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US Markets

S&P 500, Nasdaq Retreat From Record, Oil Jumps Amid Renewed US-Iran Tensions

The S&P 500 and the Nasdaq retreated from record highs as oil prices jumped amid signs that the Middle East conflict could intensify again.The S&P 500 lost 0.4% to close at 7,200.8, while the Nasdaq fell 0.2% to 25,067.8. The Dow Jones Industrial Average ended 1.1% lower at 48,941.9. Barring energy, all sectors were in the red, led by materials.Brent crude jumped 5.3% to $113.87 per barrel, while West Texas Intermediate crude rose 3.1% to $105.12.The US military destroyed six Iranian boats in the Strait of Hormuz on Monday after Tehran attacked US Navy ships and commercial vessels, CNN reported, citing Admiral Brad Cooper, the head of the US Central Command.A senior Iranian military official disputed that claim, Fox News reported, citing Iranian media. US President Donald Trump told news agency that Iran will be "blown off the face of the Earth" if they attack US vessels that support Trump's initiative to escort commercial ships through the Strait of HormuzTehran fired missiles and drones at the United Arab Emirates, the UAE's Defense Ministry said in a post on X earlier in the day.Two US-flagged vessels passed through the strait, the Central Command said Monday, denying claims from Iran that a US ship had been hit. Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps said no commercial vessels or oil tankers had transited the narrow waterway, CNN reported.Meanwhile, the Israeli military reportedly issued an evacuation order for 10 villages in southern Lebanon.The broader conflict paused following two separate ceasefires; one between Washington and Tehran and the other involving Israel and Lebanon. However, a framework for a permanent truce is yet to be reached.The cumulative supply disruption due to the conflict has now reached an estimated 600 million barrels by early May, Wells Fargo Investment Institute said in a note."Absent a reopening of the strait within the next several weeks, the global oil market, in our view, is likely to enter a period of explicit demand rationing within the current quarter," Wells Fargo Investment Institute Chief Investment Officer Darrell Cronk said. "Rationing on the order of four million to five million barrels per day would be required within weeks to rebalance the system, with a typical 30-day lag before flow disruptions fully translate into end-market shortages."US Treasury yields were higher, with the 10-year rate up 6.3 basis points at 4.44% and the two-year rate rising 6.6 basis points to 3.96%."Notwithstanding the recent powerful rallies in stocks, challenges remain to finding resolution for the conflict and in our view persist as a potential negative overhang to market performance with news flow from the Middle East, the price of oil, and supply chain disruptions adding to inflation risks near term," Oppenheimer Asset Management Chief Investment Strategist John Stoltzfus said in a report. "That said, stock prices in the US continue to reflect in our view an appreciation for the fundamentals that matter most for revenue and profit growth."On the monetary policy front, New York Fed President John Williams said Monday that the Middle East conflict could keep inflation elevated for some time.Switching to quarterly results, S&P 500 companies' earnings and revenue growth accelerated compared with figures from a week ago, Oppenheimer Asset Management said Monday.Advanced Micro Devices (AMD), Disney (DIS), Uber Technologies (UBER), Shopify (SHOP), Pfizer (PFE) and McDonald's (MCD) are among major companies that are scheduled to release quarterly financials this week.Traders will be looking ahead to fresh labor market data later this week, beginning with the Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey for March on Tuesday, followed by the ADP employment report for April on Wednesday. The Challenger Job Cut report and the government's nonfarm payrolls data, both for last month, are scheduled to be released on Thursday and Friday, respectively."Focus shifts from Big Tech to consumer-facing earnings and macro validation," Saxo Bank said in a report. "US earnings from Disney, Airbnb (ABNB), and McDonald's will test demand resilience, while the US jobs report will determine whether strong growth can sustain current equity levels."In company-specific news, Tyson Foods' (TSN) shares jumped 8%, the best performer on the S&P 500. The meat producer's fiscal second-quarter results surpassed Wall Street's expectations, lifted by price and volume gains in the chicken and prepared foods segments.Norwegian Cruise Line (NCLH) lowered its full-year earnings outlook on Monday amid higher fuel costs and weak consumer demand due to the Middle East conflict, while the cruise operator's first-quarter revenue fell short of market estimates. The stock fell 8.6%, among the worst performers on the S&P 500.EBay (EBAY) shares advanced 5.1%, among the best performers on the S&P 500, after video game retailer GameStop (GME) proposed to acquire the e-commerce company in a cash-and-stock deal worth about $55.5 billion. Shares of GME slumped 10%.Gold fell 2.6% to $4,524.40 per troy ounce, while silver declined 4% to $73.42 per ounce.

