The Toronto Stock Exchange closed higher on Thursday, its first winning session since Monday's record close, with the resource-heavy index buoyed by improved commodity prices, a continuing belief among investors that equity market fundamentals are strong, bullish comments from Canada Prime Minister Mark Carney in New York and cautious positivity on the economy from the Bank of Canada.
The S&P/TSX Composite Index closeds up 105.65, or 0.3%, to 34,517.70, having lost more than 400 points over the prior two days. Sectors were mixed, with Info Tech up near 2.6% and Base Metals up 2.3%, helped by a higher gold price. In contrast the Battery Metals Index was down 1.15%, Energy eased near 0.5% despite a modest rise in the oil price, and Financial lost 0.8% even as The Canadian Press reported the 'Big Six' banks see reasons for optimism while navigating a 'period of volatility'.
Sluggish trade negotiations between Canada and the United States are finally showing faint signs of life as a milestone looms for renewal of their three-way trade deal with Mexico, CBC News reported on Thursday. The minister responsible for Canada-U.S. trade, Dominic LeBlanc, is planning to travel to Washington, D.C., for trade talks, although his spokespeople haven't confirmed a date, the report noted. Although the Canada-U.S.-Mexico Agreement (CUSMA) is due for its first-ever joint review on July 1, LeBlanc has held just one day of in-person talks over the past seven months with his Trump administration counterpart, U.S. Trade Representative Jamieson Greer, he also noted.
That report came out as Prime Minister Mark Carney prepared to pitch Canada as an investment hub at New York's Economic Club at lunchtime today.
Employing U.S. President Donald Trump's marquee slogan, PM Carney told a New York City business crowd "Canada strong will help make America great again", reported CTV News. It noted the P.M. detailed his economic diversification strategy, and his plans to recalibrate Canada's relationships and reputation. "We're focused on what we can control, and that means weaving a dense web of international partnerships abroad. That's making us a much stronger, more resilient, more independent country," Carney told the business crowd.
Meanwhile, the Bank of Canada on Thursday said Canada's financial system has functioned well through a challenging year as households and businesses remain in stable financial condition, and banks have strengthened their capacity to absorb shocks.
However, vulnerabilities have increased in some parts of the system, noted the central bank in its annual Financial Stability Report (FSR). Stock and corporate debt valuations have risen and are high relative to historical norms, the central bank said, adding this makes markets more vulnerable to a sharp correction.
The Canadian Press is reporting that Canada's major banks say they're cautiously optimistic as their latest earnings beat expectations, with executives confident they're well equipped to handle potential risks in the Canadian economy. The Big Six grew their profits in the second quarter compared with the same three-month period a year ago, while also posting results above analysts' forecasts, the report noted. Five of those; Toronto-Dominion Bank (TD.TO), Royal Bank of Canada (RY.TO), Bank of Nova Scotia (BNS.TO), Bank of Montreal (BMO.TO) and National Bank of Canada (NA.TO) each hiked their quarterly dividend, it also noted.
And while executives expressed confidence in their ability to withstand economic challenges ahead, they also acknowledged macroeconomic concerns that could shift their outlooks, according to the report. Those include the U.S.-Iran war that continues to drag on, pushing international oil prices and inflation higher. High unemployment in Canada and ongoing uncertainty over trade with the United States also cloud the outlook, they said.
Of commodities, West Texas Intermediate crude oil closed with a small gain, but fell off early highs following reports the U.S. and Iran agreed to extend their ceasefire even as they earlier traded strikes. WTI crude oil for July delivery closed up US$0.22 to settle at $US$88.90 per barrel after earlier touching US$92.52. July Brent oil was down US$0.64 to US$93.65.
Gold was higher midafternoon Thursday, rising off its early lows as the dollar and yields fell after reports the United States and Iran have agreed to extend a ceasefire for 60 days, lowering oil prices and easing inflation worries even a key U.S. inflation measure rose in April. Gold for July delivery was up US$52.50 to US$4,4,534.00 per ounce, after earlier touching US$4,395.60.