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NWS Warns of Continued Hot Temperatures in Northeast Texas, Mid-Mississippi Valley

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The US National Weather Service said most of northeast Texas into the mid-Mississippi Valley is expected to experience continued hot temperatures and high humidity through this week.

Parts of the central Plains into the upper Midwest/Great Lakes, and Four Corners states are likely to face intermittent heavy to excessive rainfall occurring through Saturday, potentially resulting in bring areas of flooding.

The NWS issued a red flag warning for Nevada's Austin, Eureka, and Tonopah. Nevada primarily falls under the service area of Berkshire Hathaway Energy unit NV Energy.

In Kansas, where Evergy (EVRG) is among the major electricity providers, a flood warning was raised for Wichita and Wellington.

A flood warning was also raised for Missouri's St. Joseph, Leavenworth, Bethany, Chillicothe, and Carrollton. A flash flood warning was raised for areas near Kirksville. Evergy, Ameren's (AEE) Missouri unit, and Algonquin Power & Utilities (AQN) subsidiary Liberty are the major service providers in the state.

Also covered under a flood warning watch were Iowa's Atlantic and Des Moines, while areas near Keokuk and Burlington were placed under a flash flood warning watch. MidAmerican Energy Company, a unit of Berkshire Hathaway Energy, and Alliant Energy (LNT) are the major power suppliers in the state.

The NWS issued a flash flood warning for Indiana's Marion and nearby areas, primarily served by Indiana Michigan Power, a subsidiary of American Electric Power (AEP).

What else is happening in Commodities?

Commodities

US Natural Gas Update: Futures Continue to Rise on Warmer Weather Forecasts

US natural gas prices rose in after-hours trading Tuesday as forecasts for above-average temperatures across parts of the country through the end of September pointed to firmer demand from power generators for air conditioning.The front-month Henry Hub contract and the continuous contract each rose 1.66% to $2.933 per million British thermal units.The Commodity Weather Group said Tuesday that above-average temperatures are expected across the South and Southeast through Sept. 29."Temperatures are still expected to trend lower overall as the calendar moves deeper into September, but the warmer forecast shift could slow the seasonal decline in power generation demand and temper the pace at which storage injections strengthen," Pinebrook Energy Advisors said.Total US natural gas demand stood at 76.2 billion cubic feet per day on Tuesday, up 3.9% from a year earlier, Barchart said, citing BNEF data.Longer-range weather revisions added heat across the South Central and Southeast, helping power burn remain firm at 45.5 Bcf/d before the seasonal decline accelerates, Gelber & Associates said.Celsius Energy put power burn at 41.4 Bcf/d on Monday, up 2.9% from the same day a year earlier. The seven-day rolling average for the week ended Sept. 14 was 43.6 Bcf/d, up 5.5% from the comparable period last year, it said.Consumption is still expected to decline in the second half of September as cooling demand fades, Gelber said, adding that Tuesday's advance reflects a narrower injection outlook without erasing broader shoulder-season pressure.LNG feedgas demand was estimated at 18.8 Bcf/d, down 2.2% from a week earlier, but continues to provide a strong demand floor despite easing from last week's highs, Gelber said.On the supply side, natural gas production remains strong after a brief slowdown, NRG said, topping 110 Bcf/d for two consecutive days over the past week.Barchart reported Tuesday production at 111.7 Bcf/d, up 1.9% from the same period last year. Trading Economics said strong domestic production is capping further price gains, with Lower-48 output averaging more than 111 Bcf/d, up from 110.7 Bcf/d in July.The stronger late-summer demand has tightened the near-term supply/demand balance, pulling projected fall inventories down closer to 3.8 trillion cubic feet and reducing some of the storage cushion that had weighed on October prices earlier this month.

Commodities

US Crude Oil Inventories Rise, API Says

Data from the American Petroleum Institute revealed Tuesday that US crude oil inventories increased by 7.14 million barrels in the week ended Sept. 11, following a 300,000-bbl draw the previous week, and compared with analysts' estimate of a 1.8-mmbbl decline, according to a Bloomberg-compiled survey.The oil market now awaits the US Energy Information Administration's petroleum inventory report, scheduled for release on Wednesday.

Commodities

US Power Update: Prices Mostly Higher Tuesday Afternoon, With Natural Gas Leading the Generation Mix

US wholesale electricity markets were mostly higher Tuesday afternoon, with intraday prices ranging from a high of $372.39 per megawatt-hour to a low of -$102.90/MWh, according to GridStatus.io.Electric Reliability Council of Texas' real-time locational marginal price was $36.99/MWh at 4 p.m. ET. Net load reached 41.59 gigawatts, while solar accounted for the largest share of the generation mix at 36.6%.California Independent System Operator's real-time LMP was $27.25/MWh at 4 p.m. ET. Net load was 0.66 GW, with solar making up the largest share of the generation mix at 66.2%.Southwest Power Pool's real-time LMP stood at $92.93/MWh at 4 p.m. ET. Net load reached 36.68 GW, while natural gas represented the largest share of the generation mix at 38%. Prices climbed to an intraday peak of $233.61/MWh at 4:25 p.m. ET.PJM's real-time LMP was $66.99/MWh at 4 p.m. ET. Net load totaled 97.39 GW, with gas providing the largest share of the generation mix at 42.8%. Prices rose to an intraday high of $264.54/MWh at 4:10 p.m. ET.Midcontinent Independent System Operator's real-time LMP was negative at -$69.78/MWh at 4 p.m. ET. Net load was 86.07 GW, while natural gas accounted for the largest share of the generation mix at 33.1%.Prices reached an intraday high of $372.39/MWh at 5:20 a.m. ET, before falling to an intraday low of negative $102.90/MWh at 2:50 p.m. ET.New York Independent System Operator's real-time LMP stood at $51.66/MWh at 4 p.m. ET. Net load reached 15.82 GW, with dual fuel making up the largest share of the generation mix at 29.6%. Prices advanced to an intraday high of $245.16/MWh at 2:25 p.m. ET.Independent System Operator New England's real-time LMP was $31.83/MWh at 4 p.m. ET. Net load came in at 9.98 GW, while natural gas supplied the largest share of the generation mix at 37.1%.Independent Electricity System Operator's real-time LMP reached $32.76/MWh at 4 p.m. ET. Net load was 15.15 GW at 3:55 p.m. ET, with nuclear accounting for the largest share of the generation mix at 43.1%.The National Weather Service's Climate Prediction Center forecasts above-normal temperatures across most of the US from Sept. 23-29, with below-normal readings in parts of the West.