Dow JonesNasdaq CompositeS&P 500$ABNB$AMD$DIS$EBAY$GME$MCD$NCLH$PFE$SHOP$UBER
US Markets

Equities Fall Intraday, Oil Prices Climb as Traders Monitor Middle East Developments

US benchmark equity indexes were lower intraday and oil prices jumped as fighting in the Iran war flared up again.The Dow Jones Industrial Average was down 1% at 49,011.4 after midday Monday, while the S&P 500 lost 0.5% to 7,196.7. The Nasdaq Composite fell 0.3% to 25,038.8. The Nasdaq and the S&P 500 reached new peaks in the previous session.Barring energy, all sectors were in the red, led by materials.Brent crude jumped 6.1% to $114.79 per barrel, while West Texas Intermediate crude rose 4% to $106.13.The US military destroyed six Iranian boats in the Strait of Hormuz on Monday after Tehran attacked US Navy ships and commercial vessels, CNN reported, citing Admiral Brad Cooper, the head of the US Central Command.Tehran fired missiles and drones at the United Arab Emirates, the UAE's Defence Ministry said in a post on X earlier in the day.US President Donald Trump's initiative to escort commercial ships through the Strait of Hormuz began on Monday. Two US-flagged vessels passed through the strait, the Central Command said Monday, after denying claims from Iran that a US ship had been hit.Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps said no commercial vessels or oil tankers had transited the narrow waterway, CNN reported.Meanwhile, the Israeli military reportedly issued an evacuation order for 10 villages in southern Lebanon."Notwithstanding the recent powerful rallies in stocks, challenges remain to finding resolution for the conflict and in our view persist as a potential negative overhang to market performance with news flow from the Middle East, the price of oil, and supply chain disruptions adding to inflation risks near term," Oppenheimer Asset Management Chief Investment Strategist John Stoltzfus said in a report. "That said, stock prices in the US continue to reflect in our view an appreciation for the fundamentals that matter most for revenue and profit growth."S&P 500 companies' quarterly earnings and revenue growth accelerated compared with figures from a week ago, Oppenheimer Asset Management said Monday.In company news, Norwegian Cruise Line (NCLH) lowered its full-year earnings outlook on Monday amid higher fuel costs and weak consumer demand due to the Middle East conflict, while the cruise operator's first-quarter revenue fell short of market estimates. The stock was down 8.9% intraday, the second-worst performer on the S&P 500.EBay (EBAY) shares were up 5.6%, among the best performers on the S&P 500, after video game retailer GameStop (GME) proposed to acquire the e-commerce company in a cash-and-stock deal worth about $55.5 billion. Shares of GME slumped 7.7%.Palantir Technologies (PLTR), Advanced Micro Devices (AMD), Disney (DIS), Uber Technologies (UBER), Shopify (SHOP), Pfizer (PFE) and McDonald's (MCD) are among major companies that are scheduled to release quarterly financials this week.Traders will be looking ahead to fresh labor market data later this week, beginning with the Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey for March on Tuesday, followed by the ADP employment report for April on Wednesday. The Challenger Job Cut report and the government's nonfarm payrolls data, both for last month, are scheduled to be released on Thursday and Friday, respectively."Focus shifts from Big Tech to consumer-facing earnings and macro validation," Saxo Bank said in a report. "US earnings from Disney, Airbnb (ABNB), and McDonald's will test demand resilience, while the US jobs report will determine whether strong growth can sustain current equity levels."US Treasury yields were higher intraday, with the 10-year rate up seven basis points at 4.45% and the two-year rate rising 8.5 basis points to 3.98%.Gold fell 2.2% to $4,540.50 per troy ounce, while silver declined 3.7% to $73.62 per ounce.

