-- RBC Capital Markets maintained its outperform rating on the shares of Colliers International Group (CIGI.TO, CIGI) and lowered its price target to US$155.00 from US$160.00 after the company reported its first-quarter financial results.
RBC characterized Q1 as "top-line strong but bottom-line wobbly."
"Overall AEBITDA margin declined 67 bps to 9.5%, caused by: 1) CIGI has been investing in recruiting and IT investments to enable AI efficiencies within CRE, 2) Outsourcing had slower growth, 3) Lower utilization in residential development and telecom end markets in Engineering, 4) Higher than expected tax rate in Europe, 5) Integration under Harrison Street platform in IM, which has been well articulated in the past," stated RBC.
While 2026 guidance was maintained, it relies on a strong H2, said RBC. CM and leasing appear on track to deliver "strong revenue growth", 25% expected for CM and 8% for leasing in 2026, which RBC expects to more fully flow through to EBITDA in H2, as it did last year. Europe and APAC "could be slowing somewhat" from the Iran war but NA "remains strong notwithstanding rate rise," it further stated.
"Given macro uncertainties and lingering AI impact overhang where one is 'guilty until proven innocent', CIGI's price action today suggests that the market has no patience for wobbly quarters nor backend-loaded guidance," said RBC in a note dated May 5, 2026.
RBC continues to believe that for "patient investors", CIGI offers "good value" even under RBC's "more conservative" 2026 estimates at 13x AEPS and 10.5x AEBITDA.
"Our new PT of (US)$155 (-3%) is based on forward AEBITDA multiple of 12.5x, reflecting 11x for CRE, 12x for Engineering and 15x for IM. Maintain OP," added RBC.
Price: $137.23, Change: $+5.09, Percent Change: +3.85%