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116 stories mentioning Philippine Stock Exchange Index (PSEi)Updated 5d ago

Philippine equities trade amid Middle East peace optimism as the country expects roughly $10 billion in initial investment for a US-supported AI hub.

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Asia

Philippine Banks' Strong Profitability, Capitalization to Offer Some Shield Against Weaker Credit Growth, S&P Says

Philippine banks' solid profitability and capitalization compared to regional peers should somewhat mitigate dampened credit growth, S&P Global Ratings said in a Tuesday release.In S&P's stress test scenario of nonperforming loans (NPLs) doubling from 2025 levels, common equity tier-one ratios of the country's banks would continue to exceed minimum requirements even with greatly reduced earnings.Some midsize lenders are more exposed compared with the largest ones given increased holdings of riskier segments, according to S&P analyst Nikita Anand.S&P sees two midsize banks recording a pretax loss under a severe stress case.The rating agency forecasts higher NPLs for riskier segments, given higher living costs and unemployment for lower-income families and small and midsize businesses.Weaker household incomes and reduced credit growth could prompt loan ratios to rise to 7% from 5.6% in June, S&P said.Stability will hinge on banks' capacity to handle rising credit costs and the greater portion of riskier unsecured loans in their portfolios, Anand said.

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International

Asia Week Ahead: Inflation Prints; GDP Reports; Producer Price Figures

The week ahead in Asia has a number of key figures scheduled for release.The week starts with inflation numbers from Thailand and Taiwan, along with China's trade figures and Q2 GDP growth for Japan and South Korea.Mid-week, the calendar shows China's inflation and producer price numbers set to be published. Japan's Reuters Tankan index and machine tool orders are expected among other data.The week will close with Japan's producer price index numbers, while India's inflation data is expected to come out on Sept. 12.The 18th BRICS summit will take place in New Delhi, India, from Sept. 12 to 13, with members from a number of countries in attendance.MONDAY, Sept. 7Singapore's retail sales rose 1.5% year-over-year to SG$4.4 billion in July, slower than a 4% increase in the prior month.Elsewhere, Thailand's headline consumer price index rose 2.53% in August from a year earlier, accelerating from a 1.95% increase in July.TUESDAY, Sept. 8China is expected to see a trade surplus of $119.1 billion for August, with exports increasing 27.5% according to Citi forecasts, the Wall Street Journal reported.ING experts project the country's trade surplus at $107 billion, with export and import growth coming in at a respective 24.1% and 32.4%.Japan's revised annualized GDP growth for the second quarter is expected to come in at 1.8%, according to a market consensus forecast reported by ING.South Korea will also release Q2 GDP data, with growth projected at 3.7% year over year, according to ING.Taiwan's annual inflation for the month of August is expected to fall between 2.3% and 2.5% based on economists' expectations, according to the WSJ.WEDNESDAY, Sept. 9China will post inflation and producer price data for August.Inflation is expected to rise 0.9% year over year, according to ING economists. The producer price index is projected to rise slightly to 3.6%, Trading Economics said.Japan's Reuters Tankan manufacturing index will likely fall to +15 points in September from +18 points a month prior, according to Trading Economics. The country will also post machine tool order data for the month.South Korea's unemployment rate for August is expected to fall slightly to 2.7%.Elsewhere, Taiwan expects to see a trade surplus of $21.9 billion for August, with export and import growth coming in at 32.7% and 33.5%, respectively, according to forecasts by ING experts. Economists project exports to climb about 30%, the WSJ said.Malaysia is set to release industrial output figures for July.THURSDAY, Sept. 10A speech by Bank of Japan's policy board member Kazuyuki Masu is anticipated to give investors clues about a potential rate hike in September.Indonesia will post retail sales for July, while consumer confidence numbers are expected from Thailand.FRIDAY, Sept. 11Japan's producer price index (PPI) is expected to rise 7.4% year over year in August, up from 7.2% in July, according to market consensus forecast data by ING.Malaysia will publish retail sales and unemployment numbers.SATURDAY, Sept. 12India will post inflation data, with CPI expected to jump 4.7% year over year in August, an ING forecast showed.

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International

Asia Week Ahead - PMI Reports; Inflation Prints; Malaysia's Interest Rate Decision

