FINWIRES · TerminalLIVE
FINWIRES

Tokyo Inflation Swells to 1.7% % in June, Adding Pressure on BOJ

By
Tokyo Inflation Swells to 1.7% % in June, Adding Pressure on BOJ

Consumer prices in Japan's capital rose 1.7% year over year in June, accelerating from 1.4% the previous month, keeping pressure on the Bank of Japan as it continues its tightening cycle.

The latest print was in line with the Trading Economics forecast of 1.7%, but remained below the BOJ's 2% price stability target.

The headline Tokyo consumer price index stood at 112.7 against a 2020 base of 100 unchanged from May, but up from 110.8 in June 2025.

On a seasonally adjusted basis, prices rose 0.3% from May, also faster than the 0.2% increase between April and May.

Core CPI, which strips out fresh food items, climbed 1.6% in June from a year earlier, quickening from the 1.3% growth in May. The so-called "core-core CPI," which excludes both fresh food and energy prices, edged up 1.9%, also picking up from 1.6% the previous month.

In June, food prices excluding fresh items rose 3.9%, with meat prices up 6.3% and confectionery items up 4.9%.

Housing costs climbed 2.1%, with rents up 1.3% a year earlier. Healthcare costs swung to a 1.5% gain in June from flat movement in May. Transport and communications rose 3%, slowing from 3.3% in May.

Childcare fees, however, fell a sharp 100% year over year, reflecting the government's move to ease costs on childbirth, childcare and education.

Earlier this month, Japan launched a program allowing any child to enroll in nurseries, regardless of their parents' employment status. To fund this, along with child allowances and a 100,000-yen grant for pregnant women, corporate employees will pay an average of 500 yen per month starting in fiscal 2026.

These measures trimmed 0.49 percentage points from Tokyo's overall CPI.

Elsewhere, energy continued to fall in June, with prices dropping 2.3% year over year, although the pace of decline narrowed from 3.7% in May as gasoline prices fell at a softer rate of 1.3% from the 8.1% drop in May due to government subsidies.

ING Think analysts on June 19 said, "The government's price cap on gasoline and renewed utility subsidies should keep inflation below 2%."

Tokyo's CPI figures are closely watched as an indicator of nationwide trends. In May, Japan's national headline inflation ticked up to 1.5% from 1.4% in April, but missed the Trading Economics forecast of 1.6%.

Core CPI rose 1.4% year over year in May, unchanged from April's reading, while core-core CPI inflation eased slightly to 1.8% from 1.9% in April, falling below the Trading Economics forecast of 1.9%.

The Tokyo data arrives days after the BOJ raised its policy rate by 25 basis points to 1.0%, the highest level since 1995.

In a speech on Wednesday, BOJ Governor Kazuo Ueda reiterated the risk of inflation exceeding the central bank's 2% target.

"Given that the underlying inflation rate is approaching 2% and the current monetary environment is accommodative, we believe that we will continue to raise the policy interest rate and adjust the degree of monetary easing in accordance with economic, price, and financial conditions," Ueda said in his prepared speech to the National Shinkin Bank Convention.

The timing of the adjustments will depend on the impact of the Middle East conflict on the Japanese economy, Ueda said.

Related Articles

Australian Unemployment Eases in May, In Line With Expectations
US Markets

Australian Unemployment Eases in May, In Line With Expectations

Australia's unemployment rate ticked lower in May, in line with analyst forecasts, falling slightly from a post-pandemic high struck in April as the backlog of people waiting to start a job eased.The country's seasonally adjusted unemployment rate fell to 4.4% in May from 4.5% in the previous month, data from the Australian Bureau of Statistics showed on Thursday.Westpac and BofA Securities both forecast a decline to 4.4%.The result came as the number of employed Australians grew by 40,300 from April, helping push the seasonally adjusted employment-to-population ratio 0.1 percentage points higher to 63.8% in May, while the number of unemployed people fell by 18,300, the data showed.Full-time employment grew by roughly 5,000 and part-time employment by around 35,000, with the underemployment rate rising 0.1 percentage point to 5.9% in May.However, the number of hours worked slipped 1.1% in May following a nearly 1% increase in April, when fewer people took leave during the Easter holiday period. The decline in May "brings hours worked back in line with employment growth since the end of the pandemic in June 2022," said Sean Crick, head of labor statistics at the ABS.A separate same-day release from the agency showed Australian job vacancies falling to 329,500 in May, with a 2.1% decline in the three months through May representing the first drop in vacancies since August 2025.The decline in unemployment is likely to factor into the Reserve Bank of Australia's monetary policy deliberations. The central bank raised borrowing costs three times this year before pausing the tightening cycle at its most recent meeting earlier in June.

