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Update: Equities Snap 3-Day Losing Streak as Traders Parse July Fed Minutes
US Markets

Update: Equities Snap 3-Day Losing Streak as Traders Parse July Fed Minutes

(Updates with market moves at the end of the day, and other changes, if any.)Wall Street's main stock indexes rebounded Wednesday after a three-day slump, boosted by gains in the healthcare sector, while investors assessed the minutes of the Federal Reserve's July policy meeting.The S&P 500 and the Dow Jones Industrial Average climbed 0.2% each to 7,707.98 and 53,463.05, respectively. The Nasdaq Composite also gained 0.2%, closing at 26,331.09. Among sectors, healthcare topped the gainers, while industrials led the laggards.Moderna (MRNA) shares surged 177%, the biggest gain on the S&P 500, as a late-stage trial for a skin cancer treatment being developed in partnership with Merck (MRK) yielded positive topline results. Merck jumped nearly 13%, the best performer on the Dow and among the top gainers on the S&P 500.Fed officials acknowledged the need for an interest rate hike if inflation does not ease, minutes from the central bank's July meeting showed Wednesday. At the meeting last month, policymakers left interest rates unchanged in a divided decision, with three regional presidents calling for a hike of 25 basis points."The minutes suggest that other (non-voting) participants are on the same page. And that there is a palpable hawkish sentiment brewing in the committee," BMO said in a note. "But it will take inflation misbehaving to stir this sentiment further. Until then, the Fed will be holding indefinitely."Markets are currently pricing in a 67% probability that the Fed will keep its benchmark rate steady in September, with the remaining odds in favor of a 25-basis-point hike, according to the CME FedWatch tool.Treasury yields were lower, with the 10-year yield down 6.5 basis points at 4.64% and the two-year yield falling 0.8 basis point to 4.17%.The Treasury Department said Wednesday that it will boost the size of its government debt repurchases, in what Jefferies Chief US Economist Thomas Simons described as a "surprise" move.The expanded buyback operation, which will focus on 10- to 30-year Treasuries, comes as the 30-year real yields recently broke through 3% for the first time in 24 years, Simons said."It looks like this move will probably help to keep a lid on long-end yields for the near-term," he said.West Texas Intermediate crude oil advanced 0.9% to $85.66 a barrel in Wednesday late-afternoon trade, while Brent rose 0.4% to $91.39.The United Arab Emirates suspended economic ties with Iran amid "regional escalations that undermine regional and international peace and security," UAE Foreign Ministry spokeswoman Afra Al Hameli said on X. The UAE is Iran's second-largest commercial partner, according to a CNN report."Oil prices extended gains for a fourth consecutive session on Wednesday as uncertainty over a resolution to the US-Iran conflict continued to support risk premiums," ING Bank said.In other corporate news, Keysight Technologies (KEYS) slumped 6.3%, among the notable laggards on the S&P 500. Late Tuesday, the electronics test and measurement equipment manufacturer provided a fiscal fourth-quarter earnings outlook above Wall Street's estimates and reported better-than-expected third-quarter results.Target (TGT) lifted its full-year outlook as tariff refunds helped double the retailer's fiscal second-quarter earnings year over year. Its shares jumped 4.3%.TJX (TJX) issued a fiscal third-quarter comparable store sales forecast that fell short of the Street expectations, but raised its full-year earnings outlook. The stock fell 4.2%.Spot gold jumped 4.1% to $4,510.40 per troy ounce, while silver climbed 3.8% to $66.48 per ounce.

Dow JonesNasdaq CompositeS&P 500$KEYS$MRK$MRNA$TGT$TJX
Asia Markets

US Equity Indexes Rise After Most FOMC Participants Support Rate Hold, Treasury Boosts Buybacks

US equity indexes rose on Wednesday after most Federal Open Market Committee participants agreed to maintain the federal funds rate at 3.50% to 3.75%, and the US Treasury said it would ramp up buybacks of long-dated government debt to at least $4 billion per operation in September.The Nasdaq Composite rose 0.1% to 26,331.09, and the S&P 500 gained 0.2% to 7,707.98. The Dow Jones Industrial Average increased 0.2% to 53,463.05. Health and consumer discretionary led the gainers, while industrials and technology sectors led the decliners.The yield on 30-year Treasuries fell 10.1 basis points to 5.18%, while the 10-year yield fell 6.7 basis points to 4.64%.Gold futures gained 3.3% to $4,566.6 per ounce, and silver futures rose 3.8% to $66.475.While FOMC participants acknowledged that inflation remained elevated, most of them expected it to simmer over the remainder of the year as the effects of tariffs and earlier energy price hikes fade. They also observed that economic activity continued to expand at a solid pace while labor market conditions appeared stable.President Donald Trump also paused tariffs on certain Canadian goods in a Truth Social post. He also said the Keystone XL Pipeline, which was canceled in 2021, may be revived. The tariff play comes ahead of negotiations for the US-Mexico-Canada Trade Agreement.In economic news, US crude oil stocks, including those in the Strategic Petroleum Reserve, fell by 900,000 barrels in the week ended Aug. 14, following an increase of 11.3 million barrels in the prior week.The US West Texas Intermediate crude oil contract rose 0.8% to $85.63 per barrel.US mortgage applications fell by 0.4% in the week ended Aug. 14, with an increase in refinancing activity offset by declining home purchase applications, according to the Mortgage Bankers Association."In addition to the economic uncertainty, affordability difficulties have reemerged as a reason for homebuyers to delay purchase decisions given the impact of higher mortgage rates on monthly mortgage payments," said MBA deputy chief economist Joel Kan.In company news, Moderna (MRNA) shares climbed 177%, and Merck (MRK) shares gained 12.6% after the companies said a trial of intismeran autogene combined with Keytruda met the primary endpoint of recurrence-free survival and a key secondary endpoint of distant metastasis-free survival in patients with completely resected stage IIB-IV melanoma.Target (TGT) shares rose 4.3% after the company posted higher-than-expected fiscal Q2 results and lifted its 2026 guidance. The company reported fiscal Q2 adjusted earnings of $4.11 per diluted share, up from $2.05 a year earlier and above FactSet consensus of $2.34. Fiscal Q2 net sales were $26.54 billion, up from $25.21 billion a year ago and above the FactSet consensus of $26.13 billion. For fiscal 2026, the company lifted its adjusted EPS guidance to between $9.90 and $10.90 from $7.50 to $8.50 earlier, compared with FactSet estimates of $8.52.

