Chemical Prices Gain as US-Iran Fighting Resumes, TPH Says
Prices for several key chemicals climbed last week as renewed fighting between the US and Iran and the effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz fueled supply concerns, TPH Energy Research analyst Matthew Blair said on Tuesday.US polyethylene prices rose 4 cents per pound to 44 cents/lb after trading within 1 cent of pre-conflict levels over the previous two weeks. Demand may also have been supported by stronger US consumer spending, with June retail and food services sales increasing 7% year over year.US methanol prices gained $20 per tonne to $451/tonne, extending their premium to $116/tonne above pre-conflict levels. Blair said several Iranian utility suppliers that were damaged during the earlier phase of the conflict in the second quarter have yet to resume normal operations. He said it was a factor expected to constrain the country's methanol production.MTBE posted the strongest gains, rising 30 cents to $3.41 per gallon, leaving prices $1.30/gal above pre-conflict levels. The increase comes as China's MTBE operating rates have declined in recent weeks due to planned maintenance, tightening supply.The price moves are broadly positive for major chemical producers. Higher polyethylene prices are supportive for Dow (DOW), LyondellBasell (LYB), and Westlake (WLK), while stronger methanol prices benefit Methanex (MEOH) and LyondellBasell. Higher MTBE prices also provide an earnings tailwind for LyondellBasell.Price: $31.07, Change: $+0.70, Percent Change: +2.29%