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132 stories mentioning Stock Exchange of Thailand Index (SET)Updated 3d ago

Thai equities trade amid Middle East peace optimism, as 17 new depositary receipts on US and Hong Kong securities begin trading June 12.

International

Asia Week Ahead: Inflation; Trade Data; and Central Bank Decisions

The week ahead in Asia is packed with releases covering trade, inflation, and central bank updates which could offer markets fresh clues on how the region is navigating the conflict in the Middle East.Monday begins with trade data from New Zealand and Malaysia, as well as the release of China's loan prime rates.Attention then turns Tuesday to New Zealand's first-quarter inflation report, followed by Bank Indonesia's interest rate decision and Japan's March trade figures on Wednesday.Thursday brings another key central bank decision from the Philippines, as well as first-quarter GDP data from South Korea. Flash PMI reports from India, Japan and Australia will also be closely watched.Friday rounds off the week with Japan's March inflation data, as well as Thailand's trade report.Here's what to watch in the week ahead.MONDAY, April 20The week kicked off with the release of trade data from New Zealand and Malaysia.New Zealand recorded a goods trade surplus of NZ$698 million in March, compared with a deficit of NZ$364.7 million in February.Goods exports rose 7.3% to NZ$7.94 billion, while imports rose 9.6% to NZ$7.25 billion.Malaysia's total trade in goods rose 9.3% annually to 273 billion ringgit in March, driven by growth in both exports and imports.Exports increased 8.3% year on year to 148.8 billion ringgit, while imports rose 10.4% to 124.2 billion ringgit.China kept its loan prime rate or LPR, which is the benchmark for new loans, unchanged after posting a better-than-expected economy amid the Middle East conflict.The People's Bank of China held the one-year LPR at 3% and the LPR of five years or more at 3.5%.Economists at ING said the central bank may keep the rates on hold until conditions warrant monetary policy support. The People's Bank of China has maintained the one-year and five-year LPR since May 2025.TUESDAY, April 21New Zealand is due to report its first quarter inflation data.The country's consumer price index is anticipated to rise by 0.8% quarter on quarter and 2.9% year on year, BofA Securities estimated, slightly below the Reserve Bank of New Zealand's revised April forecast of 3%.Headline inflation is driven by soaring fuel prices in March due to the Middle East conflict, with petrol prices surging nearly 19% and diesel by nearly 43% month on month, according to the firm's research.Taiwan will release its export orders data. According to ING, the city state could see a rebound in orders to around 48.1% year on year from 23.8% previously.WEDNESDAY, April 22Indonesia's central bank will meet for its interest rate decision.ING said it expects Bank Indonesia to keep its policy rate at 4.75% despite inflation running above the central bank's 2.5% target. At 3.5%, inflation is still well below the roughly 5% peak in 2022 that triggered aggressive rate hikes, and with growth softening, the central bank is likely to remain on hold, according to ING.Japan's March trade figures will also be in the news. ING said it expects strong Japanese export growth in March thanks to demand for semiconductors and IT products, pushing the country's trade surplus to 1 trillion yen from 44.3 billion yen in the month prior.Elsewhere, South Korea reports producer price inflation data for March.THURSDAY, April 23Another interest rate decision, this time in the Philippines.The island nation's economy is one of the most susceptible to oil shocks in the region, and the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas' upcoming decision is "likely to be close" amid the current geopolitical situation in the Middle East, ING said in a preview.Still, the firm said its base case is for the central bank to maintain rates at 4.25%.South Korea's advance estimates for GDP growth for the first quarter will also capture headlines.Most analysts expect a rebound in growth after the economy contracted in the previous quarter, the Wall Street Journal reported.Barclays economist Bumki Son said the economy is likely to show a growth of 1.2% on a quarterly basis and 3% on a yearly basis thanks to stronger exports and a recovery in private consumption and facility investment, the WSJ reported.A consumer confidence report is also due in South Korea.Hong Kong and Singapore will announce Inflation data for March.Singapore's March print will capture the initial impact of the energy shock from the Middle East conflict, the WSJ reported, citing DBS economists. According to Trading Economics, the rate of price increase could quick to 1.5% year on year from the 1.2% witnessed in February.In Hong Kong, Trading Economics expects inflation to rise marginally to 1.8% on the year from the 1.7% recorded in February.Hong Kong will also release unemployment data the same day.A number of macro releases are expected in Taiwan, covering March retail sales, industrial production, and unemployment.Similar to its export orders, ING said it expects Taiwan's industrial production to rebound to 25.7% year on year from the 17.8% growth recorded in the month prior.On the activity front, S&P Global releases its flash PMI reports covering manufacturing, services, and composite activity in India, Japan, and Australia.FRIDAY, April 24Markets will await March inflation data from Japan.Core inflation, which excludes fresh food but includes energy, is expected to cool to a rate of 1.8% year on year from the 2% witnessed in February, according to a consensus compiled by Trading Economics.According to ING, efforts by Japan's government to stabilize gasoline prices should keep both headline and core inflation rates below 2%.March inflation data will also be due in Macao, which also reports unemployment rate the same day.Trading Economics estimates that March inflation could clock in at 1.2% year on year, modestly higher than the 1.16% witnessed in February.Unemployment, meanwhile, is expected to rise to 1.8% from 1.7% in the month prior, Trading Economics estimated.In Thailand, trade figures for March will be due.Trading Economics expects the country the post a trade deficit of $2 billion for the month, a reversal from the $2 billion surplus in February.A pair of reports covering business and consumer confidence in the first quarter will be due in the Philippines.A business confidence report covering the second quarter will similarly be made available in Hong Kong.

