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Asia

Philippine Banks to Face Profitability Strains Amid Borrower Relief Efforts, S&P Says

The profitability of Philippine banks will face pressure under relief efforts for borrowers, S&P Global Ratings said in a Thursday release.The central bank carried out a temporary pause on borrower repayments due to the impact of increasing energy prices and supply chain disruptions.The measure could dampen profitability under peaking net interest margins and heightened credit losses, although it could also ease a surge in nonperforming loans, credit analyst Nikita Anand said.The pause in loan repayments for a year should help borrowers manage their cash flow better, the analyst said.S&P believes the country's banking industry has low exposure to sectors most exposed to the conflict, aiding in maintaining nonperforming loan levels.However, persistent conflict could boost problematic loans, especially for mid-sized corporates, smaller businesses, and lower-income consumers, the rating agency said.The banks' solid profitability and sufficient capitalization and liquidity should help them weather the shocks, S&P said.

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Equities

S&P Global: Oil Shock Could Undermine Asian Pacific Bonds

About one-seventh of Asian Pacific corporate bonds outstanding could come under pressure if the Persian Gulf war and higher oil prices persist, S&P Global reported Thursday."A prolonged oil shock could undermine the credit quality of 15% of rated Asia-Pacific corporates tested under our downside scenario," advised S&P Global. "That's up from 9% under our base case of a quicker end to war."The Asia-Pacific is more exposed to a Middle-East related energy shock than most other regions, and vulnerable to "disruptions to energy and raw material supplies, demand destruction, margin compression, and working capital volatility," advised S&P Global.Nearly 90% of the crude oil shipped through the Strait of Hormuz is bound for Asia, and Persian Gulf petroleum accounts for about 40% of Asia-Pacific's energy imports, noted the credit-rating agency.In Asia, industries and enterprises that rely on jet fuel, diesel, and liquified petroleum gas (LPG) "face the highest shortage risk," reported S&P Global.Business sectors most affected include chemicals, downstream oil and gas, airlines, automobile-manufacturing, engineering and construction, and building materials.In terms of nations, South Korea, Japan, and mainland China "have largely mitigated near-term supply disruption," through use of adequate reserves, but "other countries have had to announce various measures to manage a potential energy supply crunch," said S&P Global.Not only corporates, but some sovereign bonds could be affected if high prices persist.The Philippines sovereign credit-rating was reduced to BBB+ "stable" from "positive" last week, due to exposure to oil shocks, said S&P Global.

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Asia

Market Chatter: Philippine President Urges Immediate Activation, Testing of APSA

Philippine President Ferdinand Marcos Jr. urged the immediate activation and testing of the ASEAN Petroleum Security Agreement (APSA) amid rising oil supply risks linked to the Middle East conflict, Reuters reported Thursday.Speaking at the Asia Zero Emission Community (AZEC) Plus virtual summit, Marcos said recent shipping disruptions have highlighted the vulnerability of Asian economies reliant on imported fuel, and stressed that existing mechanisms should be put into action, according to the report.He offered the Philippines as a potential host or co-chair for an APSA emergency simulation exercise and proposed a regional study on joint oil stockpiling, alongside efforts to strengthen domestic reserves. Marcos added that the government is working to expand strategic petroleum buffers and raise mandatory fuel stock requirements, while also diversifying procurement strategies to reduce dependence on Middle East supply routes, the news agency said.(Market Chatter news is derived from conversations with market professionals globally. This information is believed to be from reliable sources but may include rumor and speculation. Accuracy is not guaranteed.)

^PSEI
Asia

Market Chatter: Philippines Requests Continued US Waiver for Russian Oil Imports

The Philippines has requested the U.S. to extend a waiver permitting it to import Russian oil and fuel products, as Manila looks to widen its energy sourcing options amid ongoing market disruptions, Reuters reported Tuesday, citing Energy Secretary Sharon Garin.Garin said authorities are hopeful the exemption, which lapsed on April 11, will be renewed; however, contingency plans are in place to secure supplies from other regions, including South America and North America, according to the report.Philippine envoy Jose Manuel Romualdez said approval is likely, adding that discussions with U.S. agencies are ongoing regarding volumes and timelines, the news agency reported.The move forms part of broader efforts to diversify energy imports and cushion the impact of elevated global fuel prices, alongside recent steps to ease costs such as suspending excise taxes on kerosene and LPG, the report said.(Market Chatter news is derived from conversations with market professionals globally. This information is believed to be from reliable sources but may include rumor and speculation. Accuracy is not guaranteed.)