For the week ahead in Asia, the economic calendar is packed with key releases, including PMI data, inflation figures, and an interest rate decision.PMI reports from a number of countries will provide insight into the region's business activity.Retail sales, industrial production, and inflation numbers will also be in focus, with an interest rate decision also scheduled from Malaysia.MONDAY, Aug. 31South Korea published industrial production and retail sales data on Monday.All industry production index remained steady in July from a month earlier, while retail sales fell 0.8% year over year in the month.Elsewhere, Japan's industrial production rose 4.1% year over year in July, with retail sales also expanding 4% to 13.88 trillion yen.On the PMI front, business production and operational activities in China contracted in August, with the official Composite PMI Output Index coming in at 49.5.Factory activity also contracted, with a manufacturing PMI of 49.8. Business activity in the non-manufacturing sector stalled with a PMI of 49.Elsewhere, Hong Kong logged a 4.5% annual growth in total retail sales value in July to HK$31 billion, according to provisional data, while Thailand's retail sales fell 18.3% year over year in June.India will publish its Q2 GDP growth rate later today, with ING expecting a slight decrease to 7.5% from 7.8% previously. ANZ Research also believes the reading will be above 7%, according to the Wall Street Journal.TUESDAY, Sept. 1Tuesday will see the first major influx of PMI reports for the week.The S&P global manufacturing PMI for Japan (final) and South Korea for August is forecast at a respective 55.1 and 53.2, according to Trading Economics.India and Taiwan will also see S&P manufacturing PMI for the month, while Thailand's PMI numbers are also expected.China's RatingGod manufacturing PMI for August is projected at 51.2, while India's HSBC manufacturing PMI will likely come in at 52.9, Trading Economics said.Elsewhere, Indonesia will report inflation for August on Tuesday, with CPI and core CPI expected to come in at 3.1% and 2.8%, respectively, year over year, according to ING.The country is also projected to continue to see a monthly trade deficit in July, the WSJ reported citing Wong Xian Yong, an economist at RHB.Japan will report consumer confidence data.WEDNESDAY, Sept. 2Investors will closely follow a speech by Bank of Japan's policy board member Hajime Takata, whose proposed rate hike to 1.25% in the bank's July meeting was rejected by a majority vote, the WSJ said.South Korea's August inflation rate is expected to expand to 3.1% year over year, according to Trading Economics.Singapore's Manufacturing PMI print is scheduled for release.THURSDAY, Sept. 3An interest rate decision by Malaysia's central bank will take center stage on Thursday.Bank Negara Malaysia is projected to keep its policy rate steady at 2.75%, the Wall Street Journal reported citing CGS International economist Mas Aida Che Mansor.A wave of PMI data is also set to be released during the day.Japan's final S&P, China's RatingDog, and India's HSBC composite and services PMI numbers are expected to complete the picture for August.Japan's composite and services are projected at 53.4 and 52.3, respectively, according to Trading Economics.China's numbers will likely come in at a respective 51 and 50.8, while India's PMI figures are forecast at 54.6 and 54.5, Trading Economics projections showed.Singapore and Hong Kong's S&P global PMI, and India's global services PMI numbers are also anticipated, according to ING.FRIDAY, Sept. 4The Philippines' August headline inflation figure is projected to ease to 6% from 6.2% in July, the WSJ said citing ANZ Research's Kausani Basak.Singapore will release retail sales data for July.

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Asia

Philippines, Meta Boost Child-Safety Cooperation; Roblox Faces October Deadline

The Philippine government and Meta have agreed to strengthen cooperation on protecting children and young people online and tackling harmful content, disinformation and online violence, the Department of Information and Communications Technology said Thursday.The parties will establish a technical working group to improve coordination and response times on harmful content, while Meta will provide a point of contact for Philippine authorities. Meta also reaffirmed its zero-tolerance approach to child sexual abuse and exploitation material.Meta representatives will visit Manila to formalize the cooperation framework with the Philippine government, according to the department.On Wednesday, the DICT said it will meet Roblox executives in Singapore to seek compliance with two remaining child-safety requirements, Philippines News Agency said.Roblox has until October to integrate the Philippine National ID system for identity verification and establish a physical office in the country, the state-run news agency said.

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International

Asia Week Ahead: Jackson Hole Symposium; Interest Rate Decisions; Industrial Output

For the week ahead in Asia, a number of key releases are scheduled to be published.The highlight of the week will be the Jackson Hole Symposium, beginning Thursday and concluding Saturday.Investors will look for clues in the U.S. Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh's speech regarding potential interest rate changes.Interest rate decisions from several other countries will also be in focus this week.Investors will closely watch industrial output, trade data, and business and consumer sentiment reports for insights into the region's economic momentum.MONDAY, Aug. 24Singapore's core consumer price index (CPI) rose 2% year over year in July, with headline inflation accelerating to 2.2%.Taiwan's seasonally adjusted unemployment rate remained unchanged month over month at 3.33% in July.Thailand will post trade data today.TUESDAY, Aug. 25An interest rate decision by the Bank of Thailand will take center stage, with expectations of the bank holding rates steady at 1%, the Wall Street Journal reported citing ANZ's Kausani Basak.Separately, Taiwan's industrial output for July is forecast to rise 23.3% year over year, compared with a 23% growth previously, according to economists at ING.South Korea's consumer sentiment is anticipated to improve slightly, with the Composite Consumer Sentiment Index rising to 107 for August, according to a Trading Economics forecast.Hong Kong's export and import data for July will land.WEDNESDAY, Aug. 26Singapore's year-over-year industrial production growth will slow to 6.9% in July, Trading Economics said.South Korea will publish business confidence data.THURSDAY, Aug. 27An anticipated speech by Deputy Governor of Bank of Japan, Ryozo Himino, may provide insight on potential policy rate hikes in September or October, according to the WSJ.Elsewhere, analysts are on the fence regarding The Bank of Korea hiking rates or holding them steady, the WSJ reported citing Barclays economist Bum Ki Son. The bank is, however, expected to raise its growth projection.The Philippines will likely increase its policy rate to 5% from 4.75%, according to ING and the WSJ.China's industrial profit from the January to July period is forecast to grow 16%, compared with 18.7% previously, according to Trading Economics.FRIDAY, Aug. 28Japan will release a slew of data on Friday.Tokyo CPI and core CPI for August are expected to come in at 1.9% and 1.7%, respectively, according to market consensus forecast data by ING.Unemployment rate is projected to remain unchanged at 2.5% in July, according to an investing.com forecast.Japan is also scheduled to release consumer confidence data for August.Elsewhere, India's industrial production is forecast to rise 6.2% year over year in July, according to Investing.com. Manufacturing output data will also arrive the same day.Singapore will publish producer price index numbers for July.

