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Nvidia Poised for Strong Quarterly Results, Outlook, UBS Says

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Nvidia Poised for Strong Quarterly Results, Outlook, UBS Says

Nvidia (NVDA) is likely to post strong fiscal second-quarter results and issue an upbeat sales outlook as Vera Rubin begins to ramp, UBS Securities said Friday.

The brokerage raised its second-quarter earnings outlook for the chipmaking giant to $2.13 a share from $2.09 and its revenue estimate to $93.55 billion from $91.91 billion. UBS projects third-quarter revenue in a range of $107 billion to $108 billion.

"Blackwell is holding stable, with Rubin units starting to layer in ahead of what should be a more substantial revenue step-up in (the fourth quarter), as Rubin sell-in accelerates toward (roughly 500,000 graphics processing unit) units/month and Blackwell starts to wind down," UBS analysts Timothy Arcuri and Natalia Winkler said in a note to clients Friday.

Vera Rubin is Nvidia's next-generation artificial intelligence computing platform designed for large-scale agentic AI and advanced reasoning workloads.

In a note to clients earlier this month, BofA Securities said it expected Nvidia to deliver a second-quarter revenue beat and issue an upbeat guidance amid Vera Rubin shipments and "solid" cloud capital expenditure trends.

Recently, Amazon.com (AMZN) increased its full-year CapEx guidance, while Meta Platforms (META) raised the lower end of its own outlook range for the metric. Microsoft (MSFT) said it anticipated CapEx in its fiscal 2027 to increase year over year, while Alphabet (GOOG, GOOGL) indicated rising AI capital spending.

"Because the vast majority of hyperscaler CapEx increase this year is due mostly to memory price inflation, compute supply growth is even further from keeping pace with demand," Acuri and Winkler said Friday. "This is ultimately bullish for (Nvidia) and as a result, we may hear about another significant stair-step in backlog on this earnings call."

Earlier this week, Nvidia signed memorandums of understanding with six major financial institutions, including Goldman Sachs (GS), BlackRock (BLK), Blackstone (BX) and KKR (KKR), to raise more than $500 billion in third-party capital for the development of AI infrastructure.

UBS expects this to help address "demand durability concerns by unlocking substantial infrastructure capital, underscoring both the financeability of AI compute and the strength of (Nvidia's) ecosystem."

The company's shares were little changed in Friday afternoon trade. The stock has jumped nearly 21% so far in 2026.

Coming out of Nvidia's upcoming earnings call, UBS expects investors to gain "greater confidence" in a path to EPS of more than $15 in 2027 and $20 in 2028 -- "numbers that should keep the stock grinding higher," the analysts wrote.

The technology bellwether company is scheduled to report results Aug. 26.

Price: $225.37, Change: $+0.07, Percent Change: +0.03%

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