Dow JonesNasdaq CompositeS&P 500$MRK$MRNA$TGT
Sectors

Sector Update: Consumer Stocks Rise Late Afternoon

Consumer stocks were higher late Wednesday afternoon, with the State Street Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLP) increasing 1.2% and the State Street Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLY) adding 1.9%.In corporate news, Target (TGT) lifted its full-year outlook on Wednesday as tariff refunds helped double the retailer's fiscal Q2 earnings year over year. Its shares gained 5%.Estee Lauder (EL) shares rallied 18% after the cosmetics maker bumped up its fiscal 2027 operating margin outlook and set sales guidance in line with its preliminary views.TJX (TJX) issued a fiscal Q3 comparable store sales forecast that fell short of market expectations on Wednesday, but raised its full-year earnings outlook. TJX shares fell 4%.Lululemon Athletica's (LULU) Chief Communications Officer Bill Chandler is leaving the company, Bloomberg reported, citing an internal memo. Chandler's last day at the company will be Sept. 4, according to the report. Lululemon shares were up 1%.

$EL$LULU$TGT$TJX
Asia Markets

US Equity Indexes Rise as Bond Yields Ease After Treasury Raises Buyback Cap, Trump Pauses Canada Tariffs

US equity indexes rose after midday Wednesday after the Treasury Department said it would increase buybacks of long-dated government debt to at least $4 billion per operation in September from $2 billion, and President Donald Trump paused tariffs on certain Canadian goods in a late Tuesday Truth Social post.The Nasdaq Composite rose 0.2% to 26,343.5, and the S&P 500 gained 0.3% to 7,716.1. The Dow Jones Industrial Average increased 0.2% to 53,456.1. Health and materials led the gainers, while technology and industrials led the decliners.The yield on 30-year Treasuries fell 7 basis points to 5.215%, while the 10-year yield fell 3 basis points to 4.677%.Trump also said the proposed Keystone XL Pipeline, which was canceled in 2021, may be revived. The tariff play comes ahead of negotiations for the US-Mexico-Canada Trade Agreement.Gold futures gained 3% to $4,553.5 per ounce, and silver futures rose 3% to $65.95.In economic news, US crude oil stocks, including those in the Strategic Petroleum Reserve, fell by 900,000 barrels in the week ended Aug. 14, following an increase of 11.3 million barrels in the prior week.Excluding SPR inventories, commercial crude oil stocks rose by 4.4 million barrels compared with a 17.4-million-barrel gain in the week prior, and the 200,000-barrel increase expected in a survey compiled by Bloomberg.The US West Texas Intermediate crude oil contract rose 2.4% to $86.99 per barrel.US mortgage applications fell by 0.4% in the week ended Aug. 14, with an increase in refinancing activity offset by declining home purchase applications, according to the Mortgage Bankers Association."In addition to the economic uncertainty, affordability difficulties have reemerged as a reason for homebuyers to delay purchase decisions given the impact of higher mortgage rates on monthly mortgage payments," said MBA deputy chief economist Joel Kan.In company news, Moderna (MRNA) shares climbed 150%, and Merck (MRK) shares gained 11.5% after the companies said a trial of intismeran autogene combined with Keytruda met the primary endpoint of recurrence-free survival and a key secondary endpoint of distant metastasis-free survival in patients with completely resected stage IIB-IV melanoma.Target (TGT) shares rose 5.8% after the company posted higher-than-expected fiscal Q2 results and boosted its 2026 guidance. The company reported fiscal Q2 adjusted earnings of $4.11 per diluted share, up from $2.05 a year earlier and above FactSet consensus of $2.34. Fiscal Q2 net sales were $26.54 billion, up from $25.21 billion a year ago and above the FactSet consensus of $26.13 billion. For fiscal 2026, the company lifted its adjusted EPS guidance to between $9.90 and $10.90 from $7.50 to $8.50 earlier, compared with FactSet estimates of $8.52.