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International

Asia Week Ahead: Interest Rate Decisions; Inflation Print; GDP Growth

Investors will monitor a number of key data releases this week, including rate decisions, inflation data, and GDP figures.The week starts with a slew of economics reports from China, as well as GDP data from Japan and Thailand.Indonesia's central bank will make a decision about its benchmark rate on Wednesday, with China publishing a decision on loan prime rate figures on Thursday.Investors will also closely watch the U.S. Fed's July meeting minutes scheduled to land on Wednesday for hints on a potential rate hike in September.Friday will see flash PMIs for India and Japan, with South Korea releasing producer inflation data.MONDAY, AUG. 17Japan's economy expanded at an annualized rate of 1.1% in the second quarter. The country's industrial production rose 4.9% year over year in June, compared with a 2.1% decline in May.Thailand also released GDP data, with growth expanding 1.9% year over year in the second quarter, slowing from the 2.8% expansion in the preceding quarter.Separately, Singapore's non-seasonally adjusted merchandise trade surplus shrank to SG$12.6 billion in July from SG$12.9 billion in June. Total merchandise exports and imports jumped by 40.6% and 36.3% year over year, respectively.The country's non-oil domestic exports (NODX) rose 24.2% year over year in July, following a 20.8% expansion in the prior month.Elsewhere, Malaysia's headline consumer price index (CPI) rose 1.8% year over year in July.China released an array of economic data on Monday.China's industrial production grew 4.5% year over year in July, narrower than the 5.3% expansion in June and missing the consensus forecast of 5% growth tracked by Investing.com.Retail sales of consumer goods climbed 0.6% year over year to 3.902 trillion yuan in July, slower than the 1% expansion in the prior month, while the country's surveyed urban unemployment rate rose to 5.2% in July.Finally, new home prices in China's 70 major cities decreased 3.2% year over year in July.India is scheduled to release its unemployment rate later on Monday.WEDNESDAY, AUG. 19Bank Indonesia is anticipated to keep its benchmark rate steady at 5.75%, according to experts at ING.The central bank is expected to keep its focus on maintaining rupiah stability and controlling inflation while supporting growth, the Wall Street Journal said, citing CIMB analysts.Japan's machinery orders are projected to rise 9.5% in June on a month-over-month basis, according to a Trading Economics forecast, and 7.9% based on consensus.THURSDAY, AUG. 20China is expected to keep its one- and five-year loan prime rates unchanged at a respective 3% and 3.5%, according to ING and the WSJ.Taiwan's export order growth is forecast to accelerate to 67.5% year over year in July, ING further said.Elsewhere, Hong Kong is expected to release inflation numbers, while Japan is set to release trade data.Japan's trade deficit for July is expected to widen to 680 billion yen, according to a Trading Economics consensus, with exports and imports anticipated to grow 19.9% and 26.5%, respectively.FRIDAY, AUG. 21In Japan, July inflation data arrives on Friday. Headline and core CPI are projected to rise to a respective 2% and 1.8% according to a market consensus, ING said.Japan's flash S&P composite PMI for August is projected at 52.8 by Trading Economics, while India's flash HSBC composite PMI is expected to come in at 55.5.Separately, South Korea's producer price index will likely slow to 8.5% year-over-year in July from 8.6% the previous month, based on a Trading Economics forecast.

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International

Philippines Proposes PHP7.2 Trillion Budget to Congress

The Philippine Department of Budget and Management submitted a proposed 7.2 trillion peso 2027 national budget to Congress, with education, healthcare, social protection and infrastructure among the key priorities, according to a Tuesday statement.The proposal is 6% higher than the 2026 budget and equivalent to about 21.7% of GDP. Social services account for the largest share at 2.456 trillion pesos, while infrastructure spending is proposed at 1.467 trillion pesos.The Department of Education received the largest allocation among government departments at 976 billion pesos, while the consolidated health budget reaches 1.06 trillion pesos, the data showed.

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International

Asia Week Ahead - Inflation Prints; GDP; Export, Import Data

For the Week Ahead in Asia, inflation data will be in focus as investors gauge the region's economic momentum.China released inflation data over the weekend, with consumer and producer inflation decelerating to 0.5% and 3.5%, respectively, in July.The week opens with Bank of Japan's minutes of the July 30-31 meeting, with Tuesday seeing Malaysia's industrial output.Mid week, India will release inflation figures, with South Korea's July unemployment rate and Singapore's revised Q2 GDP also on the calendar.Japan will publish producer price data on Thursday, with South Korea's export and import prices for July and India's wholesale price inflation set to be published Friday.MONDAY, AUG. 10Bank of Japan policymakers see room for further rate hikes as inflation moves toward the 2% target, while some members favored holding rates steady to assess past increases, according to the minutes of the July 30-31 meeting released Monday.Officials projected moderate economic growth and gradual inflation acceleration through fiscal 2027.TUESDAY, AUG. 11Indonesia's retail sales are forecast to increase 1.8% in June, according to Trading Economics.Malaysia will release industrial output data.WEDNESDAY, AUG. 12India's inflation is projected to remain unchanged at 4.4% in July based on market forecasts, according to ING.An increase of over 4% in daily food-price data in July may lead to a minimal rise in headline inflation to 4.5%, the Wall Street Journal reported, citing ANZ Research analyst Dhiraj Nim.South Korea's unemployment rate is expected to rise to 2.8% in July from 2.7% in June, according to a projection by Trading Economics.UOB Senior Economist Alvin Liew expects Singapore's GDP for the second quarter to be revised to 5.8% conditional on unchanged construction and services growth, the WSJ reported. GDP stood at 5.7% according to advance estimates released in July.Elsewhere, sentiment among major Japanese manufacturers is forecast to see a slight boost, with the Reuters Tankan manufacturing index increasing to 14 points in August from 13 points in July, according to Trading Economics.The country is also expected to see machine tool orders increase 42% in July, compared with 52.8% previously, a Trading Economics forecast revealed.THURSDAY, AUG. 13Japan's producer prices are projected to rise to 7.5% year over year in July from 7.1% previously, according to a consensus of experts at ING.The forecast was based on higher input costs amid a rise in energy prices, a weaker yen, and import costs.FRIDAY, AUG. 14South Korea will release export and import data for July.Export prices are expected to rise 55%, compared with 48.9% previously, while import prices will likely increase 31%, up from 20.6%, according to a Trading Economics forecast.India will publish wholesale price inflation figures for the month of July, with a Trading Economics consensus pointing to a rise of 10.25% in July from 9.87% previously.Malaysia will publish revised GDP figures for Q2, with DBS economists projecting growth of more than 5%, the WSJ said.