Dow JonesNasdaq CompositeS&P 500$ABNB$AMD$DIS$EBAY$GME$MCD$NCLH$PFE$PLTR$SHOP$UBER
US Markets

McDonald's Could Miss First-Quarter US Comparable Sales Consensus Views, UBS Says

McDonald's (MCD) first-quarter US same-store sales growth is likely to fall short of consensus estimates, with momentum seen moderating into the ongoing quarter amid softer trends due to high fuel prices and macro pressures, UBS Securities said Monday.The brokerage expects the fast-food giant to post a 3.5% increase for US comparable sales in the first quarter, compared with the consensus of 4% growth. McDonald's is scheduled to report Thursday.The company started the quarter with solid momentum, but trends likely slowed down due to elevated fuel prices and pressured consumer sentiment, potentially offsetting some of the gains from its value initiatives."Our discussions suggest negative investor sentiment, likely reflecting concerns around slowing US sales trends (in the second quarter to date), difficult US comparisons in (the second half), and potential impacts from the Middle East conflict in Europe and globally," UBS analyst Dennis Geiger said in a note to clients.Energy prices have soared as the US-Israel war with Iran curtailed shipments through the crucial Strait of Hormuz. The conflict paused following a recent ceasefire between Washington and Tehran, but a framework for a permanent truce is yet to be reached. The war started at the end of February.McDonald's sales momentum is likely to have moderated in April, but UBS anticipates the company to continue to execute on key initiatives, with its value offerings, menu innovation and marketing to further resonate with consumers, including in the US. For 2026, the brokerage forecasts the company to record same-store sales growth of 2.3% in the US."We believe risk/reward for (McDonald's) shares is attractive despite near-term pressures, given catalysts with potential to drive market share gains and strengthen US sales growth, and defensive characteristics that should provide earnings stability in a still volatile environment," Geiger said. "We believe the brand remains well positioned globally and maintains important initiatives to strengthen trends."In April, RBC Capital Markets said it expected McDonald's first-quarter results to largely match Wall Street's expectations, with potential for downside given the company's exposure to low-income US consumers that are facing war-driven elevated energy prices.Last month, a survey by the University of Michigan showed that consumer sentiment improved from an initial April estimate, but remained at a record low as near-term inflation expectations logged the biggest monthly increase in a year.Price: $286.68, Change: $+0.04, Percent Change: +0.01%

$MCD
US Markets

S&P 500 Companies' Quarterly Profit, Revenue Growth Accelerates, Oppenheimer Says

S&P 500 companies' quarterly earnings and revenue growth accelerated compared with figures from a week ago, Oppenheimer Asset Management said Monday.Some 63% of companies in the benchmark equity index have reported results in the latest cycle, with earnings up 28% from a year earlier and revenue growing 11%. Last week's report by the brokerage showed profit and revenue growth at about 25% and 10%, based on financials reported by 28% of the index constituents.Ahead of the reporting season, FactSet put expected earnings growth at 12.6% from a year earlier, according to Oppenheimer.Of the companies that have reported results so far, 81% have exceeded analyst estimates, Oppenheimer Asset Management Chief Investment Strategist John Stoltzfus said.Among sectors, communication services and consumer discretionary outperformed in terms of earnings, with profits up by more than 50% each year over year. Technology led the chart for revenue growth, with a 22% increase, followed by communication services' 16% jump.This will be another busy week for corporate earnings, with Palantir Technologies (PLTR), Advanced Micro Devices (AMD), Disney (DIS), Uber Technologies (UBER) and McDonald's (MCD) due to post their financials.On Friday, the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq Composite reached new all-time closing highs.President Donald Trump has launched "Project Freedom" to escort commercial ships through the Strait of Hormuz. Two US-flagged vessels passed through the strait, the US Central Command said Monday, after denying claims from Iran that a US ship had been hit."Notwithstanding the recent powerful rallies in stocks, challenges remain to finding resolution for the conflict and in our view persist as a potential negative overhang to market performance with news flow from the Middle East, the price of oil, and supply chain disruptions adding to inflation risks near term," Stoltzfus said. "That said, stock prices in the US continue to reflect in our view an appreciation for the fundamentals that matter most for revenue and profit growth."Price: $148.03, Change: $+3.96, Percent Change: +2.75%

$AMD$DIS$MCD$PLTR$UBER
Asia Markets

US Equity Futures Slip Pre-Bell as Middle East Conflict Enters Third Month, Oil Prices Rise

