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Wire

Caterpillar's Risk-Reward Skews Favorably After Recent Stock Pullback, Oppenheimer Says

Caterpillar's (CAT) risk-reward profile is skewing favorably after a stock price pullback due to the recent market rotation, Oppenheimer said in a Wednesday note.Caterpillar is slated to report Q2 financial results on Aug. 4.From being driven mainly by the market beta, the company's stock has shifted to being impacted more by artificial intelligence-related developments, Oppenheimer analysts said. They noted that this contributed to the stock's recent dip, as AI infrastructure trading unwound in recent weeks.Further, Caterpillar's fundamental tailwinds remain strong, with momentum in its Construction and Resource Industries segments being understated in analysts' consensus estimates, according to the note.If investors continue to put the AI premium on the company's stock, the risk-reward profile remains favorable, especially since the Construction and Resource Industries segments look to be underestimated by consensus estimates, the analysts said. On the other hand, if AI premium collapses, the stock would rely more on strong earnings for upside, but still skews favorably due to the recent price pullback, the analysts said.Oppenheimer kept its rating on the company's stock at outperform with a price target of $1,105.Price: $783.45, Change: $-57.40, Percent Change: -6.83%

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Research

Baird Downgrades Caterpillar to Neutral From Outperform, Adjusts Price Target to $900 From $1,200

Caterpillar (CAT) has an average rating of overweight and mean price target of $987.99, according to analysts polled by FactSet.(covers equity, commodity and economic research from major banks and research firms in North America, Asia and Europe. Research providers may contact us here: https://finwires.com/en/contact)

$CAT
Wire

Bernstein Adjusts Price Target on Caterpillar to $1,002 From $879

Caterpillar (CAT) has an average rating of overweight and mean price target of $992.12, according to analysts polled by FactSet.(covers equity, commodity and economic research from major banks and research firms in North America, Asia and Europe. Research providers may contact us here: https://finwires.com/en/contact)Price: $952.00, Change: $+11.93, Percent Change: +1.27%

$CAT
Machinery, Infra Service, Multi-Industry Companies Set for Positive Quarterly Prints, Truist Says
US Markets

Machinery, Infra Service, Multi-Industry Companies Set for Positive Quarterly Prints, Truist Says

Upcoming quarterly results of major companies in the machinery, infrastructure services and multi-industry domains are poised to benefit from a continued expansion in the US manufacturing sector and strong demand trends, Truist Securities said Thursday.The manufacturing sector has now expanded for six straight months following a three-year contraction, according to the brokerage."Demand trends remain strong across the group, with continued support from secular growth tailwinds associated with power, data center, (artificial intelligence), aerospace and defense, (heating, ventilation, and air conditioning), and infrastructure," Truist analysts, including Jamie Cook, said in a note to clients.These are complemented by improving demand across construction, commercial vehicles, semiconductors, oil and gas, as well as mining, according to Cook."While farm equipment markets remain depressed in 2026, there is some optimism for market improvement above the trough heading into 2027," Cook wrote. "We expect order trends in the second quarter to remain strong and that strength in orders should begin to translate more into organic growth, which has lagged."Within machinery, Caterpillar (CAT) is likely to deliver another strong quarter and beat sales and margin outlook, driven by power and construction business, as well as reaccelerating oil and gas, and mining divisions, according to the note."For farm equipment, we believe the focus will be more on the setup for 2027 and Deere's (DE) commentary on the early order program for 2027 after disappointing in 2026," Cook said.Truist expects infrastructure solutions company Quanta Services (PWR) to post an earnings beat and raise guidance. Underappreciated data center and pipeline opportunities are likely key upside drivers for MasTec (MTZ), according to Truist. "MasTec has already communicated to the market confidence in its ability to grow (earnings per share) at a 20% (compound annual growth rate) through 2028," Cook wrote.The brokerage said it would be buyers of Parker-Hannifin (PH) at existing levels."We believe (Parker-Hannifin's) modestly disappointing industrial incremental margins were contained in the last quarter and that the setup for (2027) is strong, with the potential to deliver healthy incrementals in both industrial and aerospace," Cook said.Price: $956.71, Change: $-34.70, Percent Change: -3.50%