Dow JonesNasdaq CompositeS&P 500$MRK$MRNA$TGT
Update: Equities Rise Intraday Ahead of Fed Minutes
US Markets

Update: Equities Rise Intraday Ahead of Fed Minutes

(Updates with latest market prices and developments.)US benchmark equity indexes were higher intraday, supported by gains in the healthcare sector amid a big rally in Moderna (MRNA) shares, while traders awaited minutes of the Federal Reserve's last policy meeting.The S&P 500 was up 0.3% at 7,716.7 after midday Wednesday, while the Nasdaq Composite rose 0.2% to 26,341.6. The Dow Jones Industrial Average advanced 0.2% to 53,436.2. The indexes finished Tuesday trading lower for the third consecutive session.Among sectors, healthcare paced the gainers, while industrials led the laggards.Moderna shares were up 142%, the biggest gain on the S&P 500, as a late-stage trial for a skin cancer treatment being developed in partnership with Merck (MRK) yielded positive topline results. Merck jumped 11%, the best performer on the Dow and among the top gainers on the S&P 500.Keysight Technologies (KEYS) was the worst performer on the S&P 500, down 6.3%. Late Tuesday, the electronics test and measurement equipment manufacturer provided a fiscal fourth-quarter earnings outlook above Wall Street's estimates and reported better-than-expected third-quarter results.In other corporate news, Target (TGT) lifted its full-year outlook as tariff refunds helped double the retailer's fiscal second-quarter earnings year over year. Its shares were up 5.8% intraday.TJX (TJX) issued a fiscal third-quarter comparable store sales forecast that fell short of the Street expectations, but raised its full-year earnings outlook. The stock fell 2.9%.The Fed is scheduled to post minutes of its most recent policy meeting at 2 pm ET, which will be assessed for fresh insights on the central bank's monetary policy. At the meeting last month, policymakers left interest rates unchanged in a divided decision, with three regional presidents calling for policy tightening.Markets are currently pricing in a 63% probability that the Fed will keep its benchmark rate steady in September, with the remaining odds in favor of a 25-basis-point hike, according to the CME FedWatch tool.Treasury yields were mixed intraday, with the two-year yield up 1.3 basis points at 4.19% while the 10-year yield fell 4.6 basis points to 4.7%.The Treasury Department said Wednesday that it will boost the size of its government debt repurchases to at least $4 billion per operation from $2 billion, effective Sept. 9. The buyback operation will focus on 10- to 30-year Treasuries.West Texas Intermediate crude oil was up 2.3% at $86.87 a barrel intraday, while Brent rose 1.7% to $92.59.The United Arab Emirates is halting all trade and financial transactions with Iran "until further notice" amid "regional escalations that undermine regional and international peace and security," UAE Foreign Ministry spokeswoman Afra Al Hameli said on X. The UAE is Iran's second-largest commercial partner, according to a CNN report."Oil prices extended gains for a fourth consecutive session on Wednesday as uncertainty over a resolution to the US-Iran conflict continued to support risk premiums," ING Bank said.Spot gold jumped 3.7% to $4,495.25 per troy ounce, while silver climbed 3% to $65.96 per ounce.

Dow JonesNasdaq CompositeS&P 500$KEYS$MRK$MRNA$TGT$TJX
Sectors

Sector Update: Consumer Stocks Rise in Afternoon Trading

Consumer stocks were higher Wednesday afternoon, with the State Street Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLP) increasing 1.2% and the State Street Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLY) adding 1.7%.In corporate news, Target (TGT) lifted its full-year outlook on Wednesday as tariff refunds helped double the retailer's fiscal Q2 earnings year over year. Shares gained past 5%.TJX (TJX) issued a fiscal Q3 comparable store sales forecast that fell short of market expectations on Wednesday, but raised its full-year earnings outlook. Shares fell 3.3%.Lowe's (LOW) lowered full-year expectations on Wednesday as the home-improvement retailer's fiscal Q2 revenue fell short of market estimates amid pressure on do-it-yourself spending. Lowe's shares were up 2.4%.

$LOW$TGT$TJX
Sectors

Sector Update: Consumer

Consumer stocks were higher Wednesday afternoon, with the State Street Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLP) increasing 1.2% and the State Street Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLY) adding 1.7%.In corporate news, Target (TGT) lifted its full-year outlook on Wednesday as tariff refunds helped double the retailer's fiscal Q2 earnings year over year. Its shares gained past 5%.

$TGT
Wire

Wells Fargo Adjusts Target PT to $185 From $165, Maintains Overweight Rating

Target (TGT) has an average rating of hold and mean price target of $147, according to analysts polled by FactSet.Price: $159.25, Change: $+6.77, Percent Change: +4.44%

$TGT
Target Raises Full-Year Outlook as Tariff Refunds Boost Second-Quarter Earnings
US Markets

