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CN Rail and CP Kansas City Price Targets Raised at Raymond James

Raymond James raised its price target on Canadian National Railway (CNR.TO, CNI) to $170 from $162, and on Canadian Pacific Kansas City (CP.TO, CP) to $125 from $120 on Thursday.Analyst Steve Hansen maintained an Outperform rating on both Canadian railways."Canadian rail traffic is off to a better-than-expected start in 2026," Hansen said in a note to clients. "While January struggled (acute weather), traffic accelerated through February/ March driven by sustained tailwinds in Grain, Intermodal, and PetChem.""Both Canadian National Railway (CN) and Canadian Pacific Kansas City (CPKC) outperformed our expectations," the analyst said."After an underwhelming FY26 volume guide ('flattish'), CN stood out, in particular, outperforming not only Street expectations, but also its closest peer for a 2nd consecutive quarter. Share price performance followed," Hansen said."Looking forward, we remain cautiously optimistic on both carriers. While the threat of further US trade action still lingers, we see a realistic path to LSD to MSD traffic growth underpinned by: 1) sustained bulk tailwinds (grain, potash); 2) incremental self-help traction; and 3) a rapidly improving economic/freight outlook south of the border. At the same time, emerging inflections in key categories (PetChem, Forestry, FracSand) are expected to influence the growth and yield mix."

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Mining & Metals

RBC on Canadian Rails' Q1 Carload, Performance Metrics

Canadian railways' revenue ton miles (RTMs) were higher in the first quarter, with RTMs at Canadian National Railway (CNR.TO) up 3% and up 2% at Canadian Pacific Kansas City (CP.TO), notes RBC Capital in its review of the first quarter.Volumes at both rails benefited from higher grain volumes on the back of a record Canadian grain crop, write analysts Walter Spracklin and James McGarragle. According to StatsCan, Canadian crop production in 2026 is expected to be up 10% y/y due to higher yields, the analysts noted.Performance metrics also improved in the first quarter, mainly due to better winter conditions. Class 1 train velocity was up 4% and terminal dwell was down 6% in the quarter.RBC is calling for a modest recovery in the second half, in line with recent PMI readings, with tariffs and geopolitical conflicts posing key risks to the outlook. Spracklin and McGarragle also flag potential upside, in terms of over-the-road conversion prompted by higher truck rates, surging diesel prices, as well as a pick-up in industrial volumes, that are consistent with current macro indicators."We continue to see CPKC as best positioned reflecting synergy opportunities related to the KCS integration, especially in the company's intermodal franchise."Price: $152.67, Change: $+0.57, Percent Change: +0.37%

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