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Commodities

US, Canada Activity Growth Lifts Oilfield Services Outlook, RBC Says

Growing North American activity, improving pricing trends, and expanding power-generation opportunities supported a broadly positive outlook for oilfield services companies at RBC Capital Markets' energy conference, the firm said Sunday.Land drillers indicated that US activity could strengthen through 2026, with Patterson-UTI Energy (PTEN), Precision Drilling (PDS), and Ensign Energy Services currently operating a combined 171 rigs, including 94, 37, and 40, respectively.Representing about 32% of the US land rig fleet of 541, those companies outlined plans to add 10 to 16 rigs next year, implying an industry-wide increase of roughly 32 to 51 rigs and lifting the total count to 573 to 592 rigs by the end of 2026.Several conference participants also noted that approximately 30 idled rigs could return to service for low-single-digit millions of dollars, RBC said.Pricing trends appeared more favorable in pressure pumping than drilling, with Halliburton (HAL), Liberty Energy (LBRT), Patterson-UTI, and Trican Well Service pursuing price increases as momentum builds in the second quarter of 2026 and larger gains emerge in the second half of the year.On the drilling side, Patterson-UTI said rig pricing improved from the low $30,000-per-day range to the low- to mid-$30,000-per-day range, while Nabors Industries (NBR) expects rates to reach the mid-$30,000-per-day range as super-spec rig utilization exceeds 70%.In Canada, the rig count remained at 182, with Precision Drilling reporting record second-quarter 2026 activity levels and Ensign Energy Services expecting operations to rise from 30 rigs after spring break-up to more than 50 rigs during the third quarter of 2026.While disruptions persisted in Kuwait, Iraq, and Qatar, activity in Saudi Arabia, Oman, and the UAE continued at a more normalized pace, and Enerflex (EFXT) pursued expansion opportunities in Saudi Arabia and the UAE, RBC said.International growth opportunities continued to expand, with Halliburton securing a multi-billion-dollar pressure pumping contract from YPF in Argentina, while Venezuela remained a longer-term opportunity highlighted by Halliburton, Weatherford International (WFRD), Ensign Energy Services, and Baker Hughes (BKR).Power generation emerged as another major theme, with Liberty Energy, Atlas Energy Solutions (AESI), and Enerflex evaluating more than 21 gigawatts of opportunities, as data center demand and grid constraints support behind-the-meter projects.Although investors generally support the bullish case for energy services because of stronger commodity prices, Middle East supply disruptions, and favorable producer outlooks, many remain cautious while awaiting further developments in the Iran conflict, RBC said.

$AESI$BKR$EFXT$HAL$LBRT$NBR$PDS$PTEN$WFRD
Commodities

Canadian Rig Count Rises By 10, Hits Multi-Year High, RBC Says

Canada's oilfield services activity strengthened last week, with the Western Canadian Sedimentary Basin rig count rising by 10 over the week to 151, RBC Capital Markets strategists said in a note on Thursday.RBC analysts said the latest reading places total active rigs 26 above 2025 levels and 35 above the five-year average.The quarter-to-date average of 151 rigs has already exceeded RBC's Q2 estimate of 143, with additional seasonal strength expected in the second half of the quarter. Based on five-year trends, RBC said rig activity typically rises by about 26% over the last half of the quarter.By operator grouping, activity among private producers increased by six rigs week-over-week, while large exploration and production producing over 75 barrels of oil equivalent per day held steady.Montney, Canada's largest gas and liquids play, activity held steady week-over-week at 34 rigs. RBC said the key operators include Tourmaline Oil, with five rigs, and Ovintiv, with four rigs.Drilling activity remains dominated by Precision Drilling (PDS), which accounted for 21 rigs or 62% of total activity in the play, followed by Ensign Energy and Savanna.Drilling in the Duvernay also held flat at 17 rigs, with operators including Paramount Resources, Whitecap Resources, and Canadian Natural Resources (CNRL). On the services side, Ensign led with six rigs, followed by Fox and Jomax.Southeast Saskatchewan saw a modest uptick, rising by six rigs over the week to nine, while oil sands and heavy oil activity increased by four rigs to 54.Canadian Natural Resources led activity with 12 rigs in the oil sands segment, followed by Cenovus Energy (CVE) and Spur. Precision Drilling (PDS) remained the dominant contractor in the oil sands, running 30 rigs or 56% of total activity.On capital discipline, RBC's Canadian E&P coverage projects $10.2 billion in pre-dividend free cash flow in 2026 and $9.5 billion in 2027, based on current futures pricing.RBC said the estimates imply reinvestment rates of 55% in 2026 and 57% in 2027, below the five-year trailing average of 64%, suggesting continued emphasis on shareholder returns across the sector despite elevated activity levels.

$CNRL$CVE$PDS
Mining & Metals

Precision Drilling Maintained at Outperform at CIBC Following Q1 Results; Price Target Raised to C$160.00

CIBC Capital Markets maintained its outperform rating on the shares of Precision Drilling (PD.TO, PDS) while raising its price target to C$160.00 from C$150.00 following the company's first-quarter results."Management has indicated visibility towards an inflection point for U.S. rig activity through H2/26, supported by a strong outlook for crude oil pricing, along with increased activity in dry gas basins. We believe PD's share price weakness will prove to be temporary, particularly as we move through Q2/26 and the company's U.S. fleet begins to see increasing utilization. We also expect higher free cash flow in H2/26 as capital spending normalizes, which should support increased share buybacks. We have raised our activity level and field expectations for both the U.S. and Canada, which increases our 2026 EBITDA estimate to $569MM from $533MM previously. We therefore increase our price target to $160/sh ($150/sh prior) based on 2026E EV/EBITDA of 4.3x (4.2x prior)," analyst Jamie Kubik wrote.(covers equity, commodity and economic research from major banks and research firms in North America, Asia and Europe. Research providers may contact us here: https://www..com/contact-us)Price: $129.99, Change: $+3.29, Percent Change: +2.60%

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