Target Raises Full-Year Outlook as Tariff Refunds Boost Second-Quarter Earnings

Target (TGT) lifted its full-year outlook on Wednesday as tariff refunds helped double the retailer's fiscal second-quarter earnings year over year.Adjusted earnings are now anticipated to range from $9.90 to $10.90 per share for fiscal 2026, including tariff refunds that buoyed the second quarter by $1.65, the company said. It previously projected the metric in a range of $7.50 to $8.50.Earlier this year, the US Supreme Court ruled that the Trump administration lacked authority under the International Emergency Economic Powers Act to impose certain tariffs, paving the way for refunds to companies that had paid the duties.Sales are pegged to grow by about 5% for the ongoing fiscal year, one percentage point higher than Target's previous guidance. The Street is looking for sales of $109.02 billion, reflecting an annual increase of 4%.For the three months through Aug. 1, Target's adjusted EPS jumped 100% to $4.11, exceeding the average analyst estimate of $2.35. The topline improved 5.3% to $26.54 billion in the second quarter, ahead of the Street's view for $26.13 billion.Shares of the company rose 5.2% in Wednesday trade, taking their year-to-date gain to 64%."We saw broad-based growth across multiple dimensions of our business and importantly, the strength on the top-line translated into strong underlying profit performance as well," Chief Financial Officer Jim Lee said during an earnings call with analysts, according to a FactSet transcript.Comparable sales rose 3.8%, more than the market's forecast for a gain of 2.4%, as traffic rebounded.Truist Securities said the improvement in comparable sales and transactions underscore Target's investments in price and merchandise, among other areas.The retailer cut prices on more than 10,000 "frequently purchased items" over the past year, Target Chief Executive Michael Fiddelke said in a statement.Last week, Deutsche Bank and RBC Capital Markets said they expected Target to top consensus estimates for second-quarter comparable sales amid demand strength.On Wednesday, off-price retailer TJX (TJX) raised its fiscal 2027 earnings outlook, while home-improvement retailer Lowe's (LOW) lowered its full-year guidance to the bottom end of its previously issued forecast.Retail giant Walmart (WMT) is scheduled to release its latest results on Thursday, while department store operator Kohl's (KSS) financials are due next week. Warehouse chain Costco Wholesale (COST) is slated to publish its report next month.Price: $160.59, Change: $+8.11, Percent Change: +5.32%

$COST$KSS$LOW$TGT$TJX$WMT
Wire

Top Midday Stories: Treasury Lifts Buyback Cap on Long-Dated Securities; Moderna, Merck Say Melanoma Vaccine Meets Primary Endpoint in Trial

All three major US stock indexes were up in late-morning trading Wednesday, after the Treasury Department said it was raising the cap on its buyback operations for longer-dated nominal coupon securities to at least $4 billion per operation from $2 billion, effective Sept. 9.In company news, Moderna (MRNA) and Merck (MRK) said Wednesday that a late-stage trial of intismeran autogene in combination with Keytruda met its primary endpoint of recurrence-free survival in patients with completely resected stage IIB-IV melanoma. The vaccine also met a key secondary endpoint of distant metastasis-free survival in patients, the companies said. Moderna shares were up 122.9% around midday, while Merck shares were up 11.1%.Marvell Technology (MRVL) issued a warrant to Alphabet's (GOOG, GOOGL) Google to buy up to a total of 59.0 million shares of its common stock at $206.58 per share as part of an expanded partnership agreement the two companies reached on July 29, Marvell said Wednesday in a regulatory filing. Marvell shares were up 8.2%, while Alphabet's Class C and Class A shares were up 0.1% and 0.2%, respectively.Target (TGT) reported fiscal Q2 adjusted earnings Wednesday of $4.11 per diluted share, up from $2.05 a year earlier and above the FactSet consensus analyst estimate of $2.34. Fiscal Q2 net sales were $26.54 billion, up from $25.21 billion a year ago and above the FactSet consensus of $26.13 billion. For fiscal 2026, the company lifted its adjusted EPS guidance to between $9.90 and $10.90 from $7.50 to $8.50, above the FactSet consensus of $8.52. The company said it expects full-year net sales growth around 5%, up a percentage point from its previous guidance. Target shares were up 5.7%.Nebius Group (NBIS) said Wednesday it plans to offer $4.50 billion of convertible senior notes in a private offering to qualified institutional buyers. The notes will be offered in two series: $2.75 billion aggregate original principal amount of convertible notes due 2030 and $1.75 billion aggregate original principal amount of convertible notes due 2034. Nebius shares were down 9.3%.Price: $141.15, Change: $+78.19, Percent Change: +124.18%

$GOOG$GOOGL$MRK$MRNA$MRVL$NBIS$TGT
Stocks Mixed Pre-Bell Ahead of Fed Meeting Minutes
US Markets

Stocks Mixed Pre-Bell Ahead of Fed Meeting Minutes

The main US stock measures were mixed in Wednesday's premarket activity as traders await minutes of the Federal Reserve's last policy meeting.The S&P 500 was flat and the Dow Jones Industrial Average was up 0.1% before the opening bell, while the Nasdaq edged down 0.2%. The indexes finished Tuesday trading lower for the third consecutive session.The Fed is scheduled to post minutes of its last policy meeting at 2 pm ET, which will be assessed for fresh insight on the central bank's monetary policy. At the meeting last month, policymakers left interest rates unchanged in a divided decision, with three regional presidents calling for policy tightening.Markets are currently pricing in a 67% probability that the Fed will keep its benchmark rate steady in September, with the remaining odds in favor of a 25-basis-point hike, according to the CME FedWatch tool.Treasury yields were down before the open, with the two-year rate retreating 1.7 basis points to 4.16% and the 10-year rate off 0.8 basis points to 4.7%.In a social media post on Tuesday, President Donald Trump said the US is not in negotiations with Iran, after a 60-day ceasefire between the two countries expired earlier this week. Trump also said the naval blockade against Tehran remains in "full force," while the Strait of Hormuz is "open and operating."Iran is considering targeting US military assets in Europe if the war escalates, the Financial Times reported Wednesday, citing sources.West Texas Intermediate crude oil rose 1.1% to $85.88 a barrel in premarket action, while Brent gained 1% to $91.95.In a separate Tuesday post on Truth Social, Trump said he paused the implementation of 50% tariffs on certain Canadian imports, shortly before the duties were to come into effect on Wednesday, as the two countries "have a deal," subject to the finalization of documents.Last month, Trump signed three proclamations to impose 50% tariffs on a range of Canadian goods.Shares of Lowe's (LOW) were down 2.6% pre-bell after the home-improvement retailer said it now expects its full-year results to be at the low end of its previously issued guidance range. Keysight Technologies (KEYS) increased 2.2% as the company issued an upbeat fiscal fourth-quarter earnings outlook.Analog Devices (ADI), TJX (TJX), Target (TGT) and Estee Lauder (EL) also report their latest financial results before the bell, among others. Nordson (NDSN) and Coty (COTY) post earnings after the markets close.Wednesday's economic calendar also has the weekly mortgage applications bulletin and the weekly EIA domestic petroleum inventories report.Gold nudged higher at $4,422 per troy ounce, while bitcoin decreased 0.5% to $64,320.

