Short-term Government of Canada (GoC) bond yields edged higher following the stronger consumer price index reading on Monday, but TD Economics doesn't expect the temporary impact from travel prices to persist.
With core CPI only slightly above 2% annually, there is little reason for the Bank of Canada to consider raising rates, wrote TD Managing Director and Senior Economist Leslie Preston in a note.
Earlier Monday, Statistics Canada released July CPI, which at 3.0% year over year, was higher than the 2.9% consensus estimate. Services inflation ran hotter at 2.5% annually, driven by higher travel-related costs.
Canada's central bank has also flagged the ongoing confidence shock from the US's on-again, off-again tariff threats. With no deal yet to avert the 50% tariffs set to take effect on Wednesday, trade uncertainty remains a clear downside risk for the Canadian economy, added TD.
GoC two-year notes were last seen up 0.009 basis points to yield 2.97%, according to Investing.com, while the 10-year note was paying 3.702%, up 0.024 points.