ASX 200Hang Seng^JKSEFTSE Bursa Malaysia KLCIKOSPINikkei 225^NZ50^PSEI^SETShanghai Composite^STI^SZSETaiwan Weighted
Asia

Market Chatter: Thailand Seeks Oman's Aid to Secure Safe Hormuz Passage

Thailand's Foreign Affairs Minister Sihasak Phuangketkeow is in Oman to discuss regional security and ensure Thai cargo shipments can continue transiting the strategic waterway safely, The Bangkok Times reported Thursday.The trip, at the invitation of Omani Foreign Minister Sayyid Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi, will cover regional security and potential diplomatic engagement, including with Iran. A key focus is to facilitate the transit of Thai shipments of oil, gas and fertilizer through the strategic shipping route, reportedly.During the visit, Sihasak will meet senior Omani defense and energy officials and thank authorities for rescuing Thai crew members and assisting in search operations for those missing. Separately, Thailand has suspended the deployment of workers to several Middle Eastern countries due to heightened security risks.Separately, the Thai embassy in Tehran has issued a warning urging nationals to prepare for possible evacuation, citing a fragile ceasefire and risk of renewed conflict.(Market Chatter news is derived from conversations with market professionals globally. This information is believed to be from reliable sources but may include rumor and speculation. Accuracy is not guaranteed.)

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Equities

S&P Global: Oil Shock Could Undermine Asian Pacific Bonds

About one-seventh of Asian Pacific corporate bonds outstanding could come under pressure if the Persian Gulf war and higher oil prices persist, S&P Global reported Thursday."A prolonged oil shock could undermine the credit quality of 15% of rated Asia-Pacific corporates tested under our downside scenario," advised S&P Global. "That's up from 9% under our base case of a quicker end to war."The Asia-Pacific is more exposed to a Middle-East related energy shock than most other regions, and vulnerable to "disruptions to energy and raw material supplies, demand destruction, margin compression, and working capital volatility," advised S&P Global.Nearly 90% of the crude oil shipped through the Strait of Hormuz is bound for Asia, and Persian Gulf petroleum accounts for about 40% of Asia-Pacific's energy imports, noted the credit-rating agency.In Asia, industries and enterprises that rely on jet fuel, diesel, and liquified petroleum gas (LPG) "face the highest shortage risk," reported S&P Global.Business sectors most affected include chemicals, downstream oil and gas, airlines, automobile-manufacturing, engineering and construction, and building materials.In terms of nations, South Korea, Japan, and mainland China "have largely mitigated near-term supply disruption," through use of adequate reserves, but "other countries have had to announce various measures to manage a potential energy supply crunch," said S&P Global.Not only corporates, but some sovereign bonds could be affected if high prices persist.The Philippines sovereign credit-rating was reduced to BBB+ "stable" from "positive" last week, due to exposure to oil shocks, said S&P Global.

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Asia

Market Chatter: Thailand Warns of Severe Economic Downside Amid US-Iran Conflict

Thailand's economy is facing a sharper-than-expected slowdown this year due to the Iran conflict, with "almost no limits" to worst-case scenarios if the war drags on, Thai Assistant Governor Chayawadee Chai-anant told Reuters on Thursday.She said growth in the export- and tourism-dependent economy is weakening due to higher energy costs and declining visitor arrivals. Tourism from Gulf countries has yet to recover after disruptions earlier in the year, while rising fuel costs have also dampened arrivals from Malaysia, according to the report.The central bank lowered its GDP growth projection for 2026 to 1.3%, assuming the war ends in the second half of the year, down from its December 2025 projection of 1.9%. In the same scenario, inflation is expected to reach 3.5%, the news agency reported.(Market Chatter news is derived from conversations with market professionals globally. This information is believed to be from reliable sources but may include rumor and speculation. Accuracy is not guaranteed.)

