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US Markets

Equities Fall Intraday, Oil Prices Climb as Traders Monitor Middle East Developments

US benchmark equity indexes were lower intraday and oil prices jumped as fighting in the Iran war flared up again.The Dow Jones Industrial Average was down 1% at 49,011.4 after midday Monday, while the S&P 500 lost 0.5% to 7,196.7. The Nasdaq Composite fell 0.3% to 25,038.8. The Nasdaq and the S&P 500 reached new peaks in the previous session.Barring energy, all sectors were in the red, led by materials.Brent crude jumped 6.1% to $114.79 per barrel, while West Texas Intermediate crude rose 4% to $106.13.The US military destroyed six Iranian boats in the Strait of Hormuz on Monday after Tehran attacked US Navy ships and commercial vessels, CNN reported, citing Admiral Brad Cooper, the head of the US Central Command.Tehran fired missiles and drones at the United Arab Emirates, the UAE's Defence Ministry said in a post on X earlier in the day.US President Donald Trump's initiative to escort commercial ships through the Strait of Hormuz began on Monday. Two US-flagged vessels passed through the strait, the Central Command said Monday, after denying claims from Iran that a US ship had been hit.Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps said no commercial vessels or oil tankers had transited the narrow waterway, CNN reported.Meanwhile, the Israeli military reportedly issued an evacuation order for 10 villages in southern Lebanon."Notwithstanding the recent powerful rallies in stocks, challenges remain to finding resolution for the conflict and in our view persist as a potential negative overhang to market performance with news flow from the Middle East, the price of oil, and supply chain disruptions adding to inflation risks near term," Oppenheimer Asset Management Chief Investment Strategist John Stoltzfus said in a report. "That said, stock prices in the US continue to reflect in our view an appreciation for the fundamentals that matter most for revenue and profit growth."S&P 500 companies' quarterly earnings and revenue growth accelerated compared with figures from a week ago, Oppenheimer Asset Management said Monday.In company news, Norwegian Cruise Line (NCLH) lowered its full-year earnings outlook on Monday amid higher fuel costs and weak consumer demand due to the Middle East conflict, while the cruise operator's first-quarter revenue fell short of market estimates. The stock was down 8.9% intraday, the second-worst performer on the S&P 500.EBay (EBAY) shares were up 5.6%, among the best performers on the S&P 500, after video game retailer GameStop (GME) proposed to acquire the e-commerce company in a cash-and-stock deal worth about $55.5 billion. Shares of GME slumped 7.7%.Palantir Technologies (PLTR), Advanced Micro Devices (AMD), Disney (DIS), Uber Technologies (UBER), Shopify (SHOP), Pfizer (PFE) and McDonald's (MCD) are among major companies that are scheduled to release quarterly financials this week.Traders will be looking ahead to fresh labor market data later this week, beginning with the Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey for March on Tuesday, followed by the ADP employment report for April on Wednesday. The Challenger Job Cut report and the government's nonfarm payrolls data, both for last month, are scheduled to be released on Thursday and Friday, respectively."Focus shifts from Big Tech to consumer-facing earnings and macro validation," Saxo Bank said in a report. "US earnings from Disney, Airbnb (ABNB), and McDonald's will test demand resilience, while the US jobs report will determine whether strong growth can sustain current equity levels."US Treasury yields were higher intraday, with the 10-year rate up seven basis points at 4.45% and the two-year rate rising 8.5 basis points to 3.98%.Gold fell 2.2% to $4,540.50 per troy ounce, while silver declined 3.7% to $73.62 per ounce.

Dow JonesNasdaq CompositeS&P 500$ABNB$AMD$DIS$EBAY$GME$MCD$NCLH$PFE$PLTR$SHOP$UBER
US Markets

Stocks Mostly Down Pre-Bell as Traders Assess Middle East Developments, Await Fresh Labor Data

The benchmark US stock measures were mostly pointing lower before the opening bell Monday as investors assess the latest developments in the Middle East involving the Strait of Hormuz and await fresh labor market data later in the week.The S&P 500 fell 0.1% and the Dow Jones Industrial Average declined 0.3% in premarket activity, while the Nasdaq was slightly in the green. The S&P 500 and the Nasdaq closed Friday's trading session with new record highs, while the Dow finished in the red.In a social media post on Sunday, President Donald Trump said the US will start guiding some neutral ships "locked up" in the Strait of Hormuz out of the crucial waterway. The initiative, dubbed "Project Freedom," is scheduled to begin on Monday, Trump said."These are ships from areas of the world that are not in any way involved with that which is currently taking place in the Middle East," according to Trump. "If, in any way, this humanitarian process is interfered with, that interference will, unfortunately, have to be dealt with forcefully."US Central Command said Sunday it will provide military support to restore commercial shipping through the strait, including the use of guided-missile destroyers.Iran's Fars news agency said two missiles hit a US warship in the Strait of Hormuz, Reuters reported Monday. US Central Command reportedly said that no US navy ships had been struck.Iran reportedly said Sunday it's reviewing a response from Washington to its latest offer for a peace deal, CNBC reported, citing Iranian state media. Tehran had reportedly sent an updated proposal to the US through Pakistani mediators.West Texas Intermediate crude oil climbed 4.7% to $106.76 a barrel before the open, while Brent advanced 4.8% to $113.37.Investors will be looking ahead to fresh labor market data later this week, beginning with the Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey for March on Tuesday, followed by the ADP employment report for April on Wednesday. The Challenger Job Cut report and the government's nonfarm payrolls data, both for last month, are scheduled to be released on Thursday and Friday, respectively.Treasury yields were moving higher in premarket action, with the two-year rate inclining 3.9 basis points to 3.93% and the 10-year rate gaining 3 basis points to 4.41%.Federal Reserve Bank of New York President John Williams is slated to speak at 12:50 pm ET.Several major companies are expected to release their latest financial results this week, including Advanced Micro Devices (AMD), Walt Disney (DIS), McDonald's (MCD), Uber Technologies (UBER), Shopify (SHOP) and Pfizer (PFE).Palantir Technologies (PLTR) is set to announce its earnings after the markets close, while Tyson Foods (TSN) posts its results before the bell, among others.Shares of eBay (EBAY) jumped 10% pre-bell after video game retailer GameStop (GME) said it has sent a proposal to acquire the e-commerce company in a deal worth about $55.5 billion. Nebius' (NBIS) US-listed stock increased 2.5%.Gold fell 1.9% to $4,555 per troy ounce, while bitcoin nudged up 0.3% to $79,000.

