BOJ Minutes Point to Further Rate Hikes as Inflation Nears 2%

Bank of Japan policymakers see room for further rate hikes as inflation moves toward the 2% target, while some members favored holding rates steady to assess past increases, according to the minutes of the July 30-31 meeting released Monday.

The central bank noted that the timing and pace of future adjustments will depend on geopolitical developments, foreign exchange movements, and AI-driven demand, with officials projecting moderate economic growth and gradual inflation acceleration through fiscal 2027.

On inflation, policymakers highlighted upside risks from the weak yen, higher import prices, geopolitical developments and strong AI-related demand.

Daily Roundup of Key US Economic Data for Aug. 7

The July employment report was soft, with payrolls posting an unexpected decline, hourly earnings growth slower and the unemployment rate down due to a drop in the labor force.Nonfarm payrolls fell by 23,000 in July after a 20,000-jobs gain in June and a 63,000 increase in May, both revised sharply lower from their previous estimates. Private payrolls, which exclude a 53,000 decline in government jobs rose by 30,000, also well below expectations.Health care and social assistance sector jobs increased by 22,600 but government sector jobs decreased by 53,000, leisure and hospitality jobs fell by 40,000 and retail payrolls declined by 19,400.The unemployment rate fell to 4.1% from 4.2% in June. The labor force contracted by 264,000 as labor force participation slipped. Household employment fell by 87,000 while the number of unemployed declined by 178,000.Average hourly earnings were up only 0.1% in July, slower than a 0.3% increase in June, trimming the year-over-year rate to 3.2% from 3.4%.The New York Federal Reserve's inflation expectations survey for July showed a reduction in the outlook at the one-year horizon and no change at the 3-year and 5-year horizons, but all three remained well above the Fed's 2% goal.Consumer credit usage rose by $14.2 billion in June after a $1.1 billion decline in May, with large gains for both revolving credit and nonrevolving credit use.The Q3 GDP nowcast estimate from the New York Fed is for a 2.24% gain, revised up from a 2.52% gain in the previous quarter.

June US Consumer Credit Posts Larger-Than-Expected Increase

US consumer credit use rose by $14.2 billion in June, compared with an $11.9 billion increase expected in a survey compiled by Bloomberg and following a $1,1 billion decrease in the previous month.Revolving credit use rose by $6.8 billion in June after falling by $5.3 billion in May, while nonrevolving credit, which includes purchases of vehicles, rose by $7.4 billion after a $4.2 billion increase in the previous month.

BOJ Minutes Point to Further Rate Hikes as Inflation Nears 2%

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International2d ago
Daily Roundup of Key US Economic Data for Aug. 7
The July employment report was soft, with payrolls posting an unexpected decline, hourly earnings growth slower and the unemployment rate down due to a drop in the labor force.Nonfarm payrolls fell by 23,000 in July after a 20,000-jobs gain in June and a 63,000 increase in May, both revised sharply lower from their previous estimates. Private payrolls, which exclude a 53,000 decline in government jobs rose by 30,000, also well below expectations.Health care and social assistance sector jobs increased by 22,600 but government sector jobs decreased by 53,000, leisure and hospitality jobs fell by 40,000 and retail payrolls declined by 19,400.The unemployment rate fell to 4.1% from 4.2% in June. The labor force contracted by 264,000 as labor force participation slipped. Household employment fell by 87,000 while the number of unemployed declined by 178,000.Average hourly earnings were up only 0.1% in July, slower than a 0.3% increase in June, trimming the year-over-year rate to 3.2% from 3.4%.The New York Federal Reserve's inflation expectations survey for July showed a reduction in the outlook at the one-year horizon and no change at the 3-year and 5-year horizons, but all three remained well above the Fed's 2% goal.Consumer credit usage rose by $14.2 billion in June after a $1.1 billion decline in May, with large gains for both revolving credit and nonrevolving credit use.The Q3 GDP nowcast estimate from the New York Fed is for a 2.24% gain, revised up from a 2.52% gain in the previous quarter.

International2d ago
June US Consumer Credit Posts Larger-Than-Expected Increase
US consumer credit use rose by $14.2 billion in June, compared with an $11.9 billion increase expected in a survey compiled by Bloomberg and following a $1,1 billion decrease in the previous month.Revolving credit use rose by $6.8 billion in June after falling by $5.3 billion in May, while nonrevolving credit, which includes purchases of vehicles, rose by $7.4 billion after a $4.2 billion increase in the previous month.

International2d ago
June US Consumer Credit Rises $14.2 Billion Vs Expected Increase of $11.85 Billion, Prior Decline of $1.1 Billion