US equity futures were marginally lower pre-bell Monday as the standoff in the Strait of Hormuz continued, with the Iran-US conflict reaching its third month and traders noting the increase in oil prices.Dow Jones Industrial Average futures were 0.3% lower, S&P 500 futures were down 0.1%, and Nasdaq futures were 0.1% higher.President Donald Trump said Sunday that the US would help guide vessels stranded in the Persian Gulf due to the conflict, and Iran responded by warning US forces not to enter the Strait of Hormuz.A US warship was turned away from entering the waterway after being hit by two missiles fired by Iran's navy near the port of Jask, according to Iran's Fars news agency, but a senior US official denied the report, Axios said.Among the companies expected to report quarterly earnings this week are Palantir Technologies (PLTR), Advanced Micro Devices (AMD), HSBC (HSBC), Arm (ARM), Shell (SHEL), and McDonald's (MCD).Oil prices were higher, with front-month global benchmark North Sea Brent crude up 2% at $110.31 per barrel and US West Texas Intermediate crude 0.8% higher at $102.72 per barrel.March factory orders, due at 10 am ET, are expected to have gained 0.6%, compared with no change previously, according to estimates compiled by Bloomberg.New York Federal Reserve President John Williams is due to speak today.In other world markets, Japan's Nikkei, China's Shanghai Composite, and the UK's FTSE 100 were all closed due to public holidays. Hong Kong's Hang Seng ended 1.2% higher. Germany's DAX index was flat in Europe's early afternoon session.In equities, Alibaba (BABA) shares rose 2% after Chinese robotics startup Linkerbot, which is backed by Alibaba unit Ant Group, said it will seek a $6 billion valuation in its next funding round, according to a Reuters report. EBay (EBAY) stock was 7.5% higher after GameStop (GME) said it submitted a non-binding proposal to acquire all outstanding shares of eBay for $125 each. Tyson Foods (TSN) shares were up 1.6% after the company reported fiscal Q2 adjusted earnings and sales that surpassed analysts' consensus.On the losing side, Norwegian Cruise Line (NCLH) stock was down 5.9% after the company issued lower-than-expected Q2 adjusted earnings guidance and trimmed its 2026 adjusted EPS outlook.

Dow JonesNasdaq CompositeS&P 500$AMD$ARM$BABA$EBAY$GME$HSBC$MCD$NCLH$PLTR$SHEL$TSN
Japan

US Equity Futures Slip as Middle East Conflict Enters Third Month, Oil Prices Rise

US equity futures were lower pre-bell Monday as the standoff in the Strait of Hormuz continued, with the Iran-US conflict reaching its third month and traders noting the increase in oil prices.Dow Jones Industrial Average futures were 0.4% lower, S&P 500 futures were down 0.2%, and Nasdaq futures were 0.1% lower.President Donald Trump said Sunday that the US would help guide vessels stranded in the Persian Gulf due to the conflict, and Iran responded by warning US forces not to enter the Strait of Hormuz.A US warship was turned away from entering the waterway after being hit by two missiles fired by Iran's navy near the port of Jask, according to Iran's Fars news agency, but a senior US official denied the report, Axios said.Among the companies expected to report quarterly earnings this week are Palantir Technologies (PLTR), Advanced Micro Devices (AMD), HSBC (HSBC), Arm (ARM), Shell (SHEL), and McDonald's (MCD).Oil prices were higher, with front-month global benchmark North Sea Brent crude up 3.4% at $111.89 per barrel and US West Texas Intermediate crude 2.9% higher at $104.93 per barrel.March factory orders are expected to have gained 0.6%, compared with no change previously, according to estimates compiled by Bloomberg.New York Federal Reserve President John Williams is due to speak today.

Dow JonesNasdaq CompositeS&P 500$AMD$ARM$HSBC$MCD$PLTR$SHEL
US Markets

Stocks Mostly Down Pre-Bell as Traders Assess Middle East Developments, Await Fresh Labor Data

