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Research Alert: CFRA Keeps Hold Opinion On Shares Of Dollar General Corporation

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CFRA, an independent research provider, has providedwith the following research alert. Analysts at CFRA have summarized their opinion as follows:

We lower our 12-month target to $123 from $151, based on ~17x our FY 27 (Jan.) EPS estimate of $7.25 (raised from $7.21). Our FY 28 EPS estimate is lowered to $7.84 from $7.88. This compares with the stock's long-term average forward P/E of 18x. Despite a solid Apr-Q EPS beat and an increase to full-year EPS guidance, we maintain our Hold rating, as we see elevated risk in the back half of the year. Key concerns include ongoing pressure on low-income consumer spending, potential freight and fuel cost headwinds, and intensifying competition as peers increasingly lean on targeted promotions to drive value perception. We also note that the company's higher full-year EPS outlook was supported in part by a lower effective tax rate and better-than-expected Apr-Q results, suggesting the underlying operating outlook for the remainder of the year is largely unchanged. Comps also become more challenging in upcoming quarters, particularly on the gross margin line.

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