FINWIRES · TerminalLIVE
FINWIRES

Indian Government Proposes Changes to Industrial Output Index to Expand Coverage

By

The Indian government is set to implement changes to the Index of Industrial Production (IIP), aimed at wider sectoral coverage, a revamped item basket, chain-linked indices, and methodological improvements to better capture the data, according to a statement on Monday.

The proposed changes are part of the new IIP series with base year 2022-23, recommended by the Technical Advisory Committee on Base Year Revision of the All-India Index of Industrial Production (TAC-IIP), constituted by the Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation (MoSPI) in September 2024.

The panel has recommended adopting a chain-linked approach alongside the fixed-base IIP framework, in a major shift in methodology. It said annual updating of weights would reduce substitution bias and better capture structural changes in industrial production.

"By incorporating recent information into the weighting structure, the chain-based method improves the accuracy and relevance of the index and provides a more realistic measure of industrial growth," the panel said.

The panel has also proposed expanding the scope of the industrial output index to include minor minerals, rare earth minerals, gas supply, water supply, sewerage, and waste management activities.

The new series also introduces greater granularity through sub-indices, including separate indices for electricity generated from renewable and non-renewable sources.

The TAC-IIP recommended revising the IIP base year from 2011-12 to 2022-23 to align it with other macroeconomic indicators such as gross domestic product, consumer price index, and wholesale price index.

The revised series will have an updated item basket comprising 1,042 products mapped to 463 item groups, in aligment with with the National Industrial Classification.

The report pointed out that regular revisions of the base years of economic indicators like IIP are "essential to ensure that they remain representative of current industrial activity and continue to accurately reflect evolving economic realities".

The first release of the revised IIP series is scheduled for June 1 and will provide index values from April 2023 onwards, including the quick estimates for April.

Related Articles

International

Market Chatter: South Korea's Middle East Crude Imports Plunge 37% in April

South Korea's crude oil imports from the Middle East fell 37.3% to 4.49 million tons in April from a year earlier, amid the ongoing conflict between the U.S. and Iran, which has raised geopolitical tensions in the region, Yonhap News reported Sunday, citing data compiled by the Korea International Trade Association (KITA).Imports from the Middle East accounted for 53.1% of the country's total imports in the month. Total crude imports fell 22.8% to 8.46 million tons in April from a year earlier, the report said.Imports from South Korea's key supplier, Saudi Arabia, shed 37.6% on-year to 2.14 million tons in April, while combined U.S. crude imports added 13.4% to 2.14 million tons, it said.(Market Chatter news is derived from conversations with market professionals globally. This information is believed to be from reliable sources but may include rumor and speculation. Accuracy is not guaranteed.)

^KOSDAQKOSPI
International

Singapore Maintains 2026 GDP Forecast at 2%-4%; Q1 GDP Rises Faster Than Expected

Singapore's Ministry of Trade and Industry maintained its 2026 GDP forecast between 2% and 4%, while highlighting downside risks amid the US-Iran conflict, according to a release on Monday.The city-state's economy rose 6% year over year during the first quarter of the year, extending a 5.7% expansion in the previous quarter.The latest expansion beat the 5.2% forecast by economists polled by Bloomberg and the 4.6% estimate in a separate poll by Reuters.On a seasonally-adjusted quarter-over-quarter basis, the economy expanded by 1%, following the 1.3% growth in the previous quarter. Reuters-polled analysts predicted a 0.3% contraction.The year-over-year GDP growth was driven by improved performance from wholesale trade, manufacturing and finance & insurance sectors, with AI-related demand further contributing to growth.The ministry had upgraded its growth forecast in February from 1% to 3%.However, the global economic growth outlook has been impacted since the US-Israel-Iran conflict, with energy supply disruptions and the blockade of the Strait of Hormuz creating global supply chain disruptions, the ministry said.

^STI
International

Market Chatter: Japan's Gold Exports Hit Record High in Fiscal 2025 Amid Geopolitical Turmoil

Driven by rising prices due to heightened global instability, Japan's gold exports surpassed 4 trillion yen for the first time in fiscal 2025, reaching a record 4.08 trillion yen, Nikkei Asia reported on Monday.The surge likely includes bullion that had previously been smuggled into the country, the news daily said, citing Finance Ministry data.The average export price per kilogram jumped nearly 49% to an all-time high of 18.8 million yen, while the gap between export and import volumes exceeded 200 metric tons, worth 3.9 trillion yen, the publication said.Although expectations of U.S. rate cuts have faded due to Middle East-related inflation worries, reducing gold's appeal somewhat, investments in the metal remain at near historic highs, the report said.(Market Chatter news is derived from conversations with market professionals globally. This information is believed to be from reliable sources but may include rumor and speculation. Accuracy is not guaranteed.)

Nikkei 225