Runway Growth Finance's (RWAY) profitability is expected to continue disappointing, resulting in further erosion of net asset value per share and another dividend reset, BofA Securities said in a note Monday.
Q1 results showed ongoing deterioration in earnings, rising non-accruals, and lower net asset value per share, highlighting the challenging operating backdrop for technology and software credit and the impact of large position sizes, according to the note.
Improved sourcing and diversification from its BC Partners Credit affiliation and the SWK acquisition should help reduce concentration risk, though this is expected to take time to fully play out, the brokerage said.
The investment firm cut its 2026 and 2027 core earnings per share forecast to $1.20 and $1.18 from $1.50 and $1.49, respectively, due to lower spread income amid a deteriorating credit environment. It expects the quarterly core dividend to reset to $0.28 from $0.33, effective Q1 2027, the note added.
BofA downgraded Runway Growth to underperform from neutral and lowered the price target to $5.5 from $9.0.
Price: $5.76, Change: $-0.28, Percent Change: -4.56%