$CAT$DE$MTZ$PH$PWR
Wire

Caterpillar Launches Texas Workforce Investment Program

Caterpillar (CAT) said Thursday it started a workforce investment program in Texas with an initial allocation of up to $5 million.The funding is part of a five-year, $100 million plan to prepare personnel for advanced manufacturing and industry technician roles, the company said.The company will collaborate with Texas State Technical College, the Manufacturing Institute, and local economic organizations to lower training barriers and link students to industrial careers, Caterpillar said.Price: $963.10, Change: $-28.31, Percent Change: -2.86%

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Wire

Top Midday Decliners

Shutterstock (SSTK) tumbled 28% amid heavy trading after Getty Images (GETY) said its board unanimously decided to terminate the companies' merger agreement following a UK regulatory condition it deemed unacceptable.More than 3.25 million shares of Shutterstock traded intraday compared with a daily average of about 437,000.Mobility Global began trading on the New York Stock Exchange on Wednesday under the "MBGL" ticker symbol.Shares dropped 10%, with intraday trading volume at over 23.2 million.Investor Michael Burry has taken a bearish position in Caterpillar (CAT), shorting the stock at $1,060.98 as he prepares for what he views as an overextended rally in artificial intelligence-linked stocks, CNBC reported Tuesday, citing the Burry Substack.Shares declined 6.5%. Intraday trading volume stood at over 2.19 million compared with a daily average of about 2.91 million.Price: $9.87, Change: $-4.08, Percent Change: -29.25%

$CAT$MBGL$SSTK
Wire

Chevron's Microsoft Power Deal Highlights 'Underappreciated' Fuel Cost Economics, UBS Securities Says

Chevron's (CVX) partnership with Microsoft (MSFT) to build a co-located power facility for a data center highlights fuel cost economics as a "key and underappreciated" aspect of its power solutions business, UBS Securities said in a note Monday.Chevron subsidiary Energy Forge One finalized the agreement to develop a 2.67-gigawatt natural gas-fired power plant to supply dedicated electricity to a Microsoft-operated data center under a 20-year power purchase agreement. Chevron will combine cycle gas turbines from GE Vernova (GEV) and simple cycle gas turbines from Caterpillar (CAT) to engineer the best system for its clients, the brokerage noted.By placing power generation near its upstream operations, Chevron is creating demand for associated gas that would otherwise be flared, curtailed, or sold cheaply, UBS analysts said. The company is improving its upstream realizations as well as boosting integration across its value chain, they added.The project's phased and modular approach allows incremental expansion over time, the brokerage said, adding that Microsoft is also seen increasing the initial order as its power needs are more than the capacity of the project.UBS Securities has a buy rating on Chevron's stock, with a price target of $220.Shares of Chevron were up 0.6% in Tuesday trading.Price: $176.11, Change: $+1.05, Percent Change: +0.60%

$CAT$CVX$GEV$MSFT
Chevron Strikes 20-Year Power Deal to Provide Electricity to Microsoft Data Center in West Texas
US Markets

Chevron Strikes 20-Year Power Deal to Provide Electricity to Microsoft Data Center in West Texas