Dow JonesNasdaq CompositeS&P 500$ADI$COTY$EL$KEYS$LOW$NDSN$TGT$TJX
Update: Equities Fall, Oil Rallies as US-Iran Ceasefire Expires
US Markets

Update: Equities Fall, Oil Rallies as US-Iran Ceasefire Expires

(Updates with market moves at the end of the day, and other changes, if any.)Stocks on Wall Street fell Monday and oil prices advanced as a ceasefire between the US and Iran expired, with both sides showing no interest in an extension.The S&P 500 and the Dow Jones Industrial Average shed 0.5% each to close at 7,745.06 and 53,459.78, respectively. The Nasdaq Composite lost 0.3% to 26,644.91. Except energy, all sectors were in the red, led by communication services and consumer staples.West Texas Intermediate crude oil was up 2.4% at $84.41 a barrel in Monday late-afternoon trade, while Brent rose 2.4% to $90.64.In June, the US and Iran agreed to a memorandum of understanding to end their war and negotiate a final deal. However, the truce apparently collapsed as tensions over the control of the Strait of Hormuz escalated.Iranian Foreign Ministry spokesman Esmail Baghaei ruled out extending the memorandum of understanding, according to a CNBC report that cited state news agency Tasnim.President Donald Trump warned that the US could attack Oman if the Gulf nation interferes with the blockade of Iranian ships in the Strait of Hormuz, The Wall Street Journal reported, citing an interview with Fox News.On Saturday, Israeli strikes in southern Lebanon left at least 11 people dead, Reuters reported, citing the Lebanese health ministry. Traffic through the strategic waterway slowed as three vessels operated by Abu Dhabi National Oil Co. were attacked in transit last week."Prices remained supported by renewed fighting in Lebanon and attacks on vessels in the Strait of Hormuz, raising concerns over regional supply disruptions and complicating prospects for a US-Iran deal," ING Bank said in a report Monday.US Treasury yields were higher, with the 10-year rate up 3.2 basis points at 4.73% and the two-year rate rising 1.3 basis points to 4.18%.In company news, JetBlue Airways (JBLU) shares slumped 7.3%, as Seaport Research Partners downgraded its rating on the air carrier's stock. JetBlue's balance sheet woes could worsen as the Strait of Hormuz appears unlikely to reopen anytime soon, potentially prolonging jet fuel volatility, Seaport said in a note.Shares of American Airlines Group (AAL), Southwest Airlines (LUV), United Airlines (UAL) and Delta Air Lines (DAL) were also in the red.Retail giant Walmart (WMT) is scheduled to release its latest financial results later this week, along with Home Depot (HD), TJX (TJX), Lowe's (LOW), Target (TGT), Ross Stores (ROST) and BJ's Wholesale Club (BJ).S&P 500 companies' annual growth in second-quarter earnings and revenue largely held steady week over week, Oppenheimer Asset Management said Monday.The Federal Reserve is scheduled to post minutes of its July policy meeting Wednesday, which will be assessed for fresh insight on the central bank's monetary policy. At the meeting, policymakers left interest rates unchanged in a divided decision, with three regional presidents calling for policy tightening.In economic news, homebuilder confidence in the US unexpectedly ticked higher this month, though builders continued to deal with rising construction costs amid a renewed surge in gas and diesel prices, the National Association of Home Builders and Wells Fargo said.Gold was up 0.9% at $4,475.40 per troy ounce, while silver advanced 1.7% to $66.20 per ounce.

Dow JonesNasdaq CompositeS&P 500$AAL$BJ$DAL$HD$JBLU$LOW$LUV$ROST$TGT$TJX$UAL$WMT
Update: Equity Markets Fall Intraday, Oil Rises Amid Middle East Tensions
US Markets