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International

The Philippine's GDP Rises 2.3% in Q2

The Philippine's GDP grew 2.3% year over year in the second quarter of 2026, according to a Friday release by the Philippine Statistics Authority.The reading compared with a GDP increase of 2.8% in the first quarter and missed the 2.8% growth forecast tracked by Investing.com.Gross national income rose 2.2% year over year.

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International

Asia Week Ahead - PMI Reports, Inflation Figures, and Trade Data

For the week ahead in Asia, markets will be focused on multiple Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) releases covering manufacturing activity across the region.The week opened busy with PMI readings across Asia.The rest of the week will bring more PMI reports, trade data, inflation numbers, and a rate decision in India.MONDAY, AUG. 3China's RatingDog General Manufacturing PMI compiled by S&P Global came in at 50.9 compared with 51.7 in the previous month.Japan and Taiwan's factory activity, compiled by S&P Global, expanded at a softer rate in July to a respective 54.5 and 55.1, while India's HSBC PMI eased to 53.5 in the month.Elsewhere, South Korea and Thailand's PMI rose at a faster rate to 53.1 and 54.2, respectively, while Malaysia maintained its PMI at 50.7, according to S&P Global.Meanwhile, corporate morale among Thai businesses rose slightly in July, with the headline Business Sentiment Index (BSI) coming in at 46.7 points, compared with 46.1 points in June.Indonesia's annual inflation rate stood at 2.88% in July, with a Consumer Price Index of 111.73. The economy also saw a trade deficit of $450 million in June.TUESDAY, AUG. 4South Korea's inflation will likely ease to a 2.9% year-over-year increase in July from a 3.2% rise in June, according to a poll of 11 WSJ economists.The lower projected inflation will reportedly result from a drop in energy prices and electricity tariffs.Meanwhile, Hong Kong will release retail sale numbers.WEDNESDAY, AUG. 5A number of data releases are scheduled for Wednesday.Reserve Bank of India (RBI) is expected to keep its repo rate steady at 5.25%, according to experts at ING.India's inflation in the June quarter was lower than forecasts, eliminating the need for immediate rate increases, the Wall Street Journal reported citing analysts from Citi Research. ANZ Research, however, forecasts a 25-basis-point hike in December, the WSJ said.The Bank of Japan will also publish the minutes of its June meeting where it hiked rates to a three-decade high of 1%.Trading Economics forecasts Japan's S&P global composite PMI for July to rise to 53.1 and global services PMI to ease to 51.9. Singapore's July global PMI will likely ease to 57.China and India will also see July services and composite PMI reports from S&P and HSBC.Elsewhere, Singapore's retail sales may increase at a faster rate of 4.8% year over year in June from 3% in May, according to a Trading Economics estimate.Thailand and the Philippines will report inflation figures.Meanwhile Barclays is forecasting a second-quarter GDP growth of 5.7% for Indonesia, the WSJ reported.THURSDAY, AUG. 6ING economists expect inflation in Taiwan to ease to 2.4% year over year in July.The Philippines will release industrial production data.FRIDAY, AUG. 7China is projected to see a trade surplus of $112.6 billion in July, according to experts at ING. Exports and imports are expected to rise 28.1% and 33.6%, respectively, year over year.Trade will be driven primarily by technology niches, according to ING.Taiwan's trade surplus is forecast to increase to $15.2 billion by ING economists, with exports and imports rising 43.6% and 56.4% year over year.Thailand will report consumer confidence data on Friday, while the Philippines will release GDP numbers for the second quarter.SUNDAY, AUG. 9Trading Economics forecasts China's inflation rate to ease to 0.9% in July, meanwhile annual producer inflation is expected to accelerate to 4.3%.

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International

Asia Week Ahead: U.S. Interest Rate Decision, Japan's Data Deluge, Industrial Output

