FINWIRES · TerminalLIVE
FINWIRES

Update: US Equity Indexes Slump, Crude Oil Soars as Trump Warns of Big Iran Attack

By

(Updates with index/price moves and company/geopolitical news from the first paragraph.)

US equity indexes dropped as government bond yields jumped to the highest in a year and crude oil surged after President Donald Trump warned of a major operation in Iran.

The Nasdaq Composite slumped 2.2% to 25,137.69, the S&P 500 dropped 1.2% to 7,408.30, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average declined 1% to 51,711.65 on Thursday. Consumer discretionary and communication services were the standout decliners, down more than 5% each, while technology also lagged. Industrials and health care topped the gainers.

President Donald Trump is considering restarting major combat operations in Iran, including strikes bigger than the ones seen in Operation Epic Fury, according to an Axios report. "I am considering a massive attack. Bigger than ever before. I am close to making a decision. We are all set for it," the president said.

Yemen's Houthi rebels said they attacked two Saudi Arabian oil tankers in the Red Sea on Thursday to disrupt Middle East exports, according to a report from the Associated Press. If Houthis attack again, "the U.S. will hold Iran responsible, in that the Houthis are a Surrogate and/or Proxy of Iran, and major military punishment will be inflicted upon Iran and, of course, the Houthis themselves," Trump said in a Truth Social post.

The CBOE Volatility Index VIX, also known as the fear gauge for equities, shot up 12% to 18.70.

The front-month US West Texas Intermediate soared 6.1% to $92.13 a barrel, and global benchmark North Sea Brent spiked 6.5% to $100.19 a barrel.

In precious metal markets, gold futures dropped 2.4% to $4,052.20, and silver futures slumped 4% to $57.91, reflecting concerns that an extended disruption to crude oil supplies may make it more challenging for the Federal Reserve to bring inflation down to its 2% target.

US Treasury yields jumped, extending gains. The 10-year marched 3.8 basis points higher to 4.70% after touching its highest intraday level in a year. The two-year surged 4.7 basis points to 4.35% after yields hit a fresh 52-week high this week.

In economic news, initial jobless claims fell 22,000 to 187,000 in the week ended July 18, the lowest since 1969 and trimming the four-week moving average by 7,250 to 207,500, a fourth straight decrease.

In company news, Tesla (TSLA) shares fell 14.5%, the worst performer in the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq, after the firm reported a steeper-than-expected drop in Q2 adjusted earnings.

The European Commission fined Alphabet's (GOOG, GOOGL) Google 890 million euros ($1.04 billion) for violating the Digital Markets Act by self-preferencing in Google Search and anti-steering practices on Google Play. Shares slumped 7.1%, among the steepest decliners on the S&P 500, the Nasdaq, and the Dow.

After the bell, Intel (INTC) reported fiscal Q2 adjusted earnings of $0.42 per share, swinging from a loss of $0.10 a year earlier. Analysts polled by FactSet expected earnings of $0.22. Revenue for the three months ended June 27 jumped to $16.13 billion from $12.86 billion a year earlier. Analysts expected $14.44 billion.

Related Articles

Asia Markets

Update: US Equity Indexes Fall as Treasury Yields, Crude Oil Gains Reflect Concern Over Widening Disruption to Energy Supplies

