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June US PCE Prices Fall as Expected; Income, Spending Both Increase

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Personal income rose by 0.2% in June following May's 0.7% gain, smaller than the expected 0.3% gain in a survey conducted by Bloomberg as of 7:35 am ET.

Personal consumption expenditures were up 0.3%, below the 0.4% increase expected and slower than a 0.9% gain in May. After adjustment for inflation, real PCE increased by 0.4% after a 0.4% increase in May, as expected.

The PCE price index fell by 0.1%, as expected, cutting the year-over-year rate to 3.7% from 4.1%. The price index increased by 0.5% month-over-month in May.

The core PCE price index increased by 0.1%, below the 0.2% gain expected and following a 0.3% gain in May. The year-over-year rate dropped to 3.3% from 3.4% in the previous month.

The monthly report on personal income and spending is released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis about one month after the period it is measuring. Personal income is broken down into various categories, with wages making up the largest portion. Spending is reported in two ways-before and after adjustment for inflation movements.

The price measures in the report are closely watched by the Federal Reserve, particularly the year-over-year. Faster consumption growth is usually a positive for stocks but combined with soft income readings could suggest consumers are overextending. Bonds are sensitive to the price measures if the pace is above the Federal Reserve's 2% target.

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