Chevron (CVX) has agreed to build a power plant in West Texas to supply electricity to a data center operated by technology giant Microsoft (MSFT), as part of a 20-year power purchase deal.Chevron's subsidiary, Energy Forge One, entered into the agreement with Microsoft for the development of the project, known as Kilby, the oil giant said Monday. The companies didn't disclose the financial terms of the deal.The facility is expected to deliver about 2.67 gigawatts of capacity, with a majority of the generation to come from large turbines and related electrical infrastructure from GE Vernova (GEV), according to Chevron. Caterpillar (CAT) unit Solar Turbines will provide additional capacity, the company said.Chevron's shares dipped 0.2% in Monday trade, while Microsoft edged down 0.9%."Chevron is uniquely positioned to deliver power to customers with certainty, speed and at a competitive cost, leveraging Permian natural gas and our proven execution capabilities," said Jeff Gustavson, Chevron's president of new energies. "This project links Chevron's traditional strengths to emerging demand, creating differentiated value for our shareholders and the communities where we operate."Chevron said it's aiming for a final investment decision by the end of the year, with first power delivery expected in 2028. The project is anticipated to deliver mid-teen returns and generate diversified cash flow independent of oil and gas price cycles."The rapid growth we're experiencing in AI and cloud, driven by customer demand, requires energy infrastructure that can scale quickly and reliably," according to Noelle Walsh, Microsoft's president of cloud operations and innovation. "Our agreement with Chevron helps ensure we'll have dedicated, large-scale power to support the evolution and reliability of advanced compute."The project is estimated to generate more than $10 billion in state and local tax revenue, create nearly 2,000 jobs and boost wider economic growth, according to Chevron.Earlier this month, Amazon.com (AMZN) agreed to a multibillion-dollar deal with specialty glass maker Corning (GLW) to secure optical fiber, cable, and connectivity components for its US data center infrastructure.Price: $173.33, Change: $-0.30, Percent Change: -0.17%

$CAT$CVX$GEV$MSFT
Commodities

Chevron, Microsoft to Develop 2.7-GW Gas Power Plant in Texas

Chevron (CVX) said Monday that its subsidiary, Energy Forge One, has finalized an agreement with Microsoft (MSFT) to develop a 2.67-gigawatt natural gas-fired power plant in Texas to support data center operations for 20 years.Project Kilby will be co-located with a Microsoft-operated data center in West Texas. A final investment decision is likely by the end of this year, and first power by 2028, the company said.The project will use large turbines from GE Vernova (GEV) and will be equipped with additional capacity from Solar Turbines, a Caterpillar (CAT) subsidiary, according to the statement.Chevron also said it has collaborated with investment firm Engine No. 1 for the development of the project.Price: $173.80, Change: $+0.17, Percent Change: +0.10%

$CAT$CVX$GEV$MSFT
Equities

Update: Chevron Signs 20-Year Deal With Microsoft to Power Data Center in West Texas

(Updates with Chevron's statement in the headline and throughout.)Chevron (CVX) said Monday its Energy Forge One subsidiary has signed a 20-year power purchase agreement with Microsoft (MSFT) for a planned Microsoft-operated data center in West Texas.Under the agreement, Chevron and Engine No. 1 have been collaborating to develop a co-located natural gas facility known as Project Kilby, which is expected to deliver about 2.67 gigawatts of capacity in phases, primarily using GE Vernova (GEV) turbines and equipment from Caterpillar's (CAT) Solar Turbines unit, according to a statement.Chevron said it targets a final investment decision by the end of 2026, with first power delivery expected in 2028 and the project anticipated to deliver mid-teen returns.

$CAT$CVX$GEV$MSFT
Wire

Caterpillar Outlook Strengthened by Power and Energy Momentum, UBS Says

Caterpillar (CAT) is positioned for continued earnings growth as demand in its power and energy segment accelerates and construction dealer inventories keep building, UBS Securities said Tuesday in a report.The company's expanding backlog and strengthening end-market trends provide greater clarity around 2027 and 2028 earnings, the report said.UBS raised its 2026-2028 EPS estimates, citing robust growth in natural-gas power generation, improving conditions in construction and resource industries, and rising oil and gas investment. The power and energy business is expected to account for more than 40% of Caterpillar's profit in 2027, UBS said.While Wall Street expectations are already elevated, Caterpillar still exhibits characteristics of a company entering a multiyear earnings expansion, UBS said. Backlog has climbed 70% in the past three quarters amid few near-term downside catalysts as demand remains strong across key markets, the report said.UBS lifted its price target on Caterpillar stock to $900 from $677 and kept its neutral rating.Price: $903.94, Change: $+38.58, Percent Change: +4.46%

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Wire

Top Midday Stories: Marvell Next Trillion-Dollar Firm, Nvidia CEO Reportedly Says; Anthropic Expands Mythos Access to 150 New Partners