Several key data releases are scheduled this week, with a decision by the U.S. Federal Reserve on Wednesday regarding interest rates taking center stage.The economic release calendar will gain momentum as the week progresses.Following business and consumer confidence survey reports, industrial and production data, and import and export prices, the bulk of economic disclosures will be released Friday.Japan is set to announce an interest rate decision at the end of the week. The week ahead also features the usual end-of-month data deluge from Japan that could provide insights into its economic health and potential monetary policy direction.MONDAY, July 27The Monetary Authority of Singapore (MAS) tightened monetary policy for a second straight review, slightly raising the rate of appreciation of the Singapore dollar nominal effective exchange rate (S$NEER) policy band.Meanwhile, the city-state's manufacturing output rose 7.2% year over year in June, slowing from a revised 17.8% increase in May and missing the 9% forecast of Trading Economics.Elsewhere, profits of China's major industrial firms grew 15.1% year over year in June, softer than the 21.1% gain in May.TUESDAY, July 28India is expected to see a year-over-year rise of 5.3% in industrial production in June, according to economists at ING. Manufacturing production is projected to increase 5%, based on a Trading Economics forecast.South Korea will release consumer confidence data.WEDNESDAY, JULY 29Markets will be on the lookout for the U.S. Fed's interest rate decision, with Investing.com and Westpac expecting the regulator to keep the policy unchanged for the fifth straight meeting.Elsewhere, Singapore is set to release domestic supply and manufactured products price index data, as well as export and import price figures.THURSDAY, July 30South Korea will release its business confidence report, while Japan publishes its consumer confidence data.Singapore will report its unemployment statistics for June, with Investing.com projecting a 2.1% rise.FRIDAY, JULY 31Japan is expected to keep its interest rate steady at 1%, according to predictions by ING and Investing.com.Japan's Usual End-of-Month Data DelugeInflation: Tokyo inflation figures will give further insights into Japan's inflation outlook. Tokyo's annual inflation rate is estimated to rise slightly to 1.8% in July, according to market consensus forecast data quoted by ING and Westpac Economics.Retail Performance: June retail sales are expected to increase 2.8% year over year, according to a Trading economics consensus.Activity: Industrial production is estimated to increase 1.8% compared with a 2.1% decline a year prior.Unemployment: Japan's unemployment rate will likely remain unchanged in the month at 2.5%, according to a Trading Economics consensus.Elsewhere, experts at ING forecast a slowdown of China's manufacturing PMI to 50.1 in July from 50.3 the previous month. Non-manufacturing PMI is expected to decelerate to 50 from 50.2 in the previous month.ANZ Research, however, projects manufacturing PMI to fall to 49.9 amid a correction in commodity prices, which dampened business sentiment and corporate profit outlook, the Wall Street Journal reported citing Senior Rates Strategist Jennifer Kusuma.Westpac Economics sees manufacturing activity as broadly stable, alongside a focus on domestic demand for services.Other key indicators due Friday are South Korea's industrial output and retail sales data for June, as well as Singapore's business confidence report for the second quarter.

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International

Asia Week Ahead: Bank Indonesia Decision, Japan Inflation, Korea GDP

Several key economic releases are due across Asia this week, including central bank decisions, inflation data, gross domestic product figures and flash purchasing managers' index reports.The week begins with China's benchmark lending rates on Monday, followed by Taiwan's June export orders on Tuesday.Indonesia's central bank will announce its interest rate decision on Wednesday. On Thursday, South Korea will report second-quarter gross domestic product, and Singapore will publish June inflation figures.The week wraps up with July flash PMI data from India and Japan on Friday. Japan will also release inflation numbers.Here's what to watch in the week ahead.MONDAY, July 20The People's Bank of China left its benchmark lending rates unchanged for the 14th consecutive month, matching the consensus forecast tracked by Investing.com.The one-year loan prime rate, which serves as the benchmark for most corporate and household loans, was held at 3%. Meanwhile, the five-year LPR, the reference rate for residential mortgages, was maintained at 3.5%.Elsewhere, Malaysia's trade surplus narrowed to 14.9 billion ringgit in June from 39.9 billion ringgit in May.Total exports grew 45.4% year over year to 177.9 billion ringgit, while imports rose 43.9% to a record 163 billion ringgit.India's infrastructure output for June is also expected later today.TUESDAY, July 21Taiwan will report June export orders, with ING economists forecasting a 43.9% increase, slower than the 47.2% rise in May.WEDNESDAY, July 22Bank Indonesia is expected to hike rates by 25 basis points to 6%, according to a forecast by ING, adding that the increase underscores the central bank's commitment to foreign exchange stability by attracting foreign inflows and stabilizing the local currency.The hike is anticipated to be the last of the cycle, according to DBS economists.South Korea's producer prices are forecast to have risen 8.2% year over year in June, slowing from 8.5% in the previous month, according to Trading Economics.Elsewhere, Japan may see a trade deficit of 120 billion yen in June, narrowing from the 378.7 billion yen recorded in May, according to consensus estimates.Exports and imports are expected to climb 18.6% and 21% year over year, respectively.THURSDAY, July 23South Korea will release its Q2 GDP. ING said the economy likely grew 4.2% year over year in the April to June period, up from 3.8% in the first quarter, driven by positive net exports.Singapore will publish inflation data for June, with ING economists forecasting core inflation at 1.7%, and Trading Economics at 1.6%. This compares to 1.4% in May.FRIDAY, July 24Japan will release inflation figures for June. Trading Economics expects the nation's core consumer price index, which excludes volatile fresh food prices, to be 1.5%, slightly higher than May's 1.4%.Flash PMI reports for Japan and India are also due on Friday.Lastly, Singapore will post industrial production numbers, with Trading Economics forecasting a 9% year-over-year boost in June, slowing from May's 13% growth.

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IMF Lifts South Korea's 2026 Growth Forecast on Chip Demand, China Outlook Upgraded
US Markets

IMF Lifts South Korea's 2026 Growth Forecast on Chip Demand, China Outlook Upgraded

