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TJX Raises Full-Year Outlook After First Quarter Tops Expectations
US Markets

TJX Raises Full-Year Outlook After First Quarter Tops Expectations

TJX (TJX) raised its full-year outlook Wednesday after posting stronger-than-expected fiscal first-quarter results, with comparable sales rising across all segments.The off-price retailer expects per-share earnings of $5.08 to $5.15 in fiscal 2027, up from its prior forecast of $4.93 to $5.02. The parent of TJ Maxx and Marshalls projects 3% to 4% comparable-sales growth, compared with its earlier 2% to 3% view. Analysts polled by FactSet project EPS of $5.13 and same-store sales growth of 3.4%.In the quarter ended May 2, EPS rose to $1.19 from $0.92 a year earlier as net sales increased 9% to $14.32 billion. Analysts expected EPS of $1.02 on revenue of $14.02 billion. Comparable sales increased 6%, topping the 4.1% consensus."Sales, pretax profit margin, and earnings per share were all well above our plan," CEO Ernie Herrman said in a statement. "All of our divisions delivered strong comparable sales growth and increases in customer transactions."TJX shares rose 5.5% in Wednesday trading. They have gained 3.5% this year.The updated full-year outlook assumes that higher fuel costs will persist through 2026, weighing on margins, the company said.Crude prices have remained elevated since US and Israeli strikes on Iran in late February disrupted shipments through the Strait of Hormuz, a key chokepoint that remains largely shut amid stalled negotiations between Washington and Tehran."The second quarter is off to a good start, and we are excited about the initiatives we have planned to keep driving sales and attract consumers to our retail banners," Herrman said.In the current quarter, the company projected EPS of $1.15 to $1.17 and comparable sales growth of 2% to 3%. Analysts expected EPS of $1.17 and a 3.5% increase in same-store sales.Price: $158.99, Change: $+8.31, Percent Change: +5.51%

$TJX
Sectors

Sector Update: Consumer Stocks Mixed Premarket Wednesday

Consumer stocks were mixed premarket Wednesday, with the State Street Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLP) declining by 0.2% and the State Street Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLY) up 0.3%.TJX (TJX) stock was up more than 3% after the company posted higher fiscal Q1 earnings and net sales, and raised its fiscal 2027 outlook.Lowe's (LOW) shares were down more than 1% even after the company reported higher fiscal Q1 adjusted earnings and net sales.Arcos Dorados Holdings (ARCO) stock was up more than 7% after the company reported higher Q1 earnings and revenue.

$ARCO$LOW$TJX$XLP$XLY
Research

Research Alert: The Tjx Companies: Q1 Fy 27 Beats Estimates; Raises Full-year Guidance

CFRA, an independent research provider, has providedwith the following research alert. Analysts at CFRA have summarized their opinion as follows:TJX delivered Q1 FY 27 (Jan.) normalized EPS of $1.19 (+29% Y/Y), $0.17 above consensus on net sales of $14.3B (+9% Y/Y), $317M above estimates. The off-price retailer demonstrated broad-based strength with consolidated comparable sales growth accelerating to 6% from 3% in the prior year, exceeding management expectations across all divisions. Pretax profit margin expanded 170 bps Y/Y to 12.0% due to gross margin improvement to 31.3% (+180 bps) from higher merchandise margins and expense leverage. TJX raised FY 27 guidance with comparable sales growth outlook increased to 3%-4%, pretax margin to 11.9%-12.0%, and EPS expectations to $5.08-$5.15. The company increased share buyback range to $2.75B-$3.0B, demonstrating continued capital return commitment. We are impressed with continued momentum across brands and improved profitability, though less impressed with raised guidance already reflected in consensus estimates. Shares trade at 31x FY 27 consensus, well above the three-year average forward P/E of 26.6x.

$TJX
Sectors

Sector Update: Consumer

Consumer stocks were mixed premarket Wednesday, with the State Street Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLP) slightly declining and the State Street Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLY) up 0.5%.TJX (TJX) stock was up more than 3% after the company posted higher fiscal Q1 earnings and net sales, and raised its fiscal 2027 outlook.

