FINWIRES · TerminalLIVE
FINWIRES

US Equity Investors to Focus on Labor Market Data and Trump's Decision on Framework to End Iran War This Week

By

US equity investors will focus this week on the labor market data while keeping an eye on another mega-cap chipmaker's quarterly earnings and President Donald Trump's decision on a framework to end the Iran war.

* The Bureau of Labor Statistics will release nonfarm payrolls on Friday, with the market forecasting an expansion of 95,000, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. Payrolls increased 115,000 in April, surpassing the 65,000 gain expected, and marking the first back-to-back months of positive job creation since May 2025, according to a note from Stifel. Payrolls increased 178,000 in March, above the 65,000 jump expected and marking the largest monthly gain since December 2024, the note said.

* Other macroeconomic data due this week includes the ISM manufacturing and services purchasing manager's indexes, JOLTS job openings, ADP nonfarm employment change, and initial jobless claims.

* Quarterly earnings on the tap this week include Broadcom (AVGO), Hewlett Packard Enterprise (HPE), Palo Alto Networks (PANW), Dollar General (DG), CrowdStrike (CRWD), and Planet Labs (PL).

* The US said it struck Iranian military sites at the weekend and Iran's Revolutionary Guards said on Monday it had targeted a U.S. base in response, Reuters reported early Monday. The weekend US strikes on Iran's Gulf coast were in response to "aggressive Iranian actions that included the shootdown of a US MQ-1 drone that was operating over international waters," the US Central Command said in a post on X.

* Meanwhile, Israeli forces have captured a strategically important fortress, marking the country's deepest incursion into Lebanon in more than a quarter of a century, SKY News reported early Monday.

* Early Monday, Brent crude futures jumped 3.7% to $94.53, and West Texas Intermediate crude oil futures surged 4.3% to $91.09. US Treasury yields rose, with the 10-year up 1.8 basis points to 4.47% and the two-year higher by 2.6 basis points to 4.04%.

Related Articles

Asia Markets

Tadawul Shares Close Higher After Week-long Eid Holidays; Senaat Unit Plans Main Market Listing

The Tadawul All Share Index closed 0.29% in the green on Sunday as investors assessed a potential new listing, among other corporate announcements.Saudi Industrial Development Co. (SASE:2130), d/b/a SIDC, gained the most at 9.98% during the session, which resumed after a week-long hiatus for Eid.Gulf Insulation Group, a unit of Advanced Building Industries (SASE:2240), d/b/a Senaat, filed an application with the Saudi Exchange to list its shares on the main market, sending the Saudi builder's stock up 2.49% at closing.Arabian Pipes Co. (SASE:2200) entered into a 62 million-Saudi-riyal contract with Saudi Arabian Oil Co. (SASE:2222), d/b/a Saudi Aramco, to produce and deliver steel pipes to the oil giant for 10 months. The steel tube manufacturer's shares rose 2.32%, while Aramco's shares fell 1.29%.In broader news, Saudi ​Arabia may reduce oil prices for Asian buyers again in July as the potential for a US-Iran deal to end the war and reopen the Strait of Hormuz weakens demand, Reuters reported, citing a survey of unidentified industry sources. The July official selling price for flagship Arab Light crude could decline to a premium of $7.50 to $12.50 per barrel ​above the average Dubai and Oman quotes, $3 to $8 a ​barrel below the June OSP.At the same time, US Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth said on May 30 that the administration is prepared to resume attacks on Iran if Washington and Tehran can not enter an agreement. At the Asian forum for defense leaders Shangri-La Dialogue, Hegseth added the US is "more than capable," with stockpiles "both there and around the globe.""The Middle East has been subject to heightened uncertainty and disruption since end-February, due largely to the Iran war," Fitch Ratings said. "There have been no Middle East issuer downgrades since end-February, but Fitch has placed several ratings on Rating Watch Negative and revised some Outlooks to Negative from Stable, or to Stable from Positive. These actions point to the persistence of significant risks around the war that, if crystallised, could lead to broader rating downgrades."