(Updates with index/price moves and company/geopolitical news from the first paragraph.)US equity indexes fell on Wednesday as government bond yields followed crude oil prices higher amid concern that disruption to energy supplies is likely to both extend and expand in the Middle East.The Nasdaq Composite declined 0.6% to 25,690.90, with the S&P 500 down 0.1% to 7,498.96, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average leaned slightly lower to 52,218.58. Communication services and consumer discretionary led decliners while utilities and energy topped the gainers.Alphabet (GOOG, GOOGL) and Tesla (TSLA), both a part of the so-called Magnificent-7 group of stocks with a significant index sway, reported after the bell on Wednesday.Alphabet reported Q2 earnings of $9.11 per diluted share, up from $2.31 a year earlier. Analysts polled by FactSet expected $2.88. Revenue for the three months ended June 30 was $119.80 billion, up from $96.43 billion a year earlier. Analysts expected $117.06 billion.Tesla reported Q2 adjusted earnings of $0.33 per diluted share, versus $0.40 a year ago. Analysts polled by FactSet expected $0.53. Sales for the quarter were $28.24 billion, up from $22.50 billion a year earlier. Analysts expected $26.42 billion.In geopolitical news, the US plans to destroy an Iranian bridge or power plant, including those in and around Tehran, every time it attacks ships in the Strait of Hormuz, President Donald Trump said in a social media post on Wednesday. US Central Command has struck Iran for 11 consecutive nights to degrade the Iran Revolutionary Guards Corps' ability to attack maritime traffic in the chokepoint to about a fifth of global crude oil and gas flows.Meanwhile, seven tankers have changed course in the Red Sea to avoid the Bab el-Mandeb Strait since the Houthis' threat on Tuesday to block Saudi oil exports, Reuters reported. The Iran-aligned Houthis have reportedly completed preparations to target vessels near the Bab el-Mandeb Strait, which connects the Red Sea to the Gulf of Aden and Arabian Sea. The Bab el-Mandeb Strait is an alternative route to the Strait of Hormuz, which remains effectively closed due to tensions between the US and Iran."Any aggression against Iran, including our infrastructure, will compel a powerful and decisive response," Iran's Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi posted on X, formerly Twitter, on Wednesday. "Those who contribute to such aggression, whatever the kind of support, will also be considered as legitimate targets."The front-month US West Texas Intermediate climbed 2.5% to $86.41 a barrel, and global benchmark North Sea Brent jumped 3% to $93.75 a barrel.US Treasury yields rose, extending gains from Tuesday. The 10-year marched 3.1 basis points higher to 4.66%, its strongest level in a month. The two-year jumped 4.3 basis points to 4.3% after yields hit the highest in 52 weeks.Markets are pricing in a more hawkish path for central banks, with yields moving higher around the world as a result, a Deutsche Bank note said, referring to the recent moves in real yields.Next week, the probability of the Federal Reserve leaving its policy unchanged for July slumped to 66% from 89% a week ago, the CME FedWatch tool showed Wednesday. The likelihood of a pause continuing across September, October, and December also declined.In precious metal markets, gold futures jumped 1.5% to $4,136.1, and silver futures advanced 1.5% to $59.98.

Dow JonesNasdaq CompositeS&P 500$GOOG$GOOGL$TSLA
Asia Markets

Update: US Equity Indexes Mixed as Treasury Yields Jump With Crude Oil Amid Red Sea Chokepoint Disruption

(Updates with index/price moves and company/geopolitical news from the first paragraph.)US equity indexes traded mixed as government bond yields followed crude oil prices higher amid worsening Iran geopolitics and a disruption of maritime traffic in the Red Sea chokepoint.The Nasdaq Composite slipped less than 0.1% to 25,826.1 after midday Wednesday. The S&P 500 rose 0.1% to 7,519.5, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average climbed 0.3% to 52,369.4.In geopolitical news, the US will destroy an Iranian bridge or power plant, including those in and around Tehran, every time it attacks ships in the Strait of Hormuz, President Donald Trump said in a social media post on Wednesday.Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps said it hit Jordan's King Faisal and Prince Hassan bases with missiles and drones, claiming to target US military equipment in response to recent American strikes, CNN reported. The US Central Command said Tuesday it struck Iran for the 11th consecutive evening.Seven tankers have changed course in the Red Sea to avoid the Bab el-Mandeb Strait since the Houthis' threat on Tuesday to block Saudi oil exports, Reuters reported. The Iran-aligned Houthis have reportedly completed preparations to target vessels near the Bab el-Mandeb Strait, which connects the Red Sea to the Gulf of Aden and Arabian Sea. The Bab el-Mandeb Strait is an alternative route to the Strait of Hormuz, which remains effectively closed due to tensions between the US and Iran.The front-month US West Texas Intermediate climbed 2.4% to $86.40 a barrel, and global benchmark North Sea Brent jumped 2.8% to $93.52 a barrel.US Treasury yields rose, extending gains from Tuesday. The 10-year marched 1.8 basis points higher to 4.65%, its strongest level in a month. The two-year jumped 3.7 basis points to 4.3% after yields hit the highest in 52 weeks.Markets are pricing in a more hawkish path for central banks, with yields moving higher around the world as a result, Jim Reid, global head of macro and thematic research at Deutsche Bank, said in a note Wednesday, referring to the recent moves in real yields. The US 30-year real yield at over 1.0 basis point reached a post-2008 high on Tuesday, he added.Next week, the probability of the Federal Reserve leaving its policy unchanged for July slumped to 66% from 89% a week ago, the CME FedWatch tool showed Wednesday. The likelihood of a pause continuing across September, October, and December also declined. The possibility of a Fed rate increase had surged earlier this month following soft consumer and producer price inflation data.Alphabet (GOOG, GOOGL) and Tesla (TSLA) will report quarterly earnings after the bell on Wednesday.Shares of Super Micro Computer (SMCI) soared 24% after the company said it expects fiscal Q4 GAAP and non-GAAP gross margins in the range of 15% to 17%, significantly above its 8.2% to 8.4% forecast due to a favorable customer and product mix. The stock was the top gainer on the S&P 500.In precious metal markets, gold futures jumped 2% to $4,159.3, and silver futures advanced 2.6% to $60.64.

