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Software Companies' Second-Quarter Beat Rate Accelerates Sequentially, RBC Says
US Markets

Software Companies' Second-Quarter Beat Rate Accelerates Sequentially, RBC Says

Software companies' revenue and earnings beat rates accelerated sequentially in the second quarter, driven by strength in infrastructure, security, and observability, RBC Capital Markets said in a note emailed Wednesday.Among the 54 on-quarter software companies that have reported results in the most recent cycle, the average company topped Wall Street's revenue estimates by 2.6%, up from a 2.4% beat in the first quarter, according to the brokerage. The profitability measure surpassed consensus expectations by 21.2%, compared with the first quarter's 15.7%."The biggest (second-quarter) revenue beats came from infrastructure, security, and observability while the smallest beats came from back Office, (software-as-a-service), and vertical," Matthew Hedberg, RBC's head of global technology, Internet, media, and telecommunications research, said in the note.The annual recurring revenue-to-billings ratio exceeded estimates by 3.4%, reaching the highest level in four years.Palantir Technologies (PLTR), Twilio (TWLO), Cloudflare (NET), and Xometry (XMTR) registered positive stock moves the day after results as they posted accelerated revenue beats, Hedberg said. Other companies that helped buoy sentiment were those with positive commentary on artificial intelligence tailwinds or adoption.Datadog (DDOG) and Varonis Systems (VRNS) logged share price declines post earnings as they "did not clear high bars," while HubSpot's (HUBS) stock traded lower amid reduced guidance, according to the RBC note. Meanwhile, EverCommerce (EVCM), IBM (IBM), N-able (NABL), and Pegasystems (PEGA) seem to be navigating a tough spending environment."While software stock movement has bifurcated through 2026 over perceived AI leaders/laggards, (second-quarter) showed a clear sign of bifurcating fundamentals with numerous companies seeing pressure from AI spending taking away budget or delaying decision-making," RBC analysts said.The brokerage said the full-year 2026 revenue outlook was 0.7% above consensus on average as top-line guides came in better than expected, while full-year profitability guidance topped market expectations by 2.8%.Salesforce (CRM), CrowdStrike (CRWD), Nutanix (NTNX), Okta (OKTA) and Veeva Systems (VEEV) are scheduled to report off-quarter results on Aug. 26."Similar to the (on-quarter) cohort, we expect price action for the (off-quarter) cohort to be volatile with a bifurcation in the AI haves and have not," RBC said.

$CRM$CRWD$DDOG$EVCM$HUBS$IBM$NABL$NET$NTNX$OKTA$PEGA$PLTR$TWLO$VEEV$VRNS$XMTR
Insider Trading

Twilio Insider Sold Shares Worth $123,540,000, According to a Recent SEC Filing

Andrew Stafman, Director, on August 12, 2026, sold 500,000 shares in Twilio (TWLO) for $123,540,000. Following the Form 4 filing with the SEC, Stafman has control over a total of 133,492 Class A common shares of the company, with 13,492 shares held directly and 120,000 controlled indirectly.SEC Filing:https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1447669/000110465926095185/xslF345X05/tm2623080-2_4seq1.xml

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Wire

Oppenheimer Adjusts Twilio Price Target to $275 From $235, Maintains Outperform Rating

Twilio (TWLO) has an average rating of overweight and mean price target of $234.93, according to analysts polled by FactSet.Price: $236.00, Change: $+42.79, Percent Change: +22.14%

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Research

Stifel Nicolaus Upgrades Twilio to Buy From Hold, Adjusts PT to $260 From $175

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Insider Trading

Twilio Insider Sold Shares Worth $3,042,343, According to a Recent SEC Filing

Khozema Shipchandler, Director, Chief Executive Officer, on July 06, 2026, sold 14,458 shares in Twilio (TWLO) for $3,042,343. Following the Form 4 filing with the SEC, Shipchandler has control over a total of 207,203 Class A common shares of the company, with 207,203 shares held directly.SEC Filing:https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1447669/000144766926000077/xslF345X05/wk-form4_1783541843.xml

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Wire

Tigress Research Adjusts Twilio Price Target to $255 From $170, Maintains Buy Rating

Twilio (TWLO) has an average rating of overweight and mean price target of $201.80, according to analysts polled by FactSet.Price: $199.69, Change: $-7.44, Percent Change: -3.59%

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Research

Research Alert: CFRA Maintains A Buy Rating On Twilio

CFRA, an independent research provider, has providedwith the following research alert. Analysts at CFRA have summarized their opinion as follows:We raise our target to $259 from $211 on 35x our 2027 EPS estimate, reflecting TWLO's transformation into an AI communications infrastructure provider with rapidly improving growth and profitability metrics. We increase our 2026 and 2027 EPS views to $5.99 and $7.39, up from $5.92 and $7.02, respectively. This is driven by accelerating AI demand and ongoing margin expansion. We believe the premium valuation is warranted given the company's positioning as essential communications plumbing for AI agents and inflecting business momentum. Recent results reinforce this trajectory, with Voice revenue growth accelerating to 20% in Q1 (the highest in years), organic revenue growth reaching 16%, and DBNER expanding to 114%, trends we believe are sustainable through 2027 as AI-native companies scale operations and industrywide agentic AI adoption continues. The company's profitability inflection is equally compelling, with non-GAAP operating margins expanding to 19.8% in Q1, pushing toward the 21%-22% target by 2027.

