Oracle's (ORCL) core database business is expected to show strong performance in its fiscal fourth quarter, while the company's capital expenditures are likely to stay elevated amid the ongoing data center buildout, BofA Securities said Tuesday.
The cloud computing company is scheduled to report results after the closing bell Wednesday. BofA expects non-GAAP earnings of $1.98 a share on revenue of $19.07 billion for the quarter. Wall Street is looking for $1.97 and $19.09 billion, respectively, according to the brokerage.
"We continue to expect solid performance from Oracle's core database business, which grew 35% (year over year) and multi-cloud database revenue up 531% (year over year) in (the third quarter), as it provides a stable foundation for free cash flow generation, supported in part by strategic partnerships announced during the quarter with Amazon (AMZN) and [Alphabet's (GOOG, GOOGL)] Google," BofA analyst Tal Liani said in a note to clients Tuesday.
Oracle's results will likely show a sequential acceleration in cloud revenue growth as additional data center capacity becomes available, converting some of the company's backlog -- or remaining performance obligations -- into additional revenue, according to the brokerage.
BofA raised its price target on the Oracle stock to $240 from $200, while reiterating its buy rating.
The company's shares were down 6.3% in Tuesday afternoon trade. The stock has increased 1.6% so far in 2026.
Oracle's capital expenditures are expected to remain elevated, with the metric seen growing 21% to $11 billion in the fourth quarter and 36% to $68.3 billion in 2027, as the company continues to invest aggressively in data center capacity to meet its backlog commitments and overall demand for compute, according to BofA.
"While these trends reinforce underlying demand and ecosystem expansion, we do not expect core strength alone to offset the near-term impact of elevated capex on free cash flow," Liani said.
BofA said it's focused on Oracle's potential remarks around its $20 billion at-the-market equity program announced earlier this year. The brokerage expects the company to need to raise an additional $35 billion over the next few years "given the cost intensity nature of the (data center) buildout," Liani said.
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