Update: Equity Markets Fall Intraday, Oil Rises Amid Middle East Tensions

(Updates with latest market prices and developments.)US benchmark equity indexes were lower intraday, while oil prices rose as a ceasefire between Washington and Iran expired, with no indications of near-term engagement prospects.The Dow Jones Industrial Average was down 0.5% at 53,484.5 after midday Monday, while the S&P 500 fell 0.4% to 7,756.7. The Nasdaq Composite dropped 0.3% to 26,647.9. Among sectors, communication services saw the steepest decline, while energy led the gainers.West Texas Intermediate crude oil was up 1.3% at $83.44 a barrel, while Brent rose 1.4% to $89.77.In June, the US and Iran agreed to a memorandum of understanding to end their war and negotiate a final deal. However, the truce apparently collapsed as tensions over the control of the Strait of Hormuz escalated.Iranian Foreign Ministry spokesman Esmail Baghaei ruled out extending the memorandum of understanding, according to a CNBC report that cited state news agency Tasnim.President Donald Trump warned that the US could attack Oman if the Gulf nation interferes with the blockade of Iranian ships in the Strait of Hormuz, The Wall Street Journal reported, citing an interview with Fox News.On Saturday, Israeli strikes in southern Lebanon left at least 11 people dead, Reuters reported, citing the Lebanese health ministry. Traffic through the strategic waterway slowed as three vessels operated by Abu Dhabi National Oil Co. were attacked in transit last week."Prices remained supported by renewed fighting in Lebanon and attacks on vessels in the Strait of Hormuz, raising concerns over regional supply disruptions and complicating prospects for a US-Iran deal," ING Bank said in a report Monday.US Treasury yields were mixed intraday, with the 10-year rate up 2.4 basis points at 4.72% and the two-year rate little changed at 4.17%.In company news, JetBlue Airways (JBLU) shares were down 6.4%, as Seaport Research Partners downgraded its rating on the air carrier's stock. JetBlue's balance sheet woes could worsen as the Strait of Hormuz appears unlikely to reopen anytime soon, potentially prolonging jet fuel volatility, Seaport said in a note.Shares of American Airlines Group (AAL), Southwest Airlines (LUV), United Airlines (UAL) and Delta Air Lines (DAL) were also in the red intraday.Retail giant Walmart (WMT) is scheduled to release its latest financial results later this week, along with Home Depot (HD), TJX (TJX), Lowe's (LOW), Target (TGT), Ross Stores (ROST) and BJ's Wholesale Club (BJ).The Federal Reserve is scheduled to post minutes of its July policy meeting Wednesday, which will be assessed for fresh insight on the central bank's monetary policy. At the meeting, policymakers left interest rates unchanged in a divided decision, with three regional presidents calling for policy tightening.In economic news, homebuilder confidence in the US unexpectedly ticked higher this month, though builders continued to deal with rising construction costs amid a renewed surge in gas and diesel prices, the National Association of Home Builders and Wells Fargo said.Gold was up 0.9% at $4,475.40 per troy ounce, while silver advanced 1.7% to $66.20.

Dow JonesNasdaq CompositeS&P 500$AAL$BJ$DAL$HD$JBLU$LOW$LUV$ROST$TGT$TJX$UAL$WMT
Stocks Mostly Up Pre-Bell as Traders Await Fed Meeting Minutes, Retail Earnings
US Markets

Stocks Mostly Up Pre-Bell as Traders Await Fed Meeting Minutes, Retail Earnings

The benchmark US stock measures were mostly pointing higher before the opening bell Monday as traders await minutes of the Federal Reserve's last policy meeting and the latest quarterly results from some of the biggest retail companies.The S&P 500 rose 0.2% and the Nasdaq added 0.6% in premarket activity, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average edged down 0.1%. All three major indexes finished Friday trading in the red.The Fed is scheduled to post minutes of its July policy meeting Wednesday, which will be assessed for fresh insight on the central bank's monetary policy. At the meeting, policymakers left interest rates unchanged in a divided decision, with three regional presidents calling for policy tightening.Last week, the Bureau of Labor Statistics published benign consumer inflation data for July that lowered bets for a Fed interest-rate hike next month. Government data also showed that producer prices held steady last month, defying expectations for a monthly rise.Markets are currently pricing in a 69% probability that the Fed will keep its benchmark rate steady next month, with the remaining odds in favor of a 25-basis-point hike, according to the CME FedWatch tool.Treasury yields were down in premarket action, with the two-year rate retreating 1.3 basis points to 4.16% and the 10-year rate off 0.8 basis points to 4.69%.Retail giant Walmart (WMT) is scheduled to release its latest financial results later this week, along with Home Depot (HD), TJX (TJX), Lowe's (LOW), Target (TGT), Ross Stores (ROST) and BJ's Wholesale Club (BJ).On Friday, official data showed that retail sales unexpectedly decreased in July, registering the largest monthly drop in more than a year.West Texas Intermediate crude oil increased 0.8% to $83.08 a barrel before the open, while Brent gained 1.2% to $89.61.Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi reportedly said over the weekend that Iran hasn't decided to resume talks with the US, according to CNBC. Shipping traffic through the Strait of Hormuz slowed over the weekend, with five vessels transiting the crucial waterway on Saturday and none on Sunday, Reuters reported Monday, citing shiptracking data from Kpler.Monday's economic calendar has the Empire State manufacturing index for August at 8:30 am ET, followed by the housing market index for the same month at 10 am.Shares of Broadcom (AVGO) rebounded 1.2% pre-bell after closing Friday trading with a 5.9% drop. Micron Technology (MU) advanced 3.4%, while Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) ticked up 1%. Sandisk (SNDK) inclined 5.1%.Gold nudged 0.3% higher to $4,452 per troy ounce, while bitcoin traded up 0.2% at $63,239.

