FINWIRES · TerminalLIVE
FINWIRES

Greece's Atlantic SEE LNG Trade Says Harder to Obtain Long-Term Supplies of US LNG now

By

The head of the Greek company Atlantic SEE LNG Trade has said it is now more difficult to obtain long-term liquefied natural gas deals from the US since the disruption arising from the Iran war, Bloomberg reported.

While a trend of increased Asian competition with European buyers for spot cargoes from North America is now already a given, the comments show that European struggles appear to be extending to long-term supply deals also.

The article said the more intense competition is making US firms reluctant to sign 20-year contracts that Atlantic SEE is seeking, as it tries to develop a role for Greece as a regional LNG hub.

"US suppliers have become reluctant to commit to a price for a long period of time," Chief Executive Officer Alexandros Exarchou told Bloomberg in an interview.

"This is a different situation from six months ago when they were gasping for such long-term agreements."

One reason offered by the article for US hesitation, is uncertainty over how prices will evolve after damage to the world's biggest LNG export terminal in Qatar, which is expected to take several years to repair.

Some US suppliers are even offering incentives to reduce the size of existing contracts, the story said.

Some forecasts have predicted that global LNG prices will slump around the end of this decade when a pipeline of new production capacity in planning or under construction begins to operate.

The size of capital commitments needed to build and finance US LNG projects may also make it more difficult for smaller buyers to obtain long-term contracts with sellers in the US.

Atlantic SEE, a joint venture between Aktor Group and Greek state gas supplier Depa Commercial, entered into a deal with Venture Global in November to import 4 billion cubic meters of LNG starting in 2030, the Bloomberg article said.

Most of this will go to Greece's neighbours with 1 billion cubic meters destined for Albania and 0.5 billion for Bosnia-Herzegovina. The company is also seeking to enter deals with Romania in the coming weeks, which could raise supply agreements to 3.7 bcm per year.

If it reaches deals with Bulgaria and Ukraine this year also, Atlantic SEE will try to obtain more US LNG contracts to fulfil those, which would raise volumes handled to 8 bcm. The company will look at exploring supply deals with Serbia, Croatia and North Macedonia, Exarchou said.

He said that while the Venture Global deal insulated Atlantic SEE from volatility, the price for gas under 20-year contracts has risen sharply.

"We're discussing for additional quantities from various suppliers in the US," said the CEO. He believes spot prices will rise sharply from September.

He also voiced concern that the EU had not adopted measures to head off any supply shortages next winter, with reserves now less full than they would usually be over the warmer months when stocks are replaced.

Related Articles

Commodities

Biofuel Producers Benefit as Renewable Fuel Credits Approach Record Levels, EIA Says

Higher US biofuel blending targets have pushed renewable fuel credit prices close to record highs and improved returns for ethanol, biodiesel and renewable diesel producers, the US Energy Information Administration said Wednesday.Higher US biofuel blending mandates have doubled renewable fuel credit prices this year, while stronger gasoline and diesel markets improved biofuel economics, the EIA said.The federal renewable fuels program allows companies to earn tradable credits when they bring biofuels into the US fuel market, either through domestic production or imports, the EIA said.Fuel suppliers that fall short of government biofuel requirements can purchase those credits to satisfy compliance obligations, while others meet the targets by blending renewable fuels directly into gasoline and diesel.As of June 4, biomass-based diesel D4 credits traded at $2.41 and ethanol D6 credits traded at $2.37, both approaching the record levels reached in 2021, according to the agency.At current prices, biodiesel and renewable diesel producers can generate more than $3.50 per gallon from renewable fuel credits. Biodiesel creates 1.5 credits per gallon, while renewable diesel generates between 1.6 and 1.7 credits.The Environmental Protection Agency helped drive the increase after finalizing a rule on March 27 that raised renewable fuel blending requirements for both 2026 and 2027 above 2025 levels, the agency said.Higher gasoline and diesel prices have also improved biofuel economics. Since mid-March, ethanol on the US Gulf Coast has generally remained cheaper than gasoline on an energy-equivalent basis, encouraging additional blending.After including the value of renewable fuel credits, ethanol traded at a discount of more than $2 per gallon to gasoline during May and June, making it increasingly attractive for fuel suppliers, according to the agency.Higher renewable identification number, or RIN, prices have improved production and blending margins for biodiesel and renewable diesel producers in 2026, the EIA added.The agency said the Bean Oil-Heating Oil, or BOHO, spread remains a key measure of biodiesel and renewable diesel economics because it tracks the relationship between soybean oil feedstock costs and heating oil prices.RIN values have risen faster than the BOHO spread this year, indicating that higher renewable volume obligations are providing an additional boost to margins and supporting significantly stronger biodiesel and renewable diesel economics than in 2025, according to the agency.The Energy Information Administration expects record fuel ethanol and renewable diesel production in 2026 as higher blending mandates, stronger fuel prices and expanding biofuel capacity support output growth. Biodiesel production is also forecast to increase but remain below previous record highs.Fuel ethanol production is projected to rise 2% in 2026, with its share of gasoline consumption increasing to 10.7% from 10.5% in 2025, according to the EIA.Renewable diesel output is expected to increase 24% and biodiesel production 41% from 2025 levels, while all three fuels are forecast to post further gains in 2027 as renewable volume obligations rise again.

