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US Equity Indexes Fall as Trump's Warnings to Resolve Iran Standoff Send Treasury Yields Sharply Higher

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US equity indexes slid as the 30-year Treasury yield rose to a two-decade high amid bets favoring higher interest rates and President Donald Trump's threat to Iran that strikes will resume if talks with the Gulf nations fail to produce a framework for a peace deal.

The Nasdaq Composite fell 0.8% to 25,870.71, with the S&P 500 down 0.7% to 7,353.61 and the Dow Jones Industrial Average lower by 0.7% to 49,363.88 at the close on Tuesday.

Materials, communication services, and consumer discretionary led the decliners. Health care and energy were the top gainers.

Most Treasury yields rose as investors looked for evidence of a rollback in Iran's nuclear ambitions in its ongoing talks with Gulf nations to agree on a framework for resuming peace negotiations with the US. The 30-year rate jumped 3.4 basis points to 5.18%, the strongest level since the global financial crisis, amid concern that a long, drawn-out war in Iran would further worsen inflation in the US. The 10-year climbed 4.2 basis points to 4.67%, the highest since January 2025.

President Trump warned strikes would resume against Iran as part of a push for a deal to end the war, Bloomberg reported. "I hope we don't have to do the war, but we may have to give them another big hit," Trump told reporters on Tuesday, following previous comments that Iran cannot have nuclear weapons.

Trump said Iran has "two or three days" to reach a deal to end the war or face renewed attacks, according to a report from Al Jazeera. An Iranian official said the US threat of a massive assault at any moment will be met "resolutely," and Iran is "prepared to confront any military aggression," the news report said.

Tehran's latest peace proposal to the United States involves ending hostilities on all fronts, including Lebanon, the exit of US forces from areas close to Iran, and reparations for destruction caused by the US-Israeli war, The Times of Israel cited Iran state media on Tuesday. The terms as described in the Iranian reports appeared little changed from Iran's previous offer, which Trump rejected last week.

In precious metals, gold futures fell 1.5% to $4,489.8, and silver futures dropped 4.2% to $74.19.

West Texas Intermediate crude oil futures fell 0.8% to $107.77, and Brent crude futures declined 0.8% to $111.24.

In economic news, Redbook US same-store sales rose by 8.1% from a year earlier in the week ended May 16 after a 9.6% year-over-year increase in the previous week.

"Coming off last-minute Mother's Day shopping on Sunday, sales and traffic slowed across the board in the middle of the week, but picked up during the weekend as graduation, BBQ season, and warm weather approached," Redbook noted.

US pending home sales increased more than expected last month as home buyers apparently shrugged off mounting economic uncertainty. The forward-looking indicator of home sales based on contract signings increased 1.4% month over month in April, the National Association of Realtors said. Analysts expected a 1% gain, according to a Bloomberg-compiled survey.

In company news, Alphabet's (GOOG, GOOGL) Google said Tuesday it introduced Gemini Spark, a 24/7 AI agent designed to handle and execute digital tasks and workflows, alongside other launches. The move comes amid a proliferation of AI models that is changing the tech landscape globally, including from Amazon.com (AMZN)-backed Anthropic.

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Asia Markets

US Equity Indexes Slide as Treasury Yields Surge Amid Trump's Warning to Iran in Event of No Peace Deal

US equity indexes fell after the 30-year Treasury yield hit its highest in just under two decades, while bets favoring interest rate increases jumped amid President Donald Trump's threat to resume strikes if Iran fails to reach a peace deal.The Nasdaq Composite fell 0.3% to 26,025.7, with the S&P 500 down 0.2% to 7,390.5 and the Dow Jones Industrial Average lower by 0.2% to 49,579.2 in midday trading on Tuesday.President Trump warned strikes would resume on Iran in the coming days as part of the push for a deal to end the war, after he said he had just called off a US attack, Bloomberg reported."I hope we don't have to do the war, but we may have to give them another big hit," Trump told reporters on Tuesday, referring to talks between the Gulf nations and Tehran to agree on a framework for resuming peace negotiations.When asked how long he would wait, he said: "Well, I mean, I'm saying two or three days, maybe Friday, Saturday, Sunday. Something maybe early next week - a limited period of time."The North Atlantic Treaty Organization is considering helping ships pass through the Strait of Hormuz if it doesn't get unblocked by early July, Bloomberg reported, citing a senior official in the military alliance. Several members of NATO support the idea, but it doesn't have the necessary unanimous support, the report said, citing a diplomat from a NATO country.US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent called on world leaders at a G7 conference to help the US fight Iranian terrorism by "rooting out the financing that sustains it," CNBC reported.West Texas Intermediate crude oil futures rose 0.1% to $108.80, while Brent crude futures fell 1% to $111.03.US Treasury yields traded mixed, but elevated, as crude oil supply-shock-driven inflationary concerns boosted bets for interest rate increases from September onwards. The 30-year rate rose 2.2 basis points to 5.17%, the strongest level since 2007. The 10-year climbed three basis points to 4.65%, the highest since January 2025.The probability of a 25 basis-point increase in US interest rates in December was at 40% from 1% a month ago, according to the CME FedWatch tool midday Tuesday. The comparisons for September and October show a similar jump in rate-increase probabilities.In precious metals, gold futures fell 1% to $4,510.2, and silver futures dropped 3% to $75.11.In economic news, Redbook US same-store sales rose by 8.1% from a year earlier in the week ended May 16 after a 9.6% year-over-year increase in the previous week."Coming off last-minute Mother's Day shopping on Sunday, sales and traffic slowed across the board in the middle of the week, but picked up during the weekend as graduation, BBQ season, and warm weather approached," Redbook noted.US pending home sales increased more than expected last month as home buyers apparently shrugged off mounting economic uncertainty. The forward-looking indicator of home sales based on contract signings increased 1.4% month over month in April, the National Association of Realtors said. Analysts expected a 1% gain, according to a Bloomberg-compiled survey.

