Constellation Issues Weak Full-Year Earnings Outlook as Fiscal Fourth-Quarter Results Decline
Constellation Brands (STZ) shares inched lower early Thursday after the beer and wine company provided a full-year earnings outlook below Wall Street's estimates and recorded year-over-year declines in its fiscal fourth-quarter results.The maker of Modelo and Corona anticipates comparable earnings to come in between $11.20 and $11.90 per share for fiscal 2027, it said late Wednesday, while the current consensus on FactSet is for $12.38. In the previous fiscal year, comparable EPS dropped 14% to $11.82 on an annual basis.In April 2025, the company projected EPS to grow by mid-single-digits to low-double-digits for fiscal 2027. Constellation also withdrew its previously issued fiscal 2028 outlook to reflect the current environment, it said.Enterprise organic sales, beer sales and organic sales in the wine and spirits division are all expected to range from a 1% decline to a 1% rise for the ongoing fiscal year, according to Constellation. Company-wide organic sales slid 10% in fiscal 2026."Looking ahead to fiscal 2027, while we are encouraged by the momentum displayed during the fourth quarter across our beer and wine and spirits businesses, we expect the operating environment to remain dynamic given the evolving socioeconomic backdrop and limited near-term visibility," the company said.The stock declined 0.8% in the most recent premarket activity.The company posted adjusted EPS of $1.90 for the three-month period ended Feb. 28, down from $2.63 the year before, but ahead of the Street's view of $1.71. Net sales fell 11% to $1.92 billion, beating the average analyst estimate of $1.88 billion."Despite the dynamic operating environment in fiscal 2026, we remained focused on the factors within our control and executed with discipline," Chief Executive Bill Newlands said in the earnings release. "We expect consumers will continue to navigate a shifting macroeconomic environment, but we remain encouraged by the momentum we saw in the fourth quarter."Beer revenue ticked up 1% to $1.73 billion, buoyed by shipment growth of 1.1% and favorable pricing. The division's depletion rate, or the pace at which units are sold to end consumers, edged up 0.6%, as gains in the Pacifico, Victoria and the Modelo Chelada brands more than offset declines in Modelo Especial and Corona Extra.Sales of wine and spirits tumbled 58% to $194.2 million, amid a 73% plunge in shipment volume. This reflected the impacts of the divestiture of certain wine and spirits brands, strategic pricing actions on certain brands and changes in distributor contract obligations, the company said. The division's depletion rate inclined 8.3%.