The International Monetary Fund raised its 2026 growth forecasts for South Korea and China, citing strong external demand for semiconductors and rebalancing in the Chinese economy, even as the fallout from the Middle East war continues to weigh on the region.In its July World Economic Outlook update published late Wednesday, the IMF said South Korea's economy is expected to grow 2.6% in 2026, up 0.7 percentage points from the April forecast, with growth "buoyed by strong external demand for semiconductors, which dominates the negative impact of the war."Samsung Electronics (KRX:005930) and SK Hynix (KRX:000660) dominate the local semiconductor sector in South Korea.The 2027 growth estimate for the country was raised 0.4 percentage points to 2.5%. The IMF noted that South Korea's first-quarter growth came in at 7.5%, more than four times the 1.8% pace projected in April.The fund said the first-quarter growth was powered by a semiconductor and AI-hardware export boom, despite the country's "heavy reliance on imported energy from the Middle East."Meanwhile, China's 2026 growth forecast was raised to 4.6%, up 0.2 percentage point from April, with the IMF citing efforts toward domestic rebalancing. However, it noted that higher global oil prices, protracted uncertainty and structural headwinds are expected to weigh on activity in China.Inflation in China is expected "to rise from low levels," the IMF said.The 2027 GDP growth estimate was raised 0.1 percentage point to 4.1%. China's economy expanded 8.1% in the first quarter, beating expectations on front-loaded infrastructure investment and a surge in high-tech manufacturing and exports, even as domestic consumption stayed soft, the IMF said.Elsewhere, India's 2026 growth forecast was cut to 6.4% from the April outlook of 6.5%, even as the IMF said the country remains among the fastest-growing major economies, supported by strong momentum in private consumption and services activity.The 2027 estimate was raised 0.2 percentage points to 6.7%.Japan's 2026 forecast was trimmed 0.1 percentage point to 0.6%, with fiscal support measures partly cushioning the impact of higher energy prices. The 2027 forecast was raised 0.1 percentage point to 0.7% as the energy shock fades.Japan's first-quarter growth came in at 1.8%, beating expectations on net trade, exports and a pickup in private consumption.The IMF expects core inflation in Japan to return to target gradually by the end of 2027.The fund's 2026 growth forecast for the five ASEAN countries -- Indonesia, Malaysia, the Philippines, Singapore and Thailand -- was unchanged at 4.1%, while the 2027 estimate was cut 0.1 percentage point to 4.3%.Within the group, Malaysia's 2026 forecast held steady at 4.7% on data-center activity and the upturn in the global technology cycle, while Thailand's was raised 0.4 percentage point to 1.9% on emergency fiscal measures and technology-related exports and investment.The IMF identified Taiwan, South Korea, Thailand and Malaysia as the top four net exporters of AI-related hardware, noting their average seasonally adjusted annualized suprise growth of 4.4 percentage points, against the 0.3 percentage point drop for the rest of the world.Overall, the IMF said, "Risks to the outlook are more balanced than in April but still tilted to the downside.""The possibility of renewed Middle East conflict looms large and could extend commodity price volatility, further threaten supply chains, raise prices, and weigh on financial conditions."

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International

ADB Cuts Developing APAC Growth Forecast for 2026

The Asian Development Bank trimmed its developing Asia and the Pacific economic growth estimate for 2026, below last year's growth due to the effects of the Middle East conflict.In its Asian ​Development Outlook update published late Wednesday, the ADB expects the region's economy to grow 4.9% in 2026, down 0.2 percentage points from the April estimate.For 2027, the real GDP growth estimate was unchanged at 5.1%.The ADB expects inflation in the developing APAC region to rise to 4.3% in 2026 from 3% in 2025, higher than the 3.6% April projection.

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Asia

Fitch Says Asia Investors Eye AI, Private Credit, Sovereign Risks

Fitch Ratings said institutional investors across Asia are increasingly focused on risks related to artificial intelligence, private credit and sovereign credit, according to a Tuesday press release.The ratings agency said investors are closely monitoring rising spending on AI infrastructure, execution risks and pricing pressure.It warned that rapid adoption of artificial intelligence could displace workers and erode tax bases, particularly in developed markets.Fitch said investors also remain concerned about intensifying competition and limited transparency in private credit, particularly in the U.S. middle-market lending sector.However, it does not expect the asset class to pose a systemic risk on its own.On sovereigns, Fitch said investors are assessing Indonesia's policy credibility, fiscal transparency and the role of its new sovereign wealth fund, Danantara, while continuing to view Japan and South Korea as relatively resilient despite longer-term fiscal and structural challenges.The agency added that geopolitical tensions in the Gulf continue to pose downside risks, although the direct credit impact has so far been modest.

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International

Asia-Pacific Capital Market Confidence Hits Record High in 2026: ASIFMA Survey

Confidence in Asia-Pacific (APAC) capital markets reached a record high, with 66% of financial firms planning regional expansion over the next three years, according to the 2026 edition released Tuesday by the Asia Securities Industry and Financial Markets Association (ASIFMA) in collaboration with KPMG.However, there was intense competition among APAC jurisdictions in terms of capital and investment.Companies are becoming more stringent in allocating their resources, with expansion plans shifting across markets as they prioritize more attractive individual APAC economies, the release said.Singapore remained the top-ranked Asia-Pacific market for ease of doing business, while Hong Kong remained at second place. India and mainland China improved their rankings, rebounding from last year's declines.The most attractive markets were those with open capital accounts, internationalized talent pools, predictable regulatory frameworks, and active two-way industry dialogue, it said.