Dow JonesNasdaq CompositeS&P 500$AMD$AVGO$BJ$HD$LOW$MU$ROST$SNDK$TGT$TJX$WMT
Asia Markets

US Equity Investors to Focus on Fed Policy Minutes, PMIs Alongside Trump's Move to Inflict Intense Economic Pain on Iran

US equity investors are expected to focus on macroeconomic data this week following recent soft prints that reduced the urgency for monetary policy tightening, while keeping an eye on any announcements that significantly ratchet up economic pain in Iran and quarterly earnings.* Economic data due this week includes the July minutes of the Federal Open Market Committee meeting, S&P Global manufacturing and services purchasing managers' indexes, industrial production, building permits and housing starts. Last week, both headline and core consumer and wholesale price inflation rates for July declined from a year ago, and retail sales slid unexpectedly in the month, the most since May 2025.* Watch for a potentially major escalation of trade and market tensions beginning this week, according to a note from Scotiabank late Friday. That's because US Treasury Secretary Bessent pledged to introduce "measures like have never been seen in the history of economic isolation of a country," referring to Iran.* Home Depot (HD), Analog Devices (ADI), TJX Companies (TJX), Lowe's Companies (LOW), Target (TGT), Walmart (WMT), Deere (DE), Ross Stores (ROST), NetEase (NTES) are among the companies reporting quarterly results next week.* The 60-day deadline for the conclusion of peace talks in the memorandum of understanding the US and Iran signed in June ended on Monday without any formal announcements so far to end the war.* Talks between Iran and Oman regarding the Strait of Hormuz are complex but continuing "in all seriousness," CNN reported, citing Iran's Foreign Ministry spokesman Esmaeil Baghaei on Monday.* Baghaei said a "transit route map" has been agreed upon, but a final agreement including a joint statement has not been finalized, CNN cited reporting from Tasnim. Referring to one of the reasons for the delay, Baghaei said some "malevolent parties" want the region to "always be in a state of conflict and chaos."

Dow JonesNasdaq CompositeS&P 500$ADI$DE$HD$LOW$NTES$ROST$TGT$TJX$WMT
Wire

S&P 500 Ekes Out Weekly Gain Amid Growing Probability of Fed Pause Extension

The Standard & Poor's 500 index rose 0.4% this week after cooling inflation and an unexpected drop in retail sales boosted the odds for a sixth straight monetary policy pause in September.The market benchmark ended the week at 7,785.76. The index is now up 3.8% quarter-to-date and 14% this year.The probability of the Federal Reserve extending its policy pause next month jumped after July's consumer and wholesale price inflation rates, both headline and core, declined and retail sales for the month unexpectedly slumped the most since May 2025. There's now a 67% chance that the Fed will leave interest rates unchanged, up from 56% a week ago, according to the CME FedWatch tool.Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said on CNN that the US plans to announce measures on Iran next week that have "never been seen."Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth said the US can sustain its blockade against Iran "indefinitely," Al Jazeera reported.The energy sector in the S&P 500 had the largest percentage gain of the week, up 7.3%, followed by a 1.5% advance in utilities and 1% increases for both consumer staples and health care. Financials, industrials, real estate and tech also rose week to week.Phillips 66 (PSX) is expected to accelerate share repurchases in H2 this year, supported by ongoing balance sheet deleveraging, UBS said in a note. Separately, Phillips 66, Kinder Morgan (KMI), and HF Sinclair (DINO) said they have reached a final investment decision to move forward with a joint venture to build the $5 billion Western Gateway Pipeline system. Shares of Phillips 66 surged 15% this week.Three S&P 500 sectors that declined this week were consumer discretionary, communication services and materials, down 2%, 1% and 0.9%, respectively.Tapestry (TPR) shares tumbled 21% this week after the company set out a fiscal 2027 revenue outlook below the midpoint of Wall Street's forecast range, taking the shine off stronger-than-expected fiscal Q4 adjusted earnings and revenue.AppLovin's (APP) 30% long-term annual revenue growth target lacks sufficient evidence, with uncertainty rising around the sustainability of its self-learning growth, BofA Securities said in a report. BofA downgraded its rating on AppLovin stock to neutral from buy and lowered its price target to $400 from $430. Shares of Applovin slumped 9% this week.Home Depot (HD), Analog Devices (ADI), TJX Companies (TJX), Lowe's Companies (LOW), Target (TGT), Walmart (WMT), Deere (DE), Ross Stores (ROST), NetEase (NTES) are among the companies reporting quarterly results next week.Economic data due next week includes the July minutes of the Federal Open Market Committee meeting, S&P Global manufacturing and services purchasing managers' indexes, industrial production, building permits and housing starts.

S&P 500$ADI$APP$DE$DINO$HD$KMI$LOW$NTES$PSX$ROST$TGT$TJX$TPR$WMT
Walmart Seen Missing Comparable Sales Estimates, Target Set to Beat, Deutsche Bank Says
US Markets

Walmart Seen Missing Comparable Sales Estimates, Target Set to Beat, Deutsche Bank Says