Dow JonesNasdaq CompositeS&P 500$AMD$DIS$EBAY$GME$MCD$NBIS$PFE$PLTR$SHOP$TSN$UBER
Wire

Shopify Q1 Results, Q2 Outlook Seen Ahead of Consensus, RBC Says

Shopify's (SHOP) Q1 results and Q2 guidance may exceed analysts' consensus, based on data from several third-party sources, RBC Capital Markets said in a Wednesday note.US e-commerce sales grew 9.7% in Q1 year over year, and based on the delta between Shopify's performance and the broader e-commerce market, the company's Q1 gross merchandise value is expected to have grown 34.3% from the previous year to $100.4 billion.Meanwhile, Shopify's total number of merchants increased 11% based on store leads data, while the company appears to be gaining market share from competitors, with key peers dropping 13% from a year ago, according to the note. Further, the Shop app's monthly active users rose 38% from the prior year, while unique website visitors to the platform jumped 34%.The analysts said they believe Shopify's fundamentals continue to be solid, and robust growth is expected to drive shareholder returns in the long term.Shopify is expected to release Q1 results on May 5.RBC maintained the company's stock rating at outperform and price target of $170.Price: $132.32, Change: $+1.19, Percent Change: +0.91%

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Mining & Metals

RBC Keeps Shopify's Outperform Rating, US$170 Price Target, Ahead of Q1 Results

RBC Capital Markets on Wednesday maintained its outperform rating on the shares of Shopify (SHOP.TO, SHOP) and its US$170 price target ahead of the company's first-quarter results.RBC believes that Shopify's first-quarter results and second-quarter guidance may exceed consensus, as data from several third-party sources suggest the company's continued growth momentum and market share gains in the first quarter.While the valuation of Shopify's shares has re-rated down with the pullback in software stocks, RBC said Shopify's fundamentals remain solid.RBC expects Shopify's strong growth to drive shareholder returns over the long term.Price: $180.12, Change: $+0.93, Percent Change: +0.52%

$SHOP$SHOP.TO
Mining & Metals

CIBC Provides Q1 Preview for Shopify; Says Strong Quarter And 2026 Outlook Expected

CIBC Capital Markets reiterated its outperformer rating and its US$185 price target on the shares of Shopify (SHOP.TO, SHOP), as it provided first quarter preview for the company.Shopify reports Q1 results on May 5 followed by a conference call, said CIBC.CIBC expects SHOP to meet or beat Q1 consensus and provide constructive Q2 guidance, supported by strength in payments, new merchant adds, and Europe."Our alt data reinforces this view and suggests Q1 momentum is extending into early Q2: Plus merchants we track saw web-traffic growth accelerate to ~25% Y/Y in April (vs. 20% in Q1 and ~17% last quarter; through Apr 11)," said CIBC.It added that this supports upside to GMV and positions SHOP to exceed revenue growth and FCF margin expectations."Our outlook assumes faster Merchant Solutions growth (offsetting slower Subscription Solutions), supported by CIBC alt-data trends for Plus merchants, EMEA momentum, enterprise and retail POS adoption, and AI integrations," added CIBC. "Key offsets include mix-driven gross margin pressure (Payments) and higher opex from reinvestment in R&D and S&M; we also assume a higher tax rate in Q1 that normalizes later in 2026."It noted that, since March 2025, SHOP has beaten consensus by ~3% on revenue and ~4% on FCF, on average. CIBC said that a key risk remains execution against FCF margin guidance in the low-to-mid-teens, with FactSet aligned currently implying it will be below Q1/25."Our price target is (US)$185, based on 12x our 2027E sales forecast plus cash and its equity stake in Flexport," added CIBC. "SHOP's Rule of X (2x growth + FCF margin) continues to screen near the top of comparable constituents in the BVP NASDAQ Emerging Cloud Index, supporting a premium multiple."Price: $176.40, Change: $+1.21, Percent Change: +0.69%

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