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US Dollar Rises Early Friday Ahead of Consumer Prices, Michigan Sentiment

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The US dollar rose against its major trading partners early Friday, except for a decline versus the yen, ahead of August consumer price data at 8:30 am ET and the preliminary University of Michigan consumer sentiment reading for September at 10:00 am ET.

The St. Louis Federal Reserve's GDP nowcast estimate is due to be updated around midday, and the US Treasury's August budget report will be released at 2:00 pm ET.

A quick summary of foreign exchange activity heading into Friday:

EUR/USD fell to 1.1593 from 1.1609 at the Thursday US close and 1.1623 at the same time Thursday morning. The European Central Bank raised its target rate by 25 basis points at its meeting on Thursday, as expected, highlighting upside inflation risk but downside growth risk and noting high uncertainty. The next European Central Bank meeting is scheduled for Oct. 29. There are no Eurozone data on Friday's schedule, but European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde is due to speak at 10:00 am ET.

GBP/USD fell to 1.3509 from 1.3510 at the Thursday US close and 1.3535 at the same time Thursday morning. UK GDP rose at a faster pace in July than in the previous month, according to data released earlier Friday. The next Bank of England meeting is scheduled for Sept. 17.

USD/JPY fell to 154.0852 from 154.4243 at the Thursday US close and 154.1112 at the same time Thursday morning. Japanese producer prices declined in August, slowing the year-over-year rate, while Japanese consumer sentiment declined in September, according to data released overnight. The next Bank of Japan meeting is scheduled for Sept. 17-18.

USD/CAD rose to 1.3861 from 1.3834 at the Thursday US close and 1.3816 at the same time Thursday morning. There are no Canadian data on Friday's schedule. The next Bank of Canada meeting is scheduled for Oct. 28.

What else is happening in International?

International

El Niño Climate Phenomenon Could Pose Risk to Pasture-Based Agriculture in New Zealand, Westpac Says

A developing El Niño climate phenomenon pattern threatens an increased risk of drought in many parts of New Zealand, with the main economic risk being to pasture-based agriculture, Westpac said in a report on Friday.A strong El Niño is developing and could intensify further, raising the risk of hot, dry conditions across parts of New Zealand over summer. It is expected to strengthen further in the next few months and persist into mid-2027. Dairy, sheep and beef farming in particular are at risk, where drought can reduce pasture growth, lower production, raise costs and disrupt processing patterns across the season.In worst-case scenarios, severe droughts in the past have led to as much as one percentage point being cut from gross domestic product growth.There is a clear downside risk to agricultural production, and these impacts are predominantly supply-side effects that reduce potential output. However, the impact is highly uncertain, the bank cautioned.Inflation effects are likely to be mixed but pointing higher, with potential upward pressure on dairy and imported food prices, partly offset by downward pressure on meat prices in the near-term.

^NZ50
International

Australian Card Transaction Activity Softens in Late August But Quarterly Growth Continues to Firm, Westpac Says

Australian card transaction activity fell slightly in late August from a historical high earlier in the month, although quarterly growth momentum has continued to strengthen and is now in the 1.3% to 1.5% range, Westpac said in a Thursday report.The Westpac-DataX Card Tracker Index fell to 158.1 in the week ended Aug. 29, a decline of 1.1 points from the 159.2 reading for the week ended Aug. 8, the report showed.While the quarterly growth marks the strongest pace of expansion since late March, more of the gain now appears to be coming from higher fuel spend as petrol prices have again topped AU$2 per liter following the end of temporary excise tax cuts, the bank said."The latest card tracker data shows a pick-up in nominal spending growth momentum but a significant part of the lift, potentially up to half, looks to relate to higher prices rather than volumes," Westpac said.Meanwhile, monthly growth momentum saw some softening, tracking a milder 0.2% gain for August, down from the 0.7% to 0.9% pace registered from May through July.Victoria continues to lead other regions, with quarterly growth running at 2.2% compared with growth rates of 0.9% to 1.5% across other major states, the bank said.

ASX 200
International

Large Japanese Manufacturers' Sentiment Rebounds in Q3

The business survey index, or BSI, for large manufacturers in Japan rose 7.6% in the third quarter, reversing the 1.8% contraction in the second quarter, according to data from the Ministry of Finance's Policy Research Institute on Friday.That reading beat the consensus forecast for 2.5% growth, according to Investing.com.Meanwhile, the non-manufacturing sector's BSI rose 4.2% in the July-to-September period, recovering from a flat movement in the previous quarter.The all-industries BSI jumped 5.3% during the third quarter, also rebounding from the 0.5% decline previously.

Nikkei 225