$TJX
Stocks Gain Pre-Bell Ahead of Nvidia Earnings, Fed Meeting Minutes
US Markets

Stocks Gain Pre-Bell Ahead of Nvidia Earnings, Fed Meeting Minutes

The main US stock measures were pointing higher in Wednesday's premarket activity as traders await tech bellwether Nvidia's (NVDA) latest financial results and minutes of the Federal Reserve's last policy meeting.The S&P 500 rose 0.4%, the Dow Jones Industrial Average edged up 0.1% and the Nasdaq added 0.7% before the opening bell. The indexes finished Tuesday trading lower, with the Nasdaq and S&P 500 recording losses for a third consecutive session.Shares of Nvidia increased 1.8% pre-bell, with the chipmaker scheduled to report its fiscal first-quarter results after the markets close. The current consensus on FactSet is for the company to report non-GAAP earnings of $1.75 per share and revenue of $78.91 billion for the quarter.Nvidia's sales are expected to outperform market projections, with potential for "enhanced" cash returns likely to be among the key areas of focus, BofA Securities said in a note e-mailed Tuesday.The Fed is scheduled to post minutes of its last policy meeting at 2 pm, which will be assessed for fresh insight on the central bank's monetary policy. Last month, the central bank held interest rates steady, saying the Middle East war is fueling uncertainty around the US economic outlook.Markets widely expect the Fed to keep its benchmark lending rate unchanged at its next policy meeting in June, according to the CME FedWatch tool.Treasury yields were down before the open, with the two-year rate retreating 3.3 basis points to 4.09% and the 10-year rate declining 1.8 basis points to 5.16%.President Donald Trump reportedly said Tuesday that the US may need to resume military strikes against Iran. Earlier in the week, Trump said the US postponed a planned attack on Tehran after leaders of Saudi Arabia, Qatar and the United Arab Emirates urged restraint amid "serious" ongoing negotiations.West Texas Intermediate crude oil decreased 1.9% to $102.17 a barrel in premarket action, while Brent dropped 2% to $109.02.Wednesday's economic calendar also has the weekly mortgage applications bulletin at 7 am, followed by the EIA domestic petroleum inventories report at 10:30 am. Fed Governor Michael Barr is slated to speak at 9:15 am.Analog Devices (ADI), TJX (TJX), Lowe's (LOW), Target (TGT) and Hasbro (HAS) are expected to post their earnings before the bell, among others. Intuit (INTU), Nordson (NDSN) and Urban Outfitters (URBN) release their results after the markets close.Gold nudged 0.4% lower to $4,493 per troy ounce, while bitcoin gained 0.9% to $77,457.

Dow JonesNasdaq CompositeS&P 500$ADI$HAS$INTU$LOW$NDSN$NVDA$TGT$TJX$URBN
Equity Markets Mixed as Trump Aborts Plan to Attack Iran
US Markets