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Insider Trading

Twilio Insider Sold Shares Worth $5,971,688, According to a Recent SEC Filing

Khozema Shipchandler, Director, Chief Executive Officer, on May 26, 2026, sold 32,158 shares in Twilio (TWLO) for $5,971,688. Following the Form 4 filing with the SEC, Shipchandler has control over a total of 235,542 Class A common shares of the company, with 235,542 shares held directly.SEC Filing:https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1447669/000173761026000010/xslF345X05/wk-form4_1780000294.xml

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Insider Trading

Twilio Insider Sold Shares Worth $184,140,000, According to a Recent SEC Filing

Andrew Stafman, Director, on May 27, 2026, sold 1,000,000 shares in Twilio (TWLO) for $184,140,000. Following the Form 4 filing with the SEC, Stafman has control over a total of 633,492 Class A common shares of the company, with 13,492 shares held directly and 620,000 controlled indirectly.SEC Filing:https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1447669/000110465926067095/xslF345X05/tm2615824-2_4seq1.xml

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Wire

BofA Securities Adjusts Twilio Price Target to $235 From $225, Maintains Buy Rating

Twilio (TWLO) has an average rating of overweight and mean price target of $201.80, according to analysts polled by FactSet.Price: $189.67, Change: $+0.02, Percent Change: +0.01%

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Wire

Twilio Sees Broad-Based Demand Across Core Messaging and Voice Consumption, Growing Agentic Opportunities, Oppenheimer Says

Twilio (TWLO) is seeing broad-based demand across core messaging and voice consumption offerings, as well as growing agentic artificial intelligence opportunities with AI native customers, Oppenheimer said in a Monday research note.Oppenheimer noted that Voice AI is starting to expand from AI-natives to enterprise customers with AI/agent customer service use cases being a key near-term driver, while AI-natives further expand to Twilio's messaging offering.Additionally, the company's management has described good scalability and consistency in messaging growth, the brokerage said, adding that Twilio's targeted country approach is driving share gains internationally.Twilio's new Console offering is seeing encouraging early signs of adoption, further improves the company's self-serve engagement and sets the stage for cross-selling/multi-product adoption, according to the note.Oppenheimer maintained its outperform rating and a $235 price target on the company's stock.Price: $197.98, Change: $-0.31, Percent Change: -0.16%

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Wire

Twilio's Long-Term AI Upside Seen Limited as Gains Prove Volume-Driven, RBC Says

Twilio (TWLO) is unlikely to see durable long-term benefits from generative AI, even as the company positions itself as a key infrastructure provider for the emerging agentic AI era, RBC Capital Markets said Wednesday in a report.Twilio's AI gains will be fleeting because they stem from messaging volume rather than the high-margin software leverage that creates durable AI winners, RBC said.Twilio may see some near-term lift from higher messaging volumes if customers build chat experiences over text, and the company is leaning into its customer data and communication channels to support agentic AI workloads, though management said the opportunity remains in its early stages, according to the report.Multi-product adoption is also a potential growth driver, with Twilio's redesigned Console making it easier for customers to discover and test combinations such as voice, email, and messaging, the report said.RBC maintained its underperform rating on Twilio, citing concerns on long-term margins and competition. The price target held at $120.Price: $197.60, Change: $+6.20, Percent Change: +3.24%

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Insider Trading

Twilio Insider Sold Shares Worth $277,974, According to a Recent SEC Filing

Erika Rottenberg, Director, on May 04, 2026, sold 1,500 shares in Twilio (TWLO) for $277,974. Following the Form 4 filing with the SEC, Rottenberg has control over a total of 32,995 Class A common shares of the company, with 32,995 controlled indirectly.SEC Filing:https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1447669/000128403826000004/xslF345X05/wk-form4_1778098906.xml

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Wire

Twilio's Robust Q1 Print Reinforces Confidence in the Company's Execution, Oppenheimer Says

Twilio's (TWLO) robust Q1 print reinforces confidence in the company's execution and the tailwind AI represents for consumption, Oppenheimer said in a Thursday research note.Enhancements to the company's UX and back-office systems should further drive the cross-sell motion and open new pricing and packaging opportunities, analysts wrote.While robust Q1 were driven by broad-based strength across customer segments and products, 2026 gross margin forecast was guided down due to carrier fee, which is expected to intensify in Q2, according to the note.Multi-product customer count and revenue contribution gained momentum in Q1 sequentially, reflecting robust sales execution, the brokerage stated.The brokerage said it reiterated its outperform rating on the stock and boosted its price target to $200 per share from $170.Price: $180.20, Change: $+32.14, Percent Change: +21.71%