All three major US stock indexes were up in late-morning trading Tuesday, as investors monitor developments between the US and Iran as well as oil price movements.In company news, Nvidia (NVDA) Chief Executive Jensen Huang said Marvell Technology (MRVL) is the next "trillion-dollar company," news outlets reported, citing Huang's appearance at a trade show in Taipei. Nvidia shares were up 0.9%, while Marvell shares were up 29.7%.Amazon-backed (AMZN) Anthropic said Tuesday it is expanding its Project Glasswing program to about 150 new organizations based in over 15 countries, granting them access to Claude Mythos Preview. The partnering organizations use Mythos to scan their codebases for vulnerabilities. So far, the 50 initial partners have found over 10,000 high- or critical-severity security flaws, Anthropic said. Separately, Amazon Web Services will be integrated with Workday (WDAY) Data Cloud, allowing developers to access governed HR and finance data through AWS Ai and analytics tools, Workday said. Amazon shares were down 0.3%, while Workday shares were down 7.1%.Hewlett Packard Enterprise (HPE) reported fiscal Q2 adjusted earnings late Monday of $0.79 per diluted share, up from $0.38 a year earlier and above the FactSet consensus of $0.53. Fiscal Q2 revenue was $10.7 billion, up from $7.63 billion a year ago and above the FactSet consensus of $9.78 billion. For fiscal Q3, the company expects adjusted EPS of $0.88 to $0.93 on revenue of $11.5 billion to $12.1 billion. Analysts polled by FactSet expect $0.58 and $10.9 billion, respectively. For its full-year guidance, the company now expects adjusted EPS of $3.35 to $3.45, up from its prior forecast of $2.30 to $2.50 and above the FactSet consensus of $2.42. Hewlett Packard shares were up 21.5%.Alphabet (GOOG, GOOGL) said Monday it plans to raise $80 billion in equity to help fund investments in AI compute infrastructure, including a $10 billion private placement to Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.A, BRK.B), split evenly between class A common stock at $351.81 per share and class C capital stock at $348.20 per share. Alphabet's class A shares were down 2.3%, while its class C shares were down 2.2%. Berkshire's class A shares were up 0.4%, while its class B shares were up 0.3%.President Donald Trump signed a proclamation on Tuesday lowering the tariffs on agricultural equipment and certain other equipment to 15% from 25%, the White House said. In addition, the existing category of industrial equipment subject to a 15% tariff was expanded to include mobile industrial equipment, like bulldozers and forklifts, "when imported from trade deal countries that are entitled to such treatment," the White House said. The proclamation also allows foreign companies to qualify for a 10% duty rate if their capital equipment includes at least 85% US melted and poured or smelted and cast steel or aluminum by weight, the White House said. The tariff changes will last until Dec. 31, 2027, the White House said. Shares of Deere (DE), Agco (AGCO), CNH Industrial (CNH) and Caterpillar (CAT) were up 5.3%, 6.1%, 10.1% and 4.7%, respectively.IBM (IBM) said Tuesday it plans to invest over $10 billion in quantum computing over the next five years. The investment will go toward research and development, capital expenditure, manufacturing scaling, ecosystem partnerships and M&A, the company said. IBM shares were up 1.1%.Price: $283.09, Change: $+63.66, Percent Change: +29.01%

$AGCO$AMZN$BRK.A$BRK.B$CAT$CNH$DE$GOOG$GOOGL$HPE$IBM$MRVL$NVDA$WDAY
Wire

Trump Lowers Tariffs on Agricultural Equipment to 15% From 25%

President Donald Trump signed a proclamation on Tuesday lowering the tariffs on agricultural equipment and certain other equipment to 15% from 25%, the White House said.Additionally, the existing category of industrial equipment subject to a 15% tariff was expanded to include mobile industrial equipment, like bulldozers and forklifts, "when imported from trade deal countries that are entitled to such treatment," the White House said.The proclamation also allows foreign companies to qualify for a 10% duty rate if their capital equipment includes at least 85% US melted and poured or smelted and cast steel or aluminum by weight, the White House said.The tariff changes will last until Dec. 31, 2027, to "spur near-term investments," the White House said.Price: $565.43, Change: $+23.00, Percent Change: +4.24%

$AGCO$CAT$CNH$DE
Research

Research Alert: CFRA Raises Opinion On Industrials To Overweight From Marketweight