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International

Asia Week Ahead: Inflation; Manufacturing Activity; and Trade

Asia's macro calendar will be busy in the week ahead, with investors set to track a broad mix of PMI readings, inflation prints, trade data and industrial activity across the region.The week starts with retail sales figures from Japan, alongside producer inflation figures from Singapore and Malaysia.Attention turns Tuesday to China's official PMI data and the Reserve Bank of Australia's meeting minutes.Activity indicators will remain in focus Wednesday as S&P Global releases manufacturing PMI reports for major Asian economies, while Thursday will bring inflation data from South Korea and trade balance from Australia.Friday rounds out the week with a heavy Vietnam data slate, alongside services and composite PMI reports from several major economies.Here's what to watch in the week ahead.MONDAY, June 29The week kicked off with the release of Japan's retail sales data for May, as well as producer inflation data from Malaysia and Singapore.Japan's retail sales expanded 5.3% year over year to 13.45 trillion yen during May, beating the consensus forecast of 3.1% growth tracked by Investing.com, and compared with a 2.8% increase recorded in the previous month.Meanwhile, Singapore's Manufactured Products Price Index jumped 30.8% year on year in May 2026, accelerating from the 27.5% annual growth recorded in April.The Domestic Supply Price Index climbed 34.2% from a year earlier, quickening from the 32.1% year-over-year expansion seen the previous month.Singapore also reported import and export prices for the month.Export prices increased 14.7% year over year in May, accelerating from a 13.3% growth in April, while import prices jumped 19.1% year over year, quickening from the 18.9% increase in the previous month.The Producer Price Index for local production in Malaysia rose 7.8% year over year in May, driven by a rise in all sectors, particularly by the mining industry.Elsewhere, consumer confidence in Taiwan rose to 65.05 in June from 62.08 in May, beating the 62.5 consensus forecast tracked by Trading Economics and marking the highest level since February.In contrast, consumer sentiment in the Philippines deteriorated sharply to -42 during the second quarter from -15.8 in the first three months of the year.Later Monday, India reports its monthly industrial and manufacturing production stats.TUESDAY, June 30Tuesday will be among the busiest days of macro releases with China's official manufacturing, non-manufacturing, and general purchasing managers' index (PMI) data taking the lead.Economists at ING expect China's manufacturing activity to edge up 0.1 point to 50.1, while non-manufacturing PMI is expected to slide back into contraction territory at 49.9. Importantly, the data readout will give economists the first look at whether a June rebound could be in the cards, ING said in a preview.In Japan, monthly industrial production and unemployment data would capture headlines. ING expects May's industrial output to slow to 1.4% year on year from the 2% growth recorded in the prior month, with unemployment to remain steady at 2.5%.Macao will also report unemployment data the same day, with Trading Economics expecting a slight tick upwards to 1.9% from 1.8% in April.Industrial production data from Thailand and South Korea will also feature Tuesday, alongside their retail sales stats.Markets will also follow the release of the Reserve Bank of Australia's meeting minutes for clues on whether the central bank will raise interest rates. In its most recent meeting, the RBA unanimously decided to leave the cash rate steady at 4.35% but opened the possibility of a rate hike to balance the risk between high inflation and slowing growth.Neighboring New Zealand will see the release of a report capturing business confidence for June.Elsewhere, the Philippines will release monthly trade and producer inflation figures.WEDNESDAY, July 1S&P Global's monthly PMI reports on manufacturing activity will be closely watched Wednesday.The reports will cover activity across India, Vietnam, Thailand, Taiwan, South Korea, Malaysia, Japan, Indonesia, China, Australia, and the Philippines.Markets will also await the Bank of Japan's sentiment index for the second quarter, with ING expecting the Tankan survey to show an increase amid strong chip demand and an improved situation in the Middle East.A monthly report covering consumer confidence in Japan will also be due.Indonesia's monthly inflation print will also be among the highlights Wednesday. Economists at ING expect June's consumer price index to edge up to 3.2% year on year from 3.1% in the month prior, reflecting the knock-on effect of elevated oil prices and depreciation of the local currency.Still, inflation is likely to remain within Bank Indonesia's target range, ING said.Indonesia will also report its trade balance the same day, with Trading Economists expecting a trade surplus of $4 billion, up from $90 million in April.South Korea will similarly report trade figures for June. ING said it expects strong chip demand to support exports, resulting in a trade surplus of $33 billion, up from $27 billion in May.THURSDAY, July 2South Korea's monthly inflation print will lead headlines Thursday.As with Indonesia, ING said it expects the knock-on effect of elevated oil prices to reflect more visibly in the June printout which could show inflation accelerating to 3.3% year on year from 3.1% in the prior month."The recent decline of global oil prices won't be reflected in domestic gasoline prices for another couple of months, while petrochemicals and related product prices are likely to remain sticky," ING said.Markets will be on the lookout for Australia's trade balance for May. Canberra is expected to report a trade surplus of A$2.2 billion for the month, up from A$1.79 billion in April, according to a Trading Economics consensus.Thailand will release a business confidence report for June, while Hong Kong will release its monthly retail sales stats.The Singapore Institute of Purchasing and Materials Management's manufacturing PMI report is also expected Thursday.FRIDAY, July 3Vietnam will feature prominently on Friday with a slew of macro data readouts, including inflation and GDP growth rate.The country's June consumer price index is expected to clock in at 6.5% year on year, accelerating from 5.6% in May, Trading Economics forecasted.Meanwhile, the economy is forecasted to have grown by 7.6% year on year during the second quarter, slowing from the 7.8% increase witnessed during the first three months of the year, according to Trading Economics.Other Vietnamese release include monthly retail sales, industrial production, and balance of trade figures.Singapore will similarly report its retail sales data on Friday, while New Zealand will see the release of a consumer confidence report.On the activity front, S&P Global will release composite and services PMI reports for India, China, Singapore, Japan, and Australia.

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Asia

Market Chatter: Mynt Eyes PHP92.3 Billion in Record Philippine Listing

Mynt, the fintech company behind Philippine mobile wallet GCash, is aiming to raise as much as 92.3 billion Philippine pesos in a planned stock market debut that could become the country's largest IPO, The Business Times reported Friday, citing a person familiar with the matter.The company plans to offer up to 9.23 billion shares, including an over-allotment option, at a maximum price of 10 pesos each, the person said. If completed at that level, the sale would represent roughly 13.8% of Mynt's issued share capital.An announcement could be made as early as Friday, the source reportedly told the news outlet.Neither Mynt nor GCash immediately responded to' request for a comment.(Market Chatter news is derived from conversations with market professionals globally. This information is believed to be from reliable sources but may include rumor and speculation. Accuracy is not guaranteed.)