ASX 200
Singapore Unveils Eight-Point Blueprint to Become 'AI-Empowered Economy'
US Markets

Singapore Unveils Eight-Point Blueprint to Become 'AI-Empowered Economy'

Singapore outlined plans to become an "AI-empowered economy" as part of an eight-point blueprint, aiming to position the city-state as a hub for developing and deploying artificial intelligence products at scale.The Economic Strategy Review (ESR), submitted to the government by five private-sector-led committees and published Wednesday, calls AI "a force multiplier for Singapore's economy," capable of "unlocking growth, creating good jobs, and delivering tangible benefits for all Singaporeans.""AI technology is advancing at an unprecedented rate. ... We need to be agile and continually review and update our strategies as AI capabilities evolve, to ensure that our businesses and workers keep pace with the technological changes," the report said.The review, which launched in August 2025 under Singapore's Economic Resilience Taskforce, identified AI as its second of eight thrusts, positioning Singapore not as "the biggest frontier AI model or host the largest AI data centers," but as a "trusted hub where AI solutions are developed, tested, and deployed to tackle real-world problems at scale."To achieve that goal, the government launched the National AI Council earlier this year, chaired by Prime Minister Lawrence Wong. The council is tasked with co-developing sector-specific problem statements and marshalling key resources such as datasets and data infrastructure, compute and regulatory sandboxes.The council is focused on four areas: advanced manufacturing, finance, healthcare and logistics."We should also update our rules for AI governance and invest in AI safety capabilities, so that Singapore becomes a trusted environment for responsible AI innovation," according to the review.The review also pushes for a "Champions of AI" program, an initiative announced in March, to integrate AI end-to-end across companies' operations.Additionally, the ESR highlighted the need to adopt AI beyond leading firms to the wider business base. The review cited challenges among SMEs, such as capability and cost constraints, and lack of access to large, high-quality datasets to develop their AI services.The AI plans are part of a broader set of economic recommendations in the ESR. Other recommendations include deepening capabilities for high-value manufacturing and modern services, expanding access to growth capital, and "diversifying risks, building buffers and deepening partnerships" for economic resilience.The Ministry of Trade and Industry has projected GDP trend growth of 2% to 3% annually over the next decade. The ESR called the range "ambitious" based on the standards of advanced economies. The review said the target will not be easy to achieve amid "this challenging environment."

^STI
Update: Nasdaq, S&P 500 Extend Slide on AI-Chip Caution; Oil Sinks
US Markets

Update: Nasdaq, S&P 500 Extend Slide on AI-Chip Caution; Oil Sinks

(Updates with market moves at the end of the day.)The Nasdaq Composite and S&P 500 fell Wednesday for the third straight session amid caution on the AI-chip trade, while oil prices tumbled as supply concerns eased.The technology-heavy Nasdaq fell 0.4% to 25,476.6, erasing earlier gains, and the S&P 500 shed 0.1% to 7,358.2. The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 0.4% to 51,850.9. Among sectors, energy posted the biggest drop, while industrials paced the gainers.Micron Technology (MU) shares fell 0.3% in regular trading Wednesday following a 13% drop in the previous session as part of the tech slump. The stock jumped 15% in after-hours trading after fiscal third-quarter results topped estimates.KB Home (KBH) shares jumped 17% a day after the homebuilder released second-quarter results. Truist Securities attributed the gain to the company's improving gross margins.Builders FirstSource (BLDR) shares rose 11%, the top gainer on the S&P 500.Qualcomm (QCOM) agreed to acquire software infrastructure firm Modular for about $3.92 billion in stock as the semiconductor giant looks to bolster its ability to deliver a more optimized AI compute layer. Qualcomm shares fell 3.3%.Paychex (PAYX) issued a fiscal 2027 outlook that implies slower growth in both profit and revenue. The human resources software provider's shares dropped 1.7%.West Texas Intermediate crude oil fell 4.7% to $69.79 a barrel in late trading, and Brent dropped 5.2% to $73.09. Tankers continued to move through the crucial Strait of Hormuz after being stuck due to the US-Iran war.Citing data analytics company Kpler, Stifel said 39 ships moved through the chokepoint on Monday. "Still well below the typical average of over 100, this is a vast improvement after more than three months of a complete halt of traffic," the brokerage said Wednesday in a report. "Both the US and Iran have signaled broad-based progress toward ending the war. That being said, the situation remains delicate as negotiations continue."US President Donald Trump, in a social media post, criticized oil companies for "not dropping their prices at the pump commensurate with the sharply lower prices they are paying for oil." Trump said he had instructed the Department of Justice "to immediately start looking into this."US Treasury yields were lower, with the 10-year rate last seen down 9.5 basis points at 4.41% and the two-year rate falling 4.3 basis points to 4.15%.In economic news, new-home sales in the US unexpectedly declined last month as prices moved higher, government data showed."New home sales were much weaker than expected in May, but we think the pace of sales in May probably marks the bottom of what will be a noisy range over the next few months rather than the start of a more sustained decline," Oxford Economics said in a note. "We expect sales to improve later in the year based on our forecast for mortgage rates to move lower."Gold was last seen down 3.2% at $4,017.60 per troy ounce, while silver slumped 7% to $57.72 per ounce.

Dow JonesNasdaq CompositeS&P 500$BLDR$KBH$MU$PAYX