Dow JonesNasdaq CompositeS&P 500$GOOG$GOOGL$SMCI$TSLA
Asia Markets

Exchange-Traded Funds, US Equities Mixed After Midday

Broad Market IndicatorsBroad-market exchange-traded fund IWM fell and IVV rose. Actively traded Invesco QQQ Trust (QQQ) eased 0.1%.US equity indexes traded mixed ahead of quarterly earnings from Alphabet (GOOG, GOOGL) and Tesla (TSLA) and as government bond yields followed crude oil prices higher amid worsening Iran geopolitics.EnergyIShares US Energy ETF (IYE) and the State Street Energy Select Sector SPDR (XLE) each added about 1.2%.TechnologyThe State Street Technology Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLK) rose fractionally; iShares US Technology ETF (IYW) shed less than 0.1%, and iShares Expanded Tech Sector ETF (IGM) was down 0.1%.The State Street SPDR S&P Semiconductor (XSD) rose 1%, and iShares Semiconductor (SOXX) advanced 1%.FinancialThe State Street Financial Select Sector SPDR (XLF) shed 0.1%. Direxion Daily Financial Bull 3X Shares (FAS) declined 0.3%, and its bearish counterpart, Direxion Daily Financial Bear 3X Shares (FAZ), advanced 0.3%.CommoditiesCrude oil rose 2.6%, and the United States Oil Fund (USO) added 2.4%. Natural gas gained 1.9%, and the United States Natural Gas Fund (UNG) was up 2.1%.Gold on Comex added 1.8%, and the State Street SPDR Gold Shares (GLD) gained 1.4%. Silver was up 2%, and iShares Silver Trust (SLV) climbed 2%.ConsumerThe State Street Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR (XLP) added 0.5%. The Vanguard Consumer Staples ETF (VDC) gained 0.4%, and iShares Dow Jones US Consumer Goods (IYK) was up 0.9%.The State Street Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR (XLY) slipped 0.5%. VanEck Retail ETF (RTH) dipped 0.7%, and the State Street SPDR S&P Retail (XRT) was up 0.4%.HealthcareThe State Street Health Care Select Sector SPDR (XLV) shed 0.3% and iShares US Healthcare (IYH) eased 0.3%, and Vanguard Health Care ETF (VHT) fell 0.5%. IShares Biotechnology ETF (IBB) was down 0.8%.IndustrialThe State Street Industrial Select Sector SPDR (XLI) added 0.4%. Vanguard Industrials Index Fund (VIS) and iShares US Industrials (IYJ) were higher as well.CryptocurrencyIn midday activity, bitcoin (BTC-USD) dipped 0.7%. Among cryptocurrency ETFs, ProShares Bitcoin ETF (BITO) fell 0.8%, ProShares Ether ETF (EETH) was up 1%, and ProShares Bitcoin & Ether Market Cap Weight ETF (BETH) was 0.1% higher.

Dow Jones^EEM^EXI^FAS^FAZ^GLD^IBB^IGM^IGV^IPK^IVV^IWMNasdaq Composite^IYE^IYH^IYJ^IYK^IYW^PMR^QQQ^RTH^SOXXS&P 500^SPY^UNG^USO^VDC^VHT^VIS^XLE^XLF^XLI^XLK^XLP^XLV^XRT^XSD$BETH$BITO$EETH