100,000 euros ($118,000), multiple media outlets reported Friday. Deutsche shares were up 2.7%.

$ALLY$APO$ARES$BCS$BX$DB$FITB$JPM$TFC
Sectors

Sector Update: Financial Stocks Rise Friday Afternoon

Financial stocks were advancing in Friday afternoon trading, with the NYSE Financial Index gaining 1.9% and the State Street Financial Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLF) climbing 1.8%.The Philadelphia Housing Index jumped 5.1%, and the State Street Real Estate Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLRE) was up 1.6%.Bitcoin (BTC-USD) popped 3.7% to $77,919, and the yield for 10-year US Treasuries dropped 7.7 basis points to 4.23%.In sector news, JPMorgan Chase (JPM) and Barclays (BCS) are among the Wall Street banks that recently started trading credit default swaps against flagship private credit funds run by Blackstone (BX), Apollo Global Management (APO) and Ares Management (ARES), the Financial Times reported.In corporate news, Fifth Third Bancorp (FITB) shares gained 2.2% after it reported a surprise Q1 profit on Friday.Truist Financial (TFC) reported Q1 earnings of $1.09 per diluted share, up from $0.87 a year earlier. Analysts polled by FactSet expected $1. Truist shares rose 3%.Deutsche Bank (DB) has notified Germany's central bank, Bundesbank, that it may have violated sanctions that limit deposits of Russian individuals to less than 100,000 euros ($118,000), multiple media outlets reported Friday. Deutsche shares were up 3.3%.

$APO$ARES$BCS$BX$DB$FITB$JPM$TFC
Research

Research Alert: CFRA Maintains Hold Opinion On Adss Of Deutsche Bank Aktiengesellschaft

CFRA, an independent research provider, has providedwith the following research alert. Analysts at CFRA have summarized their opinion as follows:We lift our target to USD37 from USD32, reflecting P/E multiple of 9.1x (vs. previous 8.2x) on unchanged 2026 EPS of EUR3.40 (we also maintain our 2027 EPS estimate at EUR3.80). The multiple expansion is due to equity risk premium compression as geopolitical tensions eased since our March 26 update. DBK's ~12% share price recovery matches the European banking peer group, confirming a sector-wide re-rating with sector valuations recovering from March (~9.7x) as Middle East conflict fears abated. At 9.1x, DBK now approaches the European peer median of ~10.8x, limiting further multiple expansion room, in our view. The upcoming Q1 2026 results on April 29 represent a critical test of whether the recent share price recovery is sustainable. We will focus on three key metrics: (1) Fixed Income & Currencies trading revenue; (2) CRE provision given rising U.S. office delinquencies; and (3) German Corporate Bank performance testing resilience amid collapsing business confidence and energy cost pressures. Maintain Hold.

$DB

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