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Asia

Market Chatter: World Bank Hints at Up to $100 Billion to Aid War-Impacted Economies

The World Bank could mobilize between $80 billion and $100 billion over the next 15 months to support countries impacted by the Middle East conflict, Reuters reported Wednesday, citing President Ajay Banga.The package, which exceeds the deployment during COVID-19, would include $20 billion to $25 billion in near-term support through a crisis response window, alongside $30 billion to $40 billion from reallocating existing programs within about six months. Additional resources could be tapped from the bank's balance sheet if the conflict persists, reportedly.IMF Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva said the outlook depends on how long the conflict continues, and urged governments to use targeted support instead of broad energy subsidies to manage higher costs, the news agency said.(Market Chatter news is derived from conversations with market professionals globally. This information is believed to be from reliable sources but may include rumor and speculation. Accuracy is not guaranteed.)

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Asia

IMF Lowers 2026 Growth Outlook for Most Asian Economies Amid Middle East War

The International Monetary Fund has lowered its growth estimates for most Asian economies for 2026, according to a recent release.The organization revised down its growth outlook for emerging Asian economies to 4.9% from a previous prospect of 5% in January, which was before the start of the conflict in the Middle East.Growth for the group will continue to decline to 4.8% in 2027, the IMF said.The organization projects China's economy growing 4.4% this year and 4% next year, while India will post growth of 6.5% for the next two years.Cumulative growth among Southeast Asia's five biggest economies, including Indonesia, Malaysia, the Philippines, Singapore, and Thailand, will fall to 3.7% in 2026 from 4.9%, although this will recover to 4.7% next year, the organization said.Individually, Vietnam will post the strongest growth of 7.1%, although this is still lower than the 8% growth last year.The rest of the economies in the group will also see lower growth, with Indonesia at 5%, Malaysia at 4.7%, the Philippines at 4.1%, and Thailand at 1.5%.Among advanced economies in Asia-Pacific, Korea's growth will rise to 1.9% from 1% last year, while that of Australia will remain flat at 2%.Japan's growth will slow down to 0.7% in 2026 and 0.6% in 2027 from 1.2% last year, according to the IMF.Taiwan will see lower expansion of 5.2% from 8.7% in 2025, while Singapore's growth will come to 3.5%, down from 5% last year.Hong Kong will also observe lower growth of 2.4%, compared to 3.5% in 2025.The IMF forecasts global economic growth to weaken to 3.1% this year from 3.4% last year, accounting for the impacts of the continued conflict in the Middle East.

ASX 200^BSE^DSE^HNX^HOSEHang Seng^JKSEFTSE Bursa Malaysia KLCI^KOSDAQKOSPINikkei 225Nifty 50^PSEI^SETShanghai Composite^STI^SZSETaiwan Weighted^YSX
Asia

Sovereign Rating Risks Grow for Southeast Asia Amid Middle East Conflict, S&P Says

Southeast Asia's sovereign ratings face risks from the Middle East conflict, with persistent energy disruption to weigh on their fiscal and external metrics, S&P Global Ratings said in a Tuesday release.Economies reliant on imported energy could see strains in their robust growth outlook under severe long-term effects of the war, limiting economic support for ratings in South and Southeast Asia, credit analyst Rain Yin said.Damage to the energy infrastructure in the Middle East will prolong the normalization of oil and gas production levels even with the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz, S&P said.Southeast Asian sovereigns with weaker rating buffers could see their credit quality drop under persistent energy market disruption, with government subsidies for consumers and businesses possibly increasing, Yin said.The depth of the damage to sovereigns' fiscal positions will depend on the ability of governments to reduce expenses or delay spending plans, S&P said.

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Asia

Market Chatter: ASEAN Diplomats Plead US-Iran Truce as Surging Oil Prices Rattle Economies

Southeast Asian diplomats on Monday urged the U.S. and Iran to continue negotiations after failed weekend talks heightened tensions and rattled global markets, Nikkei Asian Review reported Monday.This came after Brent crude surged to $102.43 a barrel, while Asian and European equities fell following remarks from US President Donald Trump, including threats of a blockade of the Strait of Hormuz. Washington later put restrictions on vessels departing Iranian ports, reportedly.ASEAN foreign ministers, meeting virtually for the second time since March 13, welcomed a recent two-week ceasefire but stressed the need for sustained dialogue to achieve lasting peace. The bloc warned that instability is particularly damaging for Southeast Asia, which relies heavily on energy imports transiting the Strait of Hormuz.Countries including Malaysia, Vietnam and Thailand have been forced to ramp up energy support measures, while the Philippines has declared an energy emergency. ASEAN also discussed setting up a crisis communication mechanism and strengthening coordination on energy and food security ahead of upcoming regional meetings, the Nikkei said.(Market Chatter news is derived from conversations with market professionals globally. This information is believed to be from reliable sources but may include rumor and speculation. Accuracy is not guaranteed.)