$^TASI$SASE:2130$SASE:2200$SASE:2222$SASE:2240
Asia Markets

US Equity Indexes Break Records This Week as Mega-Cap Tech Soars, Trump Close to Announcing Decision on Iran

US equity indexes jumped this week as technology topped sector charts amid expectations that the imminent Iran peace deal will reopen the Strait of Hormuz, the chokepoint for about a fifth of global crude oil flows.* The S&P 500 closed at 7,580.06 on Friday versus 7,491.50 a week ago. The Nasdaq Composite stood at about 26,972.62, compared with 26,443.15 a week earlier. The Dow Jones Industrial Average ended at 51,032.46, versus 49,677.17 at the end of last week.* Technology was up 5.4% while energy slumped 5.1% this week.* Micron Technology's (MU) market capitalization crossed $1 trillion for the first time amid soaring demand for memory as artificial intelligence-related growth across the corporate landscape explodes. Its shares soared 27% this week.* Dell Technologies (DELL) reported fiscal Q1 financial results that topped analyst estimates and issued higher-than-expected guidance for fiscal Q2 and the full year. Shares surged 66% this week.* US President Donald Trump said he is holding a meeting in the White House Situation Room to make a "final determination" after Washington and Tehran reached a tentative agreement this week to open the Strait of Hormuz and start nuclear talks, CNN reported late Friday.* Core personal consumption expenditures, or PCE, price index, the Federal Reserve's preferred inflation gauge, grew by less than forecast in April, month over month. Annually, the Core PCE growth was in line with expectations.* The 30-year Treasury yield stood at around 4.98% late Friday, extending its declines this week from mid-May when it touched the highest level since 2007.* West Texas Intermediate crude oil futures dropped 1.1% to $87.97 a barrel late Friday, continuing its retreat from around $108 in mid-May.

$^DJI$^IXIC$^SPX$DELL$MU
Asia Markets

Exchange-Traded Funds Mixed, US Equities Advance After Midday

Broad Market IndicatorsBroad-market exchange-traded fund IWM declined, while IVV gained. Actively traded Invesco QQQ Trust (QQQ) rose 0.5%.US equity indexes were higher after midday Friday amid a surge in technology names, and as President Donald Trump appeared close to announcing his decision on a preliminary Iran peace agreement.EnergyIShares US Energy ETF (IYE) and the State Street Energy Select Sector SPDR (XLE) each lost about 1.1%.TechnologyThe State Street Technology Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLK) was 2.1% higher; iShares US Technology ETF (IYW) rose 1.4%, and iShares Expanded Tech Sector ETF (IGM) was up 1.6%.The State Street SPDR S&P Semiconductor (XSD) dropped 2.8%, and iShares Semiconductor (SOXX) edged up 0.1%.FinancialThe State Street Financial Select Sector SPDR (XLF) rose 0.8%. Direxion Daily Financial Bull 3X Shares (FAS) climbed up 2.4%, and its bearish counterpart, Direxion Daily Financial Bear 3X Shares (FAZ), declined 2.4%.CommoditiesCrude oil fell 2.8%, and the United States Oil Fund (USO) slipped 2.9%. Natural gas climbed up 1.5%, and the United States Natural Gas Fund (UNG) was up 1.6%.Gold on Comex added 1.6%, and the State Street SPDR Gold Shares (GLD) rose 1.5%. Silver gained 0.4%, and iShares Silver Trust (SLV) was up 0.2%.ConsumerThe State Street Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR (XLP) lost 1.5%. The Vanguard Consumer Staples ETF (VDC) fell 1.7%, and iShares Dow Jones US Consumer Goods (IYK) was up 1.1%.The State Street Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR (XLY) dipped 0.6%. VanEck Retail ETF (RTH) slipped 1.4%, and the State Street SPDR S&P Retail (XRT) fell 1.8%.HealthcareThe State Street Health Care Select Sector SPDR (XLV) shed 0.9%, iShares US Healthcare (IYH) fell 0.8%, and Vanguard Health Care ETF (VHT) was down 0.7%. IShares Biotechnology ETF (IBB) rose 0.3%.IndustrialThe State Street Industrial Select Sector SPDR (XLI) lost 0.1%. Vanguard Industrials Index Fund (VIS) fell 0.2%, while iShares US Industrials (IYJ) rose 0.1%.CryptocurrencyIn midday activity, bitcoin (BTC-USD) rose 0.9%. Among cryptocurrency ETFs, ProShares Bitcoin ETF (BITO) added 0.7%, ProShares Ether ETF (EETH) gained 1.2%, and ProShares Bitcoin & Ether Market Cap Weight ETF (BETH) was 0.7% higher.

$^DJI$^EEM$^EXI$^FAS$^FAZ$^GLD$^IBB$^IGM$^IGV$^IPK$^IVV$^IWM$^IXIC$^IYE$^IYH$^IYJ$^IYK$^IYW$^PMR$^QQQ$^RTH$^SOXX$^SPX$^SPY$^UNG$^USO$^VDC$^VHT$^VIS$^XLE$^XLF$^XLI$^XLK$^XLP$^XLV$^XRT$^XSD$BETH$BITO$EETH