The benchmark US stock measures were mostly pointing lower before the opening bell Monday as investors assess the latest developments in the Middle East involving the Strait of Hormuz and await fresh labor market data later in the week.The S&P 500 fell 0.1% and the Dow Jones Industrial Average declined 0.3% in premarket activity, while the Nasdaq was slightly in the green. The S&P 500 and the Nasdaq closed Friday's trading session with new record highs, while the Dow finished in the red.In a social media post on Sunday, President Donald Trump said the US will start guiding some neutral ships "locked up" in the Strait of Hormuz out of the crucial waterway. The initiative, dubbed "Project Freedom," is scheduled to begin on Monday, Trump said."These are ships from areas of the world that are not in any way involved with that which is currently taking place in the Middle East," according to Trump. "If, in any way, this humanitarian process is interfered with, that interference will, unfortunately, have to be dealt with forcefully."US Central Command said Sunday it will provide military support to restore commercial shipping through the strait, including the use of guided-missile destroyers.Iran's Fars news agency said two missiles hit a US warship in the Strait of Hormuz, Reuters reported Monday. US Central Command reportedly said that no US navy ships had been struck.Iran reportedly said Sunday it's reviewing a response from Washington to its latest offer for a peace deal, CNBC reported, citing Iranian state media. Tehran had reportedly sent an updated proposal to the US through Pakistani mediators.West Texas Intermediate crude oil climbed 4.7% to $106.76 a barrel before the open, while Brent advanced 4.8% to $113.37.Investors will be looking ahead to fresh labor market data later this week, beginning with the Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey for March on Tuesday, followed by the ADP employment report for April on Wednesday. The Challenger Job Cut report and the government's nonfarm payrolls data, both for last month, are scheduled to be released on Thursday and Friday, respectively.Treasury yields were moving higher in premarket action, with the two-year rate inclining 3.9 basis points to 3.93% and the 10-year rate gaining 3 basis points to 4.41%.Federal Reserve Bank of New York President John Williams is slated to speak at 12:50 pm ET.Several major companies are expected to release their latest financial results this week, including Advanced Micro Devices (AMD), Walt Disney (DIS), McDonald's (MCD), Uber Technologies (UBER), Shopify (SHOP) and Pfizer (PFE).Palantir Technologies (PLTR) is set to announce its earnings after the markets close, while Tyson Foods (TSN) posts its results before the bell, among others.Shares of eBay (EBAY) jumped 10% pre-bell after video game retailer GameStop (GME) said it has sent a proposal to acquire the e-commerce company in a deal worth about $55.5 billion. Nebius' (NBIS) US-listed stock increased 2.5%.Gold fell 1.9% to $4,555 per troy ounce, while bitcoin nudged up 0.3% to $79,000.

Dow JonesNasdaq CompositeS&P 500$AMD$DIS$EBAY$GME$MCD$NBIS$PFE$PLTR$SHOP$TSN$UBER
Japan

Update: US Equity Investors to Focus This Week on Risk of Iran Ceasefire Falling Apart, Earnings, Nonfarm Payrolls

(Updates to add more information on the headline)US equity investors will look out for Iran ending its ceasefire agreement with Washington if the US military escorts ships stranded in the Strait of Hormuz, while focusing on mega-cap quarterly earnings and labor market data this week.* An Iranian official warned the US will be attacked if it tries to approach or enter the Strait of Hormuz, after President Donald Trump said the US military will begin guiding stranded ships through the chokepoint on Monday, CNN reported. US Central Command said it would support the effort with 15,000 military personnel, more than 100 land and sea-based aircraft, warships, and drones, Reuters reported.* Concurrently, Trump reported "very positive discussions" with Iran, according to CNN. The Iranian Foreign Ministry is reviewing the US' reply to Tehran's latest peace proposal, CNN reported, citing the ministry.* Meanwhile, West Texas Intermediate crude oil futures rose 1.3% to $103.27, and Brent crude futures climbed 1.3% to $109.62 early Monday. Most US Treasury yields also advanced, with the 10-year up two basis points to 4.4% and the two-year higher by 2.3 basis points to 3.91%.* Quarterly earnings due this week include Palantir Technologies (PLTR), Advanced Micro Devices (AMD), Arista Networks (ANET), Arm Holdings (ARM), Uber Technologies (UBER), Applovin (APP), Shell (SHEL), McDonald's (MCD), and Walt Disney (DIS).* Macroeconomic data due this week include nonfarm payrolls, JOLTS job openings, ADP private payrolls, Challenger job cuts, ISM services PMI, and the University of Michigan's preliminary consumer sentiment and inflation expectations.* Europe will respond should Trump follow through on his threat to raise tariffs on cars and trucks from the European Union to 25%, Eurogroup President Kyriakos Pierrakakis told Bloomberg. "The number one choice is always dialogue," he said. "If there is a deviation from what we have agreed upon, obviously all options are on the table and all choices will be on the table."