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Wire

Update: Twilio Shares Jump After Q1 Beat

(Updates with latest stock price movement in the headline and first paragraph.)Twilio (TWLO) shares jumped about 22% in Friday afternoon trading, a day after the company reported better-than-expected Q1 results.The company reported Q1 adjusted earnings late Thursday of $1.50 per diluted share, up from $1.14 a year earlier.Analysts polled by FactSet expected $1.27.Revenue for the quarter ended March 31 was $1.41 billion, up from $1.17 billion a year earlier.Analysts surveyed by FactSet expected $1.34 billion.For Q2, the company expects adjusted EPS of $1.27 to $1.32 and revenue of $1.42 billion to $1.43 billion. Analysts expect $1.29 and $1.39 billion, respectively.Price: $180.02, Change: $+31.96, Percent Change: +21.59%

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Wire

Top Midday Gainers

Cue Biopharma (CUE) shares soared 144% a day after the company said it signed a roughly $30 million PIPE financing with certain investors, and also appointed Shao-Lee Lin as president and chief executive.More than 16.3 million shares of the company traded intraday compared with a daily average of about 356,000.Hemab Therapeutics (COAG) said Thursday it priced its initial public offering of 16.8 million shares at $18 per share for gross proceeds of $301.5 million.Shares, which began trading on the Nasdaq Global Select Market on Friday, were up 66% intraday, with a trading volume of 1.87 million.Twilio (TWLO) delivered Q1 results that exceeded expectations, with accelerating momentum across AI-driven use cases and stronger-than-expected business performance, Morgan Stanley said Friday in a report.Shares surged 20%, with intraday trading volume at over 4.44 million from a daily average of roughly 2.44 million.Price: $34.70, Change: $+19.96, Percent Change: +135.41%

$COAG$CUE$TWLO
Research

Research Alert: CFRA Maintains Buy Rating On Shares Of Twilio Inc.

CFRA, an independent research provider, has providedwith the following research alert. Analysts at CFRA have summarized their opinion as follows:We lift our price target by $54 to $211, 30x our 2027 EPS view, above TWLO's three-year average (~22x) given recent growth and margin inflections. We raise our 2026 EPS view by $0.51 to $5.92 and raise 2027's by $0.65 to $7.02. TWLO's organic sales growth forecast for 2026 jumped materially from ~8.5% to 10%, and we see a clear ability for Q1's stellar performance (+16%) to sustain all year, creating upside. Growing AI native demand is creating more multiproduct customers (+29% Y/Y vs. +26% in Q4), and we see a long growth runway as these customers rapidly scale. Improving profitability remains a key catalyst, and Q1's operating margin print was impressive across both non-GAAP (+160 bps Y/Y) and GAAP (+600 bps) figures, with SBC coming down to 10% from 11% last quarter. We think TWLO's exposure to upside from growing agentic AI activity far outweighs AI's competitive risks from "vibe-coding," with early results clearly showing a preference to utilize third parties for communications infrastructure.

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Wire

Twilio Q1 Tops Expectations on Accelerating AI Demand, Morgan Stanley Says

Twilio (TWLO) delivered Q1 results that exceeded expectations, with accelerating momentum across AI-driven use cases and stronger-than-expected business performance, Morgan Stanley said Friday in a report.Revenue growth of 16% came in well above forecasts, marking the strongest organic growth in four years, driven by broad-based strength across voice, messaging, and third-party channels, the report said.Morgan Stanley also highlighted stronger profitability, with non-GAAP operating margins of almost 20% beating expectations, supported by efficiency gains and disciplined cost control.Accelerating AI adoption and a growing base of AI-native customers support long-term growth, and the Signal customer event next week may serve as a near-term catalyst for additional AI product announcements, the report said.Morgan Stanley raised its price target on Twilio stock to $200 from $153 and maintained its overweight rating.Price: $176.99, Change: $+28.93, Percent Change: +19.54%

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Wire

Oppenheimer Adjusts Price Target on Twilio to $200 From $170, Maintains Outperform Rating

Twilio (TWLO) has an average rating of overweight and mean price target of $185.40, according to analysts polled by FactSet.Price: $172.10, Change: $+24.04, Percent Change: +16.24%

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Wire

UBS Adjusts Price Target on Twilio to $200 From $180, Maintains Buy Rating

Twilio (TWLO) has an average rating of overweight and mean price target of $185.40, according to analysts polled by FactSet.Price: $176.56, Change: $+28.50, Percent Change: +19.25%

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