Equity Markets Mixed as Trump Aborts Plan to Attack Iran

US equity markets closed mixed Monday as President Donald Trump said the US was postponing a plan to attack Iran on Tuesday.The Nasdaq Composite declined 0.5% to 26,090.7, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 0.3% to 49,686.1. The S&P 500 closed 0.1% lower at 7,403.1. Most sectors were in the green, led by energy, while technology saw the steepest decline.Trump said the US will hold off on its planned military attack against Iran that was previously scheduled for Tuesday, according to his social media post on Monday.Trump said Middle Eastern leaders, including Saudi Arabia Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman, asked the US president to call off the attack amid "serious" ongoing negotiations to end the Washington-Tehran conflict.Trump, however, cautioned that the US will "go forward with a full, large scale assault of Iran" if a deal is not reached.Brent crude fell 0.4% to $108.85 per barrel in Monday late-afternoon trade, while West Texas Intermediate crude was last up 0.9% at $106.34 per barrel.Trump's latest rhetoric follows reports that Iran had provided an updated proposal for a deal to end the war. The White House indicated it doesn't reflect a meaningful improvement from a previous offer, Axios reported Monday, citing a senior US official and a source briefed on the matter.The Strait of Hormuz -- the world's most important chokepoint for crude flows -- remains largely shut as tensions between the US and Iran continue, with no end in sight."Progress on US-Iran peace talks continues to be immaterial, with both parties expressing a willingness to resume overt hostilities if the talks fail," Tudor Pickering Holt Analyst Matt Portillo said in a note sent earlier in the day.US Treasury yields were little changed in Monday late-afternoon trade, with the 10-year rate at 4.59% and the two-year rate at 4.07%.Nvidia (NVDA) shares fell 1.3%, the second-worst performer on the Dow. The chipmaking giant is expected to exceed Wall Street's first-quarter estimates and guide above consensus amid positive data points, Wedbush Securities said.Nvidia is scheduled to release its latest quarterly results after the markets close Wednesday.Retail giants Walmart (WMT), Home Depot (HD), TJX (TJX), Lowe's (LOW) and Target (TGT) are also expected to report this week. Home Depot and Lowe's are likely to lower their full-year guidance as the home improvement retailers face pressure from weak consumer sentiment, Oppenheimer said in a note.NextEra Energy (NEE) and Dominion Energy (D) agreed to merge in all-stock deal to create the largest regulated electric utility in the world. Dominion shares jumped 9.4%, the second-biggest gainer on the S&P 500, while NextEra fell 4.6%.In economic news, US homebuilder confidence unexpectedly rose this month despite elevated mortgage rates, macro uncertainty and continued affordability challenges, data from the National Association of Home Builders and Wells Fargo showed."Soft homebuilder sentiment is consistent with our view that housing starts will mostly move sideways for the next couple of quarters before starting to edge up slightly around year-end, when we expect mortgage rates to be lower as the (Federal Reserve) implements the first of two rate cuts we expect," Oxford Economics said in a note.Gold was up up 0.1% at $4,564.40 per troy ounce in Monday late-afternoon trade, while silver rose 0.3% to $77.80 per ounce.

Dow JonesNasdaq CompositeS&P 500$D$HD$LOW$NEE$NVDA$TGT$TJX$WMT
Equities Mixed Intraday, Oil Rises as Traders Track Middle East Developments
Wire

Equities Mixed Intraday, Oil Rises as Traders Track Middle East Developments

US benchmark equity indexes were mixed after midday Monday as oil prices rose amid new developments in the Middle East conflict, while traders braced for Nvidia's (NVDA) latest financial results due out later in the week.The Nasdaq Composite was down 0.7% at 26,049.9 intraday, while the S&P 500 shed 0.3% to 7,387.2. The Dow Jones Industrial Average was 0.1% higher at 49,571.2. Most sectors were in the green, led by energy, while technology saw the steepest decline.West Texas Intermediate crude was up 1.5% at $107.01 per barrel, while Brent rose 1.4% to $110.84.Iran has provided an updated proposal for a deal to end the war with the US, though the White House indicated it doesn't reflect a meaningful improvement from a previous offer and is insufficient, Axios reported Monday, citing a senior US official and a source briefed on the matter.The Strait of Hormuz -- the world's most important chokepoint for crude flows -- remains largely shut as tensions between the US and Iran continue, with no end in sight. Over the weekend, US President Donald Trump said the "clock is ticking" for Iran to strike a deal.US Treasury yields were mixed intraday Monday, with the 10-year rate up 1.2 basis points at 4.61% and the two-year rate little changed at 4.08%.Nvidia shares were down 1.8%, the second-worst performer on the Dow. The chipmaking giant -- which is scheduled to release its latest quarterly results after the markets close Wednesday -- is considered by many investors as the "scoreboard" for the artificial intelligence boom, Saxo Bank said in a note Monday."The company does not only need to show that demand remains strong. It may need to show that demand is still accelerating, margins remain resilient, competition risk is contained, supply constraints are manageable, and China risk is manageable," Saxo said. "That is a high bar. And when the bar is high, even good news can create volatility."Retail giants Walmart (WMT), Home Depot (HD), TJX (TJX), Lowe's (LOW) and Target (TGT) are also expected to report this week.Home Depot and Lowe's are likely to lower their full-year guidance as the home improvement retailers face pressure from weak consumer sentiment, Oppenheimer said in a note.NextEra Energy (NEE) and Dominion Energy (D) agreed to merge in all-stock deal to create the largest regulated electric utility in the world. Dominion shares were up 8.6% intraday Monday, the second-biggest gainer on the S&P 500, while NextEra fell 6.6%.In economic news, US homebuilder confidence unexpectedly rose this month despite elevated mortgage rates, macro uncertainty and continued affordability challenges, data from the National Association of Home Builders and Wells Fargo showed."Soft homebuilder sentiment is consistent with our view that housing starts will mostly move sideways for the next couple of quarters before starting to edge up slightly around year-end, when we expect mortgage rates to be lower as the (Federal Reserve) implements the first of two rate cuts we expect," Oxford Economics said in a note.Gold was down 0.2% at $4,553.40 per troy ounce, while silver fell 0.2% to $77.41 per ounce.

