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$MTH

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Research

Research Alert: CFRA Keeps A Hold View On Shares Of Meritage Homes Corporation

CFRA, an independent research provider, has providedwith the following research alert. Analysts at CFRA have summarized their opinion as follows:We maintain our 12-month target price of $73, calculated using a 11.5x multiple against our 2027 EPS view of $6.37. Our multiple is a premium to the 10-year forward P/E mean of 7.9x, reflecting MTH's 60-day closing strategy that has the potential to move volumes in a normalized environment. We revise our 2026 EPS view to $4.96, down from $6.61 and 2027 revised to $6.37 from $8.08. We expect elevated incentives will keep a lid on MTH's margins, while a competitive landscape limits significant market share gains. MTH's primary growth driver, an aggressive expansion in community count, helps offset slower per-store sales but adds its own pressures in a limited demand environment. However, MTH trades at a 20% discount to book value, reinforced by MTH's share repurchase program, providing downside support for shares. While we expect Q2 to benefit from favorable comps, we would like to see tangible improvement in housing demand in 2H 2026 before becoming more bullish on shares.

$MTH
Wire

UBS Adjusts Price Target on Meritage Homes to $86 From $95, Maintains Buy Rating

Meritage Homes (MTH) has an average rating of overweight and mean price target of $78.33, according to analysts polled by FactSet.(covers equity, commodity and economic research from major banks and research firms in North America, Asia and Europe. Research providers may contact us here: https://www..com/contact-us)Price: $69.74, Change: $-0.16, Percent Change: -0.23%

$MTH
US Markets

Homebuilders' Earnings Likely to be Weighed Down by War Fallout, Soft Spring Selling Season, Truist Says

Several key US homebuilders' earnings this year are likely to take a hit, as the economic fallout from the Middle East conflict weighs on an already-soft spring selling season, Truist Securities said Thursday.The brokerage lowered its bottom-line estimates for the upcoming quarter and full year for six homebuilders. These are D.R. Horton (DHI), Meritage Homes (MTH), NVR (NVR), PulteGroup (PHM), Taylor Morrison Homes (TMHC), and Toll Brothers (TOL).Truist also trimmed its price targets for the six stocks, as it factored in inflation and the erosion in consumer confidence amid higher oil prices driven mainly by the US-Israel war with Iran that broke out at the end of February."The timing of this war was very unfortunate," Truist analyst Jonathan Bettenhausen said in a note to clients. "While we think industry expectations for this spring selling season were already calling for a roughly down low-single-digit environment from last year, we find it unlikely that a significant deterioration in the geopolitical environment was factored into those expectations."The brokerage said that while it's not expecting "many beats" among the stocks it covers, its favorite going into the latest quarterly print is Taylor Morrison. That stock likely has "the most bad news priced in," Bettenhausen wrote."We think any optimism on the spring selling season has effectively evaporated, and we have lowered our demand assumptions accordingly for (the first half) quarters, but also for the back half of the year on worse spring (build-to-order) new order demand," the analyst said.With new home sales and new residential construction data for March yet to be released, alternative market indicators such as mortgage reports and Google Trends "do not yield encouraging demand trends, which in our view, confirms the prevailing market sentiment on demand," according to the note.On Wednesday, the National Association of Home Builders and Wells Fargo said US homebuilder confidence sank this month to the lowest since September amid economic uncertainty, as well as increasing building material costs and interest rates.The White House is optimistic about reaching a deal with Iran, noting that a potential second round of talks would likely be held in Pakistan. Over the weekend, US-Iran peace negotiations in Islamabad ended without a deal. Meanwhile, a two-week ceasefire between Washington and Tehran holds.Price: $144.72, Change: $+0.52, Percent Change: +0.36%

$DHI$MTH$NVR$PHM$TMHC$TOL