Commodities

US Natural Gas Update: Futures Rise on Warmer Weather Outlook Ahead of EIA Storage Data

US natural gas futures rose in after-hours trading on Wednesday as forecasts of hotter weather later this month boosted expectations of cooling demand, and traders positioned ahead of Thursday's weekly government storage report.Both the front-month Henry Hub contract and the continuous contract rose 1.43%, to $3.185 per million British thermal units.Natural gas prices recovered from a 1.5-week low as short covering emerged following warmer US weather forecasts, according to Barchart. Citing Vaisala, Barchart said forecasts shifted warmer in the Midwest and above normal across the eastern US for June 15-19, potentially increasing natural gas demand from power generators supplying air-conditioning load.Fundamentals were also supportive. Power-sector demand strengthened as summer cooling needs began to build, with power burn rising to 43.3 billion cubic feet per day, up 6.1% from the previous day, according to Gelber & Associates.LNG feedgas demand remained firm near 18.4 Bcf/d as export facilities continued recovering from seasonal maintenance.On the supply side, Barchart, citing BNEF data, said Lower 48 dry gas production was 109.1 Bcf/d on Wednesday, down slightly from the prior day but 1.8% above year-ago levels. Gelber similarly noted domestic production near a two-week low at 109.3 Bcf/d following recent regional pullbacks. Stronger Canadian imports, however, helped cushion supply losses, rising 7.4% day-over-day to 5.7 Bcf/d.Market attention remained focused on Thursday's Energy Information Administration storage report. Barchart said consensus expectations call for a 100-Bcf injection, while G&A estimated a slightly smaller 98-Bcf build. Both projections would compare with a 109-Bcf injection during the same week last year.Recent data have generally supported prices. "Chances for a third straight bullish EIA storage report surprise tomorrow could offer further upside," Eli Rubin of EBW Analytics said in a note, as reported by The Wall Street Journal. Rubin cautioned, however, that "rising production and lack of sustained summer heat may allow bullish early-summer seasonality to peak."

Commodities

Britain Advances Clean Energy Push With 37 GW of New Grid Connection Offers

More than half of connection offers for energy projects in Britain's sub-2030 pipeline have now been issued, marking a key milestone in reforms aimed at accelerating clean energy deployment, the National Energy System Operator said on Wednesday.NESO, working with the Energy Networks Association and network operators, said 58% of connection offers had been issued as of June 10. The offers cover 713 of 1,223 projects and represent around 37 gigawatts of new electricity generation and storage capacity, including offshore and onshore wind, solar, battery storage, and hydro projects.The reforms replace the previous "first-come, first-served" connections system, which industry participants said created bottlenecks and lengthy delays as projects accumulated in the queue.Connection offers specify when and where projects can connect to the grid and identify any transmission or distribution network upgrades required, providing developers with greater certainty to proceed with investment decisions.NESO said projects supported through the process could help unlock up to 40 billion British pounds ($54 billion) of annual clean energy investment and support Britain's economic growth and decarbonization goals."Today's milestone shows connections reform is delivering real results," NESO Chief Operating Officer Kayte O'Neill said, adding that the changes were helping ready-to-build projects connect faster.Distribution network operators have led the issuance of offers for projects seeking connections to lower-voltage distribution networks, while NESO has overseen offers for projects connecting to the high-voltage transmission system.ENA Chief Executive Lawrence Slade said network operators were already focused on the next phase of delivery following the completion of offers for protected projects.Energy Minister Michael Shanks said upgrading the grid and speeding up clean energy connections would help shield consumers from fossil fuel price volatility and support efforts to reduce electricity bills.Britain is also pursuing network expansion and planning reforms as part of its target to deliver a clean power system by 2030, NESO said.