Dow JonesNasdaq CompositeS&P 500$AMD$ANET$ARM$DIS$MCD$PLTR$SHEL$UBER
Asia Markets

US Equity Investors to Focus on Risk of Iran Ceasefire Falling Apart, Quarterly Earnings, Nonfarm Payrolls

US equity investors will look out for Iran ending its ceasefire agreement with Washington if the US military escorts ships stranded in the Strait of Hormuz, while focusing on mega-cap quarterly earnings and labor market data this week.* An Iranian official warned the US will be attacked if it tries to approach or enter the Strait of Hormuz, after President Donald Trump said the US military will begin guiding stranded ships through the chokepoint on Monday, CNN reported. US Central Command said it would support the effort with 15,000 military personnel, more than 100 land and sea-based aircraft, warships, and drones, Reuters reported.* Concurrently, Trump reported "very positive discussions" with Iran, according to CNN. The Iranian Foreign Ministry is reviewing the US' reply to Tehran's latest peace proposal, CNN reported, citing the ministry.* Meanwhile, West Texas Intermediate crude oil futures rose 1.3% to $103.27, and Brent crude futures climbed 1.3% to $109.62 early Monday. Most US Treasury yields also advanced, with the 10-year up two basis points to 4.4% and the two-year higher by 2.3 basis points to 3.91%.* Quarterly earnings due this week include Palantir Technologies (PLTR), Advanced Micro Devices (AMD), Arista Networks (ANET), Arm Holdings (ARM), Uber Technologies (UBER), Applovin (APP), Shell (SHEL), McDonald's (MCD), and Walt Disney (DIS).* Macroeconomic data due this week include nonfarm payrolls, JOLTS job openings, ADP private payrolls, Challenger job cuts, ISM services PMI, and the University of Michigan's preliminary consumer sentiment and inflation expectations.* Europe will respond should Trump follow through on his threat to raise tariffs on cars and trucks from the European Union to 25%, Eurogroup President Kyriakos Pierrakakis told Bloomberg. "The number one choice is always dialogue," he said. "If there is a deviation from what we have agreed upon, obviously all options are on the table and all choices will be on the table."

Dow JonesNasdaq CompositeS&P 500$AMD$ANET$ARM$DIS$MCD$PLTR$SHEL$UBER
Research

Rothschild & Co Redburn Upgrades McDonald's to Neutral From Sell, Adjusts PT to $306 From $260

McDonald's (MCD) has an average rating of overweight and mean price target of $345.09, according to analysts polled by FactSet.(covers equity, commodity and economic research from major banks and research firms in North America, Asia and Europe. Research providers may contact us here: https://www..com/contact-us)

$MCD
Wire

McDonald's to Deliver Q1 Results Near Expectations, Reaffirm 2026 Outlook, RBC Says

McDonald's (MCD) is expected to report Q1 results close to expectations and reaffirm its 2026 outlook, RBC Capital Markets said Tuesday in a report.The setup heading into earnings is slightly unfavorable given the company's exposure to lower-income consumers in the US, a group facing increasing pressure from higher gasoline prices, RBC said. Q1 results are due May 7.US same-store sales are expected to grow 4.5%, about 29 basis points ahead of consensus, while international markets are expected to show slightly slowing momentum with performance modeled to be roughly in line with expectations, the report said.RBC said it will look for commentary on the impact from the Middle East conflict, which is likely to be only a slight directional headwind in Q1 and into Q2.RBC maintained its sector perform rating with a $330 price target.Price: $301.05, Change: $-0.79, Percent Change: -0.26%