CFRA, an independent research provider, has providedwith the following research alert. Analysts at CFRA have summarized their opinion as follows:CFRA raises its investment outlook on the S&P 500 Industrials Sector, influenced by several reinforcing tailwinds, including a structural capex super-cycle anchored in AI data center buildouts, grid electrification, defense spending, and manufacturing reshoring. Each of these has multi-year visibility, which we think will outweigh some of the near-term noise and market headwinds. CFRA's current cap-weighted target price differential for the sector is +17.9%, which is above the 13.3% average for all stocks in the S&P 500. The Industrials sector also has positive relative strength versus the broader market that appears to us to have durability.

$CAT
Research

Research Alert: CFRA Raises Opinion On Industrials To Overweight From Marketweight

CFRA, an independent research provider, has providedwith the following research alert. Analysts at CFRA have summarized their opinion as follows:CFRA raises its investment outlook on the S&P 500 Industrials Sector, influenced by several reinforcing tailwinds, including a structural capex super-cycle anchored in AI data center buildouts, grid electrification, defense spending, and manufacturing reshoring. Each of these has multi-year visibility, which we think will outweigh some of the near-term noise and market headwinds. CFRA's current cap-weighted target price differential for the sector is +17.9%, which is above the 13.3% average for all stocks in the S&P 500. The Industrials sector also has positive relative strength versus the broader market that appears to us to have durability.

$CAT
Insider Trading

Caterpillar Insider Sold Shares Worth $11,444,170, According to a Recent SEC Filing

Denise C Johnson, Group President, on May 14, 2026, sold 12,605 shares in Caterpillar (CAT) for $11,444,170. Following the Form 4 filing with the SEC, Johnson has control over a total of 49,825 common shares of the company, with 49,825 shares held directly.SEC Filing:https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/18230/000110465926062809/xslF345X05/tm2614830-1_4seq1.xml

$CAT
Insider Trading

Caterpillar Insider Sold Shares Worth $5,637,081, According to a Recent SEC Filing

Denise C Johnson, Group President, on May 13, 2026, sold 6,196 shares in Caterpillar (CAT) for $5,637,081. Following the Form 4 filing with the SEC, Johnson has control over a total of 49,825 common shares of the company, with 49,825 shares held directly.SEC Filing:https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/18230/000110465926061036/xslF345X05/tm2614666-1_4seq1.xmlPrice: $914.33, Change: $+12.03, Percent Change: +1.33%

$CAT
Insider Trading

Caterpillar Insider Sold Shares Worth $14,928,266, According to a Recent SEC Filing

Anthony D. Fassino, Group President, on May 11, 2026, sold 16,283 shares in Caterpillar (CAT) for $14,928,266. Following the Form 4 filing with the SEC, Fassino has control over a total of 47,549 common shares of the company, with 46,041 shares held directly and 1,508 controlled indirectly.SEC Filing:https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/18230/000110465926059243/xslF345X05/tm2614368-2_4seq1.xmlPrice: $905.35, Change: $-21.44, Percent Change: -2.31%

$CAT
Insider Trading

Caterpillar Insider Sold Shares Worth $14,399,861, According to a Recent SEC Filing

Andrew R J Bonfield, CFO Emeritus, on May 06, 2026, sold 15,674 shares in Caterpillar (CAT) for $14,399,861. Following the Form 4 filing with the SEC, Bonfield has control over a total of 52,935 common shares of the company, with 52,935 shares held directly.SEC Filing:https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/18230/000110465926057309/xslF345X05/tm2613952-2_4seq1.xml

$CAT
Insider Trading

Caterpillar Insider Sold Shares Worth $5,093,006, According to a Recent SEC Filing

Rodney Michael Shurman, Group President, on May 05, 2026, sold 5,639 shares in Caterpillar (CAT) for $5,093,006. Following the Form 4 filing with the SEC, Shurman has control over a total of 9,329 common shares of the company, with 2,546 shares held directly and 6,783 controlled indirectly.SEC Filing:https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/18230/000110465926056435/xslF345X05/tm2613823-1_4seq1.xml

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