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International

Middle East Escalation Could Cost Asia Up to $299 Billion, UNDP Warns

The ongoing military escalation in the Middle East could inflict economic losses of up to $299 billion across Asia and the Pacific, as higher fuel, freight and input costs ripple through regional economies, UNDP's latest assessment report release Tuesday showed.The report said the shock is weakening household purchasing power, increasing food insecurity, straining public budgets and undermining livelihoods, particularly in countries heavily reliant on imported energy and food, as well as those exposed to Gulf trade routes, labor markets and remittance flows.It estimated that under a 28-day disruption scenario, regional output losses could range between $97 billion and $299 billion, equivalent to 0.3% to 0.8% of GDP, with South Asia facing the most pronounced impact.Around 8.8 million people across 14 countries could fall into poverty, including more than 5 million in Iran, where the poverty rate may rise from 36% to 41.5%, according to the simulations.The report, prepared as of April 9, draws on inputs from 22 UNDP country offices covering 36 countries, alongside modelling and external data. It noted that outcomes will depend heavily on the duration and intensity of the conflict, with risks rising further if disruptions persist.

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US Markets

Asian Development Bank Tempers APAC GDP Forecasts for 2026

The Middle East outlook and consequent higher oil prices will temper the economic expansion of developing countries in the Asia Pacific in 2026, reported the Asian Development Bank (ADB) late Friday.Economic growth in developing Asia is expected to slow to 5.1% in both 2026 and 2027, down from the previous 5.4% estimate, weighed down by the Persian Gulf conflict and continuing trade uncertainty, said the ADB.The Asian Development Bank (ADB) makes economic projections for developing nations in Asia, focusing on gross domestic product (GDP) growth and inflation outlooks. The ADB forecasts cover 46 nations, including China and India, and all 10 ASEAN members."Higher energy prices will raise production costs and consumer prices, while export growth will normalize following last year's front-loading ahead of US tariff increases," said the ADB. "Solid domestic demand---particularly in South Asia and developing Southeast Asia---will continue to anchor growth."Regional inflation is projected to rise to 3.6% in 2026 and 3.4% in 2027, up from 3% last year, added the ADB.GDP growth in China is projected to decline to 4.6% in 2026 and 4.5% in 2027, down from 5% in 2025, "with continued property market weakness and slower export expansion expected to weigh on activity," said the ADB."In India, growth is forecast to ease to 6.9% this year from 7.6% last year, before rising to 7.3% next year, underpinned by resilient domestic consumption," added the ADB, a Manila-based regional bank that lends on infrastructure and other projects.

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Asia

Market Chatter: Thailand Requests Pakistan's Mediation to Rescue Stranded Fertilizer Ships in Hormuz

Thailand has sought Pakistan's assistance in a diplomatic push to secure the release of nine cargo vessels stranded in the Strait of Hormuz amid escalating Middle East tensions, The Star reported Monday.The ships are carrying fertilizer shipments vital to Thailand's agricultural sector and food security, the report said.Deputy Prime Minister and Foreign Minister Sihasak Phuangketkeow met Pakistan's ambassador to Thailand to discuss maritime safety and potential mediation efforts, while commending Islamabad's role in peace efforts and facilitating safe passage arrangements in the region, according to the report.Thailand is aiming to replicate such cooperation to ensure the uninterrupted transit of its vessels and prevent disruption to essential supply chains. The initiative also includes upcoming diplomatic engagements with ASEAN partners and an official visit to Oman later this month, the news outlet reported.(Market Chatter news is derived from conversations with market professionals globally. This information is believed to be from reliable sources but may include rumor and speculation. Accuracy is not guaranteed.)

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Asia

Trump Declares Immediate U.S. Navy Blockade of Hormuz After Iran Talks Fail

U.S. President Donald Trump warned on social media that the U.S. Navy would immediately begin blockading all ships attempting to enter or leave the Strait of Hormuz after a failed talk with Tehran.Trump said in a Truth Social post on Sunday that while the goal is eventually to reach an "all being allowed to go in, all being allowed to go out" arrangement, Iran has prevented this by citing vague concerns about undisclosed mines."Iran has not allowed that to happen by merely saying, 'There may be a mine out there somewhere,' that nobody knows about but them," Trump wrote.Trump further directed the Navy to intercept any vessel in international waters that has paid a toll to Iran while also ordering the destruction of mines allegedly laid by Iran in the strait and warning that any Iranian attack on U.S. or peaceful vessels would result in them being "BLOWN TO HELL."Meanwhile, Reuters News, citing the U.S. Central Command, reported that the blockade of all maritime traffic to and from Iranian ports is set to begin at 10 a.m. ET on Monday.The command clarified that freedom of navigation would remain unaffected for ships transiting the strait to non-Iranian ports, with formal notices to be issued to commercial mariners beforehand, the newswire said.

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