$MCD
US Markets

McDonald's Seen Posting Largely In-Line First-Quarter Results, RBC Says

McDonald's (MCD) first-quarter results are likely to largely match Wall Street's expectations, with potential for downside given the company's exposure to low-income US consumers that are facing war-driven elevated energy prices, RBC Capital Markets said in a note e-mailed Wednesday.The fast-food giant is facing a "slightly unfavorable" setup heading into its latest quarterly results -- expected May 7 -- with higher fuel prices expected impact the spending of lower-income US consumers, an important segment that the company "over-indexes" to, RBC analyst Logan Reich said in a note to clients."Given their relative exposure to lower-income consumer in the US, which appears to be facing increasing macro headwinds, the set up skews slightly unfavorable heading into the print," Reich wrote. "We look for any commentary on impact from Middle East conflict, which is likely only a slight directional headwind in (the first quarter) and into (the second quarter)."Energy prices have soared in the wake of the US-Israel war with Iran that started at the end of February, curtailing shipments through the crucial Strait of Hormuz. On Tuesday, US President Donald Trump announced an extension of a recent ceasefire deal with Iran.RBC expects McDonald's to report first-quarter earnings of $2.76 a share on revenue of $6.43 billion. The Street is looking for $2.75 and $6.48 billion, respectively, according to the note. The brokerage pegs consolidated comparable sales growth at 4.1% versus the Street's expectations for a 3.9% increase. In the US, RBC expects same-store sales to rise 4.5%, compared with the Street's 4.2% growth view.Earlier this month, a survey by the University of Michigan showed that consumer sentiment hit the lowest on record in April, reflecting heightened worries about higher prices and the overall economic fallout from the Middle East conflict.McDonald's is making incremental adjustments to its value offerings with the aim of boosting traffic and improving consumer perceptions, according to RBC. However, additional value offerings could "cannibalize" its core menu and offset any incremental traffic benefit, Reich said.Earlier in April, the company announced it will introduce an under $3 menu and a $4 breakfast meal deal at participating restaurants in the US, starting April 21.Price: $301.36, Change: $-0.48, Percent Change: -0.16%

$MCD
Wire

KeyBanc Cuts McDonald's Price Target to $345 From $354

McDonald's (MCD) has an average rating of overweight and mean price target of $346.68, according to analysts polled by FactSet.(covers equity, commodity and economic research from major banks and research firms in North America, Asia and Europe. Research providers may contact us here: https://www..com/contact-us)Price: $302.07, Change: $-4.87, Percent Change: -1.59%

$MCD
Sectors

Sector Update: Consumer Stocks Mixed Monday Afternoon

Consumer stocks were mixed Monday afternoon, with the State Street Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLP) dropping 1.2% and the State Street Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLY) increasing 0.6%.In corporate news, Lululemon Athletica (LULU) is being investigated in Texas over the potential presence of PFAS, or forever chemicals, in its activewear products, the office of Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton said in a statement. Lululemon shares were fractionally lower.Somnigroup International (SGI) has agreed to acquire bedding and furniture components maker Leggett & Platt (LEG) in an all-stock deal worth about $2.5 billion. Somnigroup shares rose 2.8%, and Leggett & Platt jumped 13%.Delaware Court of Chancery Vice Chancellor Bonnie David said Monday that she supports Tesla (TSLA) shareholders' vote to have litigation pertaining to alleged corporate wrongdoing by Chief Executive Elon Musk take place in Texas, Bloomberg reported. Tesla shares were up 1.5%.McDonald's (MCD) plans to roll out a new lineup of cold beverages in the US, including a Red Bull Dragonberry Energizer, The Wall Street Journal reported. The fast food giant's shares were down 0.5%.

$LEG$LULU$MCD$SGI$TSLA
Insider Trading

McDonald's Insider Sold Shares Worth $806,182, According to a Recent SEC Filing

Joseph M. Erlinger, President, McDonald's USA, on April 10, 2026, sold 2,626 shares in McDonald's (MCD) for $806,182. Following the Form 4 filing with the SEC, Erlinger has control over a total of 8,400 common shares of the company, with 8,400 shares held directly.SEC Filing:https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/63908/000168580026000009/xslF345X05/form4.xmlPrice: $302.81, Change: $-2.87, Percent Change: -0.94%

$MCD
Sectors

Sector Update: Consumer Stocks Lean Lower Pre-Bell Monday

Consumer stocks were leaning lower pre-bell Monday, with the State Street Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLP) down 0.2% and the State Street Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLY) declining by 0.6%.Somnigroup International (SGI) has agreed to acquire Leggett & Platt (LEG) in an all-stock deal valued at about $2.5 billion, the companies said. Leggett & Platt stock was up more than 8% and Somnigroup International shares were down more than 1% premarket.McDonald's (MCD) plans to roll out a new lineup of cold beverages in the US, including a Red Bull Dragonberry Energizer, The Wall Street Journal reported, citing company documents and people familiar with the matter. McDonald's shares were 0.1% lower pre-bell.JBS (JBS) has struck a new two-year collective bargaining agreement with workers at its Swift Beef plant in Colorado, according to statements on Sunday from the United Food and Commercial Workers Local 7 union and the company. JBS stock was down 0.2% premarket.

$JBS$LEG$MCD$SGI$XLP$XLY

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