Dow JonesNasdaq CompositeS&P 500$D$HD$LOW$NEE$NVDA$TGT$TJX$WMT
Stocks Fall Pre-Bell as Traders Monitor US-Iran Tensions, Await Nvidia Earnings
US Markets

Stocks Fall Pre-Bell as Traders Monitor US-Iran Tensions, Await Nvidia Earnings

The benchmark US stock measures were tracking in the red before the opening bell Monday as investors monitor the ongoing US-Iran tensions and await the latest financial results of tech bellwether Nvidia (NVDA) later in the week.The S&P 500 declined 1.3%, the Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped 0.6% and the Nasdaq was off 0.1% in premarket activity. The indexes finished Friday trading lower.Tensions between the US and Iran remain in focus amid no apparent progress toward a peace deal between the two sides. President Donald Trump said in a social media post on Sunday that the "clock is ticking" for Iran to agree to a deal and that "they better get moving, fast, or there won't be anything left of them."Iran's semi-official Fars news agency said the US has set five main conditions for a peace deal, including transferring uranium tied to Tehran's nuclear program to Washington, Bloomberg News reported. Iran's Mehr news agency reportedly said the US has offered "no tangible concessions" to Tehran.A drone attack caused a fire at a nuclear power plant in the United Arab Emirates on Sunday, while Saudi Arabia said it intercepted three drones that entered from Iraqi airspace, according to CNBC.West Texas Intermediate crude oil rose 0.8% to $106.27 a barrel before the open, while Brent was up 0.7% to $110.08.Nvidia is scheduled to release its latest quarterly results after the markets close on Wednesday. "We fully expect the leading supplier of AI silicon will again exceed estimates and guide above Street given continued positive data points through (the calendar first quarter)," Wedbush Securities said in a Monday client note.Retail giants Walmart (WMT), Home Depot (HD), TJX (TJX), Lowe's (LOW) and Target (TGT) are also expected to announce their earnings this week.Treasury yields were trending higher in premarket action, with the two-year rate increasing 0.4 basis points to 4.09% and the 10-year rate adding 0.8 basis points to 4.6%.Monday's thin economic calendar has the housing market index for May at 10 am ET. Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta interim President Cheryl Venable is slated to speak at 8:30 am.Shares of LiveRamp (RAMP) jumped 27% pre-bell after the data collaboration platform agreed to be acquired by French advertising and public relations firm Publicis Groupe in an all-cash deal with an enterprise value of about $2.17 billion. ServiceNow (NOW) was up nearly 3% while UnitedHealth (UNH) fell 4.9%.Gold slipped 0.4% to $4,544 per troy ounce, while bitcoin fell 2% to $76,723.

