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EMEA Oil Update: Crude Falls as Saudi Offers Oil via Oman, Pipeline Set to Restart

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EMEA crude futures dropped in after-hours trading on Wednesday as Saudi Arabia sought to cushion the impact of its damaged East-West pipeline by offering more crude cargoes via Oman, amid expectations that the key export route could resume operations within days.

Brent crude futures fell 2.8% to $105.70 per barrel, while Dubai 1st Line Futures retreated 3.3% to $101.68/bbl.

Soojin Kim, research analyst at MUFG, said crude prices retreated after a sharp supply-driven rally, with Brent falling below $107/bbl, while WTI traded near $104/bll.

Saudi Arabia is offering additional crude cargoes to Asian refiners through ship-to-ship transfers off Oman's Sohar port, according to media reports.

The arrangements allow Saudi crude to be transferred outside the Strait of Hormuz, providing an alternative route after damage to the East-West pipeline disrupted exports through Yanbu.

Saudi Aramco has reportedly offered Asian term buyers its Arab Light, Arab Medium and Arab Heavy grades for loading off Sohar. The state-owned energy giant has made at least two similar offers in recent weeks, according to media reports.

Pressuring prices, the Trump administration is reportedly trying to reassure the market that Saudi Arabia's damaged East-West pipeline will restart operations in days.

On Tuesday, US Energy Secretary Chris Wright said that the pipeline should be back in operation within days, although other estimates have suggested repairs could take considerably longer.

The outage has nevertheless disrupted physical crude markets. Saudi Arabia has suspended Yanbu loadings and informed some European customers of cancellations for September cargoes, according to media reports.

Kpler strategists said that the attack on Saudi Arabia's East-West Pipeline marks another escalation in a conflict the global oil market cannot absorb indefinitely.

The analysts said that without the East-West Pipeline, Saudi crude exports could ultimately fall by about 3.5-4 million barrels per day, depending on the severity and duration of the disruption.

Meanwhile, the growing tightness in diesel markets, including in the US, China and Russia, has raised speculation about possible US export controls on crude oil and refined products.

Phil Flynn, an analyst at The PRICE Futures Group, said the Gulf Coast diesel crack spread had surged to levels once considered unthinkable, rising from above $100/bbl earlier this month toward $118/bbl.

Tom Kloza, chief energy advisor at Gulf Oil, said overnight US prices advanced to $4.37/gal for gasoline and $6.31/gal for diesel.

"Despite slightly lower futures prices today, you'll see these numbers rise at the pump as marketers struggle to catch up to epic wholesale increases," Kloza said.

On the supply front, US commercial crude oil inventories decreased by 600,000 barrels to 423.4 million barrels in the week ended Sep. 11, the Energy Information Administration said in its weekly report released Wednesday. The draw contrasted with a 7.1 million-barrel American Petroleum Institute build.

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US Oil Update: Crude Rises as Saudi Pipeline Outage, Russia Attacks Raise Supply Risks

Crude futures settled higher in after-hours trading on Tuesday as an ongoing outage on Saudi Arabia's critical East-West pipeline and persistent attacks on Russian energy infrastructure heightened global supply fears.Front-month West Texas Intermediate futures rallied 4.03% to $105.94 per barrel, while Brent futures advanced 2.% to $108.68/bbl.Gelber & Associates strategists said that October WTI trades at $103.31/bbl, up $1.92 or 1.9%, as uncertainty surrounding Saudi Arabia's damaged East-West Pipeline sustains a substantial supply premium.US Energy Secretary Chris Wright reportedly said that Saudi Arabia's critical East-West crude oil pipeline will start operating again "very soon" after Iran-backed attacks forced its closure.Saudi Arabia has halted oil loadings at its Red Sea port of Yanbu, and the country has informed European customers that some late-September crude cargoes would be canceled, according to media reports.The Gulf state issued security alerts over a range of territory, including Mecca and Jeddah, on Tuesday. The Saudi Arabian Civil Defense later lifted the alerts, saying the danger had passed in Jeddah, Abha, Jazan, AlUla and Taif amid an uptick in attacks by the Houthis.The latest strikes followed a Houthi attack on Saudi Arabia's East-West Pipeline on Friday that forced the Gulf state to shut the vital export route.Kpler strategists said that damage to Saudi Arabia's East-West Pipeline has shifted the oil market's focus to export logistics, with the key question now being how quickly the Gulf state can restore flows and reroute crude.Kpler's base case assumes the East-West Pipeline, dubbed Petroline, will return at about 50% of its pre-attack capacity after repairs that could take as long as six weeks. The consultancy said that could reduce exports from the Red Sea port of Yanbu by about 2.5 million to 2.7 million barrels per day.Meanwhile, Ukraine said on Tuesday it hit the Syzran refinery in Russia's Volga region overnight, as Kyiv's attacks on refineries in Russia have helped drive diesel prices to record highs.The attacks came after the two sides welcomed a potential energy truce floated by President Trump. Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy proposed that his country's partners secure an agreement with Russia to stop the destruction of critical infrastructure.Dan Bunkering strategists said that Ukrainian attacks have reduced Russian refinery output and product availability, and there is little reason to assume this pressure will disappear.On the supply front, ING strategists said growing tightness in diesel markets, including in the US, has raised speculation about possible US export controls on crude oil and refined products.ING strategists said that the Trump administration has pushed back against the idea, arguing that an export ban would do little to bring down prices.Though restricting refined-product exports could provide some near-term price relief, the analysts said it would also pressure refinery margins and could eventually prompt refiners to cut processing rates, tightening supplies and pushing prices higher over the longer term.

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Market Chatter: Vance Says US-Iran War Could End After Midterms as Conflict Enters New Phase

The US conflict with Iran could enter a much different phase in a couple of months, Vice President J D Vance told the New York Post Tuesday, while agreeing that the war could end after the midterms.Vance said Iran's control over the Strait of Hormuz would continue to weaken ahead of the election, with the key energy route now carrying over 50% of normal traffic.He said the timeline remains uncertain but noted that President Donald Trump will decide when the conflict starts and ends.Vance also acknowledged public impatience over the prolonged conflict, while saying the US currently has no aggressive operations underway against Iran. Iranian forces have instead occasionally fired on commercial shipping, although Vance said those attacks have generally failed to hit their targets.The White House did not immediately reply to' request for comment.(Market Chatter news is derived from conversations with market professionals globally. This information is believed to be from reliable sources but may include rumor and speculation. Accuracy is not guaranteed.)

Oil & Energy

Market Chatter: Saudi Arabia Cancels September Crude Cargoes, Suspends Yanbu Loadings

Saudi Arabia has canceled some September crude cargoes to European customers and suspended Yanbu loadings after drone attacks damaged its East-West pipeline, Reuters reported Tuesday, citing traders and shipping sources.The pipeline shutdown followed attacks that Riyadh attributed to Iraqi militias, while European buyers, including Poland, moved to secure alternative crude supplies.Physical oil prices in Europe rose above $130 per barrel Tuesday as buyers sought alternatives to disrupted Middle East supplies amid intensifying regional conflict. North Sea Forties crude surged to $136.75/bbl, putting it within reach of the $147.37 record set April 13, the report added, citing LSEG data.The loss of Red Sea flows could push Saudi Arabia to use dark shipments through the Strait of Hormuz, with Gulf producers currently moving 7 million barrels per day to 9 million b/d, the report said.Saudi Aramco did not immediately reply to' request for comment.(Market Chatter news is derived from conversations with market professionals globally. This information is believed to be from reliable sources but may include rumor and speculation. Accuracy is not guaranteed.)