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Asia

AI-Driven Boom to Benefit Tech-Heavy Asia-Pacific Economies, S&P Says

Asia-Pacific economies with significant tech manufacturing will benefit from an AI-linked tech export boom, S&P Global Ratings said Wednesday.The benefits from the AI tech rally will counter the adverse effects from the energy shock in these economies, S&P Asia-Pacific chief economist Louis Kuijs said.S&P sees possible upward GDP estimate revisions for markets with solid tech shipments, mainly South Korea and Taiwan, as well as Malaysia, Singapore, and Thailand.Meanwhile, the impact of the energy shock has dampened growth forecasts for India, Japan, New Zealand, and the Philippines, S&P said.The rating agency's forecast for China remains stable as strong export dynamics offset weaker domestic demand.S&P maintained its baseline GDP growth forecasts in the region excluding China at 4.5% for 2026 and 4.4% for 2027.

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International

Asia Week Ahead: Policy Rates; Inflation Prints; and Labor Data

The macro calendar in Asia for the week of June 22 will be relatively light, though investors will still have a mix of inflation prints, activity indicators and policy decisions to track.The week gets off to a quiet start on Monday with China's benchmark lending rates.Activity picks up Tuesday with inflation data from Hong Kong and Singapore, alongside preliminary manufacturing and services readings from several major economies.Wednesday brings Thailand's monetary policy decision, while Thursday will shift the focus to Australia's labor market data.Friday rounds out the trading week with Tokyo inflation data, as well as Singapore's trade and industrial production figures.China's industrial profits data will follow on Saturday, with markets watching for signs of continued growth in corporate earnings.Here's what to watch in the week ahead.MONDAY, June 22The week kicked off with the release of China's closely-watched lending rates.As expected, the People's Bank of China kept its benchmark rate steady at its monthly fixing, with the one-year and five-year loan prime rate (LPR) maintained at 3% and 3.50%, respectively.Macao's monthly inflation print will be in the news later in the day.TUESDAY, June 23The second day of the week brings inflation data from Hong Kong and Singapore, along with preliminary readings on manufacturing and services activity across several economies.Singapore's inflation is expected to rise to 2.1% year on year in May from 1.8% in April, according to ING. The bank said the increase would mainly reflect elevated food prices and the delayed pass-through of earlier fuel price gains.Inflation in Hong Kong is similarly expected to accelerate to 2.1% in May from 1.7% in April, Trading Economics forecasted.Taiwan will report its monthly export orders and unemployment rate. Economists at ING said they expect May export orders to rise to 50.7% year on year amid the ongoing tech boom.Meanwhile, unemployment is expected to edge up to 3.4% in May from 3.34% in April, according to a Trading Economics forecast.On the activity front, S&P Global releases flash purchasing managers' index reports covering manufacturing, services, and composite activity in India, Japan, and Australia.Thailand reports its trade figures for May.According to Trading Economics, the country's trade deficit could narrow to $5 billion from a $10.02 billion deficit in the prior month period.South Korea's monthly consumer confidence report will also be among the highlights of the day.WEDNESDAY, June 24Thailand's central bank will convene for its interest rate decision, with markets expecting no change to the current benchmark of 1%, according to a Trading Economics forecast.Markets will also be closely watching Australia's monthly inflation print after the country's central bank decided to leave the cash rate target unchanged at its most recent meeting to assess the impact of previous rises and the oil supply disruption.Australia's consumer price index (CPI) is expected to fall 0.3% from the previous month, a result that would still see the annual pace of inflation rise to 4.4%, Westpac said.Transport is expected to be the primary drag due to lower fuel prices, alongside declines in clothing and footwear, somewhat offset by modest gains in food and housing, according to the bank.Elsewhere, Taiwan will report industrial production and retail sales data for May.As with export orders, industrial production is expected to benefit from the ongoing tech boom and could record a growth of 14.2% year on year, ING said.THURSDAY, June 25Thursday will be relatively light on macro readouts, with Australia's monthly labor data among the handful of releases of note.Westpac said it expects Australia's May labour force data to show a bounce-back after April's data surprised materially to the downside, possibly due to extra holiday-related weakness tied to the survey's Easter timing.The bank forecast a bounce-back in employment of 45,000 for May, with the participation rate edging back up to 66.8%, and the unemployment rate slipping to 4.4% from 4.5%.Hong Kong's May trade figures will also feature Thursday.The city is expected to report a trade deficit of HK$32.5 billion for the month, widening from a deficit of HK$29.5 billion in April, Trading Economics forecasted.In South Korea, the business confidence survey for June will be expected. The readout should show an improvement in business sentiment amid easing geopolitical tensions and strong performance in the tech sector, ING said.FRIDAY, June 26Japan's closely watched Tokyo core consumer price index for June will capture headlines, offering markets an early indicator of the overall inflation rate in the country.Economists at ING expect headline inflation to rise modestly to 1.7% year on year from 1.4% in the prior month and below the government's 2% target."JPY weakness and second-round effects from higher energy prices should add to inflationary pressures on both goods and services prices," ING said.Trade data from Singapore and Macao will also feature Friday, with Singapore additionally reporting industrial production data.Lastly, the Philippines will release its business confidence report for May.SATURDAY, June 27The week rounds off with the release of China's industrial profits data.After profits at major industrial enterprises rose 18% year on year in the first four months of 2026, markets will be watching the latest data for signs of continued growth.

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