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Asia

IMF Lowers 2026 Growth Outlook for Most Asian Economies Amid Middle East War

The International Monetary Fund has lowered its growth estimates for most Asian economies for 2026, according to a recent release.The organization revised down its growth outlook for emerging Asian economies to 4.9% from a previous prospect of 5% in January, which was before the start of the conflict in the Middle East.Growth for the group will continue to decline to 4.8% in 2027, the IMF said.The organization projects China's economy growing 4.4% this year and 4% next year, while India will post growth of 6.5% for the next two years.Cumulative growth among Southeast Asia's five biggest economies, including Indonesia, Malaysia, the Philippines, Singapore, and Thailand, will fall to 3.7% in 2026 from 4.9%, although this will recover to 4.7% next year, the organization said.Individually, Vietnam will post the strongest growth of 7.1%, although this is still lower than the 8% growth last year.The rest of the economies in the group will also see lower growth, with Indonesia at 5%, Malaysia at 4.7%, the Philippines at 4.1%, and Thailand at 1.5%.Among advanced economies in Asia-Pacific, Korea's growth will rise to 1.9% from 1% last year, while that of Australia will remain flat at 2%.Japan's growth will slow down to 0.7% in 2026 and 0.6% in 2027 from 1.2% last year, according to the IMF.Taiwan will see lower expansion of 5.2% from 8.7% in 2025, while Singapore's growth will come to 3.5%, down from 5% last year.Hong Kong will also observe lower growth of 2.4%, compared to 3.5% in 2025.The IMF forecasts global economic growth to weaken to 3.1% this year from 3.4% last year, accounting for the impacts of the continued conflict in the Middle East.

ASX 200^BSE^DSE^HNX^HOSEHang Seng^JKSEFTSE Bursa Malaysia KLCI^KOSDAQKOSPINikkei 225Nifty 50^PSEI^SETShanghai Composite^STI^SZSETaiwan Weighted^YSX
Asia

Market Chatter: Philippines Central Bank Rolls Out Debt Relief Package Amid Energy Crisis

Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas has approved measures allowing banks to give borrowers more time to repay loans as part of efforts to cushion the impact of the ongoing energy crisis on households and businesses, Reuters reported Wednesday.The package includes grace periods of up to six months, and as long as one year for agricultural loans, while allowing banks to temporarily avoid classifying restructured loans as non-performing, reportedly.The central bank said banks should apply the measures carefully and only help borrowers whose ability to repay has been affected by higher fuel costs and economic disruption. It also urged banks to suspend certain digital transaction fees, the news agency said.(Market Chatter news is derived from conversations with market professionals globally. This information is believed to be from reliable sources but may include rumor and speculation. Accuracy is not guaranteed.)

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International

Philippines Books $2.8 Billion Cash Remittances in February

Cash remittances from overseas Filipinos climbed to $2.79 billion in February, the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas said Tuesday.Cumulative cash remittances for the January-February period rose 3.1% to $5.81 billion from $5.63 billion a year earlier.The United States remained the largest source of inflows, followed by Singapore and Saudi Arabia.Personal remittances, which include both cash transfers and in-kind flows, reached $3.10 billion in February.Cumulative personal remittances rose 3.1% year on year to $6.46 billion in the first two months of 2026, the central bank said.

^PSEI
Asia

Sovereign Rating Risks Grow for Southeast Asia Amid Middle East Conflict, S&P Says

Southeast Asia's sovereign ratings face risks from the Middle East conflict, with persistent energy disruption to weigh on their fiscal and external metrics, S&P Global Ratings said in a Tuesday release.Economies reliant on imported energy could see strains in their robust growth outlook under severe long-term effects of the war, limiting economic support for ratings in South and Southeast Asia, credit analyst Rain Yin said.Damage to the energy infrastructure in the Middle East will prolong the normalization of oil and gas production levels even with the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz, S&P said.Southeast Asian sovereigns with weaker rating buffers could see their credit quality drop under persistent energy market disruption, with government subsidies for consumers and businesses possibly increasing, Yin said.The depth of the damage to sovereigns' fiscal positions will depend on the ability of governments to reduce expenses or delay spending plans, S&P said.

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Asia

Market Chatter: Philippines to Cut Excise Taxes on Household Fuels

Philippine President Ferdinand Marcos Jr. said the government will lower excise taxes on key household fuels to help ease pressure from rising energy costs linked to the ongoing Middle East conflict, Jakarta Post reported citing his news conference.He said duties on liquefied petroleum gas and kerosene will be lowered starting Tuesday, with cuts of 3.36 Philippine pesos per kilogram and 5.60 pesos per liter respectively, targeting fuels widely used for cooking and basic household needs, according to the report.Marcos added that further policy options, including possible adjustments to gasoline and diesel taxes, will be reviewed by a government crisis committee as the country continues to face higher import-driven fuel prices due to global supply disruptions, the news outlet reported.(Market Chatter news is derived from conversations with market professionals globally. This information is believed to be from reliable sources but may include rumor and speculation. Accuracy is not guaranteed.)

^PSEI
Asia

Market Chatter: ASEAN Diplomats Plead US-Iran Truce as Surging Oil Prices Rattle Economies

Southeast Asian diplomats on Monday urged the U.S. and Iran to continue negotiations after failed weekend talks heightened tensions and rattled global markets, Nikkei Asian Review reported Monday.This came after Brent crude surged to $102.43 a barrel, while Asian and European equities fell following remarks from US President Donald Trump, including threats of a blockade of the Strait of Hormuz. Washington later put restrictions on vessels departing Iranian ports, reportedly.ASEAN foreign ministers, meeting virtually for the second time since March 13, welcomed a recent two-week ceasefire but stressed the need for sustained dialogue to achieve lasting peace. The bloc warned that instability is particularly damaging for Southeast Asia, which relies heavily on energy imports transiting the Strait of Hormuz.Countries including Malaysia, Vietnam and Thailand have been forced to ramp up energy support measures, while the Philippines has declared an energy emergency. ASEAN also discussed setting up a crisis communication mechanism and strengthening coordination on energy and food security ahead of upcoming regional meetings, the Nikkei said.(Market Chatter news is derived from conversations with market professionals globally. This information is believed to be from reliable sources but may include rumor and speculation. Accuracy is not guaranteed.)

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International

Middle East Escalation Could Cost Asia Up to $299 Billion, UNDP Warns

The ongoing military escalation in the Middle East could inflict economic losses of up to $299 billion across Asia and the Pacific, as higher fuel, freight and input costs ripple through regional economies, UNDP's latest assessment report release Tuesday showed.The report said the shock is weakening household purchasing power, increasing food insecurity, straining public budgets and undermining livelihoods, particularly in countries heavily reliant on imported energy and food, as well as those exposed to Gulf trade routes, labor markets and remittance flows.It estimated that under a 28-day disruption scenario, regional output losses could range between $97 billion and $299 billion, equivalent to 0.3% to 0.8% of GDP, with South Asia facing the most pronounced impact.Around 8.8 million people across 14 countries could fall into poverty, including more than 5 million in Iran, where the poverty rate may rise from 36% to 41.5%, according to the simulations.The report, prepared as of April 9, draws on inputs from 22 UNDP country offices covering 36 countries, alongside modelling and external data. It noted that outcomes will depend heavily on the duration and intensity of the conflict, with risks rising further if disruptions persist.

^BSE^DSE^HNX^HOSEHang Seng^JKSEFTSE Bursa Malaysia KLCI^KOSDAQKOSPINikkei 225Nifty 50^PSEI^SETShanghai Composite^STI^SZSETaiwan Weighted^YSX
International

ADB Projects Developing Southeast Asia to Keep Steady Growth in 2026, 2027

Developing Southeast Asia is expected to maintain steady economic growth this year, supported by resilient domestic demand, according to the Asian Development Bank (ADB) report on Monday.The subregional economy is projected to expand by 4.7% in 2026 and by 4.8% in 2027, although growth trends will vary significantly across individual economies.Indonesia's growth outlook is expected to strengthen on solid domestic demand, while Myanmar is projected to rebound from contraction in 2025 as reconstruction activity supports recovery.In contrast, growth in Malaysia, Thailand and Vietnam is expected to moderate due to weaker global trade conditions and fading export momentum, although technology-related exports are likely to provide some support.Meanwhile, the Philippines is projected to remain subdued, Cambodia may see slower growth in 2026 before recovering in 2027 alongside tourism recovery, while Timor-Leste is expected to remain stable before accelerating.Inflation in developing Southeast Asia is forecast to rise to 3.2% in 2026 from 2.3% in 2025, driven by stronger domestic demand and higher food and energy costs. Price pressures are expected to increase across most economies, particularly in Indonesia, the Philippines, Malaysia, Thailand, and Vietnam, amid higher oil prices and domestic adjustments.Inflation is expected to ease to 2.8% in 2027 as global commodity prices stabilize, with Myanmar projected to see softer price pressures due to improved transport conditions, currency strength, and better agricultural output, the report showed.

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International

Philippines Says China Energy Talks Must Uphold Sovereignty, Constitution

The Philippines said any move to revive oil and gas cooperation talks with China will strictly be in line with its constitution and legal framework, the Department of Foreign Affairs said in a statement on Sunday.The statement came amid renewed attention on proposals to reopen discussions with China on joint energy development in the South China Sea, where both countries have overlapping territorial claims.The Department said decisions on any potential deal would remain fully under its jurisdiction and guided by existing laws and jurisprudence.The development follows recent exploratory engagements between the two sides, partly driven by concerns over energy security and supply stability.

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Asia

Trump Declares Immediate U.S. Navy Blockade of Hormuz After Iran Talks Fail

U.S. President Donald Trump warned on social media that the U.S. Navy would immediately begin blockading all ships attempting to enter or leave the Strait of Hormuz after a failed talk with Tehran.Trump said in a Truth Social post on Sunday that while the goal is eventually to reach an "all being allowed to go in, all being allowed to go out" arrangement, Iran has prevented this by citing vague concerns about undisclosed mines."Iran has not allowed that to happen by merely saying, 'There may be a mine out there somewhere,' that nobody knows about but them," Trump wrote.Trump further directed the Navy to intercept any vessel in international waters that has paid a toll to Iran while also ordering the destruction of mines allegedly laid by Iran in the strait and warning that any Iranian attack on U.S. or peaceful vessels would result in them being "BLOWN TO HELL."Meanwhile, Reuters News, citing the U.S. Central Command, reported that the blockade of all maritime traffic to and from Iranian ports is set to begin at 10 a.m. ET on Monday.The command clarified that freedom of navigation would remain unaffected for ships transiting the strait to non-Iranian ports, with formal notices to be issued to commercial mariners beforehand, the newswire said.

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