Walmart (WMT) is expected to miss second-quarter comparable sales estimates as high gas prices pressure low-income households, while Target (TGT) is seen delivering a beat amid demand strength, Deutsche Bank said in a client note emailed Friday.Walmart is scheduled to release its results on Aug. 20, while Target reports Aug. 19.The brokerage expects Walmart to report US comparable store sales growth of 3% to 3.5%, trailing Wall Street's 3.7% consensus."Heading into (second quarter) results, expectations are not elevated for the first time in a while, and we see an arguably more balanced set-up than two months ago," Deutsche Bank analyst Krisztina Katai said.Higher gas prices are impacting lower-income households, while pharmacy-related headwinds have intensified, Katai said. "Pharmacy headwinds will continue through the (second half), and incremental sales upside may be difficult to generate in a cautious and potentially more promotional consumer backdrop," Katai added.Walmart's underlying business, however, remains healthy amid signs that grocery-led share gains have accelerated, according to the brokerage.For Target, Deutsche Bank raised its second-quarter same-store sales view, now expecting 2.9% growth, compared with the Street's 2.3%. It boosted Target's earnings estimate to $2.51 per share, above consensus of $2.29, citing "broad-based demand strength."The retailer's "turnaround progress is reflected in the stock," which has rallied nearly 59% this year, Katai said."We remain sidelined until there is greater evidence that recent (same-store sales) momentum reflects sustainable market share gains and improved competitive positioning, rather than cycling easier comparisons," Katai wrote.Deutsche Bank has hold ratings on both retailers, with a $120 price target on Walmart's stock and a $140 view on Target.Earlier this week, RBC Capital Markets predicted Walmart will miss second-quarter consensus expectations for comparable sales and Target will deliver a beat.Price: $114.91, Change: $-0.81, Percent Change: -0.70%

$TGT$WMT
Wire

Target Making Progress in Revitalizing Topline, Morgan Stanley Says

Target (TGT) is making progress in revitalizing its topline, and further valuation multiple expansion should continue with sales growth and positive earnings revisions, Morgan Stanley said in a Thursday note.The company is scheduled to report its Q2 results on Aug. 19.The execution of Target's turnaround plan to revive its brand into 2027 will be critical, while CEO Michael Fiddelke appears to be focused on the right initiatives like style and merchandising, customer experience, and digital business, the investment firm said.Comparable sales are improving, given easier comparisons with last year, and further improvement will mainly depend on merchandise differentiation, according to Morgan Stanley.The brokerage estimates a 3% comparable sales growth in Q2, slowing from 5.6% in Q1, and about $2.46 in adjusted earnings per share, above the Street consensus.Morgan Stanley has an overweight rating on Target, with a $150 price target.Price: $155.68, Change: $+1.68, Percent Change: +1.09%

$TGT
Walmart Among Big-Box Retailers That May Miss Comparable Sales Expectations, RBC Says
US Markets

Walmart Among Big-Box Retailers That May Miss Comparable Sales Expectations, RBC Says

Major US retailers such as Walmart (WMT) will likely miss consensus expectations for second-quarter comparable sales, though Target (TGT) is seen delivering a beat, RBC Capital Markets said in a Wednesday note.Home Depot (HD) is scheduled to release its results Aug. 18, followed by Target and Lowe's (LOW) on Aug. 19. Walmart reports Aug. 20.For the second quarter, RBC raised Home Depot's same-store sales growth expectations to 0.7% from 0.2%, lower than Wall Street's 1% consensus. RBC cut estimates for Lowe's to show a flat performance, compared with a 0.5% rise previously penciled in. Analysts expect a 0.7% increase at Lowe's.RBC left its estimates for Walmart's US operations unchanged, having trimmed projections in July to 3.5% from 4%, versus the 3.8% market view.Target's comparable sales growth outlook moved higher to 3% from 2%, exceeding the consensus estimate of 2.2%.RBC raised Home Depot's price target to $343 from $340, citing stable housing trends, market share gains and easy compares in the second half. "We remain sector perform as we continue to struggle with the catalyst for improved housing turnover, which is likely to keep (earnings per share) growth muted," RBC analyst Steven Shemesh said.Home Depot said Wednesday that Chief Executive Ted Decker is taking a temporary medical leave of absence. Ann-Marie Campbell, senior executive vice president, will oversee the home improvement retailer's day-to-day operations, while Chief Financial Officer Richard McPhail will provide oversight of the company's financial management and Pro subsidiaries.RBC pointed to softness in the do-it-yourself segment at Lowe's, whose price target slipped to $231 from $232. "We'd argue that the low-end of (2026) guidance now feels more likely," Shemesh said.The brokerage kept Walmart's price target unchanged at $137.RBC increased Target's price target to $166 from $153, saying its full-year adjusted EPS guide could be raised to around $8.20 to $8.80, versus market expectations of $8.48."While we're encouraged by the progress being made at (Target), we think a beat/raise is already embedded in shares and as such would argue the bar for outperformance on the print is very high," Shemesh said. "We believe reinvestment and advertising momentum should drive modestly better comp in (the second half)."Price: $153.60, Change: $+2.47, Percent Change: +1.63%

$HD$LOW$TGT$WMT
Wire

Target Likely to Beat Q2 Gross Margin Expectations on Sequential Tailwinds, BofA Says

Target (TGT) is likely to post better-than-expected gross margins in Q2 on sequential tailwinds, including lapping a larger merchandise margin headwind and lower tariff pressure, Bank of America Securities said in a Tuesday research report.The brokerage forecast gross margin expansion of 90 basis points year over year, 20 basis points above consensus and said it increased its second-quarter and fiscal 2027 EPS forecasts by 3% each to $2.36 and $8.84, respectively.The company is due to report Q2 results on Aug. 19.Target demonstrated an impressive improvement in sales under new leadership, but concerns around the pace of EPS revisions and the sustainability of strong comp trends remain, analysts wrote.The brokerage said it reiterated its underperform rating on the stock and raised its price target to $124 per share from $110.Price: $152.03, Change: $+0.90, Percent Change: +0.60%

$TGT

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