Dow JonesNasdaq CompositeS&P 500$HD$LOW$NOW$NVDA$RAMP$TGT$TJX$UNH$WMT
Macro Backdrop Helps Lift Comparable Sales Expectations for Off-Price Retailers, Deutsche Bank Says
US Markets

Macro Backdrop Helps Lift Comparable Sales Expectations for Off-Price Retailers, Deutsche Bank Says

The current macro backdrop is likely benefiting the off-price retail sector as increased value-seeking behavior among consumers has helped lift same-store sales growth expectations for the first quarter, Deutsche Bank said in a note on Friday.The brokerage remains constructive on discount retailers, which tend to grow during an economic slowdown. In addition, merchandising initiatives and store openings should help sustain sales momentum, according to the note."Sentiment towards off-price retail remains positive with elevated (first quarter 2026) SSS expectations," Deutsche Bank Analyst Krisztina Katai said. "This reflects tailwinds from stimulus in the US and increased value-seeking behavior, which combine with company-specific SSS initiatives and easier compares."US consumer sentiment declined to fresh lows in May amid cost pressures tied to the Middle East conflict, University of Michigan's preliminary survey showed earlier this month. A fragile ceasefire between Washington and Iran appears to be holding, though the two sides are yet to finalize a framework on a peace deal.The brokerage expects comparable sales to grow low teens for Ross Stores (ROST), between 7% and 8% for Burlington Stores (BURL) and 5% to 6% for TJX's (TJX) Marmaxx.Top-line strength and average unit retail gains position off-price retailers to absorb incremental freight pressures, but it is unclear whether the current momentum is driven by stimulus or other sustainable trends, Deutsche Bank said."That said, fears of a consumer slowdown in recent weeks have led to the group de-rating materially to start (the fiscal second quarter) -- which we believe creates a buying opportunity," Katai said.Ross Stores and TJX are "best positioned" to top estimates due to incremental transactions, Katai said. Deutsche Bank remains "sidelined" on Burlington Stores.Ross Stores, TJX and Burlington Stores are scheduled to release their first-quarter results later in May.Price: $213.22, Change: $-0.06, Percent Change: -0.03%

$BURL$ROST$TJX
US Markets

Most Softline Retailers Poised to Meet or Top Quarterly Earnings Views, UBS Says

Most US softline retailers are expected to report upcoming quarterly earnings either in line or above Wall Street's estimates, while consumer spending could rise notably if the Middle East conflict ends soon, UBS Securities said Monday.A survey conducted by the brokerage during the first two weeks of this month showed that consumer spending intentions remained "good," particularly for apparel and footwear despite headwinds from the US-Israel war with Iran that started at the end of February, UBS analysts, including Jay Sole said in a note to clients."We believe the market is overestimating the negative impact of high oil prices on softline company margins," UBS said. "We see most softline companies either meeting or beating (first-quarter) expectations during this upcoming earnings season."The war, which has impacted several Middle East countries, has sent energy prices soaring amid the closure of the Strait of Hormuz, the world's most important chokepoint for crude flows.US retail gasoline prices averaged $4.042 per gallon Monday, compared with $3.151 a year ago, according to data from AAA, a travel organization that tracks fuel prices in the country."US consumers' view of the economy has been somewhat impacted (month on month) by the Middle East conflict and rising gas prices," the UBS analysts said Monday. "Yet, the data show potential for a strong pop in US consumer spending if the Middle East conflict ends soon and gas prices return to pre-conflict levels. This is a main reason we remain bullish."On Holding (ONON), Deckers Outdoor (DECK), Gildan Activewear (GIL), Burlington Stores (BURL), Levi Strauss (LEVI), Ralph Lauren (RL), and TJX (TJX) are among the softline stocks that UBS said it likes and rates as buy. The brokerage said it likes these stocks over several big names such as Nike (NKE) and Lululemon Athletica (LULU), according to the note."We believe the market is significantly underestimating the potential for (artificial intelligence) to positively impact softline companies' sales and margins," the analysts said.On Saturday, Iran took back control the Strait of Hormuz after temporarily opening the waterway to commercial vessels Friday. The US and Iran have accused each other of violating a two-week ceasefire announced April 7, leaving the situation in the Middle East in limbo.Price: $37.24, Change: $+0.29, Percent Change: +0.78%

$BURL$DECK$GIL$LEVI$LULU$NKE$ONON$RL$TJX

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