Higher Feedstock Prices Weigh on June Renewable Diesel Economics, TPH Energy Says

US and European renewable diesel margins eased in June as higher feedstock costs weighed on economics, while lower diesel and renewable diesel prices added pressure, TPH Energy said in a Wednesday note.

TPH's lagged US renewable diesel indicator for low-carbon-intensity feedstocks fell to $2.08 per gallon in June from $2.71/gal in May as higher April feedstock costs rolled into margins under an estimated two-month lag.

Rising feedstock prices reduced margins by 87 cents/gal over the month, with animal fats such as tallow and white grease recording the largest increases, according to the note.

Diesel prices declined by 26 cents/gal from May, although stronger D4 Renewable Identification Number values added 50 cents/gal, partially offsetting the pressure from feedstock costs.

Despite the June decline, TPH's US renewable diesel indicator remained up $1.01/gal over the quarter in Q2. On a spot basis, however, the indicator increased only 27 cents/gal from Q1.

In Europe, the renewable diesel indicator for used cooking oil feedstocks declined to $1,276 per ton in June from $1,378 per ton in May as feedstock costs rose 1% and renewable diesel prices fell 3%, the note added.

The June pullback still left the European indicator at $1,395 per ton in Q2, compared with $1,169 per ton in Q1. The sustainable aviation fuel premium versus renewable diesel improved over the quarter but remained negative at $90 per ton.

TPH said stronger US margin trends continue to favor Darling Ingredients (DAR), while firmer European economics support Neste's spot exposure.

US Natural Gas Update: Futures Edge Down on Cool Weather Forecasts

US natural gas futures softened further in after-hours trading on Tuesday as abundant supply and mild weather forecasts outweighed demand signals.The front-month Henry Hub contract and the continuous benchmark both eased 0.29% to $3.138 per million British thermal units."Price action remains largely rangebound, with weekly changes still limited to only a few cents across most of the curve," Pinebrook Energy Advisors said in a note.Weather expectations remain a key driver. Cooler-than-normal temperatures forecast for June 14-18 across the Midwest and eastern US are expected to curb air-conditioning demand and put pressure on prices, according to Barchart, citing Vaisala data.It also said Lower-48 natural gas demand rose to 73.2 billion cubic feet per day on Tuesday, up 0.8 Bcf/d from the previous session and 5.8% higher over the year.The US Energy Information Administration's outlook shows a split summer demand profile, with June notably weak before demand strengthens later in the season.For June, the EIA forecasts 240 cooling degree days, down 15% over the year and 9% below the 10-year average, signaling reduced air-conditioning demand at the start of summer.Conditions then tighten into the third quarter, with CDDs rising 8% from a year earlier as hotter weather boosts cooling demand. That late-summer strength is expected to offset the soft start in June.Overall, the EIA still projects 2026 cooling demand averaging 4% above 2025 and 4% above the 10-year average, indicating firmer underlying summer consumption despite the early weakness.Daily US dry gas production was reported at 110.1 Bcf/d on Tuesday, down 2 Bcf/d from the prior day but still up 2.2% over the year, BNEF data showed.The EIA expects US gas output to rise 3.3% in 2026 to 111.0 Bcf/d, with further growth in 2027 driven by Permian associated gas and Haynesville output.Despite steady demand growth, elevated production is expected to keep inventories above the five-year average and cap upside in Henry Hub prices. The EIA projects prices averaging $3.34/MMBtu in the second half of this year and $3.46/MMBtu in 2027, down sharply from prior forecasts.LNG feedgas flows to US export terminals also increased, reaching 17.9 Bcf/d, up 0.3 Bcf/d on the day and 8.7% higher over the week.

EPA Extends Waiver For Summertime National Sales of E15 Blended Gasoline

The Environmental Protection Agency and the US Department of Energy on Tuesday extended the summertime waiver for the sales of E15 blended gasoline through June 29.The waiver regarding the requirements in 40 CFR 1090.215 allows for the production and distribution of a single national gasoline pool with 9% to 15% ethanol content at a common Reid Vapor Pressure standard of 10 pounds per square inch, according to the EPA announcement.In the same waiver letter, EPA is reissuing a waiver for federal enforcement of state-level "boutique" fuel requirements for gasoline under 40 CFR 1090.215. Both waivers share a 20-day effective window from June 10, 2026, to June 29, 2026.The EPA noted that states that have adopted fuel standards under consumer protection and/or air quality statutes may need to waive those provisions in State code to enable implementation of the Federal waiver in the States.In May, the EPA extended a waiver allowing the nationwide summer sales of E15, effective until June 9.

Higher Feedstock Prices Weigh on June Renewable Diesel Economics, TPH Energy Says

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The Environmental Protection Agency and the US Department of Energy on Tuesday extended the summertime waiver for the sales of E15 blended gasoline through June 29.The waiver regarding the requirements in 40 CFR 1090.215 allows for the production and distribution of a single national gasoline pool with 9% to 15% ethanol content at a common Reid Vapor Pressure standard of 10 pounds per square inch, according to the EPA announcement.In the same waiver letter, EPA is reissuing a waiver for federal enforcement of state-level "boutique" fuel requirements for gasoline under 40 CFR 1090.215. Both waivers share a 20-day effective window from June 10, 2026, to June 29, 2026.The EPA noted that states that have adopted fuel standards under consumer protection and/or air quality statutes may need to waive those provisions in State code to enable implementation of the Federal waiver in the States.In May, the EPA extended a waiver allowing the nationwide summer sales of E15, effective until June 9.