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Asia Markets

Exchange-Traded Funds Decline, US Equities Drop After Midday

Broad Market IndicatorsBroad-market exchange-traded funds IWM and IVV fell. Actively traded Invesco QQQ Trust (QQQ) shed 0.1%.US equity indexes fell in midday trading on Tuesday after the 30-year Treasury yield traded at its highest level in just under two decades and as the Iran standoff continued.EnergyIShares US Energy ETF (IYE) and the State Street Energy Select Sector SPDR (XLE) each rose about 0.8%.TechnologyThe State Street Technology Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLK) added 0.3%; iShares US Technology ETF (IYW) advanced 0.1%, and iShares Expanded Tech Sector ETF (IGM) increased less than 0.1%.The State Street SPDR S&P Semiconductor (XSD) rose 2%, and iShares Semiconductor (SOXX) was up 1.7%.FinancialThe State Street Financial Select Sector SPDR (XLF) slipped 0.4%. Direxion Daily Financial Bull 3X Shares (FAS) declined 1.3%, and its bearish counterpart, Direxion Daily Financial Bear 3X Shares (FAZ), climbed 1.3%.CommoditiesCrude oil fell less than 0.1%, and the United States Oil Fund (USO) added 1.7%. Natural gas gained 2.8%, and the United States Natural Gas Fund (UNG) was up 2.7%.Gold on Comex eased 1%, and the State Street SPDR Gold Shares (GLD) fell 1.1%. Silver dropped 2.8%, and iShares Silver Trust (SLV) lost 3.5%.ConsumerThe State Street Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR (XLP) added 0.1%. The Vanguard Consumer Staples ETF (VDC) gained 0.3%, and iShares Dow Jones US Consumer Goods (IYK) was down 0.1%.The State Street Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR (XLY) dipped 1.3%. VanEck Retail ETF (RTH) fell 0.4%, and the State Street SPDR S&P Retail (XRT) added 0.4%.HealthcareThe State Street Health Care Select Sector SPDR (XLV) was up 1.2%, iShares US Healthcare (IYH) added 1%, and Vanguard Health Care ETF (VHT) rose 0.9%. IShares Biotechnology ETF (IBB) gained 0.5%.IndustrialThe State Street Industrial Select Sector SPDR (XLI) fell 0.5%. Vanguard Industrials Index Fund (VIS) and iShares US Industrials (IYJ) were also lower.CryptocurrencyIn midday activity, bitcoin (BTC-USD) shed 0.1%. Among cryptocurrency ETFs, ProShares Bitcoin ETF (BITO) shed less than 0.1%, ProShares Ether ETF (EETH) was down 0.3%, and ProShares Bitcoin & Ether Market Cap Weight ETF (BETH) was 0.8% lower.

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Asia Markets

Swiss Market Index Closes Higher; Sika, Aevis Victoria Shares Up

The Swiss Market Index remained in positive territory on Tuesday, closing 0.94% higher, amid a quiet day of local economic news.Swiss President Guy Parmelin met with German Chancellor Friedrich Merz in Berlin to further strengthen bilateral ties. Among the topics discussed were economic policy, research and innovation, and the European security architecture.Meanwhile, Switzerland and Luxembourg agreed to set up regular financial dialogue between the two countries as part of efforts to boost Europe's competitiveness in the financial sector.Zooming out to the UK, the unemployment rate unexpectedly came in at 5% in the three months to March, up from 4.9% in the three months to February.On the corporate side, Swiss investment company Aevis Victoria's (AEVS.SW) consolidated net revenue reached 299.1 million francs in the first quarter, up 1.8% year over year. Profit before taxes also rose to 21.5 million francs from 13.1 million francs. The stock added 1.14% at the end of the trading session.Sika (SIKA.SW) is expanding its production capacity in the US by opening a new manufacturing facility for mortar products in New Jersey to meet growing customer demand in major metropolitan areas. The Swiss specialty chemicals company's new site will offer mortar leveling and repairs, tile adhesives, and shotcrete systems. Sika's shares were up 0.36% at closing."Our new plant in Bridgeton is a strategic expansion of our production network in the USA and creates a solid basis for further growth in the northeastern part of the country. It enables us to quickly meet the growing demand from customers for our value-adding solutions and to further develop our presence in an economically strong region," said Mike Campion, Sika's regional manager for the Americas.

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