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US Markets

Equities Mostly Rise Intraday as Trump Reportedly Says War Likely 'Very Close to Over'

US benchmark equity indexes were mostly higher intraday as President Donald Trump reportedly said the Iran was likely "very close to over."The Nasdaq Composite was up 1% at 23,873.7 after midday Wednesday, while the S&P 500 rose 0.4% to 6,998.1. The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 0.3% to 48,376.9. Among sectors, consumer discretionary and technology paced the gainers, while industrials saw the steepest drop.Microsoft (MSFT) shares were up 4.4%, the top gainer on the Dow, with fellow tech majors Salesforce (CRM), Apple (AAPL), and IBM (IBM) among the best performers on the index.Trump said he sees the US-Israel war with Iran "as very close to over," news outlets reported, citing an interview on Fox Business Network conducted Tuesday and broadcast Wednesday. "We'll see what happens," Trump reportedly said. "I think they want to make a deal very badly."The army chief of mediator Pakistan arrived in Iran to try to prevent a renewal of the conflict, media outlets reported Wednesday."Markets have grown more confident that the Middle East crisis is moving toward a resolution, with the US and Iran arranging a second round of talks, and Tehran seemingly willing to halt shipments to avoid testing the US naval blockade," ING Bank said in a report.Iran's military has threatened to shut down shipping operations in the Red Sea, as well as the Persian Gulf and Sea of Oman if a US blockade of its ports continues, CNN reported.West Texas Intermediate crude oil was up 0.7% at $91.87 a barrel intraday, while Brent gained 0.6% to $95.40.In economic news, US homebuilder confidence sank this month to the lowest since September amid economic uncertainty, as well as increasing building material costs and interest rates, the National Association of Home Builders and Wells Fargo said."Builder sentiment has fallen back in spring as buyers face ongoing elevated interest rates and growing economic uncertainty," NAHB Chairman Bill Owens said. "The year started with hopes for housing momentum growth, but risks with respect to the Iran war, energy costs, and declines for consumer confidence have slowed the market."US Treasury yields were higher intraday, with the 10-year rate up 3.2 basis points at 4.29% and the two-year rate rising 2.1 basis points to 3.78%.In company news, Morgan Stanley (MS) and Bank of America's (BAC) first-quarter results topped Wall Street's estimates. Morgan Stanley's shares were up 4.6%, while Bank of America rose 2.2%.Snap (SNAP) shares jumped 7.6%. The social media company plans to lay off about 1,000 employees, or roughly 16% of its full-time workforce, as part of Chief Executive Evan Spiegel's efforts to reduce costs.Gold was down 0.7% at $4,815.30 per troy ounce, while silver fell 0.4% to $79.18 per ounce.

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Wire

International Business Machines Likely to Post Q1 Beat, Morgan Stanley Says

International Business Machines' (IBM) Q1 earnings are likely to move higher, but unlikely to reignite the bull case as the quarterly beat won't boost full-year earnings or free cash flow guidance, Morgan Stanley said in a Tuesday research report.The company could post a Q1 beat as channel checks indicate year-over-year software growth during the quarter, while consulting jobs postings tracker gained 14% sequentially, according to the note.Morgan Stanley revises Q1 EPS estimate to $1.91 from $1.83 earlier on revenue of $16.2 billion from $15.8 billion. For Q2, it expects EPS of $3.03 on revenue of $17.9 billion, analysts wrote.Artificial intelligence disruption risk exists at IBM, concentrated in data and automation, making it crucial that IBM shows full year estimate upside to overcome valuation pressure, according to the brokerage.IBM is scheduled to report Q1 financial results on April 22.The brokerage said it reiterated its equalweight rating on the stock and cut its price target to $215 per share from $247.Price: $240.69, Change: $+2.87, Percent Change: +1.20%

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Wire

IBM Likely to Report In-Line Q1 Results With Revenue Contribution From Early Confluent Deal Close, BofA Says

IBM (IBM) will likely report in-line Q1 results on April 22, with the early close of the Confluent acquisition likely contributing about $50 million in revenue to the quarter, BofA Securities said in a note Monday.IBM will likely leave its full year 2026 outlook unchanged as it will probably aim to offset incremental dilution with the added quarter of revenue and cost savings, the note said, adding the Confluent deal closed on March 17, one quarter earlier than expected.BofA said it sees 2026 as a "more modest year" for IBM as it integrates Confluent and also as the sector "works through the impact of the AI agent disruption narrative."BofA said its 2026 EPS estimate for IBM is now $11.98, down from $12.20, due to the additional quarter of Confluent dilution as well as a forecast for weaker growth in IBM's consulting business.The investment firm said, however, it is still bullish on IBM's software moat as well as its free cash flow growth potential in the long term.BofA reiterated its buy rating on IBM and lowered the company's price target to $300 from $340.Price: $232.99, Change: $+2.23, Percent Change: +0.96%

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Wire

BofA Adjusts Price Target on International Business Machines to $300 From $340, Maintains Buy Rating

International Business Machines (IBM) has an average rating of overweight and mean price target of $310.29, according to analysts polled by FactSet.(covers equity, commodity and economic research from major banks and research firms in North America, Asia and Europe. Research providers may contact us here: https://www..com/contact-us)Price: $233.49, Change: $+2.73, Percent Change: +1.18%

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