FINWIRES · TerminalLIVE
FINWIRES

US Oil Update: Futures Settle Higher as Mideast Conflict Fuels Supply Fears

By

Crude oil futures settled higher in after-hours trading on Tuesday as the round of strikes on ships and Middle East energy infrastructure, including reported explosions at Iran's vital export hub Kharg Island, stoked fears of fresh supply tightness.

Front-month West Texas Intermediate futures gained 2.7% to $93.09 per barrel, while Brent futures climbed 2% to $97.01/bbl.

ING strategists said on Monday that the oil market remains well-supported with little sign of peace between the US and Iran.

On Tuesday, the US military reportedly struck targets near Kharg Island and the port city of Jask, said in a post on X that the targets included Iranian oil tankers and characterized it as part of a broader effort to force Tehran to capitulate.

Fueling bullish sentiment, Saudi Arabia's Foreign Affairs Ministry said Yemen's Houthis targeted civilian and economic assets in the cities of Abha, Khamis Mushait, Jazan and Najran. More than 70 civilians were injured in the attacks, the ministry said.

The ministry said that the attacks caused fires at several energy facilities, resulting in temporary shutdowns, and emergency services are working to contain fires at the sites.

The Houthis, in a statement, said that they targeted Saudi Aramco facilities in southern areas with drones and ballistic missiles.

Iran's Islamic Revolution Guards Corps said on Tuesday that Iranian forces remain firmly in control of the Strait of Hormuz. The IRGC also said that it intercepted and captured an unmanned American submarine at the entrance of the strait.

President Trump said on Monday that oil prices would fall sharply once the US wins its war with Iran, predicting US gasoline prices could eventually drop below $2 per gallon.

"Oil prices will drop precipitously" after the war, Trump said in a post on Truth Social. The US President forecasted that gasoline prices would fall to $3 per gallon and ultimately below $2, adding that the decline would happen quickly.

Tempering the gains, Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi said "significant progress" has been made in talks with Oman over a temporary transit route through the Hormuz.

Esmail Baghaei, spokesman for Iran's Foreign Ministry, said on Monday that the agreement, which the two countries have been negotiating for several weeks, is in the final stages and will include details on a temporary safe route through the strategic waterway.

Bjarne Schieldrop, chief commodities analyst at SEB Research, said that the Iran-Oman agreement over how to operate the SoH is just days away from finalization says Iran. The IMO and the US are said to have been involved in the process, Schieldrop said.

Related Articles

Oil & Energy

UNOC Names Vitol to Market Pearl Sweet Crude Ahead of 2027 Exports

Uganda National Oil Company announced Vitol as the marketer for Pearl Sweet crude, with exports set to begin in early 2027, according to multiple media reports on Monday.The agreement gives Vitol responsibility for marketing Uganda's government and UNOC allocations of Pearl Sweet crude ahead of the planned export start, according to the reports.The move also expands ties between the companies, as Vitol supports Uganda's petroleum products supply program and works with UNOC under a $2 billion energy infrastructure facility.UNOC and Vitol did not immediately reply to' request for comment.

Oil & Energy

Market Chatter: Iraq's Crude Discounts Shrink as Shipping Costs, Strait Risks Persist

Iraq is having difficulty selling its Persian Gulf crude this month after SOMO reduced discounts, following months of lower-priced offers intended to offset elevated shipping costs and risks in the Strait of Hormuz, Bloomberg reported Monday, citing a document and traders.State oil marketer SOMO cut September discounts for Basrah Medium and Heavy by $9 per barrel to $10/bbl from August levels. For September, the grade carried a $15/bbl to $18/bbl discount against the benchmark, narrower than the $25/bbl to $27/bbl range in August.Several traders said the reduced discounts do not offset elevated shipping costs and continued navigation risks, according to the report. SOMO did not immediately reply to' request for comment.(Market Chatter news is derived from conversations with market professionals globally. This information is believed to be from reliable sources but may include rumor and speculation. Accuracy is not guaranteed.)

Oil & Energy

Market Chatter: Iran Says Oman Shipping Deal for Strait of Hormuz Nears Final Stage

Iranian Foreign Ministry spokesman Esmaeil Baqaei said a deal with Oman on managing shipping through the Strait of Hormuz could be finalized soon, according to multiple media reports on Monday.Speaking to reporters, Baqaei said talks on a temporary safe route through the key energy transit point have reached their final stages.The arrangement would involve Iran and Oman documenting the agreement with the International Maritime Organization, he said, while calling on third parties not to interfere. Iran's Ministry of Foreign Affairs did not immediately reply to' request for comment.(Market Chatter news is derived from conversations with market professionals globally. This information is believed to be from reliable sources but may